Quarterly candle data going back to 1928 was exported and analyzed in Excel .
The purpose of doing so was to identify candles comparable to the candle we had in Q2 of 2025 (last quarter) in terms of scale and form.
Two properties of the candles were considered:
1. Candle Length as a % of Close (Column L)
2. Lower Wick as a % of Close minus Upper Wick as a % of Close (Column R)
The product of these properties (Column S) was considered as the primary quantitative metric for this analysis.
The two quarters determined to be most similar based on having green candles with forms similar to Q2 2025 were as follows:
Q4 1998
Q1 2016
Both quarters were followed by at least 4 more bullish quarters, hence, the result of this analysis is bullish, as should be expected with such a bullish candle.
The purpose of doing so was to identify candles comparable to the candle we had in Q2 of 2025 (last quarter) in terms of scale and form.
Two properties of the candles were considered:
1. Candle Length as a % of Close (Column L)
2. Lower Wick as a % of Close minus Upper Wick as a % of Close (Column R)
The product of these properties (Column S) was considered as the primary quantitative metric for this analysis.
The two quarters determined to be most similar based on having green candles with forms similar to Q2 2025 were as follows:
Q4 1998
Q1 2016
Both quarters were followed by at least 4 more bullish quarters, hence, the result of this analysis is bullish, as should be expected with such a bullish candle.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.