XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?XAUUSD: Key Reversal Zone or Deeper Correction Ahead?
Gold enters the new trading week balancing on a technical and macroeconomic knife’s edge. After a steep decline, prices are testing critical liquidity zones — just as geopolitical tensions and US economic uncertainty intensify.
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
📰 Middle East Tensions Rising Again: Israel has signaled potential strikes on Tehran after Iran allegedly violated a ceasefire agreement. Such developments usually support gold as a safe-haven asset.
📊 US Economic Signals Are Mixed: Last week’s PMI and housing data point toward an economic slowdown. If this week’s Core PCE data softens, expectations for a Fed rate cut in September will grow — likely weakening the USD and lifting gold.
🏦 Global Demand for Gold Still Strong: Central banks, particularly from China and India, are continuing their gold accumulation, reinforcing long-term bullish fundamentals.
📉 Technical Analysis (H1–H4)
Gold is still trading within a downward channel but is now approaching a strong demand zone around 3276, a level that has triggered rebounds in the past.
EMA 34 – 89 – 200 indicate bearish momentum, but RSI is showing bullish divergence — hinting at a possible reversal or short-term bounce.
Price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial this week.
✅ XAUUSD Trade Setup
BUY ZONE: 3278 - 3276 | SL: 3270 | TP: 3282 - 3286 - 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3305 - 3310
SELL ZONE: 3367 - 3369 | SL: 3375 | TP: 3364 - 3360 - 3356 - 3352 - 3348 - 3344 - 3340 - 3330 - 3320
📌 The Buy Zone lies within a historical liquidity pocket — ideal for a potential rebound if geopolitical risks rise or USD weakens.
📌 The Sell Zone is near a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and local resistance — strong confluence for short opportunities on a bounce.
🧭 Final Thoughts
XAUUSD is facing a pivotal moment. With both geopolitical events and major US economic data on the horizon, traders should prepare for volatility. Patience, technical discipline, and proper SL/TP management will be key to navigating this environment successfully.
Analysis
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 - Wedge Breakout (21.06.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3425
2nd Resistance – 3451
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NZD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (23.06.2025)The NZD/JPY Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 86.35
2nd Support – 86.00
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XAUU-USD chart it will go back upwardXAUUSD Buy Setup Active 🟢💰
Gold is holding strong above key support – currently trading at 3355. We’ve entered a Buy position expecting continued bullish momentum in the market.
📍 Entry: 3355
🎯 Targets: 3420 – 3450 – Final Target 3400
🛑 Stop Loss: 3325 (below recent structure low)
With global uncertainty and technical strength aligning, this move could push gold higher in the coming sessions.
Stay alert, manage risk, and follow the trend until reversal confirmation. 🧭📈
#XAUUSD #GoldTrade #ForexTrading #BuySetup #TradingViewAnalysis #MarketUpdate
Euphoria in the air! But, will it get us there?
-liquidity pools at white lines
-triangle formation atop fast move up
-gan fan from recent move and one dating back to Nov '22 coincide
-lost support of 50ma on 12h tf
conclusion: before any significant move upward,
i think that bitcoin will first reclaim liquidity around
the 97,700-99,988k zone. if support lost there, next zone below would be ~90,225k. this could either be a deswelling of momentum into a further drop, or a compression event, indicative of a rapid, significant move, possibly beyond current ATH ranging up to 181,678 thousand dollars or there abouts.
Im building a position broken up into many parts to wait out this long grind we have ahead of us.
XAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in PlayXAUUSD – Are the Bulls Back? Key Reversal Zone in Play
Gold has been consolidating in a tight range for several sessions, but both macro and technical indicators are pointing to a potential breakout. With volatility expected to rise, traders should keep a close eye on these high-probability zones.
🌍 Macro Overview – Is the Tide Turning for Gold?
📉 The Fed remains hawkish, but market sentiment has shifted, with over 65% probability priced in for a rate cut in September. This adds pressure on the dollar and offers upside potential for gold.
💸 10-year US Treasury yields are stabilizing, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and reigniting interest from risk-averse investors.
⚠️ Ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets.
🏦 Central banks, especially in China and India, are steadily increasing their gold reserves — a bullish long-term signal for the market.
📊 Technical Outlook – Watch the Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The 3325–3327 support zone aligns with an unfilled FVG on H1-H4 charts, providing a key area for bullish momentum to resume.
Sustained price action above this level may open a path toward 3360 and beyond.
Conversely, if price reaches the 3398–3400 resistance area and shows signs of exhaustion, it could trigger a short-term pullback.
✅ Trade Setup
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325
SL: 3320
TP Targets: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3405
TP Targets: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360
⚠️ Final Thoughts
The gold market is approaching a decision point... With the PCE and US GDP data due this week, traders should expect a potential volatility spike.
Risk management remains key — wait for confirmation at key levels, stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions override discipline. This week could offer strong directional moves for gold, but only for those prepared.
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 23, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD exchange rate fell to around 1.14900 at the start of the Asian session on Monday. The US dollar is strengthening against the euro (EUR) amid US President Donald Trump's decision to join Israel's war against Iran, which has sharply escalated the conflict. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the conflict in the Middle East.
Over the weekend, the US entered the conflict between Israel and Iran when American military aircraft and submarines struck three Iranian targets in Iran, Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. Trump said Iran's key uranium enrichment facilities had been “totally destroyed” and warned of “much more severe” strikes if Iran did not agree to peace. The rise in tensions following the US bombing of Iranian nuclear facilities is contributing to the rise in safe-haven currencies such as the US dollar and is having a negative impact on the major currency pair.
Earlier this month, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time this year to support the eurozone's sluggish recovery, but made it clear that there would be a pause in July. ECB President Christine Lagarde said that rate cuts are coming to an end, as the central bank is now “well positioned” to deal with the current uncertainty. The ECB's hawkish tone may help limit the euro's losses in the near term.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.15000, SL 1.14600, TP 1.15800
$FUNUSDT Breakout Setup NYSE:FUN has broken out of a long-term downtrend with strong bullish momentum.
It’s now retesting the breakout zone, which also aligns with a key support area.
If this level holds, the next target is 0.010199, a potential 154% move.
Clean breakout-retest setup in play.
DYRO, NFA
Can 6 Holes in a mountain move gold this week? 23-27 June 2025Hello fellow traders of OANDA:XAUUSD
All about last week here
Since Israel's attack on Iran on Friday, June 13th, aimed at destroying all facilities for potential nuclear weapons production, the gold price initially rose to $3450. This surge lasted until Monday, June 16th, during the European session, but then began to fall from there. 📉🔻
Signs of potential peace talks and a swift end to the conflict largely made investors hesitant to invest. Throughout the week, the gold price mostly reacted negatively to higher prices due to investor uncertainty. This was further exacerbated by the fact that the US had not yet entered this war, which Israel initiated. 🕊️😟
However, since the US attack with bunker-busting bombs on the nuclear facilities on June 21st, they are now part of the conflict. Not least for this reason, they might become the target of retaliatory strikes, as already announced by the Iranian regime. 💣💥
If one looks at the timeline of news and announcements regarding potential US involvement in this war, and the two-week waiting period announced by President Trump, it will certainly become clear that this was nothing more than tactics. It was foreseeable that the US would become involved in the conflict, not least because the Israelis lack the appropriate weapons. The possibility of the US providing these weapons to the Israelis was also in the news; however, it then became clear that this specific bomb could only be used by the Stealth Bomber B2. This made it evident that it was only a matter of timing when it would happen, and they naturally wanted to keep that secret – anything else would be nonsensical anyway. 🤫✈️
What's to be expected next? Regarding this conflict, I hope for a swift end. 🕊️🙏 As for the gold price, well, I still believe in a new All-Time High (ATH). 🚀🌟 Will it come this week? Possibly. But the much more important question is whether the Iranian regime will truly dare to attack the US and exact revenge. 🤔⚔️
Market Structure:
The chart shows a clear shift from bullish 🐂 to bearish 🐻 structure. We see a significant high around June 13th at approximately $3,451, followed by a break of structure with lower highs and lower lows forming. 📉
Key Levels: 🔑
Premium levels: The area around $3,440-$3,451 represents premium pricing where institutional selling likely occurred. 💎
Fair Value Gaps: There appear to be several imbalances/gaps that price may seek to fill, particularly around the $3,380-$3,400 zone. 🎯
Order Blocks: The consolidation areas around $3,320-$3,340 and $3,380-$3,400 represent potential institutional order blocks. 🧱
Institutional Levels: 🏦
Psychological resistance: $3,450 level acted as significant resistance. 🚧
Current support cluster: $3,320-$3,340 area showing multiple touches. 🛡️
Liquidity zones:
The recent lows around $3,293 represent buy-side liquidity that institutions may target. 💧
Fibonacci Analysis: 📏
Based on the major swing from the low around June 9th ($3,300) to the high on June 13th ($3,451):
50% retracement: ~$3,375 (already tested and failed) 📉
61.8% retracement: ~$3,357 (near current price action) ✨
78.6% retracement: ~$3,337 (aligns with support cluster) ✅
Gann Concepts: 🔢
The timing shows potential significance around the June 13th high, with subsequent price action following geometric price relationships. The current price action around $3,328 suggests we're testing important Gann square relationships from the cycle highs. 📐
Cycle Timing: ⏰
The approximately 10-day cycle from low to high to current retracement suggests we may be in a corrective phase that could extend into late June, with potential for cycle lows around the June 25-27 timeframe based on typical precious metals cycles. 🗓️
Current Assessment:
Price appears to be in a corrective phase testing the $3,320-$3,340 institutional support zone. A break below could target the cycle lows, while a hold here with reclaim of $3,380 could indicate accumulation for the next leg higher. ⚖️🔍
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
LTC/USDT chart technical analysis (1D)🔷 1. Trend and market structure
🔺 Main channels:
The chart is moving in an ascending channel (orange lines), the lower and upper limits of which have been respected since mid-2022.
The current price (around 78.3 USDT) is in the middle range of the channel, with a downward trend in recent weeks.
🔁 Market phase:
The price is in consolidation in a broader uptrend.
The last upward swing did not break through the previous peak (~135 USDT), which may indicate weakening momentum.
🔷 2. Key horizontal levels (support/resistance)
✅ Resistance levels (green lines):
83.46 USDT – the nearest resistance, currently being tested from below.
95.48 USDT – strong resistance from March-April 2024.
105.19 USDT – a level tested many times in the past.
110.00 USDT – a psychological level.
115.83 USDT – a local high from December 2023.
🛑 Support levels (red lines):
78.30 USDT – currently tested support level.
70.98 USDT – a key defensive level for bulls.
52.03 USDT – strong historical support.
39.78 USDT – the last line of defense, consistent with the lows from 2022.
📐 Dynamic support (orange line):
The lower boundary of the ascending channel – currently falls around 65 USDT and increases over time.
🔷 3. Technical indicators
📊 CHOP (Choppiness Index)
Oscillates near the lower values → the market is starting to leave the consolidation phase.
Potential directional movement soon, most likely downward (due to momentum).
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI below 50, currently around 40–45 → supply advantage.
Not oversold yet, but momentum is downward.
🔄 Stochastic
Well below 20, i.e. in the oversold zone.
Potential for a short-term bounce, but it can also go lower with a stronger sell-off wave.
🔷 4. Technical scenarios
🟢 Growth scenario (long):
Condition: Defending the level of 78.3 USDT and a quick return above 83.46.
Targets:
TP1: 95.48
TP2: 105.19
TP3: 115.83 (upper border of the channel)
SL: below 70.98 USDT
🔴 Bearish scenario (short):
Condition: Break 78.3 and retest as resistance.
Targets:
TP1: 70.98
TP2: 65 (lower channel line)
TP3: 52.03 (large accumulation zone)
SL: return above 83.46
🔷 5. Swing strategy proposal
Long
Entry 78.30–79.00
SL < 70.50
TP1 95.50 TP2 105.00 TP3 115.00
Short
Entry < 77.50 (ret.)
SL > 83.50
TP1 71.00 TP2 65.00 TP3 52.00
🔷 6. Additional comments
It is worth observing the price reaction at 70.98 USDT - this could be a capitulation level or a strong rebound.
The formation on the daily chart resembles a head and shoulders (H&S) - a warning signal for bulls.
Bitcoin Daily Update June 22nd 2025Bitcoin daily chart:
🔻 Bearish Signals
1. Break of Rising Trendline:
The price has broken below the upward (orange) trendline, indicating a shift in momentum.
This trendline had previously acted as support, so the break suggests growing selling pressure.
2. Support Levels:
BTC is now hovering just above $99,634, which appears to be a key short-term support.
The next major support is around $93,363 — a break below that could open the door to mid $80K or even $71K (0.786 Fibonacci level).
3. Market Cipher Indicator (middle panel):
The momentum wave is clearly descending, and VWAP (green) is curving down.
The money flow (red) is negative.
Bearish dots and crosses are appearing.
4. Stochastic RSI (bottom panel):
Both %K and %D lines are dropping sharply below the 20 line, suggesting downside momentum is strong.
No sign of bottoming out yet.
🟡 Neutral/Bullish Watch Points
If BTC holds $99.6K and reclaims $100,115 or $104,616, it could neutralize or reverse this bearish setup.
RSI is not oversold yet, so room remains for further downside before any strong bounce.
📉 Summary:
BTC is currently bearish on the daily chart with:
Breakdown from an uptrend.
Weak momentum.
Declining oscillators.
Support tests underway.
If $99.6K fails, eyes shift to $93.3K, and below that, $86.5K–$71.9K as potential zones.
....
🔻 Primary Trade Setup (Bearish)
⚙️ Type: Short Position
⏰ Timeframe: Daily
📉 Strategy: Trendline break and momentum continuation
Entry:
Below $99,500 (confirmation of trendline breakdown & continuation)
Targets:
1. Target 1: $93,363 — Previous support level
2. Target 2: $86,500 — Next horizontal support
3. Target 3: $71,949 — Major 0.786 Fibonacci level (high confluence)
Stop-Loss:
Above $100,600 (to avoid fakeout wicks)
Or tighter: $100,150 (for smaller R:R)
Risk-to-Reward (R:R):
Entry: ~$99,500
SL: ~$100,600 → ~1.1% risk
TP1: ~$93,300 → ~6.2% reward
R:R ≈ 5.6:1 (to TP1) — solid risk profile
🔄 Alternate Plan (Bullish Reversal Setup)
⚙️ Type: Long Position (Only IF price reclaims broken levels)
If BTC reclaims $100,600 and closes above $104,616, trend could resume up.
Entry:
Break and daily close above $104,616
Targets:
1. $110,616 — recent resistance
2. $112,000 — psychological + historical zone
Stop-Loss:
Below $100,600
Invalidates upward breakout
📊 Indicators to Watch:
VWAP: Still pointing down (bearish bias)
Money Flow Index: Still in red (risk-off)
Stochastic RSI: Resetting near bottom — could support bounce later
Much love and appreciation,
– chevs710
HelenP. I Euro will break resistance level and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. On this chart, we can see how price initially moved inside a triangle formation, forming higher lows from the trend line and testing the resistance zone multiple times. Eventually, price broke out to the downside, falling sharply and breaking through the lower boundary of the triangle and also the trend line, signaling a shift in market sentiment. After touching the support zone and forming a temporary bottom, the pair started climbing back up, but this movement was more of a correction than a trend reversal. Price respected the trend line from below and followed it upward, but failed to break significantly higher. It managed to push above both support 2 and support 1 levels, which now act as resistance. Currently, EURUSD is trading inside the resistance zone, where previous reactions have led to strong bearish impulses. Given this behavior and the recent false breakout, I expect the price to rebound from this area and break back below support. My goal is set at 1.1350, anticipating further downside movement as the bearish structure remains valid. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Beyond the Headlines - Gold Outlook June 16-20, 2025Beyond the Headlines: Gold's Ascent Amidst Global Shifts & Key Technicals 🌐🚀
Everything about the last week can be found here:
OANDA:XAUUSD 💰📈
We all know what's going on, I believe. Israel struck Iran 💥, and this conflict will likely take a bit before things cool down. 🥶
---
## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰
### Israel / Iran
Since June 12, Israel launched "Operation Rising Lion," targeting Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz and Esfahan – over 128 killed, Iran claims. 🇮🇷 retaliated with missile and drone strikes on Haifa and Tel Aviv, killing at least 10. 🚀
**Outlook:** 🔥 Tensions are spiraling. Without urgent mediation, full-scale regional war remains a real risk. 💣
### India / Pakistan
Since the May ceasefire, few clashes have occurred. However, both navies increased readiness, signaling potential escalation at sea. 🚢
**Outlook:** ⚖️ Peace is fragile. A strategic dialogue is key to avoiding a renewed border or maritime conflict. 🙏
### Gaza Conflict
Between June 7–15, Israeli strikes killed at least 41 Palestinians, including 8 near an aid center in Rafah. Over 55,000 total deaths, and famine is looming. 💔
**Outlook:** 🆘 Gaza remains a humanitarian catastrophe. Global pressure for access and a ceasefire must intensify. 🕊️
### Russia / Ukraine
June 13–15: Russia returned the bodies of 1,200 Ukrainian soldiers in a rare POW swap gesture. 🤝 Fighting remains intense in Sumy and Toretsk; Russia hit a major oil refinery. 🏭
**Outlook:** 🕊️ While symbolic moves continue, no peace is in sight – battlefield outcomes will shape diplomacy. ⚔️
### U.S. - China Trade War
The U.S. hiked tariffs to 55% on key Chinese goods. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 responded with 10% on U.S. imports. Talks yielded a partial truce, but military-use rare earths remain unresolved. 💻
**Outlook:** 🔧 Tech remains the battleground. Without progress on critical materials, the trade war may deepen. 📉
### Global Trade War
The OECD revised global growth downward due to rising tariffs from the U.S. targeting 🇨🇳, 🇲🇽, 🇨🇦. Global trade volume is expected to shrink by 0.2–1.5%. 📉
**Outlook:** ⛓️ Supply chain disruption is spreading. Global trade will stay under pressure without coordinated policy. 🌍➡️🌍
### Trump vs. Powell
Trump labeled Powell a "numbskull" for not cutting rates, suggesting he might "force something" if re-elected. 🗳️ The Fed maintains policy independence ahead of a critical June decision. 🏛️
**Outlook:** ⚔️ Political pressure on the Fed is mounting. Expect more friction as the election cycle heats up. 🔥
### U.S. Inflation
CPI rose 2.4% YoY in May (from 2.3%); Core CPI held steady at 2.8%. Monthly growth was modest at 0.1%. Key rises were seen in healthcare and vehicle prices. 🚗🏥
**Outlook:** Inflation is stable but sticky. 🚦 The Fed will likely hold rates steady until clearer disinflation signals appear. 📊
---
## Technical View 📐📈
### Market Structure:
Gold shows a clear **bullish market structure** with higher highs and higher lows. ⬆️ Recent price action suggests we're in a strong uptrend with institutional buying pressure. 🏦
### Key Levels:
* The chart shows a significant low around the **$3,245 area** (marked as "Low") which could act as a key institutional support level. 💪
* The current high near **$3,446** represents a potential institutional resistance zone. 🛑
* Look for potential **order blocks** around the **$3,380-$3,400 range** where price consolidated before the recent breakout. 🧱
### Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
There appear to be several gaps in the price action during volatile moves, particularly during strong rally phases. These could act as future support/resistance areas. 📉📈
### Gann Analysis:
The price movement shows strong adherence to Gann principles:
* The rally from the low follows a steep angle, suggesting strong momentum. 🚀
* Key Gann angles would place support around the **$3,300-$3,320 zone**. 📐
* The current price near **$3,436** is testing natural resistance levels based on Gann square calculations. 📏
### Fibonacci Levels:
From the significant swing low to the current high:
* 23.6% retracement: ~$3,395 📉
* 38.2% retracement: ~$3,370 📉
* 50% retracement: ~$3,345 📉
* 61.8% retracement: ~$3,320 📉
The golden ratio levels suggest key support on any pullback would be around the **$3,370-$3,345 zone**. ✨
### Institutional Levels:
* **Weekly/Monthly Levels:** The **$3,400** and **$3,450** areas appear to be significant institutional levels based on round numbers and previous price action. 🏦💰
* **Smart Money:** The accumulation pattern before the breakout suggests institutional participation. 🧠💡
### Cycle Timing:
Based on the timeframe (appears to be 30-minute bars from May 26-June 15):
* We're seeing approximately **3-week cycles** in the major moves. 🗓️
* The current rally phase appears to be in its mature stage. 🌳
* The next potential cycle turn could be approaching, suggesting caution for new longs at current levels. ⚠️
---
### Trading Considerations:
* Watch for rejection at current levels near **$3,446**. 📉
* Key support confluence around **$3,370-$3,345** for potential re-entry. 🎯
* Volume and momentum divergences would be critical for timing any reversal. 📊🔄
Other indicators tend to show bullish scenario enhancements. 🚀
Gold has formed a ** Standard Bullish Flag pattern ** over a time from early April till today. 🚩🐂
Also, the structure of a ** reverse Head & Shoulders ** is existing and has broken the neckline! 🔄🗣️
Another indicator is an existing "** Ascending Bull Flag **." ⬆️🚩
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Dow Jones potential down side moveDow Jones is showing some sign of wanting to go short with also the potential dollar strength coming into the markets and the bond yield markets having a bullish trend for the last couple of months. Dow has reach a full fib extension and we could see some form of retracement continuation.
BTC/USD (4-hour interval)📈 BTC/USD
🕒 Interval: 4H
1. General trend
We are observing a medium-term downtrend.
Since June 10 (middle vertical line), the price has been systematically creating lower highs and lower lows.
Current price: approx. USD 102.625.
2. Formation and Price Action
🔻 Left side of the chart (May 20 - June 10):
Volatility, no clear direction, but local highs are formed in the area of USD 111,000 - 112,500.
Consolidation from May 27 to June 2.
🔻 Right side of the chart (after June 10):
A clear breakout from the consolidation downwards.
A potential correction or continuation of the downward movement is currently forming.
The last candles suggest a strong downward impulse, and the current candle has a long lower shadow – a possible demand reaction.
3. Technical levels
📉 Resistance:
$112,400 – local peak from June 10.
$109,000 – $109,500 – area of previous consolidations.
$107,000 – lower limit of previous support.
📈 Support:
$102,000 – currently tested level.
$100,000 – psychological support level.
$97,000 – potential range of further declines.
4. Stochastic RSI (oscillator at the bottom of the chart)
The indicator currently shows the intersection of the %K and %D lines in the oversold zone.
This may suggest a short-term upward rebound – but in the context of a downtrend, this may just be a correction.
5. Candles and price action
The last candle has a long lower shadow and a close close to the maximum – this may indicate buyer pressure in this zone.
No confirmation of a reversal – only the closing of a bullish candle and a breakout above USD 103,500–104,000 may give a signal of a larger rebound.
6. Scenarios
✅ Bullish scenario (short-term):
Rebound from the USD 102,000 zone.
Test of USD 103,500–104,000 (local resistance).
If broken – a move towards USD 107,000 is possible.
❌ Bearish scenario (continuation):
Breakout of support at USD 102,000.
Movement towards the psychological level of 100,000 USD.
Possible escalation of declines on increased volume.
7. Signals to watch
Price behavior in the area of 102k USD - a key place to react.
Volume indicators (not visible here) could confirm the direction of the movement.
Will stochastic RSI give a full buy signal? (%K line above %D, both coming out of the oversold zone).
USDCHF 15M ANALYSISThe analysis of my next trade works like this
Our entry is: BULLISH
(1) The 4H trendline broke
(2) We retested the 4H support
(3) We wait for a break and retest of our most recent 15 minute support
(4) We comfirm the bullish direction with our volume indicator (we want to see big volume that surprasses the 20 ema that is included in the volume indicator) and a bullish candlestick close.
IF YOU LIKED THE ANALYSIS PLEASE DROP A FOLLOW
BTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break LevelBTCUSD – At a Make-or-Break Level: Will Bitcoin Rebound or Slide Further?
Bitcoin continues to hover near a critical support level after last week's sharp drop. With rising macro uncertainty, shifting institutional flows, and growing interest in crypto regulation, BTCUSD is showing signs of a potential reversal — but traders should proceed with caution.
🌐 Macro Outlook – Debt Pressure, ETFs & Election Talk Fuel Uncertainty
US fiscal stress is building: Analysts warn that the United States could see interest payments exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — more than its defense or healthcare budget. This puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider fiscal tightening instead of rate cuts.
Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows are slowing: After a strong start in early 2024, institutional flows into spot BTC ETFs have cooled down recently. Hedge funds and asset managers are waiting for more clarity on economic policy.
Pro-crypto narratives gaining traction in US politics: With elections approaching, political figures are floating proposals to use Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset and encourage crypto-based financial infrastructure.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains volatile. A weaker dollar could support crypto, but stronger-than-expected inflation data may fuel further caution.
📉 Technical Analysis (BTCUSD – H1 to H4)
BTC is currently trading within a medium-term descending channel, and has recently tested the key support zone near 103,108.
A potential V-recovery pattern is forming. If buyers can hold this zone and break above 104,184, the price may target 106,047 and eventually 107,586.
However, EMA clusters (50–100–200) on the H1 chart are still pressing downward. A confirmed bullish reversal would require a breakout above 105,200 with strong volume.
✅ Suggested Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 103,100 – 103,300
Entry: On price reaction with confirmation candlestick
SL: 102,600
TP: 104,184 → 106,047 → 107,586
🔴 SELL ZONE: 107,500 – 107,800
Entry: Only if price rejects resistance at upper channel
SL: 108,200
TP: 106,000 → 104,500
⚠️ Avoid aggressive shorting in the current range to reduce false breakout risk.
💬 Final Thoughts for Indian Traders
The current market is caught between macroeconomic caution and long-term crypto optimism. Bitcoin is holding near its lower range — a zone that historically triggers upward momentum.
For Indian traders, the key is to wait for clear structural confirmation and respect technical levels. Let price and macro alignment guide your decisions, not emotion or hype.
Plan the trade. Trade the plan. Protect your capital.
EUR/USD - H4 - Triangle Formation (31.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the H4 timeframe presents a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern.
1. Wait for Breakout with Good Volume
2. Conformation in short Timeframe Must
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Energy giants surge: Top 5 stocks to watchJune 2025 was marked by heightened volatility across the global energy sector . Amid fluctuating oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty, and ongoing industry transformation, major oil and gas companies delivered mixed results. Let’s break down the key drivers behind the moves in Shell, TotalEnergies, BP, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil.
Here are the five leaders that set the tone this June :
1. Shell: Steady growth driven by strategic adjustments . The stock climbed 7% thanks to a pragmatic dividend policy and a $3.5B share buyback plan. LNG Canada project developments also boosted investor confidence.
2. TotalEnergies: Strong performance backed by green energy push . Shares rose 5.5% after the acquisition of a renewable energy portfolio and a dividend increase. Conservative production forecast (+3% for 2025) and investment in clean energy kept demand strong.
3. BP: Recovery supported by oil price rebound . BP added around 7% on oil market stabilization and a new share buyback program. Although production declined due to asset sales, higher profitability in the oil segment offset the drop.
4. Chevron: Notable gains fueled by new projects . Chevron advanced 7.5% following the launch of the Ballymore field in the Gulf of Mexico. Expanded buyback and dividend plans further attracted investors.
5. Exxon Mobil : Stable upward momentum from production expansion. Shares jumped nearly 10% as Q1 profits reached $7.7B. Liquefied natural gas development and output growth targets energized traders.
FreshForex analysts believe the rally in energy majors may continue in the near term. Shell, TotalEnergies, BP, Chevron, and Exxon Mobil remain strong picks for active investors.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can correct to trend line and start move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. In this chart, we can observe how the price developed a gradual upward trend, respecting the trend line as dynamic support multiple times. After each interaction with this line, the price showed a consistent pattern of rebounding and continuing its upward movement. Recently, the price faced a notable correction, which pushed it back toward this trend line once again, a critical zone that has proven its relevance as a support area. Upon touching the line, the market reacted with a bounce, signaling that buyers are still active and defending the structure. The price began to climb again, regaining some momentum, though it hasn’t yet managed to break the previous highs. Now BTCUSD is hovering near the ascending trend line, preparing for what could be another retest. If the trend holds, we may see a short-term decline toward this line, followed by a bullish rebound. I expect the price to push higher from this level, targeting the resistance zone near 108300, which also acted as a rejection area in the past. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
HelenP. I Gold can rise to resistance level and drop to $3325Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a steady climb, the price began to lose momentum and eventually corrected back to the trend line. This zone acted as dynamic support and initiated a new wave of upward movement. However, unlike the previous impulse, the price started consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, signaling indecision and weakening bullish pressure. Now the structure is tightening near the resistance zone, where the price has already been rejected multiple times. The market appears to be preparing for another interaction with the resistance level around 3430. Given the overall context, fading bullish energy, repeated rejections, and the triangle formation, I expect the price to test the resistance one more time before reversing downward. My goal is the trend line support, which aligns with 3325 points. This zone offers a logical area for the price to move next, especially considering the limited momentum above and the growing risk of breakdown inside the triangle. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.