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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

XAUUSD – Bearish Setup Based on SMC | Retracement Before Drop?

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🔍 Analyzing XAUUSD on the 1H timeframe using Smart Money Concepts.
This chart highlights a potential bearish setup with clear structure shifts, key supply zones, and a defined target area.

🧠 Key Insights:

✅ Structure Shift Confirmed
→ Multiple CHoCH + BOS indicate a clear transition from bullish to bearish.
→ Momentum favors the downside.

📍 Retracement Zone = Potential Sell Area
→ Price is pulling back into a key supply zone.
→ Look for bearish confirmation before entry.

🔺 Resistance Alert:
→ Long-term resistance holds strong.
⚠️ Note: If price breaks above 3,349, selling becomes invalid. Wait for next resistance.

🎯 Target Zone:
→ Major support at 3,292.208
→ Aligned with previous Strong Low and high liquidity area
→ Expected drop: -56.46 pts (-1.69%)

🛡️ Risk Management:

Stop-Loss: Above 3,349 zone

Take-Profit: Around 3,292

Entry: After clear rejection within retracement zone

📌 Summary:

Gold is retracing into a supply zone under a bearish SMC framework. Unless resistance is broken, this setup favors shorting with proper confirmation and risk control.

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