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GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025

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🦁 GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025 📆
📍 Macro & Political Context
🗞️ Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing war in Ukraine + fresh tariff threats from Trump are sparking investor fear. Safe-haven flows into gold continue.

💰 Fundamentals: Inflationary fears remain strong. Market eyes the US NFP later this week. Fed is silent... too silent. 👀

🌍 Central banks are still buying gold – clear sign of institutional appetite.

🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend: Bullish HTF ✅
Current Price: $3,113
All-Time High: $3,148 (Reached recently – likely liquidity swept!)
Last Valid BOS: H1 and H4 both show bullish structure, but a correction is brewing. 🍃

📊 Key Technical Zones & Confluences
🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Below
📌 $3,100 – Clear liquidity pool (equal lows + psychological level)

🔥 Below $3,100 to $3,085 – Strong imbalance zone + unmitigated FVG

🧲 Expectation: Price may grab liquidity here before next leg up

🔷 Imbalance + Discount Zone
📉 $3,085–$3,095 – Massive H1/H4 imbalance. Could be a POI if price breaks $3,100

🧱 Valid Demand OB (H1) inside this zone + FIBO 61.8% retracement from last impulse

🔺 Premium Rejection
🧱 H1/H4 OB near $3,135–$3,145 = Price sharply rejected = probable redistribution zone

✂️ This was also the weekly high, which got swept = liquidity taken

🎯 Plan of Action
🟢 Scenario 1: Long Entry from Discount Zone
"Let them take the liquidity, we take the reversal!" 💸

Entry Zone: $3,085 – $3,095

Confluence:

Valid H1 OB (confirmed with PA)

Imbalance zone

FIBO 61.8% + structure break

Sell-side liquidity sweep from $3,100

Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + Bullish engulfing or low volume sweep

SL: Below $3,078

TP1: $3,130

TP2: $3,145

TP3: $3,150 (liquidity magnet again)

🔴 Scenario 2: Short if Price Pushes Back to $3,140+
Catch the premium short 🧨

Entry Zone: $3,140 – $3,148

Confluence:

All-time high sweep (liquidity trap)

HTF OB rejection

Weakness shown on M15

Confirmation: M5-M15 CHoCH + engulfing

SL: Above $3,155

TP1: $3,125

TP2: $3,100

TP3: $3,085

🧠 Final Notes
📌 Be reactive, not predictive – wait for PA confirmation at POIs

📰 Watch news – especially unexpected geopolitical catalysts or Fed surprise

🧘‍♂️ Stick to risk management. At ATHs, volatility is high and manipulation common.

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