Apple's Innovations: A Lucrative Investment OpportunityIn a groundbreaking move, Apple recently unveiled its Apple Vision Pro, a virtual/augmented reality (VR/AR) headset heralded as a "spatial computer," marking its most significant product launch in nearly a decade. This innovation underscores Apple's ongoing commitment to cutting-edge technology and potential growth avenues.
Despite macroeconomic challenges in the past year, including consecutive revenue declines, Apple showcased resilience, reporting a 2% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2024, surpassing expectations. However, concerns persist, particularly regarding iPhone sales in China, prompting a 3% year-to-date decline in Apple's stock.
Yet, Apple's financial robustness, exemplified by a 10% increase in free cash flow to approximately $107 billion, and a strategic shift towards AI, VR/AR, and digital services, signal long-term growth potential. With the AI market projected to exceed $1 trillion by 2030 and the VR market expected to grow at a CAGR of 31%, Apple's investments in these sectors position it favorably for future success.
Moreover, Apple's burgeoning digital services segment, contributing about 20% of overall revenue and consistently outperforming iPhone sales, offers diversification and stability. The company's stock, perceived as a lower-risk option among "Big Tech" stocks, presents an attractive opportunity for investors, trading at a favorable value compared to rivals like Microsoft and Amazon.
In essence, Apple's strategic expansion into emerging technologies and digital services makes it a compelling investment choice for those with a long-term outlook, poised to capitalize on future growth opportunities in the ever-evolving tech landscape.
Apple
blowing target for applelet's forget about current situation and circumstance of economy here.
All pals are worry too much about economy.
we all know that there will be recession in near term.
But market tends to go opposite.
chart looks strong and I personally apple's winning earning will obtained by spring.
Let's hold apple until it shows the new high in march.
Air BNB back to 114 after earnings ? Some analysts express bearish views on Airbnb, but these assessments might be misguided according to Bernstein.
Key points of bearish sentiment include:
Airbnb’s room nights have grown by only 8% on a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) since 2019.
The company has relied on price increases (9% per year) rather than volume growth.
Airbnb’s average prices are 40% higher today compared to 2019, leading some to believe it has lost its edge as a budget-friendly hotel alternative.
Booking.com, a competitor offering both hotels and short-term rentals, has narrowed the room night growth gap against Airbnb.
Apple's Stock Outlook in 2024: A Tale of Bulls and BersNavigating Apple's Stock Outlook in 2024: A Tale of Bulls and Bears
After a stellar performance in 2023, witnessing a remarkable 48% surge in Apple shares, the tech giant finds itself in a phase of consolidation in the early months of 2024, showing a decline of over 3% year-to-date. This shift prompts investors to ponder the opportune moment to acquire shares in the renowned iPhone maker. This article delves into the contrasting perspectives that shape the current outlook for Apple stock—examining both the bearish and bullish cases.
The Bearish Case:
Revenue Challenges: Apple encountered difficulties in expanding its revenue, marked by a nearly 3% decline in year-over-year revenue in fiscal 2023. iPhone and Mac sales slumped, exacerbated by unfavorable foreign exchange conditions.
Valuation Concerns: The stock's valuation has raised eyebrows, with the price-to-earnings ratio surpassing 30. Despite an annual earning of $97 billion, Apple boasts a market capitalization of $2.9 trillion, demanding sustained robust earnings-per-share growth.
The Bullish Case:
Services Segment Expansion: Apple's services segment, comprising Apple Pay, Apple Music, AppleCare, and App Store revenue, exhibited a notable 16% year-over-year growth in the most recent fiscal quarter. Indicators suggest continued momentum, including the emergence of a significant advertising business and a consistent ability to introduce new services.
Robust Balance Sheet and Capital Allocation: With a net cash and marketable securities position of $51 billion in fiscal Q4, Apple aims for net cash neutrality. The company's judicious approach to share buybacks and dividends, coupled with a strong balance sheet and an annual free cash flow of nearly $100 billion, supports continued substantial repurchases and dividends.
Conclusion:
While Apple faces challenges, including a recent decline in revenue and a valuation that demands sustained growth, there are compelling reasons for optimism. The flourishing services segment, prudent capital allocation, a strong balance sheet, a loyal customer base, and a history of innovation contribute to a credible argument for the tech giant's premium valuation. While caution is advised, investors lacking exposure to Apple might find the current decline an opportune moment to initiate a modest position in this iconic company. As always, thorough research and a balanced consideration of risks and opportunities are crucial in making informed investment decisions.
Our preference
Long positions above 169.50 with targets at 199.60 & 205 in extension.
APPLE What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 185.84 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 191.12
Recommended Stop Loss - 183.07
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Copper futures. Disinflation is almost there to comeCopper futures fell further to around $3.8 per pound, marking a weekly loss driven by concerns over demand from China and heightened US interest rates.
China's manufacturing sector contracted for the fourth consecutive month in January, contributing to the negative sentiment.
With a robust US jobs report, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March have diminished.
Weaker Q1 industrial activity is expected to dampen demand, although Glencore's projected 5% production decline in 2023, along with an anticipated additional drop in 2024, could offset this.
Despite these challenges, there is still hope that China will implement measures to stabilize its economy.
Technical graph illustrates also, 5-years SMA is a massive long term support in this time for Copper futures COMEX:HG1! , as it breakthrough can deliver solid further losses for Copper futures prices, like in 2020 (30% off), in 2014-16 (40% off) and in 2008-09 (50% off).
UBER 80 AFTER EARNINGS !! Uber Technologies Inc. (UBER) has seen significant growth in the past year. The ride-hailing and delivery platform’s shares have skyrocketed 111% in the last 12 months1. This return not only far outpaced the broader Nasdaq Composite index, but it also means Uber is now hitting fresh all-time highs1.
Here are some key points to consider for a long position in Uber:
Network Effects: Uber’s business benefits from powerful network effects. The larger Uber gets, the more valuable its services become for all stakeholders2.
Growth Potential: Between Q3 2019 and Q3 2023, gross bookings and revenue increased 114% and 145%, respectively2.
Earnings Forecast: Wall Street analysts expect Uber will release earnings per share of $0.1593. With earnings projections at $9.76 billion, a 5% QoQ increase, and $0.39 earnings per share4.
Market Position: Uber’s network effect protects its competitive position. It would be an extremely difficult task for a new entrant, no matter how well funded, to start a competing ride-hailing or delivery business from scratch
APPLE bounced from trendline, more growth expectedAPPLE
price bounced from the Trendline and price is also above the support area, If price continues to stay above the trendline I expect the price to move higher.
Trade Wisely
*The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
AAPL Feb 5th B earish H&S setup updateSharing #AAPL update from TTR
AAPL H&S setup here. Today’s high is testing the weekly resistance. If it can’t close above and gap above it tomorrow, it’s a very negative price action to me.
The main H&S target is at 164.50-162
RSI is below 50, as well as MACD is below 0
AAPLThe sentiment around the company is negative. This includes reduction of recommendations for purchase in investment portfolios, decrease of revenue forecasts and threat of antimonopoly case. Nevertheless, there is still a possibility to breed and renew the high in anticipation of the report and the launch of sales of the new headset.
tp1 212
tp2 228
DISNEY BACK TO 95 AFTER EARNINGS Disney, a global entertainment conglomerate, has been facing challenges in recent years. The company’s traditional revenue streams, such as theme parks and movie theaters, have been hit hard by the COVID-19 pandemic1. Furthermore, Disney’s streaming service, Disney+, while successful, is facing stiff competition from other platforms like Netflix, Amazon Prime, and HBO Max1.
Here’s a short idea based on this information:
Short Thesis: Disney’s stock could be overvalued given the challenges it faces. The impact of the pandemic on its traditional businesses and the intense competition in the streaming market could put pressure on its earnings. Therefore, there could be a potential short opportunity.
Key Risks: Disney’s diverse portfolio of assets and strong brand recognition could help it weather these challenges. The success of Disney+ and the potential recovery of its traditional businesses as the pandemic eases could lead to a turnaround in the company’s fortunes.
PAY PAL TO 67 AFTER EARNINGS Short Thesis: PayPal’s stock has been underperforming due to increased competition and growth concerns. Despite the company’s efforts to reinvent itself through AI-based products, it’s uncertain whether these initiatives will be enough to regain investor confidence and compete effectively in the rapidly evolving fintech landscape. Therefore, there could be a potential short opportunity.
Key Risks: The success of PayPal’s new AI-based products and services could lead to a turnaround in the company’s fortunes. Also, any positive changes in the fintech landscape or regulatory environment could benefit PayPal.
LI AUTO TP 35 BEFORE EARNINGS Li Auto, a China-based electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has been receiving positive attention from investors and analysts. Here are some reasons why:
Ambitious Goals: Li Auto’s management has set an ambitious vehicle-delivery goal1. They aim to sell at least 400,000 units of the Li L7, Li L8, and Li L9 in 20241, which would exceed their total of 376,030 vehicles sold in 20231.
Innovative Ideas: Li Auto is trying out an interesting idea similar to what Nio is doing1. This could be referring to Nio’s flagship showroom, known as Nio House, which is a unique vehicle showroom that resembles a home1.
Strong Partnerships: Li Auto has a partnership with Nvidia, where Nvidia’s Drive Thor autonomous driving chip will power Li Auto’s ET9 electric sedan1.
New Launches: Li Auto is gearing up to launch its flagship multi-purpose vehicle, the Li MEGA, on March 11.
Positive Analyst Recommendations: Li Auto Inc. Sponsored ADR currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.10, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations made by five brokerage firms
EURUSD BULL TIME !! The EUR/USD pair is currently trading near 1.08501. The pair has been experiencing some bearish momentum, with the near-term technical outlook pointing to a build-up of bearish momentum1. However, the USD has been struggling to find demand, which has helped the pair hold its ground1.
If you’re considering a bullish position on EUR/USD, it’s important to monitor key levels of support and resistance. The Fibonacci 50% retracement level of the October-December uptrend aligns as critical support1. If EUR/USD falls below that level and starts using it as resistance, 1.0740 (static level) could be seen as interim support before 1.0700 (psychological level, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement)1. On the upside, 1.0830 (former support, static level) aligns as immediate resistance before 1.0865 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement) and 1.0900 (psychological level, static level)
28 DAYS TP 1.1150 After FOMC
Starbucks to 98 Plus After Earnings !!Financial Performance: In 2023, Starbucks’s revenue was $35.98 billion, an increase of 11.55% compared to the previous year’s $32.25 billion. Earnings were $4.12 billion, an increase of 25.69%2.
Analyst Forecast: According to 21 analysts, the average rating for SBUX stock is “Buy.” The 12-month stock price forecast is $114.35, which is an increase of 23.22% from the latest price2.
Dividend Yield: Starbucks has a dividend yield of 2.4569%1, which could be attractive to income-focused investors.
Growth Estimates: The growth estimate for the next 5 years (per annum) is 16.63%3
TP 98
TESLA BACK TO 208 AFTER FOMCGAP TO FILL
Technical Analysis: Bullish traders want to see Tesla receive a positive reaction to its earnings print and for the stock to surge up and regain support at the 200-day SMA1
Market Position: Tesla’s stock bulls have reclaimed key chart territory, fueling hopes that the 2023 uptrend has resumed
Innovation: Tesla is known for its ability to overcome odds and innovate, which has led to significant gains in the past
AAPL Apple Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AAPL ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAPL Apple prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 205usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $13.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.