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XAUUSD Rises Steadily After Retest

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XAUUSD Rises Steadily After Retest – Buy Zone Showing Strong Effectiveness

Technical Analysis – July 11, 2025 (H4 Timeframe)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,345, continuing its steady upward move from the key confluence support at $3,309–$3,318. The bullish momentum has strengthened following a clean break and successful retest of the previous bearish structure.
snapshot

1. Updated Technical Data:
Current Price: $3,345.10
Fibonacci Retracement:
0.618 at $3,309.69
0.5 at $3,318.91
Recent Swing High (1.0 Fibo): $3,345.69
RSI (H4 Estimate): Around 62 – nearing overbought territory, but still has room for further upside
EMA20/EMA50: EMA20 has crossed above EMA50 – short-term trend is bullish
Next Resistance: $3,357.97 (previous swing high)
Immediate Support: $3,318–$3,309 (Fibonacci confluence zone)
2. Price Action Insight:
Following the correction low at $3,287.02, gold has shown strong recovery with a clear impulsive wave formation. The previous Buy Zone between $3,309–$3,318 has proved highly effective, leading to the current bullish breakout.
A classic “break–retest–continuation” pattern is forming on the H4 chart, suggesting that bulls remain in control unless disrupted by macro events.
3. Suggested Trading Strategies:
Primary Scenario: Buy on Dip
Entry Zone (on retest): $3,330 – $3,318
Stop Loss: Below $3,308
Take Profit 1: $3,345 (already reached)
Take Profit 2: $3,357
Extended Target: $3,368 – $3,372 if $3,357 breaks decisively
Alternative Scenario: Short from $3,357 if Reversal Signal Appears
Stop Loss: Above $3,362
Take Profit: Toward $3,330 – $3,318 support
4. Conclusion for Today:
Short-Term Trend: Bullish
Medium-Term Outlook: Neutral to bullish – watch $3,357 breakout for confirmation
Main Bias: Buy the dip and hold toward resistance at $3,357–$3,372
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