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USDJPY analysis week 21

89
Fundamental Analysis
USD/JPY recovered slightly on Friday as the USD recovered and traded sideways around the DXY index level of 100.80.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened despite a decline in Japan's GDP, due to its safe-haven status and expectations that the BOJ will not raise interest rates soon.

The BOJ kept interest rates at 0.5%, lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% and may pause interest rate hikes until September to monitor the impact of US tariffs.

The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, no plans to cut in the near term. The Fed Chairman warned that tariffs could increase inflation and reduce growth.

Technical Analysis
USDJPY is reacting at the 89 EMA. Overall, the uptrend is still maintained for this pair and pay attention to the immediate support level of 144,000, while the pair is still trading above this area, the uptrend is still continuing. The two resistance levels that the pair could reach next week are noted at 147.500 and 148.300. In case the 144.000 trend zone is broken, the pair's slide will be supported by the May low around 142.600.

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