Downloading...
Download

Audlong

Long-Term Buy On The AussieThe most straightforward interpretation is that the down move that started back in February 2021 (red rectangle) was a correction of the previous rally (green rectangle) and ended at 0.5914. If this is correct, then we are in the early stages of a large upward move on the Aussie in the long-term that should reach at least the previous highs of 2021. This view will be in jeopardy if we break back below the previously mentioned support and will be completely negated on a break of the 2020 lows at 0.5510.
Long
by tchamoun
2
Over+750 pip in GBP/AUD in our last call(07/31/2024)in our last analysis We were expecting a big rally for GBP/AUD. Since then the price moved in our favor and made over +750 pip for us. Despite weaker CPI data for AUD, we are now looking for a correction in the 1.98 zone. Our technical view has been shown in the chart. If you like it then Support us by liking, Following, and Sharing. Thanks For Reading Team Fortuna -RC (Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
by fortunamarkets
If AUD/USD is going to bounce, it has to be nowConditions for a weaker US dollar have been ripe, with calls for the RBA’s rate to have peaked at 4.1%, deteriorating data from China and ‘higher for longer’ calls for the Fed. And with that, we have seen some outlandish calls for the Aussie to fall to 50 and even 40c. Perhaps those calls will turn out to be right. But the Aussie did not earn its name “the battler” for nothing, and we’ve not seen it dip below 50c in over twenty years. Furthermore, there are some indications that the downside could be limited and it could be due a bounce. Last week’s nine-week low briefly traded beneath trend support, projected from the March 2020 low. Given it marked the pandemic low ahead of a bullish ‘liquidity injection’ fuelled rally, it is significant to say the least. But we also saw the RSI (2) reach overbought last week to warn of a near-term inflection point, and it fell for five consecutive weeks into those lows – a bearish sequence rarely beaten. Of course, we have the Jackson Hole symposium with Jerome Powell’s speech being the usual highlight. If it is to peddle the ‘higher for longer narrative’, perhaps the US dollar can regain its footing and send AUD/USD back towards 64c. But even then, it ‘the battler’ may not simply roll over and die. But what if Powell is to deliver a less-hawkish-than-expected speech, following the weaker PMIs? Then we’ve expect some more Aussie bears to get squeezed, and help AUD/USD rebound further from that key trendline.
Long
by CityIndex
AUDCHF - Has A Bullish Falling Wedge Chart Pattern Formed?Analysis: Looking at the charts we can see that price seems to not know where it wants to go. One minute it's heading to the upside and the next it's heading to the downside. This can make it quite hard to trade during these times but we see a setup occurring on this pair. Price recently has been heading to the downside however we are actually bullish on this pair and we think that a breakout to the upside will occur. Where price is currently we have marked out a strong area of previous support. When this level was touched in the past, we saw a huge strong bullish move happen, so we expect that this will happen again, as key levels tend to hold more then once and this level has be held 3 times, making it a very strong support level. To add to our idea, on the higher timeframe, we can clearly see a bullish falling wedge forming. This is a bullish chart pattern which is often followed by a breakout to the upside so this is what we expect to see happen on this pair as this is the pattern that we have. We're also at the bottom trendline of the chart pattern so we expect that there will be some bullish pressure around this area which will hold price and push it to the upside. All of these technical confluences together line up to give us a bullish bias on this pair but lets take a look at the fundamentals. Fundamentally the AUD is the 2nd weakest major currency whereas the CHF is the 3rd weakest major currency so this slightly goes against our idea, however overall we are bullish on this pair. Tomorrow we have some news coming out for the AUD which could give us the catalyst that we need to see price breakout to the upside. This isn't the best looking setup by any means and it does go against the trend slightly however it's still to our trading plan so it's still valid. It doesn't matter how the setup looks, all that matters is the result. As long as you stick to your trading plan and let your edge play out, you'll be profitable. Not every setup will look perfect and the sooner a trader learns this the sooner they will become profitable. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
28
EURAUD - Is A Reversal On The Horizon?Analysis: Looking at the chart we're able to see that price recently seemed pretty bullish and due to the news that came out for the USD last week it's had an affect on the AUD and we've since seem some AUD weakness, however we see a potential reversal happening soon. At this of area resistance we marked out we've seen that price has tagged this area before and then made a strong move to the downside so we expect that this will happen again. We also have a bearish chart pattern, a rising wedge pattern. Usually when we see this pattern forming we see sudden weakness and price drops to the downside so this favours our bearish reversal thesis. Fundamentally the EUR is the 2nd strongest major currency, whereas the AUD is the 2nd weakest major currency so this doesn't favour our idea, but this isn't the full picture either. If we look a little further we can see that as of the most recent report on institutional positioning we saw a decrease in long positions on the EUR, signalling more bearishness could be on the horizon. Which favours our idea. We also have a speculation that the EUR will lose its strength that it once had as other currencies become stronger and we're starting to see this happen already. This is why fundamentally we like the look of the AUD over the EUR for now. With the technicals and fundamentals together we are bearish on EURAUD. This is a risky setup as it's going against the trend, however with trading you have to take risk because that is what trading is. The difference is having your risk under control, rather then gambling! Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
14
AUDUSD - Are The Bulls Getting Ready To Push Price Higher?Analysis: When we look at price action we've recently seen a strong rejection off of an area and price is making a move back down however we see this as a buying opportunity. If we look at price action before this rejection we can see that price did indeed form a higher high and a higher low showing us that we're in an upwards trend. This higher low hasn't yet been broken so we're still in that upwards trend. At the start of June there was some real strong momentum on the AUDUSD for the bulls and it looks as if they are currently taking a break before we see a continuation higher. This position will also hedge our other USD long positions so if we are incorrect about the USD strength we expect then we will still be able to profit. As a professional trader you need to remember that your job isn't to make a million percent in a year. It's to make a consistent profit whilst managing your risk. If you can't manage risk then you won't make it as a trader and that's the harsh truth. Hedging allows you to diversify your risk which is why we like to do it here at JPI. Were price is currently is an interesting area to us because if we look left on the chart we can see price has held this zone multiple times as support previously and we expect that this will happen again as very often we see this. For more confluence we saw slowing down momentum for the bears at the start of the week as the candles were very small and were indicating a possible reversal. This was also where the 50% fib retracement level was so there was even more confluence that price was going to reverse there, however we were more interested in level slightly below. Early this morning we had some worse then expected news for the AUD so we saw price push down and tag the 61.8% fib retracement level which is often classed as the strongest fib level and we expect that this is were buyers will be sat at wanting to push price higher. With the slowing bearish momentum that we saw this week around the 50% fib retracement level and with the 61.8% fib retracement level being tagged this "golden zone" which is just the area between the 50% fib retracement level and the 61.8% fib retracement level looks like a great place to enter long from especially from our area which is also in this "golden zone". For more confluence we also have an upwards trendline. This trendline is better seen on the weekly timeframe. When this level has been touched before we've seen bulls step in and push the market higher so we'd expect this to happen again. This trendline is below our entry but above our stop loss so if we we're to go into drawdown then there would be a strong level where we'd expect buyers to step in so this gives us more confidence in our setup. Why don't we enter at this trendline then? Well where price is at currently looks like a stronger area for possible reversals and we don't want to miss this trade as it's a good setup. The upwards trendline is just another confluence to add to our bullish thesis. Fundamentally as of the most recent report on institutional positioning the USD is the strongest major currency whereas the AUD is the 6th strongest major currency so this doesn't go in our favour. However if we dig a little deeper you can see why we currently prefer the AUD over the USD. As of the most recent report on institutional positioning we saw a decrease in both short and long positions on the USD so this is pretty neutral but on the AUD in regards to the most recent report for institutional positioning we actually saw an increase in long positions and a decrease in short positions which is very bullish. This could be early signs that we could see some bullishness for the AUD in coming weeks. Although the AUD news this morning wasn't positive we still have loads of confluence factors pointing to bullishness on the AUD which is why we have an overall bullish view on AUDUSD. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read and responded to. We any comments at all so thank you! Stay Safe - The JPI Team Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
16
AUDCHF - Breakout Of The Downwards Trend!Analysis: Looking at the chart we can see that we were in a strong downwards trend however at the start of June we were able to break out of this trend and put in a higher high which shows us that the bears have lost control of the market and the bulls are taking over. We have more confluence that price broke out of this downwards trend when we see that the downwards trendline was broken. Price is now pulling back to an area where we previously saw key resistance which we now expect will hold as support as this very often happens. To give added confluence that this area will hold we have the 61.8% fib retracement level which is often classed as the strongest fib level so we expect that around this area we will see buyers sat, wanting to enter into long positions and push price higher. Taking a look at the fundamentals the AUD is the 6th strongest major currency where as the CHF is the 5th strongest major currency so there isn't really much in it here and it actually slightly goes against out thesis but when we dig a little deeper we find out why we prefer the AUD over the CHF. As of the most recent filling for institutional positions we saw a decrease in both long and short positions on the AUD which isn't positive but it also isn't negative. If we take a look at institutional positioning on the CHF we see that as of the most recent filling there was a decrease in long positions and an increase in short positions showing us that the CHF might have some bearishness on the way. From the SNB press conference that we had on Thursday things didn't look too good for the CHF which is another thing keeping us away from going long on the CHF. On this coming Wednesday we have CPI coming out for the AUD which could be the catalyst that we need to rocket price higher so this is what we will be watching out for but for now we have all of the confluences we need to be bullish on AUDCHF which is why we have a long bias on this pair. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Long
by jpeacockfx
38
EURAUD - EUR Weakness On Its Way?Analysis: Looking at the chart and price action we can clearly see that price is in a downwards trend. We're forming lower lows and lower highs which confirms that we're in a downwards trend. Bearing this being in mind we're only looking for short setups. If we look at the previous lower low we have a strong area to enter from. Whys this? Well this area has held multiple times in the past as both support and resistance so we expect that it will do it again. Also in a downwards trend we'd expect price to pullback to the previous lower low to put in a new lower high before continuing to the downside and this is what we're seeing now. For more added confluence at this area we also have the 61.8% fib retracement level which is often classed as the strongest fib level. We expect that sellers will be sat at this level wanting to push price down further, so this helps out our bearish thesis. We also have a downwards trendline very close by. This trendline has been respected in the past so we expect that it will be respected again and we will see sellers enter into the market pushing price down further. Fundamentally the EUR is the strongest major currency compared to the AUD which is the 6th strongest major currency so this really doesn't go in our favour but in recent news events we've actually see some bullish news come out for the AUD with regards to unemployment claims and other key events whereas for the EUR it's been slightly mixed. This to us looks like early signs that we could be seeing some bullishness for the AUD and some bearishness for the EUR soon, which is why we want to get on this move before it happens so we can catch a great trade. With all of the confluences that we have both technically and fundamentally we have a bias to the downside which is why we're bearish EURAUD. Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all. Stay Safe - JPI Disclaimer: This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
Short
by jpeacockfx
32
AUDJPY - Update 3: Patience is Key Following last weeks RBA news and the market confluences we saw #audjpy break out the bearish trend its been in since September 2022 with a short bull rally in October 2022 then retesting the 95.00 area before eventually dropping back down into the 92.00 area we are currently sitting near. Since breaking out the zone we have now had 3 daily candles attempt to gain further bullish momentum by touching 93.00 only to be resisted by the 92.70 price which is a previous swing S&R. The aim of the game in this scenario with it sitting on a respective 50% level to be patient and wait to see what the market gives us after the opening next week, will the buyers take control and force a squeeze up and past 93.00 or will we again retest and pull back to the next S&R or respective level.
by OfficialKieranTrewick
GBPAUD GA Doble TopGBP/AUD BEARS are getting stronger On currency strength charts, GBP is still weak; while AUD exhibits bullish pressure, positively correlated with Gold surging toward 1900 levels. If the neckline breaks and holds as a new resistance the 1.7 / 1.65 area is very possible =========== * If you like this idea please leave a comment so we can talk about it * Remember that it´s never a straight line to the target. * BIG profits to you ALL!!! === I am grateful to have been taught by God and myself on trading. My money grows every day.
Short
by Memo_Mountain
2
AudUsd Retracement Buy- Daily >> Price broke area of resistance at 0.68554 and pushing up to the 55 MA at a resistance level 0.69685 - 4 hour >> Price made a double bottom (bullish signal). Price broke resistance level at 0.68554 to make a new higher high and currently hitting the 200MA - 1 hour >> Price broke through 1st resis lvl at 0.68025 made a higher high and retested same resis level now turned support and pushed up higher - 1 hour >> Price is currently consolidating wityh an over bought stochastic. - Overall >> Price is in a bearish zone on the Daily and weekly Charts. However, there is some bullish momentum on the 4 hour and 1 hour charts which is helping the retracement on the higher time frames. Trends have reversed on lower time frames up to the hourly chart. It is expected that the price will bounce off the 200MA on the 4 hour and go down a bit to either the 0.68554 level or lower to the 0.68025 before going back up. Conservatively we can wait for the price to go down and wait for buy signals before entering as the price is still in a daily bearish zone or aggressively, we can place buy limits at both areas with 30 pip SLs Target is the daily 55MA or resis level of 0.69511 ======================================================================================================================== Disclaimer: The Trade setups are based on my analyses and ideas and they are not signals or trading advice. Do your own analysis before you enter any trade based on my shared analyses. Trades are entered once criteria is met....Remember trading is risky and we can't force the market in any direction..#ExercisePatience ========================================================================================================================
by Loviss