GEOPOLITICS – Israel, Iran and the price of fear
While the stock markets are trying to hold up, the geopolitical reality is very different. In the last 72 hours, Israel has hit a facility considered strategic in southern Iran. Tehran responded with ballistic warheads targeted at NATO positions, and threatened a military closure of the Strait of Hormuz. In a few hours, Brent has shot above $100, while WTI has touched $94.20, bringing back to life a spectre that seemed archived: energy purchases.
DOLLAR AND FED – Sickles under pressure
The Federal Reserve has kept rates unchanged, but Powell has sent a clear signal: "there will be no cut if the geopolitical context continues to generate upward pressure on prices".
In other words: the FED remains hawkish, the dollar continues to dominate, and global sentiment shifts to risk.
CROSS WATCH – SwipeUP FX Opportunity
EUR/USD
Weak EU macro + sustained US sell-off + war → Realistic target 1.0630 – if it breaks 1.0675 H8.
USD/JPY
Institutionals undecided: if the yen does not strengthen and the BOJ remains neutral, we can return above 158. Target: 158.60-159.2 in case of new USD leg.
CAD/JPY and oil-linked
Canada benefits from the oil increase, but be careful: risk-off can penalize. Assess only with cyclical confirmation and real volumes.
📌 WHAT TO WATCH NOW – SwipeUP Checklist
📆 Friday, June 21: US PMI data + Powell speech
⚠️ VIX above 20: signals real tension
📉 JPY and CHF in divergence? → watch out for manipulative breakouts
🗓️ Earnings Season: can divert flows in the short term, but remains in the background
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✅ Precise TAKE PROFIT
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Start investing like the banks — for free.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
If you're looking for:
✅ Precise TAKE PROFIT
✅ Precise STOP LOSS
✅ Real-time Trade Updates
🚀 Telegram Channel: t.me/swipeuptrading
👉 MY WEBSITE: andrearussoforextrader.com
Start investing like the banks — for free.
✅ Precise TAKE PROFIT
✅ Precise STOP LOSS
✅ Real-time Trade Updates
🚀 Telegram Channel: t.me/swipeuptrading
👉 MY WEBSITE: andrearussoforextrader.com
Start investing like the banks — for free.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.