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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
Short
Updated

7/23/25 - $orly - priced for perfection

46
7/23/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: ORLY
priced for perfection

- hard to not consider this as a hedge to my DECK long (into tmr print)
- stock has had series of weak Q's
- google trends remains meh
- stock not cheap at <3% fcf yield (staples closer to 3.5%+)
- IV on the chain seems lazy... not pricing in much move
- i'd sense that the upside is quite limited and the downside is probably 2-3x the upside
- so while it's not a 9/10 idea (like the push i made on say FI after the open this morning - which worked very well and now back to a comfy spot w ITM leaps)... it's a nice filler position on the hedge side, i think
- and honestly it's also a situation where we flip the river card and the stock rips on mediocre restuls... and that tired stock chart just wants to flip bearish, even if it's just a temporary pause before heading higher
- i look at this and i know the personalities that own it
- i'll take under, fam

V
Trade closed: stop reached
might have to let this go at a small L
can't imagine the brain of someone bidding this and dumping tsla
but alas, this is what separates me from others
enjoy your auto parts retail company. nice "win" for the longs on another miss lmfao :)
now rotate into AEO b/c of the chick with booba ammirte?
win some lose some, but in the LT i'll be right here

V

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