📰 Macro Outlook
The Federal Reserve remains firm on its 2% inflation target while keeping unemployment low.
The US labor market is showing signs of weakness: job supply stagnates, demand falls → higher unemployment risk.
New tariffs could push inflation higher while also slowing down economic growth.
Fed gradually moves away from FAIT, focusing back on a strict 2% inflation goal.
Powell didn’t promise rate cuts, but hinted at possible policy easing in September if economic conditions align.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Buy Retest Zone: 3343 – 3345
Mid-term Resistance: 3377 – 3380
Target Buy Zone: 3396 – 3400
✅ Primary Scenario (Bullish Bias)
After a strong breakout from the downtrend, price is likely to retest 3343 – 3345 to build momentum.
Holding above this zone opens the path to 3377 and potentially 3396 – 3400.
🔻 Alternative Scenario
A clean break below 3340 with an H1 close could push price lower toward 3325 – 3320 before a possible recovery.
🎯 Trading Plan for the US Session
BUY on retest 3343 – 3345
SL: below 3338
TP: 3377 → 3396 → 3400
Short-term SELL only if strong rejection appears around 3396 – 3400.
⚡ As liquidity thins out toward the weekend, it’s safer to follow the bullish momentum, scale positions wisely, and avoid chasing price near key resistances.
The Federal Reserve remains firm on its 2% inflation target while keeping unemployment low.
The US labor market is showing signs of weakness: job supply stagnates, demand falls → higher unemployment risk.
New tariffs could push inflation higher while also slowing down economic growth.
Fed gradually moves away from FAIT, focusing back on a strict 2% inflation goal.
Powell didn’t promise rate cuts, but hinted at possible policy easing in September if economic conditions align.
🔑 Key Technical Levels
Buy Retest Zone: 3343 – 3345
Mid-term Resistance: 3377 – 3380
Target Buy Zone: 3396 – 3400
✅ Primary Scenario (Bullish Bias)
After a strong breakout from the downtrend, price is likely to retest 3343 – 3345 to build momentum.
Holding above this zone opens the path to 3377 and potentially 3396 – 3400.
🔻 Alternative Scenario
A clean break below 3340 with an H1 close could push price lower toward 3325 – 3320 before a possible recovery.
🎯 Trading Plan for the US Session
BUY on retest 3343 – 3345
SL: below 3338
TP: 3377 → 3396 → 3400
Short-term SELL only if strong rejection appears around 3396 – 3400.
⚡ As liquidity thins out toward the weekend, it’s safer to follow the bullish momentum, scale positions wisely, and avoid chasing price near key resistances.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
⚜️ Trade with Money Market Flow, logic, Price action 📉📈
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 8 to 15 Signals VIP
Get quality daily trading signals and plans here
JOIN NOW
t.me/+iimmVCgUnK5mZTRl
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 8 to 15 Signals VIP
Get quality daily trading signals and plans here
JOIN NOW
t.me/+iimmVCgUnK5mZTRl
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.