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Asx200analysis

SHORT AUS200/ASX200 - TIME TO SHORT THE AUSSIETeam, over the last few days, we have been successfully SHORT BOTH UK100/AUS200, but I did not post the chart Today is a good time to post. Ensure you understand your RISK - can always discuss with us in the room Let's SHORT UK100/FTSE100, I still expect the market to be volatile even though the US expect a rate cut. on the 9th JULY, there will be a tariff announcement, and it could also extend towards September We are SHORTING AUS200 at 8586 toward 8616 - SLOWLY with target at 8562-47 DOUBLE THE SHORT AT 8632-56 Target at 8608-8592
PEPPERSTONE:AUS200Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
AUS200/ASX200 - MASTERMIND FOR SUCCESS STRATEGY Team, last night we did another successful trade on DOW/US30 AND NAS30 If you have time, watch my video how i made 1.5k turn into 20k per month and expect 6 months to hit 100k so far 2 and half month reached 80k We are shorting slowly at 8572-8586 range With target at 8545-36 Now, this is another READY set up order if AUS200 hit above 8618-36 - This is where we kill them with DOUBLE UP the volume as per chart With the target at 8586 -67 LET'S GO.
PEPPERSTONE:AUS200Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
AUS200/ASX200 - TIME FOR A KILLTeam, another successful trading at ActiveTraderCommunity - we have hit 4/4 trades again today with target hit. AUS200/ASX200 has been one of my favorite, but it moves like a snail. However I have all the time in the world to be patience and that what I am good at when it comes in term of trading. Be patience until the PRICE IS RIGHT Please carefully look at two TARGET price ranges Target 1 at 8478-8473 - please take 70% profit once it hit here and bring stop loss to BE Target 2 at 8467-8458 - close our chapter PLEASE NOTE: These two prices are also taking into consideration base on my statistic and probability of highly chance the target will hit. Make sure you follow my channel for further trade. As we have not losing a trade for a very long long time. Also click on video above and you will see all my trade are accurate.
PEPPERSTONE:AUS200Short
by ActiveTraderRoom
ASX200/AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ASX200/AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (8360) swing Trade Basis Using the 3H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 8000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook: ASX200/AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors. ⭐Fundamental Analysis Earnings: Q4 2024 EPS growth strong for ASX 200 firms (e.g., banks, miners); Q1 2025 prelims suggest resilience—bullish. Rates: RBA at 4.35% (stable, Feb 2025)—high yields vs. ECB (2.5%) pressure equities—bearish. Inflation: Australia at 2.8% (Jan 2025)—above RBA’s 2-3% target, mixed impact. Growth: GDP ~1.5% (Q4 2024 est.)—steady, mildly bullish. Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs shift trade to Australia—bullish for miners. ⭐Macroeconomic Factors U.S.: Fed at 3-3.5%, PCE 2.6%—USD softness aids AUD—bullish (Eurostat/U.S. data). Eurozone: PMI 46.2—stagnation pressures global equities—bearish Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, commodity demand soft—bearish (ECB forecasts). Commodities: Iron ore ~$100/ton, oil $70.44—stable, neutral for ASX miners/energy (global data). Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—benefits Australian exports—bullish. ⭐Global Market Analysis Equity Markets: S&P 500 at 5,990, DAX ~19,000—range-bound, neutral correlation with ASX. Commodities Influence: Stable mining/energy sectors (BHP, Rio Tinto) support ASX—bullish. Liquidity: High trading volume reflects global interest—bullish stability. ⭐Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Speculators: Net long ~60,000 contracts (down from 70,000)—cautious bullishness (global futures). Hedgers: Net short ~65,000—stable, locking in highs. Open Interest: ~130,000 contracts—steady global interest, neutral. ⭐Market Sentiment Analysis Retail: 55% short contrarian upside—bullish potential. Institutional: Mixed—optimism for miners, caution on rates—neutral. Corporate: Firms hedge at 8,600-8,650—neutral. Social media Trends: Bearish bias to 8,200-8,160—bearish short-term ( ⭐Positioning Analysis Speculative: Longs target 8,675-8,700, shorts aim for 8,080-8,000. Retail: Shorts at 8,568-8,600—squeeze risk if price rises. Institutional: Balanced, commodity-focused optimism. ⭐Next Trend Move Technical: Support: 8080-8000 Resistance: 8,675-8,700 Below 8,080 targets 8,000; above 8,675 aims for 8,750. Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 8,000 if risk-off persists; rebound to 8,700 if support holds. Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 8,080-8,800, tariff-driven. ⭐Overall Summary Outlook ASX 200 at 8,080.00 balances bullish fundamentals (earnings, tariffs, commodity stability) with bearish pressures (global slowdown, RBA rates, sentiment). COT shows cautious longs, positioning suggests short-term caution, and global trends support a dip before recovery. Short-term downside to 8,000 likely, with medium-term upside to 8,800 if macro stabilizes. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
EIGHTCAP:ASX200Short
by The-Thief
ASX 200: Why I'm not banking on [an immediate] record highThe ASX 200 cash market is tantalisingly close to retesting its record high set in December. Traders are betting on an RBA cut in February (and 100bp of cuts this year) which is helping to support the market. Yet I doubt the ASX will simply break to a new high without a fresh catalyst. Comparing the ASX 200 cash and futures market and their key levels, I explain why. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
ASX24:AP1!
by CityIndex
4
ASX 200 futures look set to bounceThe Nasdaq reached a record high and the S&P 500 is close to reaching its own record high. So while the Dow was lower for a fourth day, 2 out of 3 indices rising could help support the ASX today. It's been over a week since the ASX began retracing from its record high, and with prices now trying to form a base above the monthly pivot point and historical weekly VPOC (volume point of control), I'm now looking for longs. The ASX has opened lower but remains within the overnight range. Assuming prices hold above the spike low, the bias is for a move higher to last week's VAL (value area low) or VPOC.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
ASX 200 futures could tease bears at these highsThe ASX 200 futures market has struggled to retest 8500, after a brief and uninspiring spell above it. Overnight gains on Tuesday were seen on low volumes, and Wall Street indices have provided a weak lead today. A bearish divergence has also formed on the daily and 1-hour chart. While prices have rebounded from the weekly pivot point, price action looks corrective. Hence the bias for it being a corrective channel that could break to the downside. If we see prices rise at the open, I am on guard for it being a 'last hurrah", which could make it a suitable market to fade into with a stop above the record high. The weekly pivot (8390), weekly VPOC (8348) and weekly S1 around 8300 make viable downside targets for bears. MS
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
ASX 200 flirts with bearish reversal breakoutElection jitters are in the air, and it is weighing on Wall Street sentiment - and dragging the ASX 200 with it, which also faces pressure from a spate of weak China figures in recent weeks. A potential head and shoulders top has formed on the daily chart, and prices are close to testing a support zone which could double up as a neckline. For now, the ASX appears hesitant to break the 8130/50 support zone which brings could prompt a minor bounce over the near term. A break beneath 8130 confirms the bearish reversal, which projects an approximate downside target near 7900 and the 200-day EMA. Also note the 8100 and 8000 levels which could provide support along the way MS
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
ASX200 "Australia 200 Index" Money Heist Plan on BearishHello My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰 This is our master plan to Heist ASX200 "Australia 200 Index" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 1h timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂b
EIGHTCAP:ASX200Short
by The-Thief
ASX 200 mimics Wall Street's 'risk-on' rally into Jackson HoleOverbought indicators are of little use when markets are obsessed with rate cuts ahead of a key fed speech. Jerome Powell will speak at the Jackson hole symposium and Friday, and expectations for a dovish show are high. And that's helped Wall Street indices extend gains and the allowed the ASX 200 to tag along for the ride. But if this turns out to be a classic 'buy the rumour, sell the fact' tale, traders may need to factor in some of the overbought clues on the daily chart.
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
ASX 200 futures hints at another leg higherThe sharp fall from its record high remains the dominant feature on the daily ASX 200 futures chart. Whilst this is likely to suppress appetite for risk for some time, Tuesday's bullish hammer suggests bears are in need of a break. The false break of the April low has been followed by a higher low and higher high on the 1-hour chart. Prices are now trying to form another higher low, so dips look appealing for bullish setups down to 7555. 7700 is the next upside target near the 38.2% Fibonacci ratio, although there is also a resistance cluster between 7767 to 7794 which also seems reachable. Whether it can extend such a move really depends on appetite for risk elsewhere.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
1
ASX looks set to retrace from resistanceThe ASX 200 cash market enjoyed its most bullish day in seven on Thursday. But like the SPI 200 futures contract, it met resistance before pausing. The daily chart shows that a double top formed around the June 26 high and trend resistance. And as it's not unusual to see a market retrace against a strong move, and we have an NFP report looming which could suppress volatility, we're looking for prices to retrace lower against yesterday's rally. Bears could target the 20-day EMA between the weekly and monthly pivot point, with a stop above yesterday's high.
ASX24:AP1!Short
by CityIndex
ASX 200 futures looks set for a bullish breakoutThe SPI 200 shows an established uptrend on the 1-hour chart, with a recent bullish engulfing candle forming a higher low around the 20-bar EMA and closing above a retracement line. The RSI remains above 50 to show positive momentum, and there are no obvious signs of a topping pattern forming on the chart. A break above 7907 assumes bullish continuation and brings the 7936 high into focus, a break above which opens up a run for the all-time high. Bulls could seek dips within the recent bullish engulfing candle whilst prices remain above its low, in anticipation of a break above 7907.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
SPI 200 hints at bullish breakoutPrices have been coiling on the daily chart to form a potential bullish pennant / symmetrical triangle, which hints at further gains. RSI (14) remains over 50 on the daily chart, and volumes were lower during the consolidation to show lack of conviction from bears, sellers stepping in at the cycle highs. The 1-hour chart shows prices retracing lower after RSI (2) reached overbought, alongside a bearish pinbar at the cycle high. We're now looking for price to either hold above the triangle breakout level, or for RSI (2) to reach oversold whilst prices hold above the high-volume node. From here, the bias is for a rise to 7850m or the weekly pivot point just above the high-volume node at 7866.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
SPI 200 looks set for lift-off ahead of US PCE dataWe have a huge risk event in the coming hours; US PCE inflation. Should it come in softer than expected, risk is likely to pick up as this is how it has behaved pretty much every time inflation has come in soft. Conversely, a hot inflation report could dent risk - but we suspect not to such a large degree. Fed members have been very vocal about maintaining higher rates, and markets seem more likely to jump on any chance of re-pricing in multiple cuts which could send indices higher. SPI 200 futures (of the ASX 200 cash market) just tapped a record high ahead of the European Open. Given the US dollar is also retracing, it suggests traders are placing last minute bets of a softer inflation report. But the bullish trend structure of the SPI 200 futures chart is hard to ignore. Prices have remained above the bullish trendline despite two intraday spikes below it. And an inverted head and shoulders pattern (bullish continuation during an uptrend) appears to have formed at the record high, which projects an upside target around 7900. The 100% projection of the prior rally lands around 7800.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex
Potential bull flag on ASX futures (SPI 200)The ASX 200 cash market rose for a second day, although the SPI 200 futures closed flat with a potential bullish pinbar on the daily chart. The 1-hour chart also shows a potential bull flag, which projects a target around 7640 (or the Feb 2nd overnight VPOC - volume point of control). For today, bulls could seek pullbacks towards 7580 - 7587 (overnight VPOC) in anticipation of a break higher. Or wait for the break to enter long. Upside targets include 7600, 7614 (cycle high), and 7640 / 100% projection.
ASX24:AP1!Long
by CityIndex