Avalanche (AVAXUSD) is recovering from the recent rejection on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) last week. That would be the third attempt that close to the MA50 in 3 weeks and with the 1D LMACD on a strong rise, it appears it could be the decisive one to break it.
In fact the same LMACD sequence was last spotted in July 2021, a year ago, when the price eventually broke above the 1D MA50 and initiated an extremely strong rally. Now with the general crypto market attempting to find a bottom on this Bear Cycle, such a rally would be difficult to re-create yet but the Fibonacci retracement levels within this long-term Channel Up can help us set some short/ medium-term targets leading eventually to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
On the downside, if the price gets rejected again and breaks below the Higher Lows trend-line (Fib 0.0), it can go for a Bearish extreme near the -0.236 Fib, similar to the Bullish extreme at 1.236 Fib that shaped the top of the market on November 22 2021.
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In fact the same LMACD sequence was last spotted in July 2021, a year ago, when the price eventually broke above the 1D MA50 and initiated an extremely strong rally. Now with the general crypto market attempting to find a bottom on this Bear Cycle, such a rally would be difficult to re-create yet but the Fibonacci retracement levels within this long-term Channel Up can help us set some short/ medium-term targets leading eventually to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
On the downside, if the price gets rejected again and breaks below the Higher Lows trend-line (Fib 0.0), it can go for a Bearish extreme near the -0.236 Fib, similar to the Bullish extreme at 1.236 Fib that shaped the top of the market on November 22 2021.
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** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **
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🤵Contact [email protected] t.me/tradingshot
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.