Downloading...
Download

Analysis

GOLD - Price can grow to resistance line of wedge patternHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price bounced from $3390 level and declined, but soon turned back and even entered to resistance area. After this, the price dropped from this area and then started to grow inside the wedge, where it at once made an impulse up. Price reached $3390 level one more time and broke it, after which it continued to grow to the resistance line of the wedge. When it reached this line, price turned around and in a short time declined below $3390 level, breaking and then made a retest. Later, Gold broke $3300 level and fell to the support line of the wedge, after which it rose to the resistance area. Now I expect that Gold can make a correction to almost support line and then bounce up to $3320 resistance line of the wedge. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
3
HelenP. I Gold may retest resistance before dropping to $3230Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that after a period of sideways consolidation, gold started to form lower highs under a descending trend line. Each time the price approached this trend line, it was rejected, confirming strong bearish pressure. Most recently, XAUUSD broke below the support-turned-resistance level around 3295, entering the lower resistance zone. Now, the price is trading just under this area, which has acted as a strong supply zone in the past. Given the current technical setup, I expect that gold may show a minor upward move to retest the resistance zone between 3285 - 3295. However, this retest is likely to act as a trigger for sellers to step back in. The prevailing downtrend and repeated failures to break the trend line suggest further weakness ahead. That’s why I’ve placed my target at 3230 points - a level that aligns with the next major support on the chart. This area could provide the next bounce opportunity, but for now, the bearish structure remains dominant. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
12
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 30, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is attracting some sellers towards 143.85 during the Asian session on Monday. The U.S. dollar (USD) is weakening against the Japanese yen (JPY) amid rising bets for a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut. The United States (US) and China are close to a deal on tariffs. However, U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly ended trade talks with Canada, adding uncertainty to the market's positive outlook. In addition, traders are betting that the U.S. central bank will cut rates more frequently and possibly sooner than previously expected. Markets estimate the probability of a quarter-point Fed rate cut at nearly 92.4%, up from 70% a week earlier. On the data side, the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index rose 2.3% in May, up from 2.2% in April (revised from 2.1%), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Friday. This value matched market expectations. Meanwhile, the core PCE price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 2.7% in May, following a 2.6% increase (revised from 2.5%) seen in April. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) cautious stance on interest rate hikes could put pressure on the yen and create a tailwind for the pair. Trade recommendation: SELL 143.50, SL 144.30, TP 142.40
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
STEEL-NERVE SETUP – ARE WE RE-LIVING GOLD’S 2020 BEAR-TRAP?Retail sentiment is ultra-bearish, positioning is cooling, Silver is outperforming and the S&P 500 is screaming risk-on … exactly the cocktail we saw in June 2020, right before Gold & Silver exploded higher. 1️⃣ WHY THIS FEELS LIKE 2020 AGAIN 2025 (now) 2020 (pre-rally) Read-through > 70 % of TradingView ideas are bearish 💬 > 60 % were bearish Crowd may be offsides again Managed-money net-longs -18 % from April peak 📉 -25 % from March peak Powder for fresh longs First monthly ETF outflow (-$1.8 bn) 🚪 Record inflows Capitulation, not euphoria Gold/Silver ratio down to 94 ⚖️ Fell to 95 Silver leadership = bottoming tell S&P 500 at new ATH 📈 S&P at new ATH Risk-on backdrop identical 2️⃣ WHAT’S DIFFERENT THIS TIME Real 10-y TIPS yield +0.7 % (2020: -1 %) → smaller monetary tail-wind. Gold already at inflation-adjusted ATH → upside could be shorter & sharper, not a fresh super-cycle (yet). 3️⃣ CHECKLIST FOR A REAL BEAR-TRAP Signal Watch-level Gold holds $3 200–3 250 (100-d SMA + fib) Daily close above zone Gold/Silver ratio breaks < 90 Momentum confirmation CFTC net-longs < 150 k Position flush ETF flows turn positive Fear → FOMO S&P stumbles / vols spike Classic risk-bid for Gold Need 3 of 5 boxes ticked to validate the squeeze thesis. 4️⃣ CATALYST CALENDAR 3 Jul – NFP: sub-75 k print could fire the opening salvo. 9 Jul – Tariff freeze decision: escalation would revive safe-haven demand. 15 Jul – CPI & 30-31 Jul – FOMC: dovish turn + soft data could complete the squeeze. Disclaimer: This post reflects my personal opinion for educational purposes only; it is not financial advice. Trading futures and commodities involves substantial risk and can lead to total loss of capital—do your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified professional before acting.
COMEX:GC1!
by AustrianTradingMachine
1
BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory. The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase. We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels. This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view. 🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
Long
by Zky17
Gold in a Shifting Macro Landscape Fundamentals First: Why is Gold Falling While DXY is Too? Normally, gold and the U.S. dollar share an inverse relationship (which means, when DXY weakens, gold rises). But recently, this correlation has broken down, and that divergence is a loud macro signal. What’s Happening: Trade Deal Optimism: Headlines suggest the U.S. is nearing a resolution with China and other partners. With reduced geopolitical tension, investors are reallocating from safe-haven assets like gold into risk-on trades like equities and crypto. Iran-Israel Ceasefire: The temporary cooling of conflict has revived risk appetite. Traders are rotating out of war hedges (like gold and oil) and into tech, growth, and EM plays. Real Yields Still Elevated: Despite a softening Fed narrative, U.S. real yields remain positive, keeping pressure on non-yielding assets like gold. The fact that gold couldn't rally even as the 10-year note softened post-Moody's downgrade could be telling. My Perspective: This is the first clear signal in months that geopolitical hedging may have peaked. When gold decouples from its safe-haven narrative despite macro uncertainty, that often precedes a structural rotation phase, especially if institutional flows favor equities. Technical Breakdown Gold has broken below its 50-day SMA at $3,322 and is trading in the lower third of its 3-month range. While the daily candles show increasing selling pressure, especially on lower highs (a sign of weakening bullish momentum) RSI : Falling toward 40, with no bullish divergence yet. Support Level : $3,176: Previous swing low Resistance Level : $3,444: previous swing high What This Move Might Be Telling Us When gold sells off on dollar weakness and geopolitical calm, the market isn’t just relaxing. It is rotating. The de-grossing of gold-heavy hedges: Some hedge funds may be taking profit on gold-heavy exposure from Q1’s rally. Rise of risk appetite despite cracks: Markets are forward-pricing trade peace and earnings resilience, possibly too early. Gold might not be in trouble, but it’s on the bench. Unless something reignites fear (e.g., Fed policy mistake, Middle East flashpoint, or economic shock), capital may stay elsewhere.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JinDao_Tai
30/06 WILL WE SEE A RECOVERY ON THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH? ↗️GOLD PLAN – 30/06: WILL WE SEE A RECOVERY ON THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH? ☄️ ✅ Macro Context – Focus on USD Debt and Political Pressure Today marks the final trading day of June, and the U.S. faces a $6 trillion debt maturity from Covid-era borrowings, which may impact USD liquidity and market sentiment. During the Asian session, gold experienced a sharp drop to the 32xx area before bouncing back and is now hovering near last week's close. While the medium-term structure remains bearish, short-term signals suggest a potential reversal and recovery. ✅Political Catalyst: → Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to 1%-2%, stating he won’t appoint anyone unwilling to ease policy. → This raises expectations of future rate cuts, which could support gold prices in the near term. ✅ Technical Outlook – Multi-timeframe Structure On the higher timeframes, gold continues to correct lower. However, short-term candles are showing recovery momentum, with buyers absorbing around the 327x zone. Today’s strategy: prioritize short-term BUY setups aligned with the recovery wave. ✔️Key Resistance & Support Levels 🔺Resistance: 3283 – 3291 – 3301 – 3322 🔻Support: 3277 – 3271 – 3259 – 3247 🔖Trade Scenarios ✅Buy Scalping 🔺Entry: 3272 – 3274 🔹SL: 3268 ✔️TP: 3282 – 3288 – 3298 ✅Buy Zone 🔺Entry: 3249 – 3251 🔹SL: 3244 ✔️TP: 3265 – 3282 – 3295 – 3310 💠Sell Scalping 🔺Entry: 3298 – 3300 🔹SL: 3304 ✔️TP: 3292 – 3282 – 3270 💠Sell Zone 🔺Entry: 3327 – 3329 🔹SL: 3333 ✔️TP: 3322 – 3310 – 3298 – 3282 ⚡️ Final Note As this is the month-end session, expect possible volatility driven by USD flows and institutional rebalancing.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAUUSD Analysis – June Monthly CloseGold starts the week with a weak bounce attempt after a strong bearish momentum on Friday, which pushed the market below the key 3254 support. The downtrend structure remains valid with a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows on the 4H chart. At the moment, price is trapped inside the 3254–3295 range. Despite the strong bearish pressure, we have yet to see a meaningful correction after the sharp drop on June 28th. This opens the door for a potential intraday pullback to test minor supply and moving average resistance near 3291–3297. However, today is monthly candle close, which means increased volatility and possible false breakouts—especially during US sessions. Traders should be cautious with breakout traps, especially around 3305–3310, where stop hunting might occur. The bigger picture still favors the bears unless gold manages to break and hold above the descending trendline and the EMA cluster. 📌 Trade Setup (Short Bias – Intraday Correction) SELL zone: 3291 – 3297 SL: 3303 (Above supply & EMA test zone) TP1: 3278 TP2: 3255 TP3: 3215 This is not a high-conviction swing setup but a tactical short based on potential rejection from previous supply and dynamic resistance. Small lot size is recommended due to the wider stop-loss and low R/R reward unless high volatility plays in our favor. 📊 Key Intraday Levels R3: 3342 R2: 3322 R1: 3295 Pivot: 3254 S1: 3214 S2: 3180 S3: 3123
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AbsoluteWillid
EURUSD heads towards resistance, short-term reversal expectedEURUSD has been in a strong uptrend, and we’re currently observing price action is reaching a notable resistance zone. I am watching for a reversal here as marked on my chart, not expecting a major move, but rather a short-term rejection with a downside target at around 1.13670 , which also aligns with the POC. This is where it can become a decision point, either price finds support and bounces, or it breaks below, and that’s when we might see the move start to extend lower. If we get a decisive breakdown through that ascending trendline, my next area of interest is marked as TP2. From there we can expect either potential accumulation or another reaction, depending on broader market sentiment at the time. That said, we're navigating a complex backdrop currently: The EU macro environment is under pressure, as weak economic data from Europe is contributing to cautious sentiment around the euro. Meanwhile, a sustained USD bid continues, supported by stronger U.S. growth expectations, favorable yields, and persistent global demand. This further weighs on EURUSD. Adding to the uncertainty, escalating tensions between Israel and Iran have rattled markets this week. This geopolitical risk could be pushing oil prices higher: It’s important to note that if price convincingly rejects here and loses structure, especially with high volume and obvious bullish structure, this setup would become invalid. In that case, I would reassess and adapt
Short
by TrendDiva
36
HelenP. I Euro will drop to trend line, after movement upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that EURUSD has been moving in a stable upward trend, supported by a clear ascending trend line. Each time the price approached this line, it rebounded and continued to grow, respecting the bullish structure. After the recent breakout from the support zone around 1.1500, the market made a strong impulse to the upside and reached a local high. Now, the momentum seems to be slowing down, which opens the possibility for a corrective movement. Given this setup, I expect that the price could first make a small upward push to trap late buyers, and then turn around to begin a decline. The trend line remains a critical technical level, and I anticipate the price will revisit it soon. For this reason, I’ve placed my goal at 1.1575 points — this area aligns with the trend line and can serve as the next support if a pullback occurs. As long as this level holds, the market remains in a bullish structure, but a correction seems likely before further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by FirstNameHelen
6
XAUUSD D1 Forecast: Gold at Pivotal 325x Support What's Next for the Yellow Metal? Today, we're zooming out to examine the broader picture for Gold (XAUUSD) on the Daily (D1) timeframe. Our latest analysis indicates that Gold has encountered a very strong, critical support level around the 325x region. This is a pivotal point that could significantly influence Gold's medium to long-term direction! 🌍 Macroeconomic Landscape: The Underlying Forces Influencing Gold While we've observed a degree of USD weakness stemming from speculations around the Federal Reserve (such as the rumours regarding Jerome Powell's replacement) and expectations of interest rate cuts, these factors haven't fully countered Gold's recent decline on the daily chart. Furthermore, the sustained ceasefire between Israel and Iran continues to temper Gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Nevertheless, the current price action at the robust 325x support level presents a significant technical signal. The impact of forthcoming US macroeconomic data (particularly the PCE Price Index on Friday) and speeches from FOMC members will be crucial in confirming or negating our projected movements for Gold. Should positive news for Gold align with this support holding, it could act as a potent catalyst. 📊 XAUUSD D1 Technical Analysis: Projecting Gold's Next Move Given that Gold has reached strong support at 325x, we can anticipate the following scenarios: Bounce from 325x (Potential Upside Phase): If the 325x area (which reinforces the 3264.400 support from image_e9d325.png) holds firm, we expect a strong reaction and an upward move for Gold. The initial target for this bounce would be the 332x region, aligning with resistance levels 3313.737 - 3330.483 from our previous analysis. On a broader timeframe (as illustrated in image_83845c.png), this corresponds to the resistance zone around 3326.022. This 332x area might represent a continuation pattern, suggesting it could be a corrective rally before the resumption of the larger trend. Resumption of Downtrend (After Reaching 332x): Once Gold reaches and tests the 332x zone (3313.737 - 3330.483 / 3326.022) and exhibits bearish confirmation signals (e.g., a strong bearish engulfing candle, a pin bar, or a clear top formation), we anticipate a resumption of the downward movement. The next major target for this decline would be the 317x area, which correlates well with the strong support at 3173.052 on the larger timeframe (as depicted in image_83845c.png). 🎯 XAUUSD D1 Trading Plan: Your Long-Term Strategy Ahead! Considering the current D1 analysis, here's our actionable plan: 1. BUY PHASE (Bounce from Support): Entry: Observe price reaction in the 325x - 326x zone (specifically 3264.400). Only consider buying if there are clear bullish confirmations (e.g., a confirmed bullish pattern on the daily or 4-hour candle, a strong bounce from the zone with significant volume). SL (Stop Loss): Position just below the 325x support zone (e.g., 3245-3240, depending on confirmation). TP (Take Profit): 3280 - 3284 - 3290 - 3295 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3313.737 - 3320 - 3326.022 (key 332x zone). This will be our primary target for the potential bounce. 2. SELL PHASE (Downtrend Resumption): Entry: Once the price reaches and tests the 332x zone (3313.737 - 3330.483 / 3326.022) and shows bearish confirmation signals (e.g., a strong bearish engulfing, pin bar, or clear top formation). SL (Stop Loss): Position slightly above the 332x zone (e.g., 3335-3340). TP (Take Profit): 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 - 3200 - 3173.052 (final 317x target).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
1
VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?Predicting the market requires skill. Most traders fail at one crucial point: they don’t see the market as a living, breathing organism—a structure where one move leads to another, like cause and effect in motion. That’s what we often call reading the psychology of the market. When you begin to grasp the fundamental principles behind that, you step into the realm of elite traders. And yes—Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a powerful tool, but only if you know how to read it properly. I’m not a certified trader or financial advisor, and I don’t give signals, entries, or exits. I’m simply a solo observer, sharing a slice of what true technical and fundamental analysis looks like. And yes—it takes time. It takes skills. Now, if we want to even attempt predicting the future of price action, we must understand something: A chart is not a single truth. It’s a battlefield of conflicting signals. Patterns, marks, levels—some suggest bullish continuation, others hint at sharp reversals. Confusion is inevitable if you don’t learn to distinguish which signs matter. In our current BTC chart, we’re witnessing this contradiction unfold clearly: • A bullish flag formation... • Yet within it, the emerging completion of a Head & Shoulders pattern! How arrogant can the market be! 😄 A moment to laugh—but also a moment to observe how cleverly the crowd is misled. This is classic manipulation, wrapped in a textbook setup. But what’s most telling isn’t the pattern on the surface—it’s the volume beneath the structure. It’s always the quiet details that speak the loudest. Before price shows its true face, volume often leaves footprints. In our case, those footprints were already leading toward a bearish path—long before the structure began to shape itself clearly. So while retail eyes focused on the bullish flag, the underlying volume had already begun withdrawing support. Not aggressively—no. Subtly, almost elegantly, in that familiar way institutions mask intention: • Spikes that don’t hold • Buying that doesn’t follow through • And a steady fade in commitment as price climbs into weakness It’s in those quiet inconsistencies where VSA earns its value. It tells us: the move isn’t about what’s obvious. It’s about what never fully materialized. So yes, the pattern may still remain incomplete. The Head & Shoulders may yet fail to validate. But for those who were watching volume first—not structure—the script was already being written. ✒️ From now on, professionally speaking, we must still wait: • For the Head & Shoulders to confirm or dissolve. So eyes targeted at the swing low level near 107k • And for volume to either legitimize or invalidate the entire setup Only then does the chart grant us permission to speak in certainties. 🐾 But so far… • The clues have favored the bears. • Sell opportunities appeared early and often—for those who know what to look for. • Bullish spikes in volume? They were met with silence. • Momentum fizzled under a macro backdrop of fading demand. If you were in the right mindset, and aligned even the lower timeframes to basic structural zones, you already saw the path ahead wasn’t being carved by the bulls. Let them finish the patterns. Let the candles paint the story. But for those trained in volume, the ink has already dried. And if you're still reading, maybe you already sense it— real insight doesn’t shout, and it never floats in abundance. Value has never been about noise. It’s about what’s rare, quiet, and overlooked by the crowd. Just like in the markets—the true signals aren’t loud, and they’re never free in the economic sense. Just as price rises where supply thins, the same applies here: what’s scarce... holds weight. PS For last A little exercise, something to grasp on. Have you noticed how Volume & RSI behaves in lower time frames? 4Hour or 1Hour for example. Can you identify how volume confirms a bearish move. Do you discover the correct correlation and combined use between VSA & RSI. Remember my previous insight See you next time!
by WhatComes21
1
ARTY - Play-and-Earn Launch Poised to Ignite Rally Toward $1.80Hi guys, this is my overview for ARTYUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 After consolidating in a flat range between $0.36 and $0.74 for months, ARTY triggered a bullish breakout, climbing rapidly toward $1.83. Following this surge, price corrected back to the $0.27–$0.36 support area, which absorbed selling pressure and formed a reliable accumulation base. On June 30th, Artyfact will launch its inaugural Play-and-Earn mode, poised to attract hundreds of thousands of new users and significantly boost ARTY demand. This upcoming catalyst underpins the bull case, reinforcing buyers’ confidence and justifying another leg higher from current levels near $1.62. Key downside support remains at $1.00–$1.08, where any retracements could offer favorable long entries ahead of resumed uptrend momentum. My three upside targets are $1.00 for the first level, $1.40 as intermediate resistance, and $1.80 near the previous all-time high. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
10
HelenP. I Gold will rebound up from trend line to $3400 levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After looking at this chart, we can see how the price after a prolonged consolidation inside a large wedge pattern, XAUUSD, approached the ascending trend line again - this line has acted as a key support several times in the past. This time is no exception: the price reacted to it with a bullish bounce. We can see a confluence here — trend line support coincides with the lower boundary of the wedge and the local support zone at 3270 - 3250 points. Now the price is trading above this line, showing early signs of recovery. Given the symmetry of this structure and past behavior, I expect gold to continue rising from current levels. The nearest major obstacle lies in the resistance zone around 3400 - 3420, which acted as a turning point before. That’s why my current goal is set at the 3400 level. If bulls hold the trend line, we may see a steady move toward this key resistance. Given the trend line reaction, wedge structure, and current momentum, I remain bullish and expect further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
8
XAUUSD: Gold's Muted Ascent Below $3350 XAUUSD: Gold's Muted Ascent Below $3350 – Navigating Key Levels Amidst USD Weakness! Hello TradingView Community! Let's delve into the intricate world of Gold (XAUUSD) today. The yellow metal is showing a subtle positive bias, largely influenced by a weaker US Dollar, yet a decisive bullish breakout above the $3350 mark remains elusive. 🌍 Macroeconomic Landscape: Forces Shaping Gold's Path Gold has maintained a slight positive stance for the second consecutive day, but it's struggling to find significant follow-through, staying below the $3350 level in early European trading. USD Under Pressure – A Tailwind for Gold: The primary driver for Gold's recent strength is the weakening US Dollar. Reports suggesting President Trump is considering replacing Fed Governor Jerome Powell have sparked concerns about the US central bank's future independence. This speculation has fueled market expectations for further Fed rate cuts this year, pushing the USD to its lowest point since March 2022, thereby providing support for non-yielding assets like Gold. Cautious Outlook Prevails: Despite USD weakness, a definitive bullish trend for Gold is not yet confirmed. The ongoing ceasefire between Israel and Iran holds firm, with prevailing optimism limiting significant safe-haven rallies. This complex environment necessitates caution before confirming a definitive bottom for Gold or positioning for a substantial recovery from levels below $3300. Key Data Ahead: Traders are keenly awaiting upcoming US macroeconomic data and speeches from FOMC members. These insights will be crucial in influencing XAU/USD, particularly ahead of Friday's pivotal US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index release. 📊 XAUUSD Technical Outlook: Pinpointing Strategic Zones Based on recent technical analysis (referencing image_e9d325.png for key levels), Gold is in a consolidation phase after a recent sharp decline, trading around the $329X mark. Price action below shorter-term moving averages suggests either lingering bearish pressure or an accumulation phase. Strong Support Zones (Potential Buy Areas): Critical demand areas are identified around 3294.414, 3276.122, and notably 3264.400. These levels are crucial for potential price bounces. Key Resistance Zones (Potential Sell Areas): Significant supply zones are found at 3313.737, 3321.466, 3330.483, and 3341.947. These are points where selling pressure may emerge. 🎯 XAUUSD Trading Plan: Your Actionable Strategy Here's a breakdown of the strategic entry and exit points for your XAUUSD trades: BUY ZONE (Strong Support - Long-Term Bias): Entry: 3266 - 3264 SL: 3270 TP: 3280 - 3284 - 3290 - 3295 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320 BUY SCALP (Quick Buy at Intermediate Support): Entry: 3284 - 3282 SL: 3278 TP: 3288 - 3292 - 3296 - 3300 - 3305 - 3310 - 3320 - 3330 SELL ZONE (Key Resistance): Entry: 3331 - 3333 SL: 3337 TP: 3326 - 3320 - 3316 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300 SELL SCALP (Quick Sell at Near Resistance): Entry: 3313 - 3315 SL: 3320 TP: 3310 - 3305 - 3300 - 3295 - 3290 - 3280 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor Closely: US Macro Data: Friday's US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is paramount for market direction. FOMC Member Speeches: Any official comments on monetary policy or inflation outlook will significantly impact USD and Gold. Geopolitical Stability: Developments related to the Israel-Iran ceasefire can influence safe-haven demand.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GBP/CAD - Breakout (27.06.2025)The GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1..8857 2nd Resistance – 1.8909 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
22
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 27, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair held positive momentum near 1.3735 during Asian trading on Friday. Concerns over the Fed's future independence continue to undermine the US Dollar and create a tailwind for the major pair. U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement that he is considering selecting the next Fed chairman ahead of schedule, which has spurred fresh controversy over U.S. rate cuts. Trump said the list of potential successors to Powell had shrunk to “three or four people”, without naming any finalists. In addition, weaker-than-expected US gross domestic product (GDP) data also sent the dollar lower. The U.S. economy contracted faster than expected in the first three months of this year, falling 0.5%, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Thursday. The figure was below the previous estimate and the market consensus of -0.2%. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey warned earlier this week that interest rates are likely to continue to fall. At its June meeting, the UK central bank left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%, although three of the nine members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted to cut interest rates. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3750, SL 1.3690, TP 1.3865
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD Biases (Long, Short, and Today’s View)EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones This will be a concise market analysis essay (around 600–700 words) suitable for a financial audience, such as forex traders or analysts. Let me begin: EUR/USD Trading Biases: Navigating Bullish Momentum and Key Resistance Zones The EUR/USD pair, one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the forex market, has exhibited strong bullish momentum in recent sessions. As of June 26, 2025, the euro’s ascent against the dollar has brought it to a critical juncture, testing significant technical and psychological resistance levels. Traders are now weighing the potential for continued upside against growing signals of exhaustion and looming fundamental catalysts. Bullish Outlook: A Technically Supported Advance From a technical perspective, the bullish case for EUR/USD remains compelling. The pair is entrenched in a sustained uptrend, marked by successive breakouts above prior resistance levels and validated by daily and weekly closes above 1.1600. The current price action is converging on a crucial supply zone located between 1.1700 and 1.1900—an area historically known for triggering reversals but also pivotal in confirming trend continuation if broken convincingly. Technical indicators further bolster the bullish narrative. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), while approaching overbought territory, is still supportive of higher prices. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) displays a widening bullish histogram, and the Average Directional Index (ADX) confirms trend strength. Near-term resistance lies between 1.1680 and 1.1730, with potential for an extension to 1.1800 should the pair breach this upper band. On the fundamental front, improved German Ifo business sentiment data has injected optimism into the eurozone outlook. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions and a broader risk-on sentiment in global markets have undercut the dollar's safe-haven appeal. Speculation over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts further dampens dollar strength, creating tailwinds for EUR/USD. Bearish Considerations: Resistance and Reversal Risks Despite the encouraging trend, caution is warranted. The area between 1.1700 and 1.1900 represents a major weekly order block (OB) resistance—territory where several past rallies have lost steam. Oscillators such as the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and RSI are showing signs of overextension, and the market is now vigilant for reversal patterns or signs of exhaustion. Fundamentally, while the recent Ifo data is encouraging, it remains below the key threshold of 100, reflecting lingering skepticism about the eurozone's full recovery. Moreover, upcoming U.S. economic releases, particularly GDP figures and jobless claims, could act as potential catalysts for a dollar rebound. Hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve officials could also tilt sentiment, especially if it dampens expectations of rate cuts. If EUR/USD fails to hold above the 1.1700–1.1730 resistance zone, a corrective move toward 1.1530–1.1500 becomes plausible. Deeper pullbacks could extend toward 1.1470 and 1.1390, especially if risk sentiment reverses or economic data surprises in favor of the dollar. Today’s View: Bullish with a Note of Caution For today, June 26, the prevailing bias remains bullish, yet increasingly cautious. The pair is testing the lower end of the 1.1700 OB zone. A decisive break and hold above this level would likely unleash further upside toward 1.1730 and 1.1800. However, overbought conditions and proximity to a known resistance zone suggest that traders should remain alert to potential rejection. Intraday strategies favor buying on dips above 1.1600–1.1635, with stops placed just below 1.1600 and targets set at 1.1700–1.1730. Conversely, short positions should only be considered if there is a clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1730 area, with downside targets at 1.1530–1.1500 and stops above 1.1800. Conclusion The EUR/USD is currently at a pivotal inflection point. While the bullish trend is intact and supported by both technical and fundamental factors, the proximity to a major resistance zone introduces a layer of complexity. Traders must remain agile—ready to ride a breakout higher if confirmed, but equally prepared to pivot if the pair falters and signals a reversal. In markets like these, timing and confirmation are everything.
by HUGOF
BTC multi-timeframe: bullish momentum and strong support zones__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Clear bullish bias across all timeframes (MTFTI Up everywhere except 5min). Weak selling pressure, no distribution or capitulation signals. Support/Resistance: Key resistances: 110647–109554 (HTF). Major supports: 102756 (D Pivot Low), 98330 (720 Pivot Low). Multiple buy zones on retracement. Volume: Recent volumes below "extreme" threshold, no euphoria/capitulation detected. Multi-TF Behavior: Global bullish alignment, volatility present intraday, but no confirmed reversal risk. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator shows no major anomaly. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Bias: Structurally bullish market. Prioritize tactical buys on pullback, active risk management. Opportunities: Reinforce long positions on $106k/$103k/$100k retrace. Partial targets below 110–111k. Risk Zones: Rejection under 106500–107000 with extreme volume spike = short-term top signal. Invalidation if H1 < 106k or H4 < 102.7k. Macro Catalysts: US calendar (GDP, durable goods, jobless claims), geopolitics (Russia/Ukraine). No systemic alert, but caution required. Action Plan: Filter entries on technical supports, exit on extreme sell volume or macro shock. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Compression below historical resistances (109–111k), solid momentum, potential buy zone 102750–98330. 12H: Multiple resistances, uptrend, support confluence 102756–106530 pivot key. 6H: Price under resistance cluster (106530), possible profit-taking on rejection, strong support 102756. 4H: High-range structure, reinforced supports, next breakout could trigger acceleration with volume. 2H: Pivot zone 106500–107200, caution below close, buy zone on correction. 1H: Support stacking structure, no clear breakdown, critical node, aggressive buy 106100–105800. 30min: Compression at range high, caution on buying resistance, key spots 106000/104500. 15min: Possible buyer exhaustion under 108k, tactical buy on support 106000–106500 if confirmed. Summary: Strong bullish alignment, same key supports, no panic. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator neutral, controlled market, possible whipsaw on short-term TFs but no major reversal sign. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro, News & On-Chain Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro: Fed and traditional markets calm, no monetary alert. Israel/Iran ceasefire, increased volatility in Europe (Russia/Ukraine). Moderate risk-on sentiment. Calendar: June 26: US durable goods/GDP/jobless claims (potential volatility). On-chain: BTC range $100–110k, fundamental support $93–100k, no panic/capitulation. Low spot volumes, bullish digestion phase. __________________________________________________________________________________ Conclusion __________________________________________________________________________________ Dominant bias: Up/moderately bullish in short term, focus on retracement buying. Risk management: Stop H4 < $102.7k, H1 < $106k, scalping: break of 106k with extreme volumes. Action zones: Reinforce on $106k/$103k/$100k retrace, partial TP below 110–111k, extension if confirmed breakout. Monitor: Volume, support reactions, macro catalysts. Summary: Technical and on-chain context remains bullish; best approach is tactical buying on pullback with dynamic stops. Stay agile in case of extreme selling volume or macro shocks. Act on signals, protect capital. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Ox_kali
BTC/USDT Drop to 101k?🧠 High Time Frame Context Trend: Consolidation within a broad range (support and resistance clearly defined). Key Psychological Levels: 105,000 USDT – minor level, acting as a magnet in short-term PA. 110,000 USDT – major supply confluence and liquidity target. 🟪 Supply & Resistance Zone Zone: Marked in purple (108.5k-112k). Key Observation: Swing high formed inside this zone, indicating liquidity trap. Potential fake-out or strong rejection from this area. Strong confluence with a descending resistance trendline, adding to the selling pressure. 🔵 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Retracement Targets FVG identified just below the current price (~103.5k-104.5k). Price is projected to: Reject from the current high. Drop to fill the FVG zone. Possibly bounce between FVG and Fibonacci retracement levels: 0.5 0.618 0.786 🔴 Volume & RSI Divergence Volume breakout is noted on the last push down (bottom red annotation), followed by a retrace. OBV shows bullish divergence with price: 🔻 Support Structure Lower red trendline is a key long-term support. Previous swing low aligns with this trendline – buyers showed strong interest here. If FVG fails to hold, expect a retest of this trendline near 97,000–98,000. 📈 Likely Scenarios Base Case (Neutral-Bearish): Price rejects current zone (~107,000). Pullback into FVG (101–104K). Bounce to 105K (minor resistance), then decide next direction. Bullish Breakout: If price breaks and closes above 110K, it invalidates supply zone. Opens door to 115–118K range. Bearish Breakdown: Fails FVG zone. Tests previous swing low and support (~97K). Below that, structure becomes macro bearish. 🧩 Summary Short-Term: Retracement into FVG likely. Monitor reaction. Medium-Term: Bearish bias while price is below 110K. Invalidation for bears: Clean break and hold above 110K.
Short
by King_BennyBag
10