In July 2025, a critical vulnerability in Microsoft SharePoint (CVE-2025-53770) was exploited by threat actors globally. Although the issue was first reported during the Pwn2Own Berlin competition back in May, Microsoft delayed the patch — allowing attackers a significant head start. Over 400 servers and dozens of organizations were breached, including U.S. and European government entities.
💬 On July 18, Reddit users began discussing the flaw’s severity, comparing it to past vulnerabilities like Log4j. Interestingly, this coincided with the first significant technical deviation from the bullish trend — marking a potential beginning of downside momentum.
🔍 In the chart above:
Strong bullish run until the Zero-Day disclosure
Clear gap beneath current price action
TARGET 1 reflects a natural technical retracement toward EMA 50–100 and the mid-term trendline
TARGET 2 is conditional – it only applies if a massive event occurs, similar to what we saw with CRWD
⚠️ Key distinction:
CrowdStrike: A software update bug caused a global Windows crash — no cyberattack, but massive operational impact
Microsoft: A real, actively exploited security vulnerability — with long-tail risk for data leaks, ransomware, and regulatory backlash
🎯 Conclusion:
If the SharePoint exploit escalates in visibility or consequences, and Microsoft fails to contain the damage — we could see extended downside pressure. TARGET 2 remains valid only under a high-severity scenario, like CRWD’s global meltdown.
💬 On July 18, Reddit users began discussing the flaw’s severity, comparing it to past vulnerabilities like Log4j. Interestingly, this coincided with the first significant technical deviation from the bullish trend — marking a potential beginning of downside momentum.
🔍 In the chart above:
Strong bullish run until the Zero-Day disclosure
Clear gap beneath current price action
TARGET 1 reflects a natural technical retracement toward EMA 50–100 and the mid-term trendline
TARGET 2 is conditional – it only applies if a massive event occurs, similar to what we saw with CRWD
⚠️ Key distinction:
CrowdStrike: A software update bug caused a global Windows crash — no cyberattack, but massive operational impact
Microsoft: A real, actively exploited security vulnerability — with long-tail risk for data leaks, ransomware, and regulatory backlash
🎯 Conclusion:
If the SharePoint exploit escalates in visibility or consequences, and Microsoft fails to contain the damage — we could see extended downside pressure. TARGET 2 remains valid only under a high-severity scenario, like CRWD’s global meltdown.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.