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Alcohol

Diageo | DEO | Long at $101.15Diego NYSE:DEO is the owner of alcohol brands such as Johnnie Walker, Crown Royal, Smirnoff, Baileys, Guinness, Tanqueray, Don Julio, Cîroc, and Captain Morgan. The stock has fallen significantly since 2021 due to several factors, such as: post-COVID recovery slowdown; retail/travel disruptions hurting high-margin segments; inflationary pressures raising costs for materials like glass and agave, squeezing margins; consumer downtrading to cheaper alternatives; and macroeconomic headwinds. While tariffs may prolong overall recovery, I do not think it's the end for this company by any means. Factors likely to drive NYSE:DEO stock higher include: Interest Rate Cuts : Expected U.S. rate cuts in 2025 could boost consumer confidence and spending, benefiting premium brands. Lower rates may also reduce debt costs, easing pressure on its debt load. Productivity Initiatives : NYSE:DEO $2B savings program (2025-2027) aims to improve efficiency, margins, and cash flow, potentially restoring investor confidence. Undervaluation : Trading at 17.5x forward earnings (below historical 21x), the stock may attract value investors. From a technical analysis perspective, NYSE:DEO has been riding my "crash" simple moving average zone. While the momentum has a strong downtrend, entry into this "crash" zone typically only happens a few times before a trend reversal. But there is a good probability, that my "major crash" zone (currently in the $80s) is possible before a true reversal. Regardless, without a crystal ball, I am starting to form a position and plan to add more if the "major crash" happens with this stock. Thus, at $101.15, NYSE:DEO is in a personal buy zone with the noted potential for a drop into the $80s due to projected earnings revisions, etc. Targets into 2027: $120.00 (+18.6%) $140.00 (+38.4%)
NYSE:DEOLong
by WorthlessViews
MGP Ingredients | MGPI | Long at $29.57MGP Ingredients NASDAQ:MGPI has been in "crash" phase since 2023 due to lower U.S. liquor consumption, a whiskey glut, a CEO resignation, a facility closure, and a shift to higher-margin business. While currently trading near $30, the book value is at $39, forward price-to-earnings is 8x, debt-to-equity is 0.4x (low), and some insiders have been awarded stocks and options (although, selling has been rather high, too). Earnings and revenue are expected to grow slowly beyond 2025, but this year is anticipated to be the worst in some time. The low expectations may already be priced in, but time will tell. While I do not plan to be a long-term holder of the stock, the price is within my "crash" simple moving average area and the fundamentals aren't terrible. If interest rates are lowered within the next year, I believe this could begin the turnaround for the company (although slow). Thus, at $29.57, NASDAQ:MGPI is in a personal buy zone for a swing trade. Targets: $35.00 (+18.4%) $40.00 (+35.3%)
NASDAQ:MGPILong
by WorthlessViews
Why booze stocks are so cheap (part 1002)This analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research—sign up for their Substack to receive the latest market insights straight to your inbox. Now, I do not think Brown Forman will return to 32x earnings anytime soon — if ever — but if you even half the implied return from multiple expansion you still have plenty of upside. Ditto Remy — I do not love Remy because Cognac, for lack of a better term, is screwed. But there’s still obviously value there and it trades on a very depressed multiple — what’s to say the family has had enough and finds a buyer? Finally, Diageo. Less upside but more certainty — Guinness sells very well among Gen Z while their spirits portfolio continues to ebb along, if only growth in the low single digits. Valuations always tend to normalise, especially for companies which make staples. Paying 30x earnings was always too much — I used to look at Brown-Forman enviously, and wish it were cheaper. Well, now it is! And nobody likes it. On chart is a couple of headlines from Barron’s. I love to go counter-consensus to the media, because usually that’s a sign of peak pessimism. On chart are some headlines about Meta when everyone hated the stock in 2022/2023. Obviously, the booze stocks are not Meta — Meta is a cash flow machine! Zuck wears a gold chain! Zuck would like us to know he is a Cool Guy! But still — price drives narrative. Everyone was dissing Meta in 2022 (and I felt like an idiot buying it), now they love it. Ditto booze stocks. People aren’t going to stop drinking. That’s it. That’s the thesis.
NASDAQ:META
by BlackBull_Markets
Can BUD recover? LONGBUD trended down in the social media fiasco until June 1st and then reversed. Based on long term VWAP lines ( mean and standard deviations) anchored to April 1st on the one hour chart, BUD is crossing over VWAP lines from below and is now approaching the mean VWAP at 59.25. It could make a bullish move and cross the mean VWAP or it could bounce down if short sellers dominate buyers and longs closing their positions. The dual time frame RSI shows both low time frame and high time frame strength over 50. The three in one indicator shows money flow and momentum to also be bullish. My call options expiring 12/15/23 striking $55 are up 23% since July 1st. This is reasonable unrealized profit for the risk taken. I see BUD with more upside potential than downside risk. I will take more call option contracts for $65.00 at a premium of $195.00. they have appreciated 15% in the past 24 hours. This is a conservative low beta low risk options trade. Buy low, sell high !
NYSE:BUD
by AwesomeAvani
EXPLAINED: Calculation for CFD Brokerage with Anheuser ExampleHow do I calculate the brokerage I'll pay on a local CFD trade? You’ll need to calculate the brokerage you’ll pay to enter your trade and the brokerage you’ll need to pay to exit your trade. We’ll first need to lay out all the necessary information to calculate what brokerages you’ll pay… For this example, we’re going to use a trade example with Anheuser Busch InBev. And we’ll use the brokerage of 0.30% leg in (entry) and 0.30% leg out (exit) to pay. Here are all the specifics needed for this trade: Portfolio value: R40,000 Trade: JSE:ANH Type: Long (buy) Brokerage rate in: 0.30% Brokerage rate out: 0.30% Entry: R1,184.00 Stop loss: R1,143.00 Take profit: R1,215.00 Calculation #1: Calculating your ENTRY brokerage with CFDs Step #1: Know what your max portfolio risk is per trade Max % risk = (Portfolio value X 2%) = (R40,000 X 2%) = R800 Step #2: Find out the rands risked in trade Rands risked = (Entry – Stop loss) = (R1,184.00 – R1,143) = R41.00 Step #3: Calculate the number of CFD contracts to trade No. CFDs = (Max % risk ÷ Rands risked) = (R800 ÷ R41.00) = 19.51 SIDE NOTE: We always round down the number of CFDs, so that we risk less than what we choose to risk instead of more. Therefore, we will buy 19 CFDs in this specific trade. Step #4: Calculate your ENTRY exposure for the CFD trade Entry exposure = (Entry price X No. CFDs) = (R1,184 X 19 CFDs) = R22,496 Brokerage in = (Entry exposure X Broker rate in) = (R22,496 X 0.30%) = R67.48 This means, you’ll need to pay a brokerage of R67.48 in order to buy (go long) 9 Anheuser CFDs. Now we can move onto the next brokerage leg. Calculation #2: Calculating your EXIT brokerage with CFDs Step #1: Work out your EXIT exposure for the CFD trade Exit exposure = (Exit price X No. CFDs) = (R1,215 X 19 CFDs) = R23,085 Step #2: Calculate your brokerage leg out Brokerage out = (Exit exposure X Broker rate out) = (R23,085 X 0.30%) = R69.25 Step #3: Calculate the total brokerage for the CFD trade Total brokerage = (brokerage leg in + Brokerage leg out) = (R67.48+ R69.25) = R136.73 This means, if the trade hit your take profit level you would have ended up paying a total brokerage of R136.73 for your Anheuser CFD long trade.
JSE:ANHEducation
by Timonrosso
ABINBEV ready to break up and beyond to 76.38Scallop pattern has formed on the daily. It hasn't created the pattern fully and a breakout is important to wait for. The problem is before the Scallop there was an extended Rectangle pattern with a little range. This box formation could take place again as companies tend to have their own trading personality. Until the breakout occurs, it's a risky position to be in. 7>21>200 RSI>50 Target 76.38 ABOUT THE COMPANY AB InBev (Anheuser-Busch InBev) is a multinational beverage and brewing company headquartered in Leuven, Belgium. The company was formed in 2008 through the merger of Belgium-based InBev and American-based Anheuser-Busch. AB InBev is the largest beer producer in the world, with a portfolio of over 500 beer brands sold in more than 150 countries. Some of the company's most well-known brands include Budweiser, Corona, Stella Artois, and Beck's. The company has a market capitalization of over HKEX:160 billion (as of April 2023). AB InBev has 155,000 employees worldwide and operates 170 breweries across the globe. The company is known for its aggressive acquisition strategy, having acquired several major beer companies over the years, including SABMiller in 2016.
CAPITALCOM:BUDLong
by Timonrosso
Diageo plc (DGE.l) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the daily chart in the UK company Diageo plc (DGE.l). Diageo plc is a British multinational alcoholic beverage company. It is a major distributor of Scotch whisky and other spirits. Distilleries owned by Diageo, produce 40% of all Scotch whisky with over 24 brands, such as Johnnie Walker, J&B and Vat 69. Its leading brands include Johnnie Walker, Guinness, Smirnoff, Baileys liqueur, Captain Morgan rum and Tanqueray and Gordon's gin. The Triangle broke through the resistance line on 23/03/2023. If the price holds above this level, you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 15 days towards 3 739.00 GBX. According to experts, your stop-loss order should be placed at 3 438.50 GBX if you decide to enter this position. If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. Diageo managed to grow EPS by 7.3% per year, over three years. While that sort of growth rate isn't anything to write home about, it does show the business is growing. Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals and cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
LSE:DGELong
by legacyFXofficial
Triple Bottom on the RSI? Inverse Head & Shoulder?Since Tinley has broken down from a Descending Triangle / Bearish Flag pattern, which outlined in dark red, it appears as though Tinley may have created a Triple Bottom on the RSI. It looks like an Inverted Head & Shoulders where I have the Blue arrow pointing sideways on the RSI, and at the same time could be a Triple Bottom if there's continued bullish momentum. The bottom of the descending triangle pattern is where I expect to see a potential bounce 2, if Tinley can release any substantial news there's merit for bullish price movement back into the pattern or slicing through it like butter. I expect to see rejection or some heavy resistance preventing Tinley from breaking above were the Green arrow ends upward. The RSI is so oversold on a 1 year chart it's hard not to consider this a screaming buy with blood on the streets, especially considering pending news announcements that could be quite significant in terms of shaping the company's direction going forward. On a 1 month chart TNY bounced off the 200 Day MA & is currently trading above it.
TLong
by ScotianBot
TNY Update.Today's move is nice to see everyone, but we're still looking at a lower high on a macro level since Dec 2018. That may not seem macro to some investors, which is fine, but it's still important to note in regards to charting. All information helps, especially in hindsight when trying to learn new trading methods, I guess I'm speaking for myself. Anyway, a follow up news release may still be required to prevent the shorts from playing whack a mole. For a meaningful higher low I'd say the safest area is above the Dec low, and that's where we have a recent lower high as well. If we can get up to 47c in the next few trading sessions it would be a nice V shape recovery. Time will tell per usual.
TLong
by ScotianBot
DEO breaks out of ascending triangle to gap above .50 FibEstablish long position now and accumulate strongly if shares break above 143.75. DEO shares rose 1.33% on 11/8 and closed near the top their range, forming a bullish pin candlestick. This comes after having opened significantly higher (>$3) than the previous close, leaving a gap around $140 that may enact some gravitational pull on share prices in the near-term. This risk is far outweighed, in my view, by looks to be a break out out from an ascending triangle continuation pattern, an interpretation which would allow shares to move quickly higher into 2019 as they reclaim and then far outpace the appreciation they enjoyed in September. - Bullish cross of DI+ above DI- reflect the lower highs and higher lows throughout October, a classic sign of an ascending triangle continuation pattern. After a brief but intense period of consolidation, the buying pressure in the stock has finally 'won' out, and yesterday's bullish - While ADX continues to decline further below 20, this is acceptable in my view given the large positive and negative swings associated with triangle consolidation. Note: ADX measures strength (but not direction) of trends, and levels below 20 are generally associated with weakening or non-trending (rangebound) shares. This is technically the weakest part of the chart, and improvement in this line back above 20 would give strong incremental confirmation of the potential bullish continuation. - I still think some shares are definitely worth buying before this occurs. Looking closer at ADX, the rate of decline has been decelerating over the past week, and the rightmost edge of the line has just shown a minor but undeniable inflection back into an upward slope. - MUCH MORE IMPORTANT (and more intuitive), the movement of the ADX line shows visible correlation with the green DI+ line throughout October's ups and down. Since DI+ and D- are measures of trend direction (cumulative recent up moves vs. down moves), the relationship suggested strong commitment from Bulls throughout the month of October, 'stepping up' to fuel brief recoveries while not strong enough to notch higher highs (hence Rising Triangle). -------- Rough Notes: *** The idea is that these mini-rallies, with the DI+ crossing above DI-), create pent-up volume...confirmed in BOTH signals... would lvoe to have three but might as well take a chance now...shares look cheap, The one bar outside the triangle suggested Current share prices of are ALMOST EXACTLY EQUIDISTANT in upside/downside between 52-week high and low. at first that the bears shows INDECISION, another debatably positive sign in my view (Bulls are 'stepping up' to meet selling pressures). - This correlation is a notable change from September, when a sub-20 and weakening ADX line failed to confirm the short-term lift - There are several obvious recovery in DEO. Note that the signal was falsely - Last but not least we see a consistent building in On-Balance-Volume (OBV), a leading price and volume indicator that may be interpreted as "Smart Money". Just as we saw in ABX, OBV did NOT confirm the pre-October run-up in DEO shares, and I note current declines are reflecting recent consolidation in the stock as bears give up their tough is acceptable in this case as triangle's are precursors giving further support to the ascending triangle interpretation, - More notably, a close - Above logic may imply ... -
NYSE:DEOLong
by jginnetty17
Bitcoin - Drunk Daily PlayAlright guys, I am drunk. Probably alcohol is a bad idea. Anyways, according to these fancy Waves, Lines, and Fibonacci numbers, it seems that I am hoping to play a short position from the confirmed Wave 2 (Minute) position. Looking for strong confirmation signals of continued bearish trend from the 0.236 Retracement level of the previous Wave 1 (Minute) movement. It will be even better if we see some shit like Shooting Star Doji just barely above 55EMA on 1 hour charts where the presumed Wave 3 (Minute) seeks to find its footing . ~$8729 should be the FINAL target movement from that position - being conservative. I don't trust the Fin MMs. Good night you guys.!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by garbledgitter
Iconic Brands + Christie Brinkley + huge alcohol market = winnerIconic Brands has seen a healthy past few months, holding in a fairly tight trading pattern after a very impressive move up from the $0.000x range. The 2016 annual financials have been posted and of particular interest is the section that discusses debt settlement and terms being worked out to a fixed conversion of shares and not the typical toxic death spiral. www.iconicbrandsusa.com <- worth checking out. Expecting some major growth throughout 2017.
OTC:ICNBLong
by TradeForProfits