At the end of last week, USD/CAD sat at current 4 hour support at 1.4360
A reversal pattern here next week could lead to a long trade targeting 1.4445 which was the most recent 4 hour resistance.
However, a 4 hour close below 1.43600 could lead to sells with a potential target of 1.4286
The bullish weekly trend for EUR/NZD continues but have the buyers run out of steam for now?
Examining the weekly price action. we see that after 2 weeks of strong buying, the last week ended in a Shooting Star candle (also known as a pin candle).
This may be a sign that buying pressure has decreased and a natural pullback/correction is now in play.
Watch for...
With price now hitting previous resistance at 1.0940, we may now start to see a correction in the market after the latest 500+ pip move from the bulls.
Watch for a change of cycle on smaller time frames.
With a strong weakening of the US Dollar, EUR/USD has changed it's bearish trajectory.
The low of the bear move occurred on 13th January 2025 when price printed a Hammer candle/pin candle.
We have since seen a gradual push from the buyers until last week when we witnessed strong, impulsive moves breaking and closing above 1.0600 resistance.
We may now see a...
Since testing and rejecting the demand zone at 1.1170 for a second time, we have seen price gradually descend back towards the rising trendline.
Thursdays price action saw a close below the trendline and a possible push from the sellers to test the water.
Friday saw buyers back in play but price still closed below the broken trendline.
Retest of the trendline...
Price has reached resistance at the top of the parallel channel.
Tuesdays candle closed as a bearish pin candle.
This may be the start of sellers entering the market.
An impulse of selling and a correction may produce a sell setup if it meets your trading rules.
After seeing divergence between price and the MACD, Gold finally topped out around the $2955 mark. This saw the end of a bullish impulse originating at the end of last year and the start of a correction.
Using Fibonacci retracement levels, we can estimate where Gold may pull back to.
In this case, Fibonacci levels are potential areas of support as we are looking...
Price is moving within a bullish channel since the end of September 2024.
From late December to this week, price has been moving within a correction pattern.
On Friday we saw the 1st bullish close outside and above the pattern.
Look for a pullback/correction and a continuation to test the wick high at 1.8650 from August 2024.
Price has made a strong rejection of the monthly supply zone at 1.4650 to 1.47
With this information in mind, there may be opportunities to short this pair on smaller time frames.
Look for sell setups that meet your rules.
Price bottomed out in February at 0.5516 after entering monthly support.
Since then we have seen a steady influx of buying, most recently peaking at 0.5772 during last weeks trading.
With MACD divergence though, we may now see a correction back to the trendline.
Buyers were very much in charge of the market until October 2024 last year when we saw Silver peak around $34.85
From there we saw a decline as sellers took price to $28.76 over the next few months into December 2024.
With price having now broken out of the triangular correction and respecting a bullish trendline, buyers are now firmly in charge until further notice.
On 11th February, price printed a break out above the bearish trendline.
After forming a new high around 108.31, we then saw a slow decline as price started to correct.
Look for a break to the upside for what could be another bullish impulse.
Price has made 2 clear rejections of $2940 with the later being a strong sell off by the bears.
Now price is back at $2880 which proved to be a strong support zone last week.
Look for reversal signs for another push up in line with the range. Alternatively a clear close below $2880 and a pullback may produce a sell setup.
The market continues to see USD/CHF as overpriced above the 0.9200 zone.
For the first time this year, we see price printing a weekly close below 0.9052 which was support over the latter part of January 2025.
More importantly, we have just seen a weekly close below the 'big number' 0.9000 and may see further downside.
In addition, the stochastic has now dropped...
Price has printed a low and lower lower during January and a potential higher low this month.
With a clear trendline in play and a possible change in cycle, look for price to create a bullish impulse breaking above the trendline. A correction may then produce a buy setup if it meets your trading rules.
Price may have made a lower high at the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
Any sell setups may lead to further downside in line with a correction in the parallel channel.
The first target could be 1.9596 where price most recently found support.
The second target could be the base of the channel or the -27% Fib extension.
We can see a double rejection of the daily resistance level 1.67730
In addition price rejected support at 1.65220 as price found a range between the two levels.
Now with price finally broken and closed below support, there may be an opportunity to sell on a pullback and a sell setup with a potential target of 1.63840, which last acted as daily support in December 2024.
Price has shown a strong rejection of 1.5150 which has acted as a sell zone on numerous occasions last year.
Ideally we will get a pullback towards the big number 1.50 to 1.5040 and a rejection.
Final targets could be at the bottom of the zone at 1.4550
