✅ XAUUSD – 1H Market Analysis (April 21, 2025 – NY Open Prep)
🕊️ Market Reminder:
It’s Easter Monday, and London + German markets are closed, so price may behave oddly due to lower European liquidity. NY might be more manipulative — expect traps, not clean momentum.
🧠 Current Market Context
Price is holding firm at new ATH: 3397
We’ve entered the "danger zone" — structure is still bullish but we’re deep in premium
No bearish CHoCH on 1H — but momentum is slowing down visibly
Clean higher lows since April 17 low (around 3284), all protected so far
🔺 Zones ABOVE Price (Premium Trap Zones)
🔺 Zone Range Notes
🟥 Premium Liquidity 3405–3414 Prior ATH + fib extension + ADR high – ideal NY fakeout zone
🔻 Spike Risk Zone 3425–3445 Overextended 1.272–1.414 fibs – only in case of news/fake rally
⚠️ Exhaustion Layer 3455–3470 Extension of fib projection (1.618 zone) – major trap risk if touched
🟢 Zones BELOW Price (Discount Value Areas)
🟢 Zone Range Notes
💧 Minor Imbalance 3373–3380 Quick scalp retrace area – only valid on clean rejection wick or M5 OB
⚙️ Intraday Balance 3350–3360 Great sniper re-entry zone – clean imbalance + OB overlap – 💥 HOT ZONE
🟩 Demand Base 3325–3305 Deep value OB + macro continuation zone – long setup if we fully retrace
🧱 Institutional Support 3284–3288 Clean CHoCH origin – trend-defining demand, invalidation if broken
📍 Structure Summary
1H still bullish, no bearish BOS
ADR is almost maxed out, so NY might trap above 3400 and then sweep lower
No fair retrace since 3360 breakout — buyers are sitting below, not above
Major liquidity pools now exist both above 3410 and below 3350
🔥 Bias:
Cautiously bullish, but we’re due for a shakeout.
🔻 If NY pumps into 3410–3425 and fails → fade it.
🟢 If price returns to 3350–3360 → sniper buy zone.
📉 No blind trades today. Let price trap first.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
🕊️ Market Reminder:
It’s Easter Monday, and London + German markets are closed, so price may behave oddly due to lower European liquidity. NY might be more manipulative — expect traps, not clean momentum.
🧠 Current Market Context
Price is holding firm at new ATH: 3397
We’ve entered the "danger zone" — structure is still bullish but we’re deep in premium
No bearish CHoCH on 1H — but momentum is slowing down visibly
Clean higher lows since April 17 low (around 3284), all protected so far
🔺 Zones ABOVE Price (Premium Trap Zones)
🔺 Zone Range Notes
🟥 Premium Liquidity 3405–3414 Prior ATH + fib extension + ADR high – ideal NY fakeout zone
🔻 Spike Risk Zone 3425–3445 Overextended 1.272–1.414 fibs – only in case of news/fake rally
⚠️ Exhaustion Layer 3455–3470 Extension of fib projection (1.618 zone) – major trap risk if touched
🟢 Zones BELOW Price (Discount Value Areas)
🟢 Zone Range Notes
💧 Minor Imbalance 3373–3380 Quick scalp retrace area – only valid on clean rejection wick or M5 OB
⚙️ Intraday Balance 3350–3360 Great sniper re-entry zone – clean imbalance + OB overlap – 💥 HOT ZONE
🟩 Demand Base 3325–3305 Deep value OB + macro continuation zone – long setup if we fully retrace
🧱 Institutional Support 3284–3288 Clean CHoCH origin – trend-defining demand, invalidation if broken
📍 Structure Summary
1H still bullish, no bearish BOS
ADR is almost maxed out, so NY might trap above 3400 and then sweep lower
No fair retrace since 3360 breakout — buyers are sitting below, not above
Major liquidity pools now exist both above 3410 and below 3350
🔥 Bias:
Cautiously bullish, but we’re due for a shakeout.
🔻 If NY pumps into 3410–3425 and fails → fade it.
🟢 If price returns to 3350–3360 → sniper buy zone.
📉 No blind trades today. Let price trap first.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
⭐ Mentorship XAUUSD⭐Telegram t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
Daily Sniper Plans| Elite Setups|Education step by step and personal guidance.
Daily Sniper Plans| Elite Setups|Education step by step and personal guidance.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
⭐ Mentorship XAUUSD⭐Telegram t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
Daily Sniper Plans| Elite Setups|Education step by step and personal guidance.
Daily Sniper Plans| Elite Setups|Education step by step and personal guidance.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.