Most Probable Sniper Trade Setup for AR/USDT (4H)
Analysis as of current 4H chart provided — Objective, Unbiased, Based on Structure & Momentum
🔍 Trend Context
Macro Bias (4H): Bullish recovery after a strong retracement.
VIDYA Trend Bands: Price reclaimed below-band zone, pushing into mid-band region, signaling potential mean reversion.
Fib Pullback: Price bounced around the 50% zone of last impulse.
Volume Delta Cluster: Noted bearish cluster at ~8.20–8.50, showing previous aggressive selling; currently being retested.
📉 Bearish Setup – Most Probable Trade
(Short-biased mean-rejection trade from supply zone)
Sniper Entry Zone:
🔺 $8.12–$8.30
(Upper bound of local supply zone + previous delta volume resistance)
Stop Loss:
🔻 $8.57
(Above local wick high / invalidation zone with previous selling momentum)
TP1 Range:
✅ $7.45–$7.20
(Mid-band reversion + minor support cluster and last bullish fair value gap area)
TP2 Range (Extended):
✅ $6.80–$6.60
(Deep liquidity zone + fib golden pocket & consolidation shelf)
Estimated Duration:
⏱ 1.5–3 days for TP1
⏱ 4–5 days for TP2 (if breakdown continues with momentum)
🎯 Confluence Factors:
Stoch RSI is overbought on 4H and starting to curve down → early signal for weakness.
Price retesting prior sell zone with visible volume node (~$8.20–8.40).
Broad structure shows lower highs forming post 9.00 rejection — potential for short-term pullback even within macro bullish context.
⚠️ Alternative Scenario (Invalidation & Flip Long):
If price closes a 4H candle above $8.60 with momentum and volume >3M delta, setup flips to bullish breakout with targets at $9.10 → $9.80.
✅ Summary:
Most Probable Setup: Bearish mean-rejection short
Entry: $8.12–8.30
SL: $8.57
TP1: $7.45–7.20
TP2: $6.80–6.60
Confidence: High (based on overbought + structure + prior supply re-test)
Let me know if you want this adapted to your 12x leverage sniper compounding model.
Analysis as of current 4H chart provided — Objective, Unbiased, Based on Structure & Momentum
🔍 Trend Context
Macro Bias (4H): Bullish recovery after a strong retracement.
VIDYA Trend Bands: Price reclaimed below-band zone, pushing into mid-band region, signaling potential mean reversion.
Fib Pullback: Price bounced around the 50% zone of last impulse.
Volume Delta Cluster: Noted bearish cluster at ~8.20–8.50, showing previous aggressive selling; currently being retested.
📉 Bearish Setup – Most Probable Trade
(Short-biased mean-rejection trade from supply zone)
Sniper Entry Zone:
🔺 $8.12–$8.30
(Upper bound of local supply zone + previous delta volume resistance)
Stop Loss:
🔻 $8.57
(Above local wick high / invalidation zone with previous selling momentum)
TP1 Range:
✅ $7.45–$7.20
(Mid-band reversion + minor support cluster and last bullish fair value gap area)
TP2 Range (Extended):
✅ $6.80–$6.60
(Deep liquidity zone + fib golden pocket & consolidation shelf)
Estimated Duration:
⏱ 1.5–3 days for TP1
⏱ 4–5 days for TP2 (if breakdown continues with momentum)
🎯 Confluence Factors:
Stoch RSI is overbought on 4H and starting to curve down → early signal for weakness.
Price retesting prior sell zone with visible volume node (~$8.20–8.40).
Broad structure shows lower highs forming post 9.00 rejection — potential for short-term pullback even within macro bullish context.
⚠️ Alternative Scenario (Invalidation & Flip Long):
If price closes a 4H candle above $8.60 with momentum and volume >3M delta, setup flips to bullish breakout with targets at $9.10 → $9.80.
✅ Summary:
Most Probable Setup: Bearish mean-rejection short
Entry: $8.12–8.30
SL: $8.57
TP1: $7.45–7.20
TP2: $6.80–6.60
Confidence: High (based on overbought + structure + prior supply re-test)
Let me know if you want this adapted to your 12x leverage sniper compounding model.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.