Let's perform a technical analysis of UnitedHealth Group (UNH) stock, incorporating the SMAs, MACD (8,13), and the provided support and target levels.
As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 10:04:56 PM PDT, here's a breakdown of UNH:
**Current Price & Performance:**
* **Last Price:** $308.62 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025)
* **Today's Change:** Up $6.00 (+1.99%)
* **Previous Close:** $302.62
* **Today's Range:** $302.20 - $310.45
* **52-Week Range:** $248.88 - $630.73 (Note the significant drop from its 52-week high, indicating a strong downtrend over the past year).
---
### **Simple Moving Averages (SMAs): 200, 100, 86, 50, 21**
Moving Averages are lagging indicators, and their relationship to price and each other helps identify trends. For UNH, the picture is quite different from GOOGL.
* **200-Day SMA:** This is a long-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $494.42 - $495.79**
* **Interpretation:** The current price of $308.62 is **significantly BELOW** the 200-day SMA. This clearly signals a **long-term bearish trend**. This is a major red flag for long-term investors.
* **100-Day SMA:** A medium-to-long-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $433.21 - $429.49**
* **Interpretation:** The price is **significantly BELOW** the 100-day SMA, reinforcing the bearish sentiment on a medium-term basis.
* **86-Day SMA:** A custom or less common moving average.
* *Exact 86-day SMA not commonly reported, but given the trend of the 50, 100, and 200-day SMAs, it will also be well above the current price.*
* **Interpretation:** The price would be well below its 86-day SMA, confirming the bearish pressure across this timeframe as well.
* **50-Day SMA:** A medium-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $359.86 - $345.03**
* **Interpretation:** The price is **well BELOW** the 50-day SMA. This is a **bearish signal**, indicating that the medium-term trend is down. The price needs to reclaim and hold above this SMA to suggest a shift in sentiment.
* **21-Day SMA:** A short-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $302.51 - $305.13** (This is the most relevant in the immediate term.)
* **Interpretation:** The current price ($308.62) is **just above or fluctuating around its 21-day SMA**. Some sources indicate the price is above it (suggesting a short-term "Buy" signal for this specific MA), while others still show a "Sell" for longer periods. This suggests that while there might be a very recent, tentative bounce or consolidation, the short-term trend is still very weak or fighting for direction.
**Overall SMA Assessment:**
In stark contrast to Google, UnitedHealth's SMAs paint a **predominantly bearish picture**. The longer-term SMAs (200, 100, 50) are all significantly above the current price, indicating a strong downtrend. The shorter-term 21-day SMA shows the price is trying to consolidate or bounce slightly, but it's still operating within a broader bearish context. The "stack" of SMAs is inverted (shorter-term below longer-term, with the price at the very bottom), confirming the bearish outlook.
---
### **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) (8,13)**
* **MACD Line:** (8-period EMA of Close - 13-period EMA of Close)
* **Signal Line:** 9-period EMA of the MACD Line
* **MACD Histogram:** MACD Line - Signal Line
**Current UNH MACD (8,13) State:**
Some sources indicate that the standard MACD (12,26,9) for UNH is currently **negative (e.g., -12.31)**, suggesting a "Sell" signal. However, some recent updates also indicate a "buy signal from the 3-month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)" and that the MACD value "suggests UNH has a positive trend, although the MACD value is declining." This presents a mixed signal for the standard MACD, suggesting a potential bullish divergence or a very recent, weak bullish crossover from extreme oversold conditions.
Given the price is just above its 21-day SMA after a significant drop, the custom MACD (8,13) would be more sensitive and might show:
* **Recent Crossover:** It's plausible that the MACD (8,13) line has recently performed a **bullish crossover above its signal line**, or is about to, from deeply negative territory. This would reflect the very short-term bounce observed.
* **Histogram:** The histogram might be turning less negative or even positive, indicating a potential, albeit weak, shift in immediate momentum.
**Interpretation:** While a bullish MACD crossover would be a positive sign, for a stock in a strong downtrend like UNH, such a signal would be viewed with caution. It might indicate a short-term relief rally within a larger downtrend rather than a sustained reversal, especially if the MACD values remain relatively low compared to previous bullish phases.
---
### **Strong Support at $147**
* **Analysis:** If we consider the 52-week range of $248.88 - $630.73, the $147 support level is significantly below the current 52-week low. This suggests that $147 might be a *very long-term* or *historical* support level (e.g., from pre-2023 prices) that is not immediately relevant to the current trading range.
* **Current Relevance:** Currently trading at $308.62, UNH has more immediate support levels to consider, for example, its 52-week low of $248.88, or the various pivot point supports provided by technical aggregators around **$300.37, $298.12, and $294.95**. If $147 is indeed a strong support you're tracking, it implies a *very significant further downside risk* if current support levels fail, as it would represent a break below its recent 52-week low and a continuation of its downtrend to levels not seen in over a year.
---
### **Target Levels: $206 and Higher Target of $244**
* **Analysis:** These targets are **below the current price** of $308.62. This seems to indicate these are *bearish price targets* or targets in a *downward-trending context*, perhaps for a short position, or a mistake in the prompt as they are *lower* than the current price.
* If these are indeed "targets" as in *bearish price targets*, then it implies an expectation of further significant decline from the current levels.
* **$206 Target:** This would represent a further drop of approximately $102.62 from the current price, pushing UNH even lower than its 52-week low.
* **$244 Higher Target (if this means a less severe bearish target):** This would still be a drop of approximately $64.62 from the current price, indicating a belief that the stock is heading lower.
Given the context of the previous UNH analysis found in the search results, UNH has been in a significant downtrend (down ~36-40% over the last year and YTD), and analysts have a wide range of targets from $270 (min) to $440 (max).
**Assuming these are indeed *downside* targets based on previous trends:**
* The bearish trend indicated by the SMAs supports the possibility of further downside.
* The $244 level would be above its 52-week low ($248.88) but still a significant drop.
* The $206 level would represent a break below its 52-week low, indicating an acceleration of the downtrend.
---
### **Overall Outlook for UNH:**
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) is currently in a **clear long-term and medium-term downtrend**, as evidenced by its price being significantly below its 200-day, 100-day, and 50-day SMAs. The Williams Alligator would likely be showing a **"mouth open downwards"** (Blue > Red > Green) on the longer timeframes, confirming this bearish strength.
While there might be very recent, short-term bullish signals from the 21-day SMA and a potential recent MACD (8,13) bullish crossover, these are likely indicative of a **short-term relief rally or consolidation within a larger bearish trend**.
The support level at $147 seems to be a very distant, historical level, implying a much larger downside if current levels fail. The targets of $206 and $244, being **below the current price**, strongly suggest a **bearish outlook and expectation of further declines**. This aligns with the overall negative sentiment indicated by the longer-term moving averages.
**Crucially, given the discrepancy between the current price and your stated targets ($206, $244) which are *lower* than the current price, it is highly probable that these are either bearish targets or that the context of "target" implies a move *down* to those levels.**
**Important Note:** This analysis is based on your provided indicators and targets, combined with current market data. UNH has been subject to specific company news (e.g., Q1 financial results falling below expectations, DOJ investigation into Medicare, rising health costs) that have contributed to its recent significant decline. Always conduct your own thorough fundamental and technical research, consider all relevant news, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 10:04:56 PM PDT, here's a breakdown of UNH:
**Current Price & Performance:**
* **Last Price:** $308.62 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025)
* **Today's Change:** Up $6.00 (+1.99%)
* **Previous Close:** $302.62
* **Today's Range:** $302.20 - $310.45
* **52-Week Range:** $248.88 - $630.73 (Note the significant drop from its 52-week high, indicating a strong downtrend over the past year).
---
### **Simple Moving Averages (SMAs): 200, 100, 86, 50, 21**
Moving Averages are lagging indicators, and their relationship to price and each other helps identify trends. For UNH, the picture is quite different from GOOGL.
* **200-Day SMA:** This is a long-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $494.42 - $495.79**
* **Interpretation:** The current price of $308.62 is **significantly BELOW** the 200-day SMA. This clearly signals a **long-term bearish trend**. This is a major red flag for long-term investors.
* **100-Day SMA:** A medium-to-long-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $433.21 - $429.49**
* **Interpretation:** The price is **significantly BELOW** the 100-day SMA, reinforcing the bearish sentiment on a medium-term basis.
* **86-Day SMA:** A custom or less common moving average.
* *Exact 86-day SMA not commonly reported, but given the trend of the 50, 100, and 200-day SMAs, it will also be well above the current price.*
* **Interpretation:** The price would be well below its 86-day SMA, confirming the bearish pressure across this timeframe as well.
* **50-Day SMA:** A medium-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $359.86 - $345.03**
* **Interpretation:** The price is **well BELOW** the 50-day SMA. This is a **bearish signal**, indicating that the medium-term trend is down. The price needs to reclaim and hold above this SMA to suggest a shift in sentiment.
* **21-Day SMA:** A short-term trend indicator.
* Current: **Around $302.51 - $305.13** (This is the most relevant in the immediate term.)
* **Interpretation:** The current price ($308.62) is **just above or fluctuating around its 21-day SMA**. Some sources indicate the price is above it (suggesting a short-term "Buy" signal for this specific MA), while others still show a "Sell" for longer periods. This suggests that while there might be a very recent, tentative bounce or consolidation, the short-term trend is still very weak or fighting for direction.
**Overall SMA Assessment:**
In stark contrast to Google, UnitedHealth's SMAs paint a **predominantly bearish picture**. The longer-term SMAs (200, 100, 50) are all significantly above the current price, indicating a strong downtrend. The shorter-term 21-day SMA shows the price is trying to consolidate or bounce slightly, but it's still operating within a broader bearish context. The "stack" of SMAs is inverted (shorter-term below longer-term, with the price at the very bottom), confirming the bearish outlook.
---
### **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) (8,13)**
* **MACD Line:** (8-period EMA of Close - 13-period EMA of Close)
* **Signal Line:** 9-period EMA of the MACD Line
* **MACD Histogram:** MACD Line - Signal Line
**Current UNH MACD (8,13) State:**
Some sources indicate that the standard MACD (12,26,9) for UNH is currently **negative (e.g., -12.31)**, suggesting a "Sell" signal. However, some recent updates also indicate a "buy signal from the 3-month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)" and that the MACD value "suggests UNH has a positive trend, although the MACD value is declining." This presents a mixed signal for the standard MACD, suggesting a potential bullish divergence or a very recent, weak bullish crossover from extreme oversold conditions.
Given the price is just above its 21-day SMA after a significant drop, the custom MACD (8,13) would be more sensitive and might show:
* **Recent Crossover:** It's plausible that the MACD (8,13) line has recently performed a **bullish crossover above its signal line**, or is about to, from deeply negative territory. This would reflect the very short-term bounce observed.
* **Histogram:** The histogram might be turning less negative or even positive, indicating a potential, albeit weak, shift in immediate momentum.
**Interpretation:** While a bullish MACD crossover would be a positive sign, for a stock in a strong downtrend like UNH, such a signal would be viewed with caution. It might indicate a short-term relief rally within a larger downtrend rather than a sustained reversal, especially if the MACD values remain relatively low compared to previous bullish phases.
---
### **Strong Support at $147**
* **Analysis:** If we consider the 52-week range of $248.88 - $630.73, the $147 support level is significantly below the current 52-week low. This suggests that $147 might be a *very long-term* or *historical* support level (e.g., from pre-2023 prices) that is not immediately relevant to the current trading range.
* **Current Relevance:** Currently trading at $308.62, UNH has more immediate support levels to consider, for example, its 52-week low of $248.88, or the various pivot point supports provided by technical aggregators around **$300.37, $298.12, and $294.95**. If $147 is indeed a strong support you're tracking, it implies a *very significant further downside risk* if current support levels fail, as it would represent a break below its recent 52-week low and a continuation of its downtrend to levels not seen in over a year.
---
### **Target Levels: $206 and Higher Target of $244**
* **Analysis:** These targets are **below the current price** of $308.62. This seems to indicate these are *bearish price targets* or targets in a *downward-trending context*, perhaps for a short position, or a mistake in the prompt as they are *lower* than the current price.
* If these are indeed "targets" as in *bearish price targets*, then it implies an expectation of further significant decline from the current levels.
* **$206 Target:** This would represent a further drop of approximately $102.62 from the current price, pushing UNH even lower than its 52-week low.
* **$244 Higher Target (if this means a less severe bearish target):** This would still be a drop of approximately $64.62 from the current price, indicating a belief that the stock is heading lower.
Given the context of the previous UNH analysis found in the search results, UNH has been in a significant downtrend (down ~36-40% over the last year and YTD), and analysts have a wide range of targets from $270 (min) to $440 (max).
**Assuming these are indeed *downside* targets based on previous trends:**
* The bearish trend indicated by the SMAs supports the possibility of further downside.
* The $244 level would be above its 52-week low ($248.88) but still a significant drop.
* The $206 level would represent a break below its 52-week low, indicating an acceleration of the downtrend.
---
### **Overall Outlook for UNH:**
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) is currently in a **clear long-term and medium-term downtrend**, as evidenced by its price being significantly below its 200-day, 100-day, and 50-day SMAs. The Williams Alligator would likely be showing a **"mouth open downwards"** (Blue > Red > Green) on the longer timeframes, confirming this bearish strength.
While there might be very recent, short-term bullish signals from the 21-day SMA and a potential recent MACD (8,13) bullish crossover, these are likely indicative of a **short-term relief rally or consolidation within a larger bearish trend**.
The support level at $147 seems to be a very distant, historical level, implying a much larger downside if current levels fail. The targets of $206 and $244, being **below the current price**, strongly suggest a **bearish outlook and expectation of further declines**. This aligns with the overall negative sentiment indicated by the longer-term moving averages.
**Crucially, given the discrepancy between the current price and your stated targets ($206, $244) which are *lower* than the current price, it is highly probable that these are either bearish targets or that the context of "target" implies a move *down* to those levels.**
**Important Note:** This analysis is based on your provided indicators and targets, combined with current market data. UNH has been subject to specific company news (e.g., Q1 financial results falling below expectations, DOJ investigation into Medicare, rising health costs) that have contributed to its recent significant decline. Always conduct your own thorough fundamental and technical research, consider all relevant news, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.