Recent Oil Price Trends and Outlook
The recent trend of oil prices has been volatile. On the supply side, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) are discussing further production increases in July. If actual production is increased, the supply of crude oil in the market will rise, naturally putting downward pressure on prices. There has already been news that OPEC+ began gradually increasing supplies in May and June. If subsequent production increase plans continue to advance, concerns about supply surpluses will intensify.
Forecast for Next Week’s Market
Expectations of OPEC+ production increases and weak U.S. demand are likely to continue influencing the market next week. If OPEC+ confirms further production increases at its June 1 meeting, oil prices will (most likely) continue to face downward pressure next week. However, if unexpected situations arise—such as sudden geopolitical tensions affecting crude oil production and transportation—oil prices may also rise volatility. Based on current conditions, it is more likely that oil prices will maintain a (range-bound downward) pattern next week. Key resistance levels to watch are 63.0–63.5, and support levels are 60.5–60.0
The recent trend of oil prices has been volatile. On the supply side, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) are discussing further production increases in July. If actual production is increased, the supply of crude oil in the market will rise, naturally putting downward pressure on prices. There has already been news that OPEC+ began gradually increasing supplies in May and June. If subsequent production increase plans continue to advance, concerns about supply surpluses will intensify.
Forecast for Next Week’s Market
Expectations of OPEC+ production increases and weak U.S. demand are likely to continue influencing the market next week. If OPEC+ confirms further production increases at its June 1 meeting, oil prices will (most likely) continue to face downward pressure next week. However, if unexpected situations arise—such as sudden geopolitical tensions affecting crude oil production and transportation—oil prices may also rise volatility. Based on current conditions, it is more likely that oil prices will maintain a (range-bound downward) pattern next week. Key resistance levels to watch are 63.0–63.5, and support levels are 60.5–60.0
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.