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DOW JONES ahead of an huge rally based on the 2017 fractal.

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More than a year ago (September 13 2023, see chart below), we posted a long-term fractal comparison for Dow Jones (DJI) between the 2022 - 2025 and 2015 - 2018 periods:

DOW JONES 1st 1W Bullish Cross since 2016. Can we see 42k next?


As you can see the 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross eventually placed the index on a huge rally (even though it had to go lower for a month) that hit Target 1 at 42000. The 1W RSI and MACD sequences in 2024 however evolved in such a how that we have to re-adjust the patterns in order to fit the 2017 price action.

The charts now display very symmetric fractals and it appears that we are now on a short-term consolidation (circle) after a +50% rise from the September 2022 bottom. In November 2017, that was the final consolidation before the most aggressive rally of the Bull Cycle that made Dow top and then pull back to test its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).

As a result, we move our final target even higher at 49300, which represents a +71% rise from the 2022 bottom, similar to the rise that priced the January 2018 High.

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