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20year

$TLT, the last bond rally before bear market continuation?NASDAQ:TLT seems to be setting up for one last move higher. I think we're likely to see a bottom of the short term move between around here at $92. Then I think post fed meeting, we'll get a move in TLT up to the $98 resistance, that's where you'd want to be a seller of TLT or buy puts. After that, I think largely the remainder of this year will be bearish bonds after the $98 resistance gets tagged. I also think we'll see new lows (I know this is very opposite of what most people think will play out). This is also likely the catalyst that brings down the stock market (rates rise more than people think is possible). Let's see how it plays out.
NASDAQ:TLT
by benjihyam
7
TNX ZN TKT ZB - 10Year / 20Year / 30YearSh_t Mixed remain Bonds... every flight to Safety has been utterly and systematically crushed. It will be again and again as our Bond Market losses its Pillars of which there are 4. One by one these are failing. Longer-term, the lose/lose proposition will compound. _____________________________________________________________________________ Short term, we'll see how YCC and an overall Market Panic can trend Yields. The Fed has permitted the Bond Market to generate the necessary adjustments. Strenght - historically has been in control of only the short end. Operation twist is no longer relevant, the FED can simply clip coupons and trend into expiration of Holdings while reinvesting across the entire Curve. Sadly, engaging in Yield Curve Control (YCC) crossed the Rubicon. My thesis has been proven entirely correct - instability by design.
TVC:TNX
by HK_L61
Lookout! The Wealthy Are Shorting The Economy20 year yields appear to be breaking out of a long downtrend which has witnessed a boom in the stock market since this asset's crash back in March of last year. But now the winds seem to be shifting possibly again as now the TLT has started July with fireworks and yields appear to be flipping bullish. This would be very bad for stocks.. however please keep in mind that this is a lagging indicator. Sometimes it plays out in perfect sync, sometimes it takes months to come into effect. Which means, the remainder of the year should be safe for equities. 2022 however, if 20 year yields confirm bullish, would be fair game to see the real crash in the stock market that many have been waiting for. A play on bonds could be the potential bet/hedge in the distant future. If you enjoyed this post please leave a like :)
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by TradeVibez
NIO vs APPLEthose 2 chart seems pretty similar. fact is: it's not only NIO. TSLA too is similar, EV stocks are similar, SOLAR stocks are similar, trendies are similar.. and you know what? APPLE price dropped 80% after that... check this and what else do we see? before that, volume was lowering, but the crash omg, there was so much volume... and what else? well, do you see the NATR indicator? there was a BIG spike... signing the bottom basically... apple was 1 USD before the crash, 25 cents after, and 150 USD now, after almost 20 years. who else thinks that EV and GREEN ENERGY is the future? well, a lot, especially the younger generation (I'm one of those btw), and guess what? those people are the ones who will be running the world in 20 years from now (I'm 20 right now, in 20 years I'll have a job, and ill be doing my part in the economy, and with my own thought, ALSO about energy usage..). so, people idea influence the market, and that is why today the green energy market is just at its start, as technology was 20 years ago, when a bunch of young people created Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook, etc.. and following their belief, the market has grown in that direction. so, let time do its job, and always use STOP LOSS. ofc, you could try to short those stocks, but idk, it's not my thing doing so. thank you for reading till now, and always enjoy your youth.
NYSE:NIO
by camelot0707
1