🧠 Market Context:
The market has recently undergone a liquidity grab followed by a temporary bullish reaction, indicating that large players (institutions or market makers) are manipulating price around sensitive zones before committing to a direction.
🧱 Key Technical Zones & Observations:
🟩 1. Liquidity Filled Zone (Smart Money Move)
Location: Around July 17.
Explanation: Price dropped impulsively into a pre-marked liquidity pocket. This filled buy-side liquidity resting below previous lows.
Implication: Smart money has now captured trapped breakout sellers. Expectation of reversal or bullish mitigation.
🟧 2. Central Zone (Supply/Distribution Area)
This zone was tested multiple times, signaling it as a supply-rich region.
Acted as a base for previous strong bearish move.
If the trendline is broken, price may retest this Central Zone, potentially acting as resistance again.
🟩 3. QFL Formation (Quantity Following Line)
Nature: Base breakout with a fast snap-back indicates institutional demand.
The structure signals a failed breakdown or liquidation trap.
Actionable Insight: Strong bounce potential here, ideal for sniper long entries if market structure shifts bullish.
🟦 4. Trendline (Critical Validation Tool)
The descending trendline from July 18 has acted as dynamic resistance.
Multiple rejections validate its significance.
Main Conditional Setup hinges on this trendline:
Break = Bullish structure shift
No break = Trend continuation (retest of demand or breakdown)
🔁 5. Previous Reversal Completed
Price action has printed a reversal model (possibly Wyckoff-style accumulation or spring).
Completion of the pattern aligns with upcoming directional decision.
✅ Conditional Trade Scenarios:
🔺 Condition 1: Bullish Breakout Above Trendline
Setup: Price breaks and closes above the trendline with volume and momentum.
Action: Buy on retest of broken trendline or confirmation candle.
Targets:
Short-term: 147.50
Major: 148.00 – strong resistance/supply zone
Validation: Structure shift + momentum + rejection of prior supply.
🔻 Condition 2: Rejection from Trendline (Trendline Holds)
Setup: Price respects the trendline and fails to break.
Action: Short on bearish engulfing/rejection.
Plan: "Double the supply zone" as per your label.
Targets: 146.20 → 146.00 zone
This respects the previous price memory and liquidity void.
🧠 Deeper MMC Insight:
The market is in indecision phase, balancing between continuation and reversal.
Institutional footprints (QFL + liquidity fills + trendline rejections) suggest preparation for a trap-spring-accumulate or distribution-breakdown move.
Watch for fakeouts around the trendline – MMC logic says market makers often induce both directions before committing.
🧭 Trade Management Tips:
If long: Protect below the QFL base.
If short: Watch for manipulation around the Central Zone.
Wait for confirmation: Don’t pre-enter before structure validates direction.
The market has recently undergone a liquidity grab followed by a temporary bullish reaction, indicating that large players (institutions or market makers) are manipulating price around sensitive zones before committing to a direction.
🧱 Key Technical Zones & Observations:
🟩 1. Liquidity Filled Zone (Smart Money Move)
Location: Around July 17.
Explanation: Price dropped impulsively into a pre-marked liquidity pocket. This filled buy-side liquidity resting below previous lows.
Implication: Smart money has now captured trapped breakout sellers. Expectation of reversal or bullish mitigation.
🟧 2. Central Zone (Supply/Distribution Area)
This zone was tested multiple times, signaling it as a supply-rich region.
Acted as a base for previous strong bearish move.
If the trendline is broken, price may retest this Central Zone, potentially acting as resistance again.
🟩 3. QFL Formation (Quantity Following Line)
Nature: Base breakout with a fast snap-back indicates institutional demand.
The structure signals a failed breakdown or liquidation trap.
Actionable Insight: Strong bounce potential here, ideal for sniper long entries if market structure shifts bullish.
🟦 4. Trendline (Critical Validation Tool)
The descending trendline from July 18 has acted as dynamic resistance.
Multiple rejections validate its significance.
Main Conditional Setup hinges on this trendline:
Break = Bullish structure shift
No break = Trend continuation (retest of demand or breakdown)
🔁 5. Previous Reversal Completed
Price action has printed a reversal model (possibly Wyckoff-style accumulation or spring).
Completion of the pattern aligns with upcoming directional decision.
✅ Conditional Trade Scenarios:
🔺 Condition 1: Bullish Breakout Above Trendline
Setup: Price breaks and closes above the trendline with volume and momentum.
Action: Buy on retest of broken trendline or confirmation candle.
Targets:
Short-term: 147.50
Major: 148.00 – strong resistance/supply zone
Validation: Structure shift + momentum + rejection of prior supply.
🔻 Condition 2: Rejection from Trendline (Trendline Holds)
Setup: Price respects the trendline and fails to break.
Action: Short on bearish engulfing/rejection.
Plan: "Double the supply zone" as per your label.
Targets: 146.20 → 146.00 zone
This respects the previous price memory and liquidity void.
🧠 Deeper MMC Insight:
The market is in indecision phase, balancing between continuation and reversal.
Institutional footprints (QFL + liquidity fills + trendline rejections) suggest preparation for a trap-spring-accumulate or distribution-breakdown move.
Watch for fakeouts around the trendline – MMC logic says market makers often induce both directions before committing.
🧭 Trade Management Tips:
If long: Protect below the QFL base.
If short: Watch for manipulation around the Central Zone.
Wait for confirmation: Don’t pre-enter before structure validates direction.
For Daily Trade Setups and Forecast: 📈 t.me/xauusdoptimizer
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
For Daily Trade Setups and Forecast: 📈 t.me/xauusdoptimizer
Premium Signals Fr33: 💯 t.me/xauusdoptimizer
🥰🥳🤩
Premium Signals Fr33: 💯 t.me/xauusdoptimizer
🥰🥳🤩
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.