In early 2025 we’ve seen two classic wedge patterns on two of the market’s most watched charts: a falling wedge on the U.S. Dollar Index (
DXY) and a rising wedge on the S&P 500 ETF (
SPY). Alone each tells its own tale—but together they sketch a tug‑of‑war between a fading dollar and resilient equities.
The Falling Wedge on DXY
A falling wedge in a downtrend signals waning bearish momentum and often precedes a bullish reversal once price breaks the upper trendline.
The Rising Wedge on SPY
A rising wedge in an uptrend is classically a bearish reversal pattern—a breakdown below the lower trendline confirms sellers are gaining control.
A Converging Reversal
Given the well‑known inverse correlation between the dollar and most assets, it’s noteworthy that both asset classes are flashing signs of a reversal. Taken together that makes a compelling argument.
DXY) and a rising wedge on the S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Alone each tells its own tale—but together they sketch a tug‑of‑war between a fading dollar and resilient equities.The Falling Wedge on DXY
A falling wedge in a downtrend signals waning bearish momentum and often precedes a bullish reversal once price breaks the upper trendline.
The Rising Wedge on SPY
A rising wedge in an uptrend is classically a bearish reversal pattern—a breakdown below the lower trendline confirms sellers are gaining control.
A Converging Reversal
Given the well‑known inverse correlation between the dollar and most assets, it’s noteworthy that both asset classes are flashing signs of a reversal. Taken together that makes a compelling argument.
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Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.