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US Natural Gas (Spot)
Long

NATGAS Long Setup – Accumulation + Breakout Opportunity

230
Instrument: US Natural Gas (Spot)
Timeframe: 1D
Published: July 24, 2025
By: RenDon

📈 Idea Summary:
Natural gas is showing signs of accumulation after a corrective downtrend. Price recently tested key horizontal support around $2.96–$2.85 and is now attempting a recovery. Two potential bullish scenarios are outlined:

🧠 Bullish Scenarios:
🔵 Scenario A (blue path): Clean breakout above $3.32 with strong volume could lead to a continued push toward $3.56 → $3.79 → $4.05.

🔴 Scenario B (red path): Price may first retest the $2.96–$2.85 demand zone again before bouncing and gradually rallying toward $4.05.

🔍 Key Levels:
Support: 2.961 / 2.957 / 2.854

Resistance: 3.323 → 3.568 → 3.792 → 4.046

🛑 Invalidation:
A decisive close below $2.84 would invalidate the bullish thesis and suggest further downside risk.

📊 Volume Insight:
Volume has been drying up, which may indicate a potential spring or absorption before a breakout.

✅ Trade Plan (example):
Entry: On retest of $2.95 or break of $3.32

Stop Loss: Below $2.84

Target: First TP at $3.56, then trail toward $4.05

💬 Let me know in the comments how you see NATGAS developing and which path you’re betting on!

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