*Analysis as of 21-Jul-2025 (Monday)*
1. Candlestick Patterns
Daily: A bearish engulfing pattern formed on 18-Jul-2025, closing below the prior candle’s low. Signals short-term reversal risk.
Weekly: Doji formation (indecision) near all-time highs. Weekly close below ₹25,000 warns of exhaustion.
Intraday (4H): Bearish pin bars at ₹25,100 resistance. Watch for follow-through selling below ₹24,900.
2. Harmonic Patterns
Daily: Potential Bearish Bat pattern in development:
XA: ₹23,200 → ₹25,200 (100%)
B: 61.8% retracement at ₹24,400 (pending)
Confirmation below ₹24,400 targets ₹23,800 (0.886XA).
3. Elliott Wave Theory
Weekly: Final waves of Wave 5 (impulse) likely complete at ₹25,200.
Daily: Starting ABC corrective wave:
Wave A: ₹25,200 → ₹24,800 (if breaks ₹24,900)
Wave B: Rally to ₹25,000–25,100 (short opportunity)
Wave C: Target ₹24,300 (1.618xA).
Intraday (1H): Minute wave iii down in progress below ₹24,950.
4. Wyckoff Theory
Phase: Potential distribution near highs:
Upthrust (18-Jul high ₹25,120) failed to hold.
Spring Level: ₹24,900. Break confirms downtrend (test supply).
Downside target: ₹24,500 (fall after distribution).
5. W.D. Gann Analysis
Square of 9:
Key support: √24,968 ≈ 158.0 → 158² = 24,964 (critical pivot).
Close below 24,964 opens ₹24,650 (next square).
Time Cycles:
21-Jul is 180° from 21-Jan 2025 high. Watch for trend change.
Gann Angle: 1x1 angle from Jul-2025 high at ₹25,200 → breaks below imply ₹400/day decline.
6. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Daily)
Tenkan: ₹24,950 (resistance)
Kijun: ₹24,800 (support)
Cloud: Lagging span below price; cloud thinning (bearish momentum).
Signal: Price below Kijun → trend weakness.
7. Key Indicators
RSI (Daily): 62 → declining from overbought (70). Bearish divergence.
Bollinger Bands (4H): Price testing lower band (₹24,900). Break targets ₹24,600 (2σ lower).
VWAP (1H): ₹25,050 → intraday resistance.
Moving Averages:
Death Cross (50-DMA/200-DMA): Not triggered, but 5-DMA (₹25,020) crossed below 20-DMA (₹25,050).
Timeframe Summary
Timeframe Key Levels Bias Pattern/Thesis
5M/15M Res: ₹24,990 Bearish Scalp shorts below VWAP (₹25,050)
30M/1H Res: ₹25,050 Sup: ₹24,900 Bearish Bearish EW wave iii; RSI < 50
4H Res: ₹25,100 Sup: ₹24,800 Neutral Break below ₹24,800 confirms Wyckoff distribution
Daily Res: ₹25,200 Sup: ₹24,400 Bearish Bearish Bat + ABC correction
Weekly Res: ₹25,500 Sup: ₹24,000 Neutral Doji warns of reversal; hold ₹24,400 key
Actionable Outlook
Intraday (21-Jul):
Short below ₹24,900 (SL: ₹25,050) → Target ₹24,800.
Break below ₹24,800 extends to ₹24,650.
Swing (1–2 Weeks):
Sell rallies near ₹25,100 (SL: ₹25,250) → Target ₹24,400.
Weekly close > ₹25,200 invalidates bearish view.
Critical Supports: ₹24,800 (Wyckoff spring) → ₹24,400 (Harmonic/EW target) → ₹24,000 (psychological).
Key Resistances: ₹25,050 (VWAP) → ₹25,200 (ATH) → ₹25,500 (Gann square).
1. Candlestick Patterns
Daily: A bearish engulfing pattern formed on 18-Jul-2025, closing below the prior candle’s low. Signals short-term reversal risk.
Weekly: Doji formation (indecision) near all-time highs. Weekly close below ₹25,000 warns of exhaustion.
Intraday (4H): Bearish pin bars at ₹25,100 resistance. Watch for follow-through selling below ₹24,900.
2. Harmonic Patterns
Daily: Potential Bearish Bat pattern in development:
XA: ₹23,200 → ₹25,200 (100%)
B: 61.8% retracement at ₹24,400 (pending)
Confirmation below ₹24,400 targets ₹23,800 (0.886XA).
3. Elliott Wave Theory
Weekly: Final waves of Wave 5 (impulse) likely complete at ₹25,200.
Daily: Starting ABC corrective wave:
Wave A: ₹25,200 → ₹24,800 (if breaks ₹24,900)
Wave B: Rally to ₹25,000–25,100 (short opportunity)
Wave C: Target ₹24,300 (1.618xA).
Intraday (1H): Minute wave iii down in progress below ₹24,950.
4. Wyckoff Theory
Phase: Potential distribution near highs:
Upthrust (18-Jul high ₹25,120) failed to hold.
Spring Level: ₹24,900. Break confirms downtrend (test supply).
Downside target: ₹24,500 (fall after distribution).
5. W.D. Gann Analysis
Square of 9:
Key support: √24,968 ≈ 158.0 → 158² = 24,964 (critical pivot).
Close below 24,964 opens ₹24,650 (next square).
Time Cycles:
21-Jul is 180° from 21-Jan 2025 high. Watch for trend change.
Gann Angle: 1x1 angle from Jul-2025 high at ₹25,200 → breaks below imply ₹400/day decline.
6. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Daily)
Tenkan: ₹24,950 (resistance)
Kijun: ₹24,800 (support)
Cloud: Lagging span below price; cloud thinning (bearish momentum).
Signal: Price below Kijun → trend weakness.
7. Key Indicators
RSI (Daily): 62 → declining from overbought (70). Bearish divergence.
Bollinger Bands (4H): Price testing lower band (₹24,900). Break targets ₹24,600 (2σ lower).
VWAP (1H): ₹25,050 → intraday resistance.
Moving Averages:
Death Cross (50-DMA/200-DMA): Not triggered, but 5-DMA (₹25,020) crossed below 20-DMA (₹25,050).
Timeframe Summary
Timeframe Key Levels Bias Pattern/Thesis
5M/15M Res: ₹24,990 Bearish Scalp shorts below VWAP (₹25,050)
30M/1H Res: ₹25,050 Sup: ₹24,900 Bearish Bearish EW wave iii; RSI < 50
4H Res: ₹25,100 Sup: ₹24,800 Neutral Break below ₹24,800 confirms Wyckoff distribution
Daily Res: ₹25,200 Sup: ₹24,400 Bearish Bearish Bat + ABC correction
Weekly Res: ₹25,500 Sup: ₹24,000 Neutral Doji warns of reversal; hold ₹24,400 key
Actionable Outlook
Intraday (21-Jul):
Short below ₹24,900 (SL: ₹25,050) → Target ₹24,800.
Break below ₹24,800 extends to ₹24,650.
Swing (1–2 Weeks):
Sell rallies near ₹25,100 (SL: ₹25,250) → Target ₹24,400.
Weekly close > ₹25,200 invalidates bearish view.
Critical Supports: ₹24,800 (Wyckoff spring) → ₹24,400 (Harmonic/EW target) → ₹24,000 (psychological).
Key Resistances: ₹25,050 (VWAP) → ₹25,200 (ATH) → ₹25,500 (Gann square).
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.