Zoom out.
Since the 2021 highs, Ethereum has spent years grinding sideways, printing what now looks like a textbook symmetrical triangle. Labeled here as an ABCD compression pattern, this structure has been tightening since the macro top (B), slowly building energy within narrowing volatility.
🔺 Structure Breakdown:
• A to B: The explosive bull run from the March 2020 low to the all-time high.
• B to C: A deep correction that shook out weak hands and set the bottom.
• C to D: A multi-year coil of consolidation, forming higher lows and lower highs.
• D to ?: We’re now nearing the apex, where compression typically leads to expansion.
📍 The Trigger Zone
The key level to watch is $4,000–$4,200. A clean breakout above this zone would invalidate the downtrend line and break the triangle to the upside. From a pattern-measured move perspective, the height of the triangle (A to B) projected from the breakout point suggests potential upside into the $7,800–$8,000 region.
🧠 Why This Matters
• Volume has been tapering throughout the structure — classic behaviour in large triangles.
• Market sentiment remains uncertain, making a breakout all the more impactful.
• Ethereum fundamentals are arguably stronger than they were in 2021 — Layer 2s, institutional use cases, and new ETH ETF speculation all add fuel.
📊 Potential Target:
• Immediate resistance: $3,300
• Breakout trigger: $4,000–$4,200
• Projected move: ~$8,000
🕰️ When? Well.. who knows but it does sort of line-up with my previous idea using a SOL/USDT chart that says early next year.. and not this year.
This is the type of setup plays out pretty well on lower timeframes, why not a massive one? The real question is: Are we on the verge of expansion after compression?
Let the chart do the talking.
⚡️ Not Financial Advice
Since the 2021 highs, Ethereum has spent years grinding sideways, printing what now looks like a textbook symmetrical triangle. Labeled here as an ABCD compression pattern, this structure has been tightening since the macro top (B), slowly building energy within narrowing volatility.
🔺 Structure Breakdown:
• A to B: The explosive bull run from the March 2020 low to the all-time high.
• B to C: A deep correction that shook out weak hands and set the bottom.
• C to D: A multi-year coil of consolidation, forming higher lows and lower highs.
• D to ?: We’re now nearing the apex, where compression typically leads to expansion.
📍 The Trigger Zone
The key level to watch is $4,000–$4,200. A clean breakout above this zone would invalidate the downtrend line and break the triangle to the upside. From a pattern-measured move perspective, the height of the triangle (A to B) projected from the breakout point suggests potential upside into the $7,800–$8,000 region.
🧠 Why This Matters
• Volume has been tapering throughout the structure — classic behaviour in large triangles.
• Market sentiment remains uncertain, making a breakout all the more impactful.
• Ethereum fundamentals are arguably stronger than they were in 2021 — Layer 2s, institutional use cases, and new ETH ETF speculation all add fuel.
📊 Potential Target:
• Immediate resistance: $3,300
• Breakout trigger: $4,000–$4,200
• Projected move: ~$8,000
🕰️ When? Well.. who knows but it does sort of line-up with my previous idea using a SOL/USDT chart that says early next year.. and not this year.
This is the type of setup plays out pretty well on lower timeframes, why not a massive one? The real question is: Are we on the verge of expansion after compression?
Let the chart do the talking.
⚡️ Not Financial Advice
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.