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Angloamerican

$AAL ANGLO AMERICAN: ROCK SOLID OR CRACKING UNDER PRESSURE?💥 ANGLO AMERICAN: ROCK SOLID OR CRACKING UNDER PRESSURE? Is Anglo American ( LSE:AAL ) a hidden gem 💎 or just another miner struggling with the weight of falling revenues and shaky markets? Let’s break it down with real data and fresh insight! 👇 1/ Revenue collapse? Yep. FY 2024 revenue plummeted 📉 12.72% from £35.12B to £30.65B. Net income: Crashed 93.73%, from £4.51B to a measly £283M. 💸 EPS tanked 93.70%, but Q4 production of copper and iron ore beat expectations. 📊 2/ What’s Anglo’s Plan? 🤔 They're reshaping their portfolio with a $4.9B growth strategy. Restructuring, asset sales, and potential Amplats spinoffs are on the table. The big question: Can these moves revive profitability? 🔄 3/ Undervalued or just stuck in the mud? 💲 Price today: 2,548.00p Analyst target: 2,629.29p—modest upside, but deeper models say 32% undervaluation based on recovery potential. 📈 What would you do? Buy the dip, or wait it out? 🤔 4/ How’s it doing vs. competitors? 🏆 Compared to BHP, Rio Tinto, and Glencore: Anglo shows mixed performance—some production wins, but revenue and earnings are lagging. Competitors have been quicker to capitalize on demand for metals like iron ore and copper. 5/ The Risk Factor ☠️: Commodity price swings: When metals drop, so does Anglo. 💣 Operational risks: Labor shortages and regulatory headaches, especially in South Africa 🇿🇦 and Brazil 🇧🇷. Environmental scrutiny: Mining faces rising costs tied to sustainability 🌱 and compliance. 6/ SWOT Analysis 💡 Strengths: ✅ Diversified portfolio (metals crucial to green tech) ✅ Global reach and strong infrastructure Weaknesses: ⚠️ Earnings decline, revenue underperformance ⚠️ Vulnerability to commodity volatility 7/ Opportunities vs. Threats: Opportunities: 🚀 Metals demand will grow with green energy transitions—think electric vehicles and renewables. 🚀 Strategic asset divestitures could unlock value. Threats: 🌍 Political instability in major regions 🌍 Tightening environmental regulations (higher costs ahead) 8/ Investment Thesis: Anglo is in a tough spot. Undervalued? Maybe. But recovery depends on commodity prices and restructuring success. 🛠️ If they nail their strategy, there’s upside potential—but risk is high in today’s market. 📉 9/ What’s next? 🔮 Keep an eye on restructuring news—asset sales could shift market sentiment. Monitor production trends in copper and iron ore. Look out for green tech demand driving metals growth over the long term. 🌱 10/ What do YOU think? 📈 Bullish: It’s gonna recover. 🔄 Hold: Let’s wait for more signs. 🚫 Bearish: Nope, this one’s toast.
LSE:AALLong
by DCAChampion
1
#STXRES #JSE - Resources bouncing off Long term levelsResource are very likely the place to be over the medium term. Satrix Resources which is a basket of the biggest resource stocks on the JSE is bouncing off a massive level of previous long term support which has now become support (Change of Polarity). This is a great area to accumulate for the long term in my opinion. Will be happy to review after a few months but for now 3x hold of support shows the bulls mean business. Constituents below: ibb.co
JSE:STXRESLong
by MarcoOlevano
1
The Money Multiplier of TradingThere is one tool with trading, which you can accelerate your portfolio, compared to with investing. I’m talking about Gearing (or leverage). To wrap our head around this concept, here’s a more relatable life example. When you buy a house for R1,000,000, it is very similar to trading derivatives. Initially, the homeowner most probably won’t have the full R1,000,000 to buy the house with just one purchase. Instead, they’ll sign a bond agreement, make a 10% deposit (R100,000), borrow the rest from the bank and be exposed to the full purchase price of the home. This is a similar concept for when you trade with gearing. Gearing is a tool which allows you to pay a small amount of money (deposit) in order to gain control and be exposed to a larger sum of money. You’ll simply buy a contract of the underlying share, use borrowed money to trade with and be exposed to the full share’s value. Let’s simplify this with a more relatable life example: How gearing works with CFDs Let’s say you want to buy 1,000 shares of Jimbo’s Group Ltd at R50 per share as you believe the share price is going to go up to R60 in the next three months. You’ll need to pay the entire R50,000 to own the full value of the 1,000 shares (R50 X 1,000 shares). In three months’ time, if the share price hits R60 you’ll then be exposed to R60,000 (1,000 shares X R60 per share). Note: I’ve excluded trading costs for simplicity purposes throughout this section If you sold all your shares, you’ll be up R10,000 profit (R60,000 – R50,000). The problem is you had to pay the full R50,000 to be exposed to those 1,000 shares. When you trade a geared instrument like CFDs, you won’t ever have to worry about paying the full value of a share again. A CFD is an unlisted over-the-counter financial derivative contract between two parties to exchange the price difference of the opening and closing price of the underlying asset. Let’s break that down into an easy-to-understand definition. A CFD (Contract For Difference) is an Unlisted (You don’t trade through an exchange) Over The Counter (Via a private dealer or market maker) Financial derivative contract (Value from the underlying market) Between two parties (The buyer and seller) to Exchange the Price difference of the opening and closing price of the Underlying asset (Instrument the CFD price is based on) Let’s use an example of a company called Jimbo’s Group Ltd, who offers the function to trade CFDs. The initial margin (deposit) requirement is 10% of the share’s value. This means, you’ll pay R5.00 per CFD instead of R50, and you’ll be exposed to the full value of the share. To calculate the gearing (or leverage ratio) you’ll simply divide what you’ll be exposed to over the initial margin deposit. Here’s the gearing calculation on a per CFD basis: Gearing = (Exposure per share ÷ Initial deposit per CFD) = (R50 per share ÷ R5.00 per CFD) = 10 times gearing This means two things… #1. For every one Jimbo’s Group Ltd CFD you buy for R5.00 per CFD, you’ll be exposed to 10 times more (the full value of the share). #2. For every one cent the share rises or falls, you’ll gain or lose 10 cents. To have the exposure of the full 1,000 shares of Jimbo’s Group Ltd, you’ll simply need to buy 1,000 CFDs. This will require a deposit of R5,000 (1,000 CFDs X R5.00 per CFD). With a 10% margin deposit (R5,000), you’d have the exact same exposure as you’d have with a conventional R50,000 shares’ investment. Here is the calculation you can use to work out the exposure of the trade. Overall trade exposure = (Total initial margin X Gearing) = (R5,000 X 10 times) = R50,000 With an initial deposit of R5,000 and with a gearing of 10 times, you’ll be exposed to the full R50,000 worth of shares. In three months’ if the share price reaches R60, your new overall trade exposure will be R60,000 worth of shares (1,000 shares X R60 per share). If you sold all of your positions, you’d bank a R10,000 gain (R60,000 – R50,000). But remember, you only deposited R5,000 into your trade and not the full R50,000. This is the beauty of trading geared derivative instruments. Hope that helps for those who don't really grasp Gearing... Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
JSE:AGLEducation
by Timonrosso
ANGLO PLATINUM LIMITED (AMS) LONG (TRADE OF THE WEEK!!!)This is undoubtedly the trade of the week, or rather following week (considering the fact that the markets are now closed at the time of writing). The stock price has been parabolic to the upside and you would feel your stomach churn if you thought of where to enter and where to put a stop loss. But I will not be providing you with a sense of safety as trading is always a risky game. However, I have identified 150 000 as a good target to take your “profits” should they present themselves. It would be fair enough to lock in some profits by moving your stop loss to this level if the buyers push the price to this point. You can never be too careful in this South African market in light of what just happened to Telkom shares. Telkom is starting to turn into another Steinhoff if you know what I mean. The bears in this market can maul your account and you could kiss your retirement portfolio goodbye. If you are buying Telkom, then definitely you are catching a falling knife both literally and figuratively. Back to Anglo Platinum, be careful of those douche bags holding dozens of shares who might just dump their stakes to make their “killing” and leave you capitulated. Also, you might just want to keep tabs on earnings report because from what I read, Telkom’s earnings were a flop and, yes, their failure to acquire Cell C also contributed to the massive sell-off. Buy: Now!!! Yes, the price has already rejected the inner trendline on the 4-hour chart and formed two bullish candles. A stop-loss is a definite must in these parabolic stock markets, but make sure you give your trade enough room to breathe. I would suggest a stop-loss below the 126572 price level, which is the previous low. I am personally going to try to enter this trade at market open on Monday. Yeah, after I missed that Capitec rally, trust me I am not going to a good moves like this again.
ALong
by munyaelliott
1