🔄 Disrupted EUR/USD 4H Analysis
🟢 Current Context:
Price is currently at 1.17375, slightly below the resistance area (1.17400–1.17500).
Market shows a recent bullish impulse, followed by consolidation within the marked resistance zone.
Projection in the image suggests a double-top pattern forming at resistance, followed by a bearish reversal toward the target demand area (~1.15800–1.16000).
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⚠️ Disruption Points:
1️⃣ Failed Double Top Scenario
Disruption Hypothesis: Instead of forming a clean double top and reversing, price may break above the resistance zone at 1.17500.
Reasoning: Strong bullish momentum and recent higher highs indicate potential for bullish continuation, invalidating the bearish target.
Disrupted Path: Price could break out → retest the resistance as new support → continue toward 1.18000–1.18300 zone.
2️⃣ Mid-Range Liquidity Trap
The current range may act as a liquidity trap:
Smart money could push the price slightly below support (fake breakdown), attract sellers, then reverse sharply upwards.
This would trap retail sellers targeting the 1.15800 zone.
🟢 Current Context:
Price is currently at 1.17375, slightly below the resistance area (1.17400–1.17500).
Market shows a recent bullish impulse, followed by consolidation within the marked resistance zone.
Projection in the image suggests a double-top pattern forming at resistance, followed by a bearish reversal toward the target demand area (~1.15800–1.16000).
---
⚠️ Disruption Points:
1️⃣ Failed Double Top Scenario
Disruption Hypothesis: Instead of forming a clean double top and reversing, price may break above the resistance zone at 1.17500.
Reasoning: Strong bullish momentum and recent higher highs indicate potential for bullish continuation, invalidating the bearish target.
Disrupted Path: Price could break out → retest the resistance as new support → continue toward 1.18000–1.18300 zone.
2️⃣ Mid-Range Liquidity Trap
The current range may act as a liquidity trap:
Smart money could push the price slightly below support (fake breakdown), attract sellers, then reverse sharply upwards.
This would trap retail sellers targeting the 1.15800 zone.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.