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2024bullrun

BTC cycle measurements for BREAK OUT and ATHBREAK OUT from previous cycle’s ATH price One of the cycle events that I feel is worth measuring is the event of breaking the previous cycle ATH and staying (well) above it. And the way that I measured this in the past I overlooked an important thing. I measured only when the dates the price first hit the previous ATH, and not to the later dates of when the price actually held above it, never to see it again. I feel like measuring from halvings makes most sense, but interestingly enough measuring from previous ATL and ATH, they all overlap. With measuring this way, and giving weight to the idea of the cycles, I am now keeping an open mind that this event might happen between later Nov to late Jan 2025. (Thinking it won't happen until March seems unlikely to me, but who knows). In 2020, it was on Dec 13th, which is right in the middle of the measurements from past halvings. Cycle ATH Time Frame Same here, I think Halving to ATH seems like the best to measure, but I also measured ATL to ATH, and ATH to ATH. Once btc finally breaks and stays above 69k then we can also map out that for another time frame to ATH. Call it last cycle PTSD, but I’m not as interested in digging into the price points or percentage gains. But as an attempt, I did measure ATH to ATH percentage gains. I don’t see any simple pattern here. C3 (2021 top) does seem like a heavy under-performing outlier. With some simple theories I came to very round numbers of 150k on the lower end, 250k being hopeful, and 280k on the higher end. I label C3 as “cycle 3” which I’m referring to the 2020 cycle. C2 is the 2016 cycle and C1, 2012. Cycle One is probably 2008 to some people, I apologize for confusion.
BNC:BLXLong
by rozayjay
5
OCEAN is screaming buy meBINANCE:OCEANUSDT , 1d Price is trading above the 200SMA suggesting that the long term trend is intact. The downward trendline has been broken and has been consolidating for the past two days. On the 4h, price has formed an imperfect cup and handle with the consolidation being the handle. The MACD line has crossed above the signal line indicating a bullish momentum. The only downside i see here is the lack of adequate volume on the breakout candle. It still remains interesting to keep an eye on since a break above the consolidation (base or handle) could propel price to higher highs resuming the uptrend. Breakout traders would put their stop loss (SL) below the consolidation and target the market structure highs. As always, “anything can happen” so let the market unfold and react accordingly. #DYOR
OLong
by daymouse
3
STX/USDT SPOT buy/sell zoonesMy minimal target for STX bull run is previous height above 3,66$. I dont feel too much pressure tu buy STX becouse i bought mine at 0.5$ but if i would buy more it will be this places. BUY First buy zoone is a bit risky but it's the most recent and seems better than the lower one. Double green marked zoone means that this place is best of this whole area. Second buy zoone I dont trust this zoone. Of course i will seek long in this place if the chart will form liquidity above the box but i am not that confident to set there positions with chill. I am worried about recent similiar lows (3 in this case, for me must have to push below) Gold zoones are places that i am the most confident about future movement from this places. If price reach this place it can't rail it without any stop. But even if they look best for trades we don't have guarantee that the price will be there in near future. SELL Sell zoones are not easy to find there becouse this coin had big dump after release. Gold zoones above actual price defines places where Imbalances(FVG or few of them) and breaker/order blocks combine. I won't place sell orders there, i will seek for the distribution There are two big sell zoones marked. 1st one is more real, x3 will make STX reach 30bil$ MCap which i think is real target in bull run.
Long
by HallFer
XAU/USD Bullish continuationRisk Reward : 16,67 We are following here secret pattern that made us 108,95% in 2023 so far. This is not a 100% strategy as no one is... we did have 3 loss in total of 9 trade. We are looking here for a bullish continuation that will occure after a nice retracement that will make think seller are in control... the problem is that there's already a trade in progress that no one see right now. The only thing is we have to grab the selling position before we continue to go higher. Enjoy and have a wonderful year of trading in 2024. ( Focus on big movement ) and take the time to analyse all of them to see the pattern that repeat over and over again. Peace.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EscapeTheMatrixWithAlex
Fed's Hope in 2024 - Their Projection & PlanDuring the December FOMC conference, the fed said the appropriate level for interest rate or the fed funds rate will be 4.6% at the end of 2024 from current 5.5%, 3.6% at the end of 2025, and 2.9% at the end of 2026. Many reporters take that as Fed’s hint to cut rate in 2024, but the Fed added saying these projections are not the committee decision or plan. So what is the difference between a projection and a plan? And how will the market performance in 2024? Dow Jones Futures & Options E-mini Dow Jones Ticker: YM 1.00 index point = $5.00 Micro E-mini Dow Jones Ticker: MYM 1.0 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
ECONOMICS:USIRYY
by konhow
4
BTCUSD Weekly UpdateWe need to break above 44-46 to go higher. ● Below 40K we nuke to 38 and potentially flush to 34K. ● Whales are de-risking here, they are still net-long but potentially sell the news event. ● Alts going up where BTC is ranging is not healthy. ● If BTC goes down, Alts could nuke, so make sure to take profits on Alts because there is a good chance they go lower. As mentioned I am cautious about January but bullish 2024 Crypto. So remember markets can experience strong flushes in bull markets and your alts can go 50% down in a day. Welcome to the last cycle, good luck.
by TheArabianWhale
Alts are about to explodeThis is in continuation of analysis that a posted a while ago, regarding Pre-Halving Alt Season. Add link to that post in description. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The top chart is TOTAL 2, (Market Cap of all the Alts) , Bottom chart is for BTC.D. I have made a comparison and measurement of what happened to TOTAL2 when BTC.D hit the top trendline. Things to notice each time BTC.D hits the trendline, there is lesser space for it to move down, hence lesser space for TOTAL2 to move up, it is evident from the % move in TOTAL2 Market cap, First time BTC.D hit the descending trendline, TOTAL 2 exploded approx. 9000% by the time BTC.D hit the bottom trendline, 2nd time TOTAL2 Exploded 900% approx. , 3rd time which is now TOTAL2 is expected to explode 90%. I have also measured the time it took for TOTAL2 To reach Peak during previous taps, The first time it took 294 days, the 2nd time it took 175 days, using this trend we can anticipate Alts to be at their peak in the next 80 to 120 days i.e. During Feb end and March 2024 time frame. This also falls in line with BTC cycles where, BTC and alts take a big dive down before Halving which is expected to take place sometime in April May 2024. Also, apart from the evident rejection of BTC.D from the trendline we have Weekly Bear Divs on RSI, which were not present last time when BTC.D tapped the trendline, adds more weight to BTC.D breaking down from here. What does all this mean in grand scheme of things If we look at the chart of BTC.D, there is not much space left for BTC.D to move down and it will eventually break out of the pattern possibly with Bull divs on weekly, it will take time, months or a year, but after a consolidation at the lows it will move up. There is a possibility it can explode to the upside with no cap present, it can present danger to Alts run next Bull cycle which is expected to start post halving into 2025 End.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by zakoraio
6