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GBP/AUD - Bearish Flag (10.07.2025)The GBP/AUD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 2.0671 2nd Support – 2.0607 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
49
Bitcoin can rebound up from support line of upward wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. In this chart, we can see how the price dropped from the 102800 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and later entered to wedge upward. In this pattern, price made an impulse up from the support line of the wedge pattern and broke the 102800 support level, after making a retest, and continued to move up. Bitcoin rose to the current support level, which coincided with a support area and even entered this area, but soon turned around and fell below. Next, price rose to this area again and then made a correction movement, after which it turned around and made an impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge, breaking the 108000 level. After this movement, the price bounced from this line and fell back to the current support level, where it some time traded in the support area. Later price rebounded and continued to move up. Now, I expect that BTC can correct to support line of the wedge and then rise to the resistance line of this pattern. That's why I set my TP at the 112600 points, which coincided with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
12
GOLD - Price can bounce down from resistance line of channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Gold broke out of its long-term rising channel and hit $3390 resistance level before momentum definitively stalled. That failure marked a shift in control, as sellers forced price into a falling channel, establishing lower highs and lower lows. Price fell to support level, after whcih it turned around and bounced up to resistance line of falling channel. Now, Gold tests the upper boundary of the falling channel near $3318, where each bounce has been capped by declining volume. Key support lies in the $3250 - $3235 area, aligned with multiple prior demand tests and the former rising-channel floor. I expect Gold to reverse from the channel resistance and slide toward $3235, decisively breaking below the $3250 level. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by WalterMoon
6
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 10, 2025 GBPUSDEvent to watch today: 15:30 EET. USD - Initial Jobless Claims GBPUSD: The British pound remains under pressure amid increased risk-off sentiment linked to new White House statements about additional tariffs from August 1. This is boosting demand for the US dollar as a safe haven and prompts investors to take profits on long GBP positions. Domestic factors in the UK also have a negative impact: revisions to social spending programs and weak manufacturing PMI and retail sales data signal a slowdown in economic activity. The Bank of England is expected to keep the rate at 5.50% until year-end, which limits the pound’s attractiveness for investors. The current GBP/USD rate is 1.35900. In the absence of positive drivers from the UK economy and persistent demand for the dollar, the pair remains vulnerable to further declines toward 1.3520. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.36000, SL 1.36300, TP 1.35200
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bitcoin Update – Bullish Falling Wedge in Play?BTC/USD is currently trading near $108.8K, compressing within a falling wedge formation — historically a bullish continuation pattern, especially after a strong uptrend. Why the Bias Remains Bullish: Bullish MA Cross: Short-term MAs (9/21) are aligned for upside momentum. Falling Wedge: Price compressing with lower highs and lows, coiling for a breakout. RSI Strength: RSI (purple) remains elevated, supporting continued upside pressure. Fundamental Catalysts: Trump delays trade war announcements, reducing global uncertainty. FOMC meeting in late July: Trump pushes for rate cuts, potentially bullish for risk assets like BTC. If BTC breaks out above the wedge resistance with convincing volume: Retest likely at ~$110K Targets : $115K → $120K+
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by SheTradesHub
GOLD SELL M15Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 9, 2025 The price is currently trading around the 3,295 level, after a recent Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The market has formed a consolidation zone (highlighted in purple), suggesting a possible bearish continuation setup. Price is expected to retest the supply zone and then move lower. Sell Setup Details: Entry Zone: Inside the purple consolidation range (~3,295–3,297) Stop Loss (SL): 3,305 Target (TP): 3,282 Key Support Levels: 3,292.16 3,288.16 3,282.39 (Main Target Zone) This setup anticipates a bearish move after a rejection from the supply area, aiming for the liquidity zone near 3,282.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Sniperfx05
Analyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical AnalysisAnalyzing the Market with Fundamental and Technical Analysis In addition to technical analysis, it's important to consider fundamental factors that could influence the market. News releases, economic reports, and central bank decisions can significantly impact price movements. Fundamental Analysis: Keep an eye on major economic indicators like NFP, CPI, and interest rate decisions. These factors can drive the market and change its trend direction. Technical Analysis: Use tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action to confirm the trend and identify entry points. For daily updates and comprehensive market analysis, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel, where I combine both technical and fundamental analysis to give you the most accurate insights. Conclusion: Identifying market trends in one day doesn’t have to be complicated. By using the right tools like EMA, Fibonacci, and Price Action on TradingView, you can make better trading decisions every day. To take your trading to the next level, join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel for daily updates, real-time trend analysis, and expert trading signals. Ready to start trading with precision? Join my MMFLowTrading TradingView channel today for daily market insights and trading setups. Stay updated with real-time analysis, get actionable trading signals, and take your trading skills to the next level. Follow me now on TradingView!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
2
Is a Reversal on the Horizon or a Deeper Correction? 🔘Gold Faces Strong Resistance at 3300 – Is a Reversal on the Horizon or a Deeper Correction? ⭐️ Gold has recently faced a significant price correction after bouncing off key resistance levels. As geopolitical events settle and economic data comes in, the market is now testing crucial support levels. Today’s session could provide important insights into whether gold will maintain its bullish momentum or continue to correct further. 🔹Market Overview – USD Rebounds, Creating Short-Term Pressure on Gold The US dollar has seen a strong rebound following positive developments in the global trade talks. Several key agreements between major nations, including the US, have been signed, which seem to support the USD in the short term. This has put downward pressure on gold, as traders shift their focus towards a stronger dollar and risk appetite returning to the market. 🔹US inflation data has come in lower than expected, creating room for the Fed to hold off on rate hikes, which helps the dollar further. 🔹FOMC meeting minutes later this week could reveal insights into the Fed's stance on interest rates, which could be key for market direction. 🔹Geopolitical tensions are cooling off slightly, which has reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 🔹Technical Analysis – Gold in a Range-Bound Market, Testing Key Levels On the H1 chart, gold is forming a clear downward channel between 3360 and 3290, suggesting that the price could continue its correction within this range. If the price stays within this zone, we might see a deeper pullback toward the 3250 region. However, as always, waiting for confirmation signals before entering any trades is crucial. The false breakout risk is high when the price moves quickly and without clear confirmation from higher timeframes. 🔹Buy Bias in the Short-TermGiven the current technical structure, a buy bias seems more likely than further selling. The market may test 3320-3325 in the near term, with the potential to bounce back if the buying momentum continues to build. Additionally, the rejection wick on the D1 candle from yesterday suggests that sellers are losing control, and we may see more buying pressure in the coming sessions. 🔹Resistance and Support Levels to Watch: 🔺Key Resistance Levels: 3302 – 3310 – 3324 – 3335 – 3361 🔻Key Support Levels: 3275 – 3259 – 3248 ⬜️Trading Strategy – Buy and Sell Zones 🔺BUY ZONE:3250 – 3248 🔹Stop Loss: 3244 ✔️Take Profit: 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 → ???? 🔺SELL SCALP: 3303 – 3305 🔹Stop Loss: 3310 ✔️Take Profit: 3298 → 3294 → 3290 → 3286 → 3280 → 3270 → 3260 🔺SELL ZONE:3334 – 3336 🔹Stop Loss: 3340 ✔️Take Profit: 3330 → 3326 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 → ???? 🕖Important Notes for Today: FOMC and Trade Policy Updates With FOMC minutes and other important trade policy updates expected today, it’s crucial to stay alert for any sudden changes in market sentiment. Always ensure that you are adhering to your TP/SL levels to safeguard your account.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
ETH/USDT 1W Chart📊 Trend structure (Price Action) Downtrend (historical): A series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) — a classic downtrend. Confirmed by the orange downtrend line. A change in structure — a possible beginning of an uptrend: A Higher Low (HL) has recently been formed after a Lower Low (LL). Suggests a possible end to the downtrend and an attempt to break out upwards. Currently: The price is testing the upper downtrend line. A breakout above the orange line may confirm a trend change. 🟢 Key Resistance Levels (Green Lines): Level Meaning 3.058 USDT Potential target after a breakout from consolidation 2.767 USDT Nearest strong resistance - currently being tested 3.427 USDT Deep resistance level from the previous high (HH) 🔴 Key Support Levels (Red Lines): Level Meaning 2.234 USDT Nearest support - previous breakout 1.883 USDT Early 2023 support 1.507 USDT Local bottom 1.204 USDT Historical support - LL extreme 📉 Stochastic RSI (Momentum Indicator): Currently in the overbought zone. This may suggest a short-term correction before an actual breakout. However, in a strong uptrend, the indicator may "hang out" in the overbought zone for a long time. 📈 Potential scenario: If the breakout above 2.767 and the orange trendline holds: A possible move to 3.058 USDT as the first target. Extended target: 3.427 USDT (HH). If the breakout fails: Correction to 2.234 USDT or lower. There is a risk of returning to a downtrend. ✅ Bullish signals: Higher Low (HL) formation after Lower Low (LL). Testing the upper downtrend line with an attempt to breakout. Volume is increasing (based on candles). ⚠️ Bearish threats: Stochastic RSI in the overbought zone. Breakout not confirmed by 100% (needs a weekly closing candle above 2.767). Resistance at 3,058 could halt the move. 📌 Conclusion: Ethereum (ETH) could be on the cusp of a new uptrend, but a breakout above 2,767 USDT is needed for confirmation. If it does, a move to 3,058 and then 3,427 is possible. However, the current overbought level on the Stochastic RSI could signal a short-term correction before the trend gains strength.
by cryptodailyuk
GBP/USD - Bearish Channel (07.07.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.3545 2nd Support – 1.3485 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
38
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Setup – 15-Min Chart (July 8, 2025) Entry Zone: Price is currently consolidating in a marked demand zone, forming a potential bullish setup. Support Level (SL): 3325 – This is the stop-loss level, placed just below the support zone to minimize risk. Buy Zone: Price is expected to rise from the current level after breaking out of the consolidation box (purple zone). Bullish Structure: Price is forming higher lows and appears to be preparing for a breakout to the upside. Target: 3348 – This is the marked resistance level and take-profit target, just below the "Strong High" area. Key Levels: Support: 3325 Current Price: Around 3334 Resistance Zones: 3343, 3348 Summary: A bullish move is anticipated from the current price level, with an entry near 3334 targeting 3348. Stop-loss is placed at 3325 to protect against downside risk. Break of the immediate resistance could trigger upward momentum toward the target.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sniperfx05
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 8, 2025 USDJPYThe yen remains under pressure from trade frictions. President Donald Trump has confirmed 25 percent tariffs on Japanese goods effective 1 August, fuelling U.S.-inflation expectations and reducing the odds of a near-term Fed rate cut. Ten-year Treasury yields have climbed above 4.45 percent, while the spread over equivalent JGBs hovers near 380 basis points—supportive for the dollar. Japan’s domestic backdrop offers little relief. Nominal wage growth has slowed for a third straight month, and real household incomes have posted their deepest decline in twenty months. The weak earnings momentum complicates the Bank of Japan’s exit strategy and keeps ultra-loose policy firmly in place, encouraging further capital outflows from the yen. Against this backdrop, USD/JPY is consolidating above its 100-day moving average around 146.40–146.50. Absent a sudden flight to safe-haven assets, the pair could break 147.00 in the coming sessions, while the 145.950–146.000 zone is widely viewed as an attractive area to add to long positions. Trading recommendation: BUY 146.250, SL 145.950, TP 147.000
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
First obvious major clue may be stronger than the second.I think this shows a clear direction in price action. Strong moves addition to bullish trend line and internal structure. Now at the moment, I am looking at the trend line as a major attraction point in the current moment. Some opinions may say that it's more correct to sell down lower from the trend line, and that might be correct. Although, at this moment, price has yet to have a proper pullback after a clean breakout below. It might honestly just be too obvious that it'd go down lower after retesting trend line, so in my opinion, I think the most clear entry right now is to buy now at a low point, might as well be called a liquidity pool. So right now in this strong trend change, the next obvious major potential for move is going to be back at trend line. The next obvious move will be even more obvious, so then it might also be lacking stability, but until then, my focus here is to buy within a potential deep pullback.
FX:US30Long
by CyberFxTrader
EURNZD: Steep Channel continuation setupEURNZD continues to rise within a steep ascending channel, maintaining a well-structured sequence. No signs of exhaustion are evident yet, as bullish momentum remains strong and price action continues to respect both the midline and lower boundary of the channel. This ongoing strength suggests that buyers remain in control, and unless we see a clear shift in structure, such as a break below channel support or loss of momentum, the trend remains intact. 🟢 Trend Bias: I remain bullish on EURNZD while price stays within this channel. Any pullbacks toward the lower channel boundary or previous breakout zones may offer continuation opportunities. 🎯 Target: My upside target is 1.983 , which aligns with the projected upper boundary of the ascending channel and makes a good technical target if the structure continues to hold. 🟥 Invalidation: A confirmed breakdown below the channel with follow-through would challenge this bias and signal the possibility of a deeper corrective move. For now, the structure favors trend continuation over reversal. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TrendDiva
35
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 15-Minute Chart The price is currently showing signs of bullish momentum after forming a Break of Structure (BOS) around the 3297 level, which is also marked as the Stop Loss (SL) area. After retesting the demand zone (highlighted in purple), the price has started to push upwards, suggesting a potential reversal. A bullish price path is projected, with expectations of higher highs. Key Levels: Entry Zone (Support): Around 3297 (SL zone) Resistance Zones: First Resistance: 3309 Second Resistance: 3314 Final Target: 3320 If the bullish momentum continues, the price is expected to break above the minor resistance levels and reach the target of 3320.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sniperfx05
1
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 7, 2025 Trade Setup: The chart shows a bullish trade setup based on a potential reversal from a "Weak Low" support area around 3304. After forming a BOS (Break of Structure) and a small consolidation (highlighted box), price is expected to move higher. Entry: Long position initiated slightly above the consolidation zone. Stop Loss (SL): Set at 3304, just below the recent weak low support. Target (TP): Final target at 3326, where a key resistance level lies. Key Levels: Support Zone: 3304 (Weak Low) Resistance Levels: 3317.5 3222.9 3326.2 (Final Target) Market Structure Notes: CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates potential shift to bullish momentum. Price is expected to form higher highs and higher lows on its way to the target.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sniperfx05
Down the road - Gold Outlook June 30 - July 24, 2025FX_IDC:XAUUSD 📰 The past weeks has been a wild ride for gold prices, caught between the fiery conflict in the Middle East and a deluge of crucial economic data from the U.S. 📈 Adding to this, a detailed technical analysis provides a deeper look into gold's immediate future. **Geopolitical Drama Unfolds & Peace Prevails!** 🕊️ ceasefire negotiations. Initially, gold was shrouded in uncertainty 🌫️ due to the Iran-Israel war, with markets bracing for potential U.S. involvement and a full-blown escalation. Daily tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel kept everyone on edge, and the question of U.S. intervention remained a nail-biter 😬, though President Trump did announce a 14-day "timeout". Then came the dramatic twist on June 21st: "Operation Midnighthammer" saw the U.S. unleash bunker-buster bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. 💥 Short time later, the U.S. declared mission accomplished, stating their goal of destroying these sites was achieved, and no further attacks would follow. Iran's response, "Operation Annunciation of Victory," on the following Monday, involved missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq. 🚀 Interestingly, these attacks were pre-announced, allowing for safe evacuations and thankfully, no casualties. 🙏 The biggest surprise came from President Trump as he declared, "Congratulations world, it's time for peace!" 🎉 He then brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which, despite being fragile, largely held, leading to the war's end.🤝 Both nations, as expected, officially claimed victory – a common move to satisfy their citizens. 🏅 Personally, I was genuinely surprised that the U.S.President mediated ceasefire, actually brought the conflict to a close – but it's a welcome outcome! 🙏 **Economic Data & Fed's Steady Hand** 💹🏛️ The cessation of hostilities triggered a steady downward slide in gold prices from June 24th to 27th. ⬇️ This dip initially met some market resistance but it ultimately prevailed, especially with the release of mixed U.S. economic data, which, despite being varied, was generally interpreted positively by the market. The spotlight also shone on the Federal Reserve, with several representatives speaking and Fed Chair Jerome Powell undergoing a two-day Senate hearing. 🎤👨‍⚖️ Powell meticulously explained the Fed's rationale for holding interest rates steady, despite market pressures. 🤷 However, recent whispers suggest the Federal Reserve might actually cut rates in September! 😮 ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 India / Pakistan Pakistan rejected claims that it supported militant groups active in Indian Kashmir. India issued a formal protest but reported no fresh border clashes during the week. Outlook 🔮: De-escalation is possible in the short term. However, unresolved disputes over water rights (Indus Treaty) could reignite tensions. Gaza Conflict Heavy Israeli airstrikes killed dozens in Gaza, including civilians near aid centers. The UN warned that U.S.-backed aid systems are failing. Humanitarian corridors remain blocked. Outlook 🔮: Ceasefire talks may resume in July, but success depends on international pressure and safe humanitarian access. Russia / Ukraine Russia advanced 36 sq mi in eastern Ukraine, deploying outdated T-62 tanks. Ukraine reinforced defensive lines, aided by Western military packages. Outlook 🔮: The front remains volatile. Sustained Western support will be key to halting further Russian gains. U.S. – China Trade War A breakthrough deal was signed for China to fast-track rare-earth exports to the U.S. Talks on tech transfer and tariffs continue behind closed doors. Outlook 🔮: A phased de-escalation is possible, but deep trust issues linger, especially over semiconductors and AI. 🌐 Global Trade War Several countries, including Brazil and Thailand, imposed fresh restrictions on Chinese imports, echoing the U.S. stance. Global supply chains remain fragmented. Outlook 🔮: Trade blocs like the EU and Mercosur may take on greater importance as countries hedge against rising protectionism. Trump vs. Powell Fed Chair Powell resisted political pressure, stating rate cuts are unlikely before September. Trump called him “stubborn” and demanded immediate easing. Outlook 🔮: The Fed’s independence is under strain. If Trump wins re-election, major policy shifts could follow. 📈 U.S. Inflation Despite tariffs, core inflation remains elevated. Powell warned of persistent price pressures. Trump insists the Fed should cut rates to boost growth. Outlook 🔮: A rate cut later in 2025 is possible—if labor market data weakens. Until then, inflation will remain politically explosive. ## Technical View 📐📈 **Current Market Context:** Gold plummeted to $3,273.67 USD/t.oz on June 27, 2025, marking a 1.65% drop from the previous day, which confirms the strong bearish momentum. The price action shows a significant retreat from recent highs around $3,400. **ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis:** * **Market Structure:** The trend is clearly bearish, with a definitive break of structure (BOS) to the downside. * **Order Blocks:** Several bearish order blocks have been identified at prior resistance levels, specifically in the $3,380-$3,400 range. * **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):** The aggressive sell-off has created multiple imbalances, particularly in the $3,350-$3,320 range. * **Liquidity Pools:** Buy-side liquidity above $3,400 has been swept. Sell-side liquidity is now accumulating below the $3,270 lows, which is the current target zone. * **Session Analysis:** The London session showed aggressive selling, followed by a continuation of bearish momentum in the New York session. The Asia session could see consolidation or further declines. * **Smart Money Concepts:** Heavy selling pressure suggests "smart money" distribution. There's been strong bearish displacement from $3,380 down to $3,270, indicating the market is currently in a "sell program" phase. **Gann Analysis:** * **Gann Angles & Time Cycles:** The primary 1x1 Gann angle has been broken, pointing to continued weakness. Key price squares indicate resistance at $3,375 (25²) and support at $3,249 (57²). Daily cycles suggest a potential turning point around June 30-July 1, while weekly cycles indicate continued pressure through early July. * **Gann Levels:** * Resistance: $3,375, $3,400, $3,481 (59²) * Support: $3,249, $3,136, $3,025 **Fibonacci Analysis:** * **Key Retracement Levels (from recent swing high to low):** * 78.6%: $3,378 (Strong resistance) * 61.8%: $3,348 (Key resistance zone) * 50.0%: $3,325 (Psychological level) * 38.2%: $3,302 (Minor resistance) * 23.6%: $3,285 (Current area of interest) * **Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):** * 127.2%: $3,245 * 161.8%: $3,195 * 261.8%: $3,095 * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** The next significant time cluster is July 2-3, 2025, with a major cycle completion expected around July 15-17, 2025. **Institutional Levels & Volume Analysis:** * **Key Institutional Levels:** * Major Resistance: $3,400 (psychological + institutional) * Secondary Resistance: $3,350-$3,375 (order block cluster) * Primary Support: $3,250-$3,270 (institutional accumulation zone) * Major Support: $3,200 (monthly pivot area) * **Volume Profile Analysis:** * High Volume Node (HVN): $3,320-$3,340 (fair value area) * Low Volume Node (LVN): $3,280-$3,300 (potential acceleration zone) * Point of Control (POC): Currently around $3,330 **Central Bank & Hedge Fund Levels:** Based on recent COT data and institutional positioning, heavy resistance is seen at $3,400-$3,430, where institutions likely distributed. An accumulation zone for "smart money" re-entry is anticipated at $3,200-$3,250. **Cycle Timing Analysis:** * **Short-Term Cycles (Intraday):** Bearish momentum is expected to continue for another 12-18 hours. A daily cycle low is likely between June 29-30, with a potential reversal zone on July 1-2 for the 3-day cycle. * **Medium-Term Cycles:** The current weekly cycle is in week 3 of a 4-week decline. The monthly cycle indicates a mid-cycle correction within a larger uptrend. For the quarterly cycle, Q3 2025 could see a major low formation. * **Seasonal Patterns:** July-August is typically a weaker period for gold ("Summer Doldrums"). September has historically been strong for precious metals ("September Effect"), setting up for a potential major move higher in Q4 2025 ("Year-End Rally"). **Trading Strategy & Levels:** * **Bearish Scenario (Primary):** * Entry: Sell rallies into the $3,320-$3,350 resistance zone. * Targets: $3,250, $3,200, $3,150. * Stop Loss: Above $3,380. * **Bullish Scenario (Secondary):** * Entry: Buy support at $3,250-$3,270 with confirmation. * Targets: $3,320, $3,375, $3,400. * Stop Loss: Below $3,230. **Key Events to Watch:** * **US PCE Data:** Fresh downside risks could emerge ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data release. * **Fed Communications:** Any hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold. * **Geopolitical Developments:** Ongoing global events could trigger safe-haven demand. **Conclusion:** The technical picture for gold suggests continued short-term weakness, with the metal testing its 2025 trend line at $3,290 following last week's rejection at the $3,430 resistance. However, the longer-term outlook remains constructive, given gold's robust performance year-to-date. Key support at $3,250-$3,270 will be crucial in determining the next significant price movement. **Upcoming Week's Economic Calendar (June 29 - July 4, 2025):** 🗓️🌍 🗓️ Get ready for these important economic events (EDT) * ** Sunday , June 29, 2025** * 21:30 CNY: Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 49.6, Previous: 49.5 * ** Monday , June 30, 2025** * 09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 42.7, Previous: 40.5 * ** Tuesday , July 1, 2025** * 05:00 EUR: CPI (YoY) (Jun) - Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 1.9% * 09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 52.0, Previous: 52.0 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 48.8, Previous: 48.5 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 70.2, Previous: 69.4 * 10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May) - Forecast: 7.450M, Previous: 7.391M * ** Wednesday , July 2, 2025** * 08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) - Forecast: 80K, Previous: 37K * 10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories - Forecast: -5.836M * ** Thursday , July 3, 2025** * Holiday: United States - Independence Day (Early close at 13:00) 🇺🇸⏰ * 08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) - Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4% * 08:30 USD: Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast: 239K, Previous: 236K * 08:30 USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) - Forecast: 129K, Previous: 139K * 08:30 USD: Unemployment Rate (Jun) - Forecast: 4.2%, Previous: 4.2% * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 53.1, Previous: 53.1 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 50.3, Previous: 49.9 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 68.7 * ** Friday , July 4, 2025** * All Day: Holiday - United States - Independence Day 🎆 **Gold Price Forecast for the Coming Week** 🔮💰 Given last week's market movements, there's a strong likelihood that the downward trend in gold prices will continue.🔽 However, fresh news can always flip the script! 🔄 As of now, I expect gold to dip further to $3255 by mid-next week. Yet, a brief rebound towards $3300 isn't out of the question before a potential drop to $3200 by week's end or early the following week. 🤞 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
HelenP I. Gold can correct to trend line and then bounce upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that gold has formed a broadening wedge pattern with several touches of the trend line, which acts as a dynamic support. After a strong drop, the price found support near the 3295 level and rebounded, forming a local upward movement. However, bulls have not yet shown a strong impulse, and the price is still trading below the resistance zone between 3390 and 3400 points. Currently, the price is hovering just above the trend line, and appears to be testing this support again. I expect a short decline, possibly to the area around 3295 - 3285 points - that’s the key support zone. If this area holds and we see a bounce, it will confirm that buyers are still active and ready to push the price up again. In this case, we could see gold continue moving inside the wedge pattern and aim for the upper resistance. My goal is set at the 3390 level, right near the wedge's upper border and strong resistance. This target matches the local highs from previous attempts, and if bulls gain momentum, they may try to break through this zone. But for now, I remain cautiously bullish and expect gold to bounce off the trend line and move upward toward the resistance. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
12
MANA - move in support and then shoot at 150%Price Prediction: Short Term (1-3 Days): The price may continue to move within the falling wedge, maintaining a downward trajectory. However, there is a high probability of testing the lower boundary of the wedge ($0.1900 USDT). If the price holds above $0.1900 USDT, this could signal a corrective rally toward the $0.2750 USDT level. Medium Term (1-2 Weeks): If the price successfully tests the lower boundary of the wedge and rebounds upward, this could lead to a reversal of the pattern and the start of an uptrend. The target levels after a wedge breakout would be $0.3863 USDT (previous local high). In case of an unsuccessful test of support ($0.1889 USDT), the price may continue to decline toward deeper support levels (e.g., $0.1500 USDT). Long Term (1 Month+): If there is a successful reversal of the falling wedge pattern, this could mark the beginning of a sustained recovery. Target levels could extend beyond $0.3863 USDT, such as $0.5000 USDT or higher. However, if the downtrend continues without reversal, long-term targets could be significantly below current levels. Trading Recommendations: Long (Buy): Entry: After a successful test of the lower boundary of the wedge ($0.1900 USDT) and a subsequent bounce upward. Take-Profit: $0.2750 USDT → $0.3863 USDT → $0.5000 USDT. Stop-Loss: Below $0.1889 USDT (to protect against further declines). Short (Sell): Entry: If the price fails to break above the upper boundary of the wedge ($0.2750 USDT) and begins to decline. Take-Profit: $0.1900 USDT → $0.1500 USDT. Stop-Loss: Above $0.2750 USDT (to protect against a bullish reversal). Conclusion: At the moment, the asset MANA is in a downtrend, forming a falling wedge. This creates potential for both a corrective rally and a continuation of the decline. The key event will be the test of the lower boundary of the wedge ($0.1900 USDT). A successful test could lead to a reversal of the pattern and the start of an uptrend, while an unsuccessful test could strengthen the downtrend.
Long
by Bar-Pump