Australian Dollar to Weaken Against Canadian Dollar Over Next 6
AUD/CAD has broken below key support at **0.8900**, confirming a bearish trend. The pair is trading below the 200-day MA (~0.8950), with RSI holding below 50, indicating sustained selling pressure. Next downside targets: **0.8750** (2024 low) and potentially **0.8600** (2023 support zone).
Canada’s oil-linked CAD benefits from resilient crude prices (supply risks, geopolitical tensions), while Australia’s iron ore exports face demand concerns (China slowdown).
RBA may cut rates before the BoC as Australia’s growth slows, while Canada’s sticky inflation delays easing. AUD (risk-sensitive) suffers if global growth fears rise, while CAD gains from safe-haven flows into oil.
CFTC data shows net-short AUD positions growing, reflecting bearish bias. Speculative longs on oil (supporting CAD) remain elevated.
Sasha Charkhchian
Canada’s oil-linked CAD benefits from resilient crude prices (supply risks, geopolitical tensions), while Australia’s iron ore exports face demand concerns (China slowdown).
RBA may cut rates before the BoC as Australia’s growth slows, while Canada’s sticky inflation delays easing. AUD (risk-sensitive) suffers if global growth fears rise, while CAD gains from safe-haven flows into oil.
CFTC data shows net-short AUD positions growing, reflecting bearish bias. Speculative longs on oil (supporting CAD) remain elevated.
Sasha Charkhchian
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.