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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 17, 2025

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🔮 Nightly SPY / SPX Scenarios for July 17, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍

🇮🇳 India–U.S. Inflation Divergence Dampens Dollar
India’s June retail inflation tumbled to a six-year low, while U.S. CPI hit its fastest pace since February—driven by tariff effects. This divergence is weakening the U.S. dollar against the rupee, pushing down dollar‑rupee forward premiums

📜 Treasury to Ramp Up T-Bill Issuance
Following the recent debt-ceiling increase, the U.S. Treasury plans to issue over $1 trillion in T-bills over the next 18 months. Money-market funds, flush with cash, are expected to absorb the supply, which could influence short-dated yields

💱 Dollar Eases Amid Fed-Related Volatility
Headline news that President Trump “highly unlikely” to fire Fed Chair Powell, coupled with stable PPI data, calmed markets. The dollar dipped slightly after earlier turmoil, while gold and bonds saw modest gains

📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Thursday, July 17:

(No major U.S. economic releases)
Markets will track T-bill issuance plans, dollar forward dynamics, and statements from the Treasury and Fed regarding debt and rate strategy.

⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #dollar #tbills #inflation #Fed #technicalanalysis

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