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Bearish Bias on USD/JPY

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Bearish Bias on USD/JPY
Pair: USD/JPY
Bias: Bearish
Entry Type: Pending Sell Limit Order
Entry Zone: 147.54
Stop Loss: 148.10
Take Profit: 145.17

Technical Rationale:
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
The chart shows a clear break of structure (BoS) to the downside after a prolonged bullish move. The most recent lower low and lower high formation confirms a shift in market sentiment.

Supply Zone (Order Block):
Price is retracing back into a 2H supply zone (highlighted red), which is aligned with a bearish order block around 147.54–148.10. This zone represents institutional selling interest from a previous strong sell-off.

Liquidity Grab / Sweep:
Prior to the drop, there was an internal liquidity sweep above a local high, potentially indicating a buy-side liquidity grab. The retracement may now be engineered to tap into this supply zone to mitigate orders before a continuation downward.

Premium Pricing:
Using a FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Fibo level reference, this supply zone sits in the premium pricing area, ideal for institutional short positioning in SMC theory.

Confluence:
  • Bearish break of structure
  • Return to supply zone
  • Liquidity sweep before drop
  • Fair value gap alignment

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