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Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support?USDJPY – Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support? 🌍 Fundamental & Macro Outlook USDJPY has faced strong downside pressure recently as risk-off sentiment boosts demand for the Japanese Yen, following escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rallied on geopolitical concerns but is struggling to sustain momentum near the 98.30 resistance zone. Despite the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy, JPY is acting as a safe haven in current global risk conditions. Traders are awaiting next week’s monetary policy decisions from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Both central banks are expected to keep rates unchanged, but forward guidance could spark major volatility. According to UOB Group, the dollar's recovery potential is weakening, and further downside toward 142.20 is possible, unless price reclaims the 144.60–144.95 resistance zone. 📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart 🔸 Trend Structure USDJPY remains in a mild downtrend, but price has bounced from the 143.074 key support zone. A recovery towards 144.624 is in play, but that zone must be cleared for bullish continuation. 🔸 EMA Outlook Price is currently testing the EMA 89 and 200 — a rejection from this area could trigger another move down. EMA 13 & 34 are now acting as short-term dynamic support. 🔸 Key Price Zones Resistance: 144.60 – 145.26 Support: 143.07 – 142.20 🧠 Market Sentiment Risk aversion continues to dominate as geopolitical headlines drive sentiment. The Yen is benefitting from capital protection flows despite Japan’s dovish stance. Large funds may be starting to hedge by rotating into JPY from elevated USD levels. 🎯 Trading Scenarios for June 13 📌 Scenario 1 – Short Setup (Rejection at Resistance) Entry: 144.60 – 144.90 Stop-Loss: 145.30 Take-Profit: 143.60 → 143.07 → 142.50 📌 Scenario 2 – Long Setup (Rebound from Support) Entry: 143.10 – 143.20 Stop-Loss: 142.70 Take-Profit: 144.00 → 144.60 ✅ Wait for confirmation at key levels — avoid trading in the middle of the range when volatility is headline-driven. ✅ Conclusion USDJPY remains trapped between strong resistance at 145.26 and buying interest at 143.07. If risk sentiment persists, the Yen may continue to strengthen. However, central bank decisions next week (Fed & BoJ) will be the major catalysts for any medium-term breakout.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
GBPUSD – Sterling Slips Amid Geopolitical Risk |GBPUSD – Sterling Slips Amid Geopolitical Risk | Will Support Hold for a Bounce? 🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Overview The British Pound (GBP) is under pressure as risk sentiment deteriorates following a sharp escalation between Israel and Iran. Israel launched a major military campaign, striking dozens of nuclear and military facilities in northeastern Tehran. PM Netanyahu announced the start of "Operation Rising Lion", aimed at eliminating the Iranian nuclear threat. US President Donald Trump voiced support, stating that Iran “must never have a nuclear bomb.” Investors reacted by fleeing to safe-haven assets, pushing the US Dollar (DXY) from 97.60 to nearly 98.30. Meanwhile, next week’s Bank of England (BoE) and Federal Reserve meetings are in focus. Both are expected to hold rates steady, but weak UK economic data may pressure the BoE to adopt a more cautious or dovish tone. 📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart 🔸 Trend Structure GBPUSD broke down from its recent high at 1.36288 and is now approaching key support between 1.35350 and 1.34957. As long as 1.3495 holds, the move appears to be a technical correction, not a reversal. 🔸 Fibonacci & Moving Averages Current price sits near Fibonacci 0.236 retracement of the recent swing. Price is trading below the EMA 13 & 34, but EMA 200 near 1.353x still acts as potential support. 🔸 Resistance to Watch The next upside target sits at 1.3588, followed by the previous high at 1.3628. 🧠 Market Sentiment Risk aversion is dominating due to geopolitical headlines. GBP is vulnerable as a risk-sensitive currency. However, if tensions ease and central bank decisions next week come in line with expectations, GBP could rebound from its currently discounted levels. 🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion ✅ BUY ZONE: 1.35350 – 1.34957 Stop-Loss: 1.3460 Take-Profit Targets: 1.3588 → 1.3628 Enter only on bullish price action confirmation around the support zone. ✅ Conclusion GBPUSD is trading under geopolitical stress, but the technical setup around 1.3495 – 1.3535 offers a potential bounce zone. A short-term recovery could unfold if sentiment stabilizes and central banks maintain the expected policy stance.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?XAUUSD – Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move? 🌍 Geopolitical Shock Fuels Market Volatility The gold market responded sharply after Israel launched a series of targeted airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, including the Natanz uranium site. These actions triggered global concern: Gold jumped to $3,430/oz, hitting a new weekly high WTI crude surged by over 8% US equity indices dipped significantly The US remains officially neutral but confirmed it will defend its troops if provoked Investors are now moving rapidly into safe-haven assets, especially gold. 📊 Technical Breakdown (H1/M30) Trend Structure: Bullish momentum continues following the breakout above $3,392 Key Support Zone: $3,412–$3,426, with price holding above this region Fair Value Gap (FVG): Identified between $3,405–$3,412, could act as re-entry zone EMA Alignment: Price is above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs — signalling strength across short and long-term moving averages Psychological Resistance: Eyes now on the $3,454–$3,456 zone for potential selling pressure 🧠 Market Sentiment & Risk Behaviour Risk-off mood dominates: Capital is rotating into gold, CHF, and JPY Traders are reacting to news headlines over economic data Institutional flows are entering strongly on dips, building positions in defensive assets 🎯 Trade Setup for 13th June ✅ Buy Zone: 3384 – 3382 Stop-Loss: 3378 Targets: 3388 – 3392 – 3396 – 3400 – 3405 – 3410 ❌ Sell Zone: 3454 – 3456 Stop-Loss: 3460 Targets: 3450 – 3446 – 3442 – 3438 – 3434 – 3430 📌 Tactical Summary Gold remains a go-to asset amid geopolitical uncertainty. While the technicals support further upside, caution is warranted near resistance. Any easing in military headlines could trigger a fast retracement. 🔍 Pro tip: Avoid chasing. Let price confirm near key levels before entering. Manage risk diligently in high-volatility environments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 13, 2025 EURUSDEvents to pay attention today: 12:00 EET. EUR - Foreign trade balance 17:00 EET. USD - University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index EURUSD : EUR/USD interrupted its four-day winning streak, retreating from 1.16310, its highest level since October 2021, and is currently trading around 1.15300 in Asian hours on Friday. The pair is depreciating as the US dollar (USD) gains support as traders shift to increased demand for safe-haven assets due to rising tensions in the Middle East. Israel has attacked dozens of targets across Iran to eliminate its nuclear programme. Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz said Israel could face a missile and drone strike after Israel's pre-emptive strike on Iran. Katz declared a special state of emergency in the country, Axios reports. In addition, White House Secretary of State Marco Rubio issued a statement: ‘Tonight, Israel took unilateral action against Iran. We are not participating in strikes against Iran, and our top priority is to protect American troops in the region.’ ‘President Trump and the administration have taken all necessary measures to protect our troops and are in close contact with our regional partners.’ ‘Let me be clear: Iran should not target US interests or personnel,’ Rubio added. However, the decline in the EUR/USD pair may be limited, as the US dollar (USD) may face difficulties after US President Donald Trump's new threat to extend steel tariffs from 23 June to imported ‘steel-derived products’ such as household appliances, e.g. dishwashers, washing machines, refrigerators, etc. The tariffs were initially introduced in March at 25% and then doubled to 50% for most countries. This is the second time that the scope of the duties has been expanded. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.15300, SL 1.15500, TP 1.14400
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USD/JPY(20250613)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending June 7 was 248,000, higher than the expected 240,000, the highest since the week of October 5, 2024. The monthly rate of the core PPI in the United States in May was 0.1%, lower than the expected 0.30%. Traders once again fully priced in the Fed's two interest rate cuts this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.73 Support and resistance levels: 145.09 144.58 144.25 143.21 142.88 142.37 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.73, consider buying in, the first target price is 144.25 If the price breaks through 143.21, consider selling in, the first target price is 142.88
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
GBP/JPY - Triangle Breakout (12.06.2025)The GBP/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 194.34 2nd Support – 193.76 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
72
BTCUSDT: Strong bullish trend, 102k–106k supports heavily defend__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum : Bullish trend remains dominant from 1D down to 1H. Corrective consolidation on shorter timeframes (15/30min). Key supports/resistances : 102,000, 104,800, 106,000 (key supports) – 109,500, 110,800–111,000 (major resistances and ATH zone). Volume : Normal to moderately high depending on local volatility. No climax or distribution/absorption anomalies. Multi-TF behaviour : Risk On / Risk Off Indicator at “Strong Buy” across all >2H timeframes, ISPD DIV neutral, no detected capitulation or excess behaviour. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global bias : Strongly bullish on swing/daily horizon, healthy consolidation on short timeframes. Opportunities : Favour swing entries on retests of 102k–106k supports, dynamic stops below 102k. Risk zones : Break and close below 104,800, especially 102,000 = bullish bias invalidated. Macro triggers : FOMC unchanged, stable US context, focus on upcoming inflation/employment data. Action plan : Actively monitor pivot zones and on-chain behaviour; act on confirmed breakout signal or deep retest. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D / 12H : Pivot support at 102k–106k, resistance 109.5k–111k. Bullish bias maintained, no excess volume, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator confirmed “Strong Buy.” Market remains mature, no concerning distribution. 6H / 4H : Structured supports 104.8k–106k, resistances 108.3k–110.8k. Healthy consolidation, swing buyers strong. 2H / 1H : Dense supports 105.6k–106.2k, barrier 109.5k–110.8k. Positive momentum, no extreme ISP/volume signals. 30min / 15min : MTFTI “Down” trend—micro-consolidation after extension. No stress, digestion/reload phase. Multi-TF summary : Strong bullish alignment above 1H. Micro TFs in low-risk consolidation—entry opportunity on clear retracement. __________________________________________________________________________________ Cross-analysis, synthesis & strategy __________________________________________________________________________________ Confluences : Stable macro, on-chain & technical supports aligned, no panic or excess volume. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator “Strong Buy” dominates daily/swing horizons. Risks/unexpected : Potential sharp volatility if breakout >111k or sub-102k support break. Optimal plan : Defensive buying on support, tight stop <102k, active management post-macro data. On-chain : Strong recovery since $101k, matured supply, solid STH cost basis at $97.6k. Caution window : Wait for US data release before heavy positioning; favour scalping/swing on confirmed signal. Objective : Leverage multi-indicator confluence, stay flexible/reactive if structural break. BTC market retains strong bullish markers on all ≥1H timeframes. No behavioural or volume stress. Best approach: defensive buys near supports, tight stops, watch for macro releases. Stay reactive to ATH breakout or support break—act on confluence, adjust if structure fails. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
DXY H4 – Dollar Weakens Ahead of PPI Release DXY H4 – Dollar Weakens Ahead of PPI Release | Is the Market Pricing in a Fed Pivot? 🌐 Macro & Fundamental Context As we head into the New York session on June 12, the market’s attention shifts to one critical data point: the US PPI (Producer Price Index). Following the softer-than-expected CPI reading of 2.4% YoY (vs. 2.5% forecast), the Dollar Index (DXY) dropped sharply—signaling fading inflation pressure and reigniting rate cut expectations. ✅ Bearish Fundamentals Building for the USD: CPI miss fuels Fed rate cut bets (currently ~65% chance for September per FedWatch Tool). US Treasury yields are easing, reflecting the market’s pricing of a less aggressive Fed. Risk assets rallying as capital flows rotate away from USD into gold, equities, and long-duration bonds. If today’s PPI also comes in below forecast, it could confirm a deeper correction in DXY. Conversely, a surprise PPI upside might trigger a short-term pullback. 📉 Technical Analysis – H4 Timeframe 🔹 Overall Trend: DXY is locked within a clearly defined descending channel, with a consistent Lower High – Lower Low structure holding since late May. 🔹 Key Technical Zones: Short-term resistance: 98.548 – likely to act as a ceiling unless PPI surprises to the upside. Immediate support: 97.966 – a break below opens the door toward the key support zone at 97.191, which aligns with previous FVG imbalance and multi-timeframe demand. 🔹 EMA Structure: Price remains below all major EMAs (13 – 34 – 89 – 200), confirming persistent bearish pressure. EMA13 is currently acting as dynamic resistance on H4, pressing down on price. 🧠 Market Sentiment & Flow Insight Investors are rotating out of USD as inflation fears fade and Fed easing expectations increase. Risk-on sentiment is returning, benefiting gold and stocks while weighing on DXY. However, a hot PPI print could spook the market briefly, leading to a corrective bounce in the Dollar before the trend resumes. 🔍 Scenarios to Watch: PPI comes in lower than expected: DXY may retest 98.548 resistance and reject lower. Next targets: 97.966 → 97.191 PPI surprises to the upside: Technical bounce toward 98.5–98.8 possible. But trend remains bearish unless price reclaims 99.2+ zone. ✅ Conclusion DXY remains under pressure from both macro and technical angles. The PPI report will be the next catalyst that determines whether this is a short-term dip or the continuation of a broader USD downtrend. 🎯 Tactical view: Favour short positions on DXY if price bounces into resistance and PPI supports the disinflation narrative. Target: 97.1 and below.
TVC:DXYShort
by MMFlowTrading
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 12, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is strengthening for the second day in a row against a weakened US Dollar (USD) and is moving further away from the two-week low reached the day before. The market's initial reaction to news of trade talks between the US and China faded rather quickly after US President Donald Trump threatened new tariffs. This, along with rising geopolitical tensions, curbs investors' appetite for risky assets and maintains the yen's status as a safe-haven currency. In addition, the yen is further supported by expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may tighten monetary conditions amid signs of rising inflation in Japan. On the other hand, the US Dollar looks vulnerable near one-month lows as weaker US consumer inflation data released on Wednesday confirmed expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume its rate-cutting cycle in September. This, in turn, led the USD/JPY pair to fall below 143.50 in the last hour. Trade recommendation: SELL 143.30, SL 144.30, TP 141.30
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
$BTC/USDT MAJOR PUMP? or MAJOR DUMP?BTC, the worlds biggest and fastest growing coin. With a market cap in the Trillions, we are facing a major moment. Will price dump? or will it pump and go above and beyond. Lets find out in this analysis! 1. Trend Overview HTF Bullish: Price remains above the long-term bullish trendline, showing strong macro support. Recent price action is consolidating within a major supply zone and liquidity cluster — signaling indecision before a breakout or breakdown. 📈 2. OBV (On-Balance Volume) Analysis OBV is coiling in a symmetrical triangle, indicating a volume squeeze. This tightening range typically precedes a major breakout or breakdown, matching the price consolidation near resistance. 🔄 Market Structure Price has formed a potential top just under the supply/liquidity zone (~$110,000–$112,000). Swing High is defined just below $112K. Key structure zones are: Resistance zone at current levels. Support zones: 1D FVG ($97K) and Weekly FVG ($87K–$93K) 🟪 Supply & Demand Zones Supply Zone: $100k - $112k — multiple rejections here indicate this is a key short-term ceiling. Demand Zone: Deep support between $50-$57K, aligns with trendline and historical value area. 🔵 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) 1D FVG: $97K area — may act as magnet if price breaks below resistance. 1W FVG: $87K–$93K — stronger structural level to watch. If both are filled, price may meet the bullish trendline around $90K. 🧠 Liquidity Zones Above current price: ~$112K is marked as a liquidity grab area — stop hunts may occur before major reversal. Below: FVG zones could trigger a liquidity sweep downwards before reversal. 🔴 Volume Profile Strong high-volume node (HVN) around $80K–$97K: acceptance zone, likely to act as magnetic support. Above $110K is a low-volume node (LVN): if broken cleanly, price may accelerate quickly toward $120K+. ✅ Bullish Scenario Break above $112K → sweep liquidity → continuation toward $120K–$125K. (Price Discovery) OBV breakout upwards would confirm. Hold above FVG 1D if retested = healthy bullish continuation structure. ❌ Bearish Scenario Rejection at supply → drop to FVG 1D ($97K), then potentially Weekly FVG (~$93K). If OBV breaks downward, it confirms bearish volume divergence. Breakdown below trendline could target deeper into demand zone (~$70K+). 📌 Summary Bias: Neutral-bullish short term, bullish macro (above trendline). Key Breakout Level: $112K. Critical Support: $91K–$97K (FVG cluster). Confirmation: OBV breakout + clean structure break. Invalidation: Weekly close below long-term trendline and FVG zones.
by King_BennyBag
5
CORN.c CORN.c Short Trade Plan (Daily Timeframe) 📍 Trade Setup Direction: Short Entry: Instant / Current Market Price (CMP) Stop Loss (SL): 465.97 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 403.36 (≈ 1:1 Risk-Reward) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 387.00 (≈ 1:1.5 Risk-Reward) 📊 Technical Justification Trend: Downtrend confirmed – price forming Lower Highs and Lower Lows. Candle Pattern: Bearish shooting star near resistance – strong rejection signal. 🌽 Top 3 Bearish Fundamental Reasons Favorable U.S. Weather Conditions → Ideal for crop growth → higher yield expectations → bearish pressure. Weak Global Export Demand → Sluggish corn exports (e.g., China slowdown) → less global demand for U.S. corn. Strong U.S. Dollar → Makes U.S. corn more expensive internationally → lowers export competitiveness. 🎯 Risk Management & Execution Plan Risk-Reward (TP1): ~1:1 Risk-Reward (TP2): ~1:1.5 📌 Once TP1 is hit: ✅ Move SL to Entry (Breakeven) to protect capital and ride remaining position to TP2.
CShort
by SmartMoney-AR
XAG/USD - Channel Breakout (11.06.2025) The XAG/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a CHannel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 3587 2nd Support – 3555 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAGUSDShort
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
43
Gold Extends Gains Post-CPI | All Eyes on PPI for the Next Move XAUUSD – Gold Extends Gains Post-CPI | All Eyes on PPI for the Next Move 🌍 Macro Pulse: CPI Sparks Momentum, But Will PPI Sustain It? Gold surged following softer-than-expected US inflation data on Tuesday, with the CPI rising just 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY—both below forecasts. This triggered a broad sell-off in the USD, a pullback in Treasury yields, and a renewed appetite for non-yielding safe havens like gold. Markets are now increasingly pricing in a rate cut by the Fed in September, adding further fuel to the rally. However, Wednesday’s US PPI data could either reinforce this bullish sentiment or reverse it sharply. 📉 Technical Landscape – H1 & H4 View 🔹 Trend Bias The bullish structure remains intact, with price carving out higher highs and higher lows since the 3312 level. The recent breakout above 3370 confirms bullish momentum. 🔹 Price Channels Gold continues to track within a defined ascending channel. A potential retest of the lower trendline near 3345–3350 could provide a dip-buying opportunity. 🔹 EMA Structure The price trades comfortably above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs. Short-term EMA crossovers are supportive of continued upside. 🔹 Critical Resistance Ahead: 3392 – 3395 A key technical zone combining Fibonacci extension levels and recent rejection wicks. A decisive break or rejection here will set the tone for the next 48 hours. 🧠 Market Psychology & PPI Scenarios The market is currently optimistic, but still cautious. The PPI report due later today will likely serve as the next directional trigger: If PPI prints below estimates → reinforces disinflation narrative → potential breakout above 3,400 with upside targets towards 3,420+. If PPI comes in hot → raises concerns about sticky input costs → possible short-term reversal or consolidation. Expect volatility to spike during the New York session. 🎯 Today’s Tactical Trade Setups – 12 June 🟢 Buy Zone: 3324 – 3322 Stop Loss: 3318 Take Profit Targets: 3330 – 3334 – 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 🟢 Buy Scalp Zone: 3337 – 3335 SL: 3330 TPs: 3341 – 3345 – 3350 – 3354 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔴 Sell Zone: 3392 – 3394 Stop Loss: 3398 Take Profit Targets: 3388 – 3384 – 3380 – 3375 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350 ✅ Final Take Gold bulls are in control, but the PPI data will likely dictate whether momentum continues or stalls. With key resistance just ahead and macro risk on the table, this is not the time to trade blindly. 🧭 Strategy Tip: Let price confirm the reaction to PPI. Don’t pre-position into volatility. Play the breakout or the fade—but wait for clarity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Coiling in Rising Wedge Ahead of CPI: Breakout Imminent?XAUUSD – Gold Coiling in Rising Wedge Ahead of CPI: Breakout Imminent? Gold (XAUUSD) is compressing within a well-defined rising wedge pattern on the 1H chart, signaling that a decisive move is near. With the U.S. CPI report due on June 12th, traders should prepare for volatility driven by macroeconomic catalysts. Whether gold breaks higher or reverses depends on how the market digests inflation data. 🌍 Macro Backdrop: All Eyes on Inflation 📌 U.S. CPI (June 12): A softer-than-expected reading could revive Fed rate cut expectations and send gold higher. A hotter-than-expected CPI could strengthen the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, putting pressure on gold. 📌 U.S.–China Trade Sentiment: Diplomatic progress in trade talks reduces safe-haven demand in the short term, weakening gold's defensive appeal. 📌 DXY & Bond Yields: A breakout in DXY or a sharp rise in U.S. bond yields post-CPI may lead to a corrective leg lower in XAUUSD. 📈 Technical Overview – Multi-Layered Structure Pattern: Gold is forming a rising wedge between higher lows and converging highs, typical of breakout scenarios. Fibonacci Levels (retracement from 3,400 to 3,296): 0.382: 3,336 – intermediate support 0.618: 3,360 – significant resistance, near current swing highs Moving Averages: Price is currently above EMA34 and EMA89 Struggling below EMA200 (red), which acts as dynamic resistance FVG Liquidity Zone: An open Fair Value Gap between 3,360 – 3,374 could act as a magnet before any reversal. 🎯 Trade Strategy Scenarios 🟢 Buy Scenario – Bounce from Support Zone Entry: 3314 – 3312 | Stop-Loss: 3308 | Take-Profit: 3318, 3322, 3326, 3330, 3335, 3340 Ideal if CPI comes in lower than expected or aligns with a bullish technical rejection from wedge support. 🔴 Sell Scenario – Rejection from Resistance Zone Entry: 3374 – 3376 | Stop-Loss: 3380 | Take-Profit: 3370, 3366, 3362, 3358, 3352, 3348, 3340 Valid if price taps into the upper liquidity zone (3,374–3,394) and fails to break, especially on CPI surprise to the upside. 🧠 Tactical Conclusion A dovish CPI → favors BUY setup off lower wedge support A hawkish CPI → favors SELL near upper resistance and liquidity zones 📌 The market is compressing and gearing up for a breakout. Patience is key — wait for confirmation at key zones and manage risk precisely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Outlook – 12 June 2025Current Price: ~$3,373 (intraday) – Gold is holding near recent highs after a sharp rally. Bullish momentum has improved markedly, fueled in part by favorable fundamentals (soft US CPI and geopolitical tensions lifting safe-haven demand) On the charts, the short-term trend is upward, with buyers firmly in control following a breakout above prior resistance. 4H Trend & Key Levels 4H chart highlighting break of structure, demand (green) and supply (red) zones, and key intraday levels. Note the major demand zone that held around 3,214 (green) and the supply zone near 3,284 (red) which was a focal resistance. The 50% retracement of the prior day’s range (blue line near 3,274) acted as intraday resistance in that earlier session Such annotations show where institutional activity likely set support (demand) and resistance (supply) areas. On the 4-hour chart, gold’s momentum is strongly bullish. The recent surge to 3375 pushed price above its 10-day moving average and widened the upper Bollinger Bands on both H1 and H4 – signs of a powerful uptrend. This came after gold cleared a major resistance around the $3,350 zone, which had capped prices earlier. With that barrier broken, the next upside target on the higher time frame is the $3,400 level (a notable psychological and technical hurdle) In fact, it can be projected that a clean breakout above the ~3,380/3,390 zone could open the path toward $3,403 and even $3,430 in extension Reflecting the next supply areas or Fibonacci extension targets above. Support levels on the 4H are stepping up as the trend rises. Previously, $3,320 (the last day’s high in late May) turned from resistance into support after the breakout. Now, immediate support is seen around $3,345–3,350, which corresponds to the top of the recent consolidation and roughly the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of this week’s rally Below that, the $3,330–3,335 zone (around the 61.8% retracement of the rally) is a secondary intraday support area These levels also align with prior demand zones and the previous day’s lows, making them likely zones where buyers might step in on dips. Overall, as long as gold holds above the mid-$3,300s, the 4H bias remains bullish. The 4H structure shows higher highs and higher lows, and technical signals (price above short-term EMAs and an improving RSI) reinforce the short-term bullish outlook Educational Note: In an uptrend, old resistance often becomes new support. Here $3,350 was a major resistance in the past and could serve as support if prices pull back. Traders also watch Fibonacci retracement levels within the up-move for potential bounce points – for gold, the 35-50% retracement zone of the latest swing (approximately $3,350 down to $3,330) is viewed as an attractive “buy-the-dip” area intraday. On the 1-hour chart, gold has been oscillating upward within a rising channel. After each push higher, it has formed brief consolidations or bull flags that resolved to the upside. For example, after the strong push to ~3375, price coiled in a classic bull flag pattern, hinting at momentum building for another breakout. This pattern of consolidation after a rally shows healthy bullish behavior – buyers pausing before continuing the move. Higher lows (HL) and higher highs (HH) are clearly present, indicating a steady uptrend structure on the 1H In fact, gold’s price action has been “taking out liquidity then taking out highs and creating new highs,” leaving no sign of bear control so far. This means each time the price dips and grabs some stop-loss liquidity from weak longs, it quickly reverses and surges to a fresh peak – a hallmark of a strong trend supported by larger players. From an SMC perspective, we can spot where institutional traders may be active. Recently, gold retested a major demand zone in the low $3,300s and rocketed higher. Specifically, price dipped to about $3,297 (just below a prior support), which appears to have been a liquidity grab (fake-out) below the obvious support level Smart money often drives price briefly below such a level to trigger stop-losses, then buys into that liquidity. Indeed, a strong bullish rejection off $3,297-3,300 occurred, indicating aggressive buying (accumulation) by big players at that historical support This confirmed a solid demand zone, and bulls defended it vigorously – a clear sign that institutional demand underpins that area. After the fake-out and bounce, gold quickly resumed making higher lows, confirming the uptrend’s resumption. Now, the focus shifts to the overhead supply zone. Gold is trading just below $3,380–3,390, a zone that previously acted as major intraday resistance. In past attempts, price sharply sold off from this area, suggesting it’s a pocket of supply (sell orders) or profit-taking for institutions. This makes $3,380-$3,390 a key decision point: if bullish momentum is strong enough to drive a clean break through this supply, we could see a swift move higher (as mentioned, targets in the low $3,400s become viable) However, if gold struggles and prints bearish signals (e.g. aggressive wick rejections or a change in character to lower lows on 15m/1H) near 3380-3390, it may indicate that sellers are defending this zone again, potentially causing a pullback. Traders are watching closely to see if smart money will cap the price here or let it run. It’s worth noting that intraday liquidity has built up around certain levels. Minor equal highs around $3,375-3,377 were taken out earlier (as gold hit a weekly high of ~$3,377) ,and now liquidity might reside just above $3,390 (at buy stops of breakout traders) and below $3,340 (sell stops of longs). The path of least resistance intraday appears upward unless those lower support levels start breaking. As long as gold remains inside this rising structure, the bias is to buy dips rather than sell rallies. Only a clear break below the $3,337–3,340 support (recent range floor) would hint at a short-term trend shift down. Until then, bulls are in charge. Educational Note: Order blocks and supply/demand zones are areas where price saw a sharp move, indicating institutional orders. In gold’s case, an H1 demand block near $3,300 (origin of the recent rally) is such an area – price dipped into it and then launched higher Conversely, the $3,380-$3,390 area is a supply zone from which price fell previously. Watching price behavior at these zones (e.g. strong rejection vs. breakthrough) gives clues: a heavy rejection implies continued range or reversal, while a breakthrough suggests a new leg of trend. Trade Setups Buy on Dip (Bullish Setup): If gold retraces into the $3,345–3,355 support zone, consider a long entry near ~$3,350 (a key Fibonacci support & prior breakout level) A suggested stop-loss is just below $3,335 (to stay under the 61.8% retracement and recent swing low). Target the $3,375 area for partial profits, and $3,385–3,390 if momentum continues. This buy-on-dips approach aligns with the prevailing uptrend – as one analyst noted, “Gold below 3350 is an opportunity to buy on dips” (Rationale: You’re buying at support in an uptrend, aiming for a retest of the highs.) Sell Near Resistance (Bearish Setup): If gold rallies toward the $3,390–3,400 zone but shows rejection (stalling candles or a bearish reversal pattern) at that resistance, one can consider a short entry around ~$3,395. Place a tight stop-loss above $3,405 (just beyond the major resistance). Target a pullback to about $3,370 first, and $3,350 on an extended drop. This trade fades a possible near-term top in case the supply zone holds. For instance, a suggested plan from another analyst was to “sell around 3397–3400” with stops above 3409, looking for a move back to the mid-$3,300s (Rationale: You’re selling at an identified supply zone, expecting a short-term correction.) Breakout Scenario: For traders who prefer momentum plays, watch $3,380 on the upside and $3,340 on the downside. A 1H candle close beyond $3,380 with strong volume would confirm a breakout – you could then target ~$3,405 and above (trail stops as it goes) Conversely, a drop below $3,340 might signal a bearish intraday reversal, opening downside targets near $3,315 and $3,300 If trading the breakout, ensure confirmation (no fake-outs) – wait for a retest if possible, and then ride the move. (This scenario is only for when price definitively exits the current range.) Remember: The intraday trend is bullish, so lean toward long setups unless key supports break. Keep it simple – trade the price action you see. Gold can be volatile, so it's wise to use stop losses and not over-leverage. Happy trading! 📈✨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
HelenP. I Gold may bounce from trend line to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After observing this chart, I see that the price tried to grow to the resistance level first, but failed and dropped to the support level, which coincided with the buyer support zone. After this correction movement, XAU rebounded up and then dropped below the support level, breaking it. But soon, price turned around and made impulse up, breaking the 3265 level, after which it continued to move up to the resistance level. When Gold reached this level, it entered to resistance zone, where it turned around at once and made a strong movement down to the trend line, breaking two levels. Also then it started to trades inside a triangle, and soon turned around from the trend line and made a strong impulse up. Price broke the 3265 support level one more time, rose a little more, and then made a correction. After this, price continued to move up and soon reached the 3395 resistance level, after which it turned around and fell to the trend line, which is the support line of the triangle as well. Recently, it started to grow, so I expect that XAUUS will correct to the trend line and then continue to move up to the resistance level. That's why the 3395 resistance level is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
7
Bitcoin will rise from support level and exit from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. This chart shows how the price rebounded from the current support level and then turned around and rebounded up. Price broke the 109000 level, coinciding with a support area, and then traded near this level for some time. Later price turned around and started to decline inside a downward channel, where it soon broke the 109000 level, reached the resistance line, and continued to fall next. Bitcoin fell to the support line of the channel, which coincided with the 103000 support level and buyer zone, after which it rebounded up. Then BTC exited from channel and later entered to upward wedge, where it at once made a correction movement from the resistance line to the support line, breaking the 103000 level. But soon, price made an impulse up, breaking the support level one more time. Next, it rose to the current support level, broke it too, and now trades inside the support area. In my mind, BTC can rebound from the support level and rise to the resistance line of the wedge. Then it can break this line, thereby exiting from the wedge and continuing to move up; therefore, I set my TP at 112000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
5
Dollar Index Eyes FVG Breakout Ahead of CPIDXY 11/06 – Dollar Index Eyes FVG Breakout Ahead of CPI | Reversal Risk After 100.31? The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to consolidate within a rising channel on the H2 timeframe, with price tightening just ahead of a key macro event — the US CPI report. DXY is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, where liquidity hunts and potential reversals become highly probable. 🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT 📌 US CPI (June 12): The main macro driver for DXY this week. A hotter-than-expected print → strengthens the Fed’s hawkish stance → DXY likely to spike. A weaker-than-expected CPI → boosts rate cut expectations → downside pressure on DXY. 📌 Risk Sentiment: Institutions are readjusting their exposure ahead of CPI and FOMC. This has caused DXY to hover near EMA89 — a sign of indecision. 📌 Cross-asset Flows (Bonds & Gold): Treasury yields are stable, but surprises in CPI could lead to capital rotation between gold and USD, increasing volatility in XAUUSD and DXY simultaneously. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Trend Structure: DXY is following a clean ascending channel on H2, with higher lows respecting the lower trendline. EMA Confluence (13–34–89–200) Price is consolidating near EMA89 and below EMA200 (99.40), forming a neutral short-term bias. A clean breakout above EMA200 could trigger acceleration into the FVG zone. Key FVG Zone (H2): 99.63 – 100.31 is an unfilled Fair Value Gap. This zone may act as a magnet for price before any meaningful rejection or breakout. Potential Reversal Area: A rejection at 100.31 could trigger a sharp pullback toward the liquidity zone around 98.68. 🧠 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK CPI will set the tone for DXY’s mid-term trend. Watch the 99.63 – 100.31 FVG zone for liquidity sweeps and potential rejection. Wait for confirmation, not prediction — especially in macro-sensitive environments.
TVC:DXYLong
by MMFlowTrading
Bitcoin: Firm supports, play the breakout or dip ahead of CPI__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Structurally bullish momentum across all timeframes. No bearish divergence or signs of capitulation detected. Major supports: 108,291.5; 106,743.9. Key resistances: 109,997.81; 111,949. Normal volume, robust buying dynamics without climax, no excess in the flows. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : “ Strong Buy ” signal from 1D to 1H; only M15 is neutral (micro-consolidation). No exhaustion or massive profit-taking behaviour. ISPD DIV neutral across all timeframes. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Overall bias: Structurally bullish, strong momentum, no imminent major reversal. Possible consolidation ahead of US CPI. Risk zones: 109.9k–111.9k (historic resistance), key macro event June 11 (CPI). Catalysts: US inflation figures (CPI), Fed speeches, low implied BTC option volatility. Action plan: Buy on retracement towards 108.2k/106.7k, or confirmed breakout >111.9k; technical stops below 108.2k & 106.7k; trim risk before CPI if actively managing. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Approaching historic resistance, “very strong” trend, no weakness detected. 12H/6H/4H: Strong buying pressure, full indicator alignment, close to a break/rejection at 110–111k. 2H/1H: Persistent intraday momentum, no bearish alert, moderate to dynamic volumes (notably 2H). 30min: Healthy trend, buying pressure, no sign of topping out. Squeeze scenario possible if broken. 15min: Neutral phase, micro-consolidation with supported volume, swift resumption possible post-break resolution. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy on all timeframes except 15min (neutral/short pause). ISPD DIV: Neutral everywhere, environment supports bullish trend continuation. Volumes: Normal to moderate, no distribution alert or bull trap detected. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Recap __________________________________________________________________________________ Primary trend: Structurally bullish, strong multi-timeframe confluence. Key signal: Accumulation on support, breakout/extension to be considered only on significant volume. Opportunity: Entry on technical pullback (108.2k/106.7k) or confirmed breakout (>111.9k), swing target 115.4k Critical risks: US CPI release, extended resistance, hidden volatility Risk management: Stop below 108.2k/106.7k, reduce cash risk ahead of macro events as needed. Summary: As long as 108.2k-106.7k support holds, pullbacks are buying opportunities. Strong conviction for upside if 111.9k is broken. Anticipate volatility around US CPI. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
BITCOIN chart updated Bitcoin Buy Signal Triggered ₿🚀 BTC showing strong bullish momentum after holding key support. Entered long position on breakout above short-term resistance with volume confirmation. Higher lows forming a solid base — structure favors continued upside. Targeting the next resistance zone around , with stop loss below recent swing low. Watching closely for follow-through and potential scaling opportunities. Market sentiment improving — let's see if the bulls can take control. #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BuyTheDip #BreakoutTrade #CryptoSetup #BullishBias #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis"**
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SadarExplore