Friday, July 25 – Financial Market Summary (Trading Focus)
Key Data Releases:
US
June Durable Goods Orders: A leading indicator of manufacturing activity. Strong growth may boost USD and treasury yields; weak numbers could fuel rate-cut bets.
July Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Gauges regional service sector performance, often a directional cue for sentiment in broader Fed outlook.
UK
July GfK Consumer Confidence: Measures household sentiment. A decline may pressure GBP as it hints at cautious spending.
June Retail Sales: A key gauge of consumer demand. Surprises could move GBP sharply, especially amid BoE rate-cut speculation.
Japan
July Tokyo CPI: A leading inflation gauge ahead of the national print. Hotter data may raise doubts about BoJ’s ultra-loose stance.
June Services PPI: Measures business input costs; could signal future CPI pressure.
Eurozone
Germany July Ifo Survey: Monitors German business sentiment. Markets use this as a proxy for Eurozone economic health. Weakness can weigh on EUR and Bunds.
France/Italy Confidence Surveys: Consumer and manufacturing sentiment—important for pricing growth expectations across the bloc.
June M3 Money Supply: Closely watched by ECB for inflation outlook.
Central Bank:
ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters: Key for insight into market inflation expectations, growth, and rate paths—could shift EUR and European yields.
Earnings – Market Movers:
HCA Healthcare: Strong US economic bellwether; watch for comments on consumer healthcare trends.
Charter Communications: Cable/streaming sector in focus—guidance may affect tech/media sentiment.
Volkswagen: Global auto demand barometer—insight into EV strategy, China exposure.
NatWest: UK-focused bank—comments on credit conditions and loan demand will influence GBP and FTSE sentiment.
Eni: Energy major—production guidance, commodity price outlooks will move oil-sensitive equities and possibly EUR.
Trading Implications:
Focus on US durable goods for risk-on/risk-off bias.
Eurozone sentiment and ECB inflation forecasts could reset EUR expectations.
UK data dump will be crucial for GBP direction amid BoE policy divergence.
Earnings from global cyclicals (Volkswagen, Eni) and banks (NatWest) may sway sectoral rotation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Key Data Releases:
US
June Durable Goods Orders: A leading indicator of manufacturing activity. Strong growth may boost USD and treasury yields; weak numbers could fuel rate-cut bets.
July Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Gauges regional service sector performance, often a directional cue for sentiment in broader Fed outlook.
UK
July GfK Consumer Confidence: Measures household sentiment. A decline may pressure GBP as it hints at cautious spending.
June Retail Sales: A key gauge of consumer demand. Surprises could move GBP sharply, especially amid BoE rate-cut speculation.
Japan
July Tokyo CPI: A leading inflation gauge ahead of the national print. Hotter data may raise doubts about BoJ’s ultra-loose stance.
June Services PPI: Measures business input costs; could signal future CPI pressure.
Eurozone
Germany July Ifo Survey: Monitors German business sentiment. Markets use this as a proxy for Eurozone economic health. Weakness can weigh on EUR and Bunds.
France/Italy Confidence Surveys: Consumer and manufacturing sentiment—important for pricing growth expectations across the bloc.
June M3 Money Supply: Closely watched by ECB for inflation outlook.
Central Bank:
ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters: Key for insight into market inflation expectations, growth, and rate paths—could shift EUR and European yields.
Earnings – Market Movers:
HCA Healthcare: Strong US economic bellwether; watch for comments on consumer healthcare trends.
Charter Communications: Cable/streaming sector in focus—guidance may affect tech/media sentiment.
Volkswagen: Global auto demand barometer—insight into EV strategy, China exposure.
NatWest: UK-focused bank—comments on credit conditions and loan demand will influence GBP and FTSE sentiment.
Eni: Energy major—production guidance, commodity price outlooks will move oil-sensitive equities and possibly EUR.
Trading Implications:
Focus on US durable goods for risk-on/risk-off bias.
Eurozone sentiment and ECB inflation forecasts could reset EUR expectations.
UK data dump will be crucial for GBP direction amid BoE policy divergence.
Earnings from global cyclicals (Volkswagen, Eni) and banks (NatWest) may sway sectoral rotation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.