Bitcoin sub wave 4 consolidation continues to persist. While there was a failed break out over the previous week, it has not changed the bullish impulse at all. The current structure implies that there is a higher probability that one more leg higher (sub wave 5) is likely. It could be the coming week or next, it is all a function of catalyst. Keep in mind this consolidation can test as low at 113K and still be within the criteria of a wave 4. There are numerous opportunities in this situation when it comes to day trade and swing trade longs.
The break out: IF price pushes beyond 120K with conviction (large sustained candle on this time frame) that would be a swing trade long signal. IF there is no instant pullback (fake out), this can be the momentum required to test the 130Ks. Keep in mind, there is an inflection point in the 133K area which serves as a profit objective to measure from. Price can potentially go beyond that point, but participating in that is all about waiting and watching how price behaves. There is NO way to know how this will play out in advance. You have to adjust as new information becomes available.
The retest: if price pulls back into the 116K to 113K area and establishes a reversal on this time frame (or on adjacent time frames like 4H). This can appear in numerous ways: pin bar, engulfing candle, inverse head and shoulders, etc. This scenario would offer greater potential especially if the break out occurred soon after (high probability). IF the 113K level breaks instead, it will put the impulse structure into question. Meaning the probability of a wave 5 to follow will become lower.
This environment in my opinion is not easy to navigate for traders. People who bought into the alt coin weakness months ago are now getting paid and enjoying "alt season", which is great but not good if you are looking to buy something now with a longer time horizon in mind. Wave 5's often signal a corrective move is likely to follow and Bitcoin is potentially completing a very large magnitude Wave 5. I have been pointing this out for months. Most investors will ignore this because they will be biased by greed. The wise this to do is lock in profits along the way at inflection points such as whole numbers, price proportions (like 133K) and/or clear candle reversal signals after significant moves.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
The break out: IF price pushes beyond 120K with conviction (large sustained candle on this time frame) that would be a swing trade long signal. IF there is no instant pullback (fake out), this can be the momentum required to test the 130Ks. Keep in mind, there is an inflection point in the 133K area which serves as a profit objective to measure from. Price can potentially go beyond that point, but participating in that is all about waiting and watching how price behaves. There is NO way to know how this will play out in advance. You have to adjust as new information becomes available.
The retest: if price pulls back into the 116K to 113K area and establishes a reversal on this time frame (or on adjacent time frames like 4H). This can appear in numerous ways: pin bar, engulfing candle, inverse head and shoulders, etc. This scenario would offer greater potential especially if the break out occurred soon after (high probability). IF the 113K level breaks instead, it will put the impulse structure into question. Meaning the probability of a wave 5 to follow will become lower.
This environment in my opinion is not easy to navigate for traders. People who bought into the alt coin weakness months ago are now getting paid and enjoying "alt season", which is great but not good if you are looking to buy something now with a longer time horizon in mind. Wave 5's often signal a corrective move is likely to follow and Bitcoin is potentially completing a very large magnitude Wave 5. I have been pointing this out for months. Most investors will ignore this because they will be biased by greed. The wise this to do is lock in profits along the way at inflection points such as whole numbers, price proportions (like 133K) and/or clear candle reversal signals after significant moves.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
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Watch Full Trade Scanner Pro Tutorial: youtu.be/fdFLhLnqM9A
Related publications
Disclaimer
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I hosted ICTC 2025: whitebit.com/m/ICTC-2025
Try Trade Scanner Pro for FREE: bit.ly/TSCPRO
LIVE Day Trades: youtube.com/@marcpmarkets.signals
Watch Full Trade Scanner Pro Tutorial: youtu.be/fdFLhLnqM9A
Try Trade Scanner Pro for FREE: bit.ly/TSCPRO
LIVE Day Trades: youtube.com/@marcpmarkets.signals
Watch Full Trade Scanner Pro Tutorial: youtu.be/fdFLhLnqM9A
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.