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NIFTY SMALLCAP250 - LONG SET-UP (2025-26 Target)

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NIFTYSMLCAP250

๐Ÿ“Š๐‚๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ญ ๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ โ€“ ๐๐ข๐Ÿ๐ญ๐ฒ ๐’๐ฆ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐‚๐š๐ฉ ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ“๐ŸŽ (๐Œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ก๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐“๐…)

The index is approaching a crucial resistance zone between 20,045 โ€“ 20,795, projected to be tested around 2025โ€“26. This area aligns with the previous bullish expansion's Fibonacci extension and also shows a 21.13% upside move from current levelsโ€”highlighting a final exhaustion zone before a potential reversal

The marked red zone (similar to the 2021-22 range) suggests a possible distribution phase or topping structure. If price faces rejection there, a corrective wave could followโ€”targeting the 14,450 level, which coincides with the trendline retest and a high-volume area

๐Š๐ž๐ฒ ๐’๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ ๐™๐จ๐ง๐ž๐ฌ:

14,450 โ€“ Trendline + structure confluence

13,292.60 โ€“ Prior base and horizontal support

10,495.85 โ€“ Major long-term demand zone

๐Ÿ’ก ๐„๐ฑ๐ญ๐ซ๐š ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ๐ฌ

Youโ€™ve rightly anticipated a multi-leg rally followed by correctionโ€”smart play on cycles and exhaustion

Watch for volume divergence or momentum slowdown (RSI, MACD) near the 20.8K mark as confirmation

This wave could be the last leg (Wave 5) in Elliott structure, after which a larger ABC correction is possible

If 14,450 breaks, it could trigger a steeper correctionโ€”possibly toward the 10.5K demand zone, offering long-term entries

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