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COT Analysis - CurrenciesThis week is a quiet week for COT setup markets. In this video I overview how the currency setups which I have identified over the last few weeks (Long USD, Short JPY, AUD, CAD, EUR) have played out and are well underway. As of right now, the only currency that is setup for a trade is the Mexican Peso. This video reviews the combination of factors which have made this market setup for longs. To be clear, this does not mean long now. But this means that, if we get an entry trigger on the daily, we are authorized to long this market. Have a great weekend.
CME:6MZ2024
by Tradius_Trades
Smart Money is Positioned to LONG Mexican Peso - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy LONG Mexican Peso (6M) My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in 6M if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal Extreme Positioning: Commercials most long they have been since March 2023 - bullish. Small Specs most short they have been since June 2020 = bearish. OI Analysis: Very low OI. Generally, bottoms are associated with low OI (public and large specs are not interested in this market, while commercials heavily adding to longs is bullish) Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold & Treasuries = bullish. COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist , POIV, %R, Stochastic & Momentum (not yet confirmed) Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside. Good luck & good trading.
CME:6MU2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
Upside Ahead for Mexican Peso - COT Strategy LongDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence. COT Strategy LONG Mexican Peso (6M) My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in 6M if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal Extreme Positioning: Commercials most long they've been since March 2023 = bullish. OI Analysis: Down move since May has seen Commercials adding to long positioning, which is bullish. Small Specs are at an extreme in short positioning. Also, OI is at its lowest level since 2022, generally low OI is found at bottoms. Sentiment: Bearish advisor sentiment is a contrarian signal which we look to fade. Valuation: Undervalued vs Treasuries & Gold ADX: Paunch forming (but not yet confirmed). True Seasonal: General grind up to mid September COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, POIV, %R Buy Signals Remember, this is not a "Buy Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the downside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the downside. Good luck & good trading.
CME:6MU2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
6
Fundamentally Setup Markets For This WeekI have identified the following markets are "set-up" for moves of some significance. This video goes into the fundamental reasons for these trade ideas. NOTE: I am not looking to go long/short these markets immediately. I will wait for a change in trend on the Daily to get involved with these markets. The tools used to identify these trade setups are not timing tools. The tools do give us an idea of how market participants with significant size and intelligence (commercials) are positioning themselves. The tools also give us an idea of sentiment, valuation, seasonality, and also an idea of what the (usually wrong) public/small traders are doing. LONGS: HEATING OIL (HO) GASOLINE (RBOB) MEXICAN PESO (6M) SOYBEANS (ZS) COTTON (CT) SUGAR (SB) SHORTS: EURO CURRENY (6E) JAPANESE YEN (6J) SWISS FRANC (6S) GOLD (GC) 30 YEAR TREASURIES (ZB) Good Luck & Good Trading.
ICEUS:SBV2024
by Tradius_Trades
GBPUSD: 6m key levels and current trend signalWe have very clear signals in the 6m chart in GBPUSD. This level should support price if bulls have any kind of chance here, else it'll probably follow the forecasted targets on chart, to be reached before July 2021. This is meant mostly as an analysis piece, but we could look for short term long opportunities from here, simply monitoring short term charts, and paying attention to Vix. I'll expand with more charts in the comments. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
by IvanLabrie
2