One of the most common questions I get from QS members:
“What’s the win rate of the signal?”
Sounds like a smart question. But it's often coming from the wrong mindset — the same mindset as a student cramming for a test, hoping for one perfect answer key that’ll give them a 90% score and an easy win.
Let me break this down for you:
🧮 The Only Two Numbers That Matter in Trading
There are only two math truths that actually grow your account:
Win Rate – how often you’re right
Win/Loss Ratio – how much you make when right vs. how much you lose when wrong
Everyone obsesses over #1.
Almost no one truly understands or applies #2 — and that’s the real killer.
---
🤔 So What’s the Ideal Setup?
In a perfect world, you’d have:
A high win rate (80–90%)
AND a high win/loss ratio (make $3, lose $1)
But guess what?
This isn’t a perfect world — this is a war.
See my earlier post: "What’s your catalyst?"
---
⚔️ Trading Is Like War (or Sports)
In war, victory is rare and costly.
In sports, scoring takes hard work, timing, and discipline.
In trading:
You win big when the odds are stacked in your favor
You cut losses quickly when you’re on the wrong side
That's the gold standard — but few do it.
Even worse, many do the exact opposite:
Take quick profits to “lock in a win”
Let losers run hoping for a miracle
Then they wonder why their account bleeds over time.
---
🎰 Vegas Was Built on 51% Win Rate
Casinos don’t need to win every game. They just need:
Slightly better than 50% edge
Strict control over risk and payout
That 1–2% edge? It built every billion-dollar casino on the Strip.
Now think again:
Why are you chasing a 90% win rate when even 55% + smart risk control can make you rich?
---
🧠 Profitability > Win Rate
You don’t need to win all the time.
You need to win big enough and lose small enough.
Your goal should be:
3 steps forward, 1 step back.
That’s the realistic rhythm of trading success.
---
✅ So Next Time You Ask About a Signal...
Don’t just ask:
“What’s the win rate?”
Instead ask:
“What’s the reward if I’m right?”
“What’s the damage if I’m wrong?”
“How do I size this trade so my wins outgrow my losses over time?”
This is how real traders think.
Not about perfection — but about probability, edge, and sustainability.
---
💬 TL;DR
Win rate is just one piece.
Your win/loss ratio and risk management matter more.
Profitability > accuracy.
The market doesn’t reward perfection. It rewards preparation, defense, and discipline.
Keep playing smart, not perfect.
And remember — it’s a long game. 🧠📈
“What’s the win rate of the signal?”
Sounds like a smart question. But it's often coming from the wrong mindset — the same mindset as a student cramming for a test, hoping for one perfect answer key that’ll give them a 90% score and an easy win.
Let me break this down for you:
🧮 The Only Two Numbers That Matter in Trading
There are only two math truths that actually grow your account:
Win Rate – how often you’re right
Win/Loss Ratio – how much you make when right vs. how much you lose when wrong
Everyone obsesses over #1.
Almost no one truly understands or applies #2 — and that’s the real killer.
---
🤔 So What’s the Ideal Setup?
In a perfect world, you’d have:
A high win rate (80–90%)
AND a high win/loss ratio (make $3, lose $1)
But guess what?
This isn’t a perfect world — this is a war.
See my earlier post: "What’s your catalyst?"
---
⚔️ Trading Is Like War (or Sports)
In war, victory is rare and costly.
In sports, scoring takes hard work, timing, and discipline.
In trading:
You win big when the odds are stacked in your favor
You cut losses quickly when you’re on the wrong side
That's the gold standard — but few do it.
Even worse, many do the exact opposite:
Take quick profits to “lock in a win”
Let losers run hoping for a miracle
Then they wonder why their account bleeds over time.
---
🎰 Vegas Was Built on 51% Win Rate
Casinos don’t need to win every game. They just need:
Slightly better than 50% edge
Strict control over risk and payout
That 1–2% edge? It built every billion-dollar casino on the Strip.
Now think again:
Why are you chasing a 90% win rate when even 55% + smart risk control can make you rich?
---
🧠 Profitability > Win Rate
You don’t need to win all the time.
You need to win big enough and lose small enough.
Your goal should be:
3 steps forward, 1 step back.
That’s the realistic rhythm of trading success.
---
✅ So Next Time You Ask About a Signal...
Don’t just ask:
“What’s the win rate?”
Instead ask:
“What’s the reward if I’m right?”
“What’s the damage if I’m wrong?”
“How do I size this trade so my wins outgrow my losses over time?”
This is how real traders think.
Not about perfection — but about probability, edge, and sustainability.
---
💬 TL;DR
Win rate is just one piece.
Your win/loss ratio and risk management matter more.
Profitability > accuracy.
The market doesn’t reward perfection. It rewards preparation, defense, and discipline.
Keep playing smart, not perfect.
And remember — it’s a long game. 🧠📈
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.