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Airbnblong

"AIRBNB: The Market’s Next BIG Move – Are You In or Out?"🚨 AIRBNB HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Grab Before the Escape! (Swing/Day Trade Plan) 🚨 🌟 Attention Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌟 🔥 THIEF TRADING STYLE STRATEGY – AIRBNB (ABNB) LOOTING ZONE! 🔥 📌 THE HEIST PLAN: Based on high-risk, high-reward technical & fundamental analysis, we’re eyeing a bullish heist on AIRBNB, INC. The market is in consolidation, overbought, but primed for a potential breakout or reversal trap. Bears are lurking, but we’re stealing the treasure first! 🔐 ENTRY: "VAULT IS OPEN!" Buy Limit Orders (15-30 min timeframe) near key levels. Scalpers: Only play LONG—fast in, fast out! Swing Traders: Load up & trail for bigger gains. ALERT SETUP HIGHLY RECOMMENDED! 🛑 STOP LOSS (SL): "DON’T GET CAUGHT!" Nearest Swing Low (3H TF) @ 125.00 (adjust based on risk & position size). Trailing SL = Best escape route for scalpers! 🎯 TARGET: "ESCAPE WITH THE LOOT!" 🎯 150.00 (or exit early if momentum fades). Risk Warning: High volatility—trade smart! 📡 STAY ALERT: News & Macro Risks: Avoid new trades during high-impact events. Lock profits with Trailing SL! 💥 BOOST THIS IDEA IF YOU LOVE THE HEIST! More lucrative robbery plans coming soon—stay tuned, pirates! 🏴‍☠️💰🔥 🚀 LIKE, SHARE, & FOLLOW FOR NEXT HEIST!
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by The-Thief
Airbnb | ABNB Airbnb is the leader in Alternative Accommodations and experiences. I believe their community of individual hosts and strong brand differentiates them from travel peers. The emerging trend of long-term stays would boost Airbnb’s profit margins and expand the entire travel accommodation market size Airbnb estimates its current total addressable market to be $3.4 trillion, including $1.8 trillion in short term stays, $ 210 billion in long term stays, and $ 1.4 trillion in experiences. Coupled with a notably underpenetrated market size, the global travel market is growing at an above GDP rate. Airbnb’s current market penetration represents less than 2% of the share. As such, there is a huge runway for Airbnb’s growth over the next decade. In terms of competition, most Online Travel Agencies (OTA) provide traditional hotel accommodation (Marriott, Hilton, Accor, Wyndham, and InterContinental, for example). These OTAs are not the real competitors for Airbnb. Instead, Booking.com (BKNG) is expanding its traditional hotel business into the alternative accommodation industry. Expedia (EXPE) entered the alternative accommodation market via the acquisition of VRBO in December 2015. However, Airbnb has the first-mover advantage with a very strong brand. I believe Airbnb’s technology and supplies are superior to their peers, and it is hard for Expedia and Booking.com to compete against Airbnb in the alternative accommodations space. One of the main expenses for Online Travel Agencies is sales and marketing. They have to spend billions of dollars on Google, Facebook, and other social media platforms to attract traffic. The table below shows the sales and marketing expenses as a percentage of sales. Both Booking.com and Expedia spend almost half of their sales on sales and marketing. According to Airbnb’s disclosure, 80% of their website traffic comes from direct and organic search. In contrast, Booking.com and Expedia only have 60% direct traffic. In other words, Airbnb has the highest brand awareness among these travelers. With a high ratio of direct traffic and organic search, Airbnb spends much less than its peers. In Q1 FY23’s earning call, Airbnb indicated their sales and marketing expense as percentage of sales would remain the same in FY23. In late 2019, Airbnb's costs were rising, and growth was slowing. They spent a huge amount of money on performance marketing, which was basically selling their products as a commodity. Their product was looking less different from their competitors. When the COVID occurred, they lost 80% of sales in eight weeks, and they shut down all marketing spending. Interestingly, when the travel market rebounded, Airbnb's business came back to almost the same level as before, with much less marketing expenses. Currently, they spend much less on performance marketing, and most of their expenses are focused on their products/services. They have had 600,000 articles about Airbnb. These efforts have put Airbnb in a much better shape today. 90% of Airbnb's hosts are individuals. Airbnb can capitalize on the personal experience provided by these unique individual hosts, as opposed to a standard hotel service. Customers can find unique properties, differentiated amenities, as well as local insights from these individual hosts. Airbnb is putting in a lot of effort into the experience market. In Q4 FY22's earnings call, Airbnb expressed that they were beginning to ramp up their Airbnb Experience business and expect to launch more products/services over the coming years. In my opinion, Airbnb Experience may not bring notable direct sales to Airbnb, but it would enhance the stickiness and loyalty of Airbnb's customers. Airbnb Experience would make the Airbnb platform unique and boost their sales indirectly. Furthermore, Airbnb Experience could become more relevant with AI technology. In Q1 FY23's earnings call, Airbnb disclosed that they are building AI into their products. Airbnb is working with OpenAI ChatGPT, and Airbnb will embed ChatGPT into their app. The AI powered product will be launched next year. Leveraging AI technology, Airbnb can make their Airbnb Experience and accommodation recommendations more relevant to any consumer. To put it another way, Airbnb would know your preferences for travel destinations and accommodations before you start searching for anything. Long-term Stay: As disclosed, 20% of Airbnb's gross bookings are long-term stays currently. Long-term stays are the fastest-growing segment in terms of trip length. The pandemic also accelerated some inevitable growth for long-term stays. Long-term stays mean higher margins for both hosts and Airbnb. In Q1 FY23's earnings call, Airbnb indicated that long-term stays would be one of the biggest growth areas over the next five years. Airbnb made over a dozen upgrades to long-term stays based on affordability, and they also have new discounting tools for hosts on weekly and monthly stays. Airbnb expects more hosts to exclusively list long-term stays with Airbnb. In addition, 62% of Airbnb's guests are under 34 years old, and Airbnb is focusing on the next generation of travelers. These young customers are more likely to use Airbnb as the platform for long-term stays. The key thing to remember is that more long-term stays mean higher margins for Airbnb. Airbnb indicated that, in the current macroeconomic environment, consumers are looking for affordable ways to travel on Airbnb. Airbnb is adding more affordable accommodations to their platform. The average price of Airbnb rooms is only $67 per night. Before the pandemic, 80% of Airbnb's sales were coming from either cross-border or urban accommodations. The cross-border business would contribute more sales to Airbnb than other types of travel. The cross-border traveling could be very weak if high inflation persists. Despite this, the global travel market had been growing fast in the past, and I expect the growth will continue in the future. We are using a two-stage DCF model to estimate Airbnb’s fair value. In the model, we assume 20% of normalized sales growth rate, which we believe is quite conservative. We assume they can expand their operating margin by 30bps annually and will reach 25.5% in FY32.Their free cash flow conversion was quite healthy in the past, and we assume they will deliver 35.8% in FY32. In addition, we use 10% of WACC, and 15% of nonGAAP tax rate in the model. The present value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) over the next 10 years is estimated to be $32 billion, and the present value of terminal value is $88 billion. As such, the total enterprise value is estimated to be $120 billion. Adjusting gross debt and cash balance, the fair value of the stock price is $ 200, according to our estimate. All things considered, the huge underpenetrated market, strong brand awareness, and growing trend of long-term stays, in my opinion, will provide Airbnb with a huge runway for growth over the next decade. Their competitors are way behind them, and Airbnb would be the best player for the alternative accommodation service provider. In my view, the current stock price is significantly undervalued, and we encourage investors to buy during the weakness. at the end I always bet on Brian Chesky
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by moonypto
2
$ABNB (Potential Bullish Reversal)Aug 8, 2024: EOD price $114.63 - Monthly: the stock price has fallen 18% - Weekly: price retraced to fib 61.8% (bullish range: 12/28/22 - 03/21/23) - Daily: RSI is under 24, MACD is still red to the downside - 4hr, MACD is curling up (same with RSI); inside candle, above open at $113.98 In call options: NASDAQ:ABNB $118c exp 8/16/2024 @ $1.14. Delta: 30 | Gamma: 6.7 | Theta: -12.69 | Vega: 5.88 Entry: $114.51 Target Price (TP): $119.99 (50%+ on contract) Stop Loss: $113 (50-60% on contract) Reward-to-Reward: 3.42-to-1 ratio Next Steps: - Monitor trade tomorrow, Friday, Aug 9 - Monitor /ES & /NQ to ensure price doesn't reverse on me drastically - Keep TP and Stop Loss
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by Brandonthrives
Airbnb: Almost there 🌴The Airbnb share price is heading increasingly toward our magenta target zone with its magenta wave (ii). After reaching it, we expect a far-reaching rise in the magenta wave (iii), which will extend to around 200. Necessary for our primary scenario here is that the price stays within the support at $103.55. When crossing, the alternative would activate, which we assign a probability of 20%, and the price would have to target the turquoise target zone before a rise
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by MarketIntel
Airbnb (ABNB) | Breakout, Confirmed With July Close!Hi, Again, buy the strength, and this time - Airbnb (ABNB) Started in 2008, Airbnb is the world's largest online alternative accommodation travel agency, also offering booking services for boutique hotels and experiences. Airbnb's platform offered 6.7 million active accommodation listings as of March 31, 2023. Listings from the company's over 4 million hosts are spread over almost every country in the world. In the fourth quarter of 2022, 47% of revenue was from the North American region. Airbnb has managed to push above strong areas which is confirmed by July close. A monthly close is the best confirmation on that occasion and currently, the price of ABNB has already started to retest the breakout area. Basically, $125 to $145 was the area that played an important role in the previous price action - it has worked as a support level, and after the break below it has acted as a resistance level. In the short history of date, we can say that this area is the key zone for Airbnb and the price is finally above it which allows calling that technically it would be a good place to buy. The monthly close was also above the mid-round number of $150 which is a minor win but we will take it and definitely adds a bit of strength to the retest area. * Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay between $125 to $142 * Target updates going to the chat room! Good luck!
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by VaidoVeek
2
Airbnb: Vacation Ready 🌴🌞After finishing up the turquoise wave 1, the Airbnb stock should get some rest and drop into a correction to reach the turquoise target zone between $101.66 and $90.36. Within this zone, we expect the corrective low of the turquoise wave 2, which is followed by an upwards trend back North. Our alternative scenario with a probability of 35% implies, that the course could drop below the support line at $81.91 and continue with a downwards slope until hitting the low of the grey wave alt. II in the grey target zone.
NASDAQ:ABNB
by MarketIntel
Airbnb, Inc. Potential Corrective Move AheadLooks like Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) can easily print a bullish move. We have higher lows since late June. It can just as easy go down if it breaks below the early November low. Likely to go higher though since December is coming/holidays and people travel and rent a lot. The immediate resistance is set at 99.9. The easy target is 111.11 The potential target range for a bigger upward correction is the 123 to 130 range. Some mixed signals but we lean LONG. Namaste.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by MasterAnanda
ABNB - WAS the OMICRON slide an overreaction?Price testing the 0.618 FIB level from the last impulse run-up. Potential double bottom on the 1 hr is evident, Price may go a little lower to test the Bigger picture double bottom neckline. Retracement leg has 5 Eliotte waves evident, Looking for price action to consolidate in the yellow box and provide an entry long trigger. Fundamental and sentiment: Price action may be sensitive to headlines about Omicron and general global COVID restrictions.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by Mishka1
ABNB 4H - BullishOversold RSI, MACD slowly approaching trend reversal signal, the price currently testing resistance, and green bullish candles. Will we see the breaking of resistance in the near future? Here's how I would trade ABNB 4H: Enter a long position - if a valid break of current resistance occurs. Take profit ideas: TG1 - 189$ TG2 - 197$ TG3 - 203$ TG4 - 208$ TG5 - 216$ TG6 - 224$ ------------------ I keep it simple and clean! Likes, comments, and follows are dearly appreciated. Let me know what you think and which ones you would like for me to analyze next. Trade safely! ------------------ About Airbnb: "Airbnb, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a platform for stays and experiences to guests worldwide. The company's marketplace model connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces and experiences. It primarily offers private rooms and luxury villas. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. Airbnb, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California." Source: Yahoo Finance
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by Droz_TA
$ABNBAn essential aspect of Airbnb's business is that the company does not own or operate any rental properties. Similar to eBay, it creates the platform and manages the interactions between hosts and guests. The asset-light business model has the potential for excellent profit margins because there is no need to pay for building or maintaining expensive structures like hotels or resorts. Moreover, Airbnb can hire customer service staff in low-cost parts of the world to support guests staying at properties in high-cost areas like Los Angeles.  The coronavirus pandemic caused Airbnb's revenue to fall by 29.7% in fiscal 2020. Before the outbreak, Airbnb increased revenue by 42.6% and 31.6% in 2018 and 2019, respectively. Overall revenue was highest in 2019, where it totaled $4.8 billion. Still, management feels that's just the tip of the iceberg. It estimates Airbnb's total addressable market at around $3.4 trillion. To put that figure into context, Statista estimates the worldwide hotel and resort market peaked at $1.47 trillion in 2019. It seems management's estimate of its total addressable market may be on the optimistic side. Airbnb I’ve been very bullish on before it even went public. It has a slight rough start to the year but it seems to have found its step. It had a clear double bottom on the daily and now is following a nice upwards trend and is now currently sitting at support Implying, if Airbnb is able to hold these prices we could see this continue it’s way up and with earnings around the corner it would be very interesting to see what happens from here. MACD flat. RSI below 50. Watchlist this. Factor Four
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by TheBlankFund
Airbnb stock, is it a buy?Who doesn't know AirBnB? Airbnb, Inc., operates a platform for stays and experiences to guests worldwide. The company's marketplace model connects hosts and guests online or through mobile devices to book spaces and experiences. It primarily offers private rooms and luxury villas. The company was formerly known as AirBed & Breakfast, Inc. and changed its name to Airbnb, Inc. in November 2010. On March 11 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the outbreak of coronavirus, known as COVID-19, to be a global pandemic. Since then, the outbreak has evolved rapidly, with governments worldwide taking swift action to slow the spread of COVID-19. Airbnb was affected by this declaration because that meant that his business model would suffer tremendously as travelling around the world would come to a halt. No tourists = no income. At the time, Airbnb was not traded publicly. It was not until last December 2020 when Airbnb IPO happened and created the only imbalance available on the monthly timeframe, around 146 dollars per share. The meteoric rise of Airbnb across cities since its introduction in 2008 has disrupted the housing markets of major cities worldwide. Some studies demonstrate the increasing trend in rental and property prices that parallels increasing Airbnb activity. The COVID-19 pandemic presents a unique case study of this stock. Amid growing concern over how the delta variant of Covid-19 could affect people's travel plans, Airbnb (ABNB) endured another month with monthly demand in control. Why? Because the revenue model of Airbnb is founded on is under significant pressure with the halting of global travel. Regardless of any negative impact that COVID-19 may have had on Airbnb, imbalances are created and usually created when there is a trending market unless there is over-extension. Airbnb shares may have dropped after investor worries about the impact of Delta variant on travel overshadowed the online rental company's second-quarter results. Yet, that report didn't do much with the monthly imbalance taking control around $146. I hold shares of this monster business that will probably become the Amazon of online accommodation reservations.
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by AlfonsoMoreno
1
Airbnb (ABNB) We all know Airbnb, no matter where you are, by opening the app you will surely find accommodation. This simple idea has led Airbnb to have a Market Cap superior to the most important and historic chains in the Hotel sector, such as Hilton, Marriot, or Accor. The IPO that arrived in December 2020 immediately had a big boost after the first week of trading, as often happens. Between February and March, we had a double top, followed by an important descent that ended in May, also accompanied by negative ROI and P / E below expectations, but obviously, data conditioned by what is happening in the world. After the double low in July, I was expecting the break of the resistance trendline, which then took place on July 30th. We are facing a possible trend reversal that will have to be confirmed by the breakout of the price level of $ 157.49. As far as I'm concerned, this is not short-term trading, but a long-term investment. I believe in the company, in its fundamentals, and in its growth. Considering the global scenario, with a pandemic not yet completely overcome, for my portfolio, it was time to insert ABNB. We are close to the Earnings, I intentionally entered first with a part of the investment. Should the price fall, the important levels to buy are $ 130 and $ 121. For those interested in medium-term speculation, the levels where to take profit in my opinion are: - $ 170 - $ 190 - $ 216 A few important statistics as of August 8, 2021: Short Float: 5.16% Average analyst target price: $ 173.68 RSI (14): 60.57 Performance Half Y: -23.20% (last very important figure, considering the potential of the company, let's always remember the words of Warren Buffett: Try to be greedy when others are scared, and scared when others are greedy). Lazy Bull
NASDAQ:ABNBLong
by LazyBull5
1