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Audusd-chart

AUDUSD Analysis – Falling from the Rising WedgeAUDUSD pair broke below an ascending wedge, a bearish reversal pattern. Clean rejection from 0.6518, with lower highs and new lower lows confirming bearish momentum. Price is now sitting below former trendline support, retested and respected as resistance. Bearish target points toward 0.6400–0.6380 zone, aligning with recent swing lows. Risk invalidation sits above 0.6520, where structure fails. Technical Bias: Bearish Target: 0.6400 Stop-loss zone: Above 0.6520 📊 Current Bias: Bearish 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving AUDUSD AUD Fundamentals (Weakening): Australian jobs data was mixed, and wage growth has plateaued. RBA remains cautious, with expectations for rate cuts later in 2025. AUD pressured by China growth risks and weak commodity demand. Geopolitical drag: Australia-China tensions and weak Chinese retail data from 618 Festival dampen AUD outlook. USD Fundamentals (Resilient): USD remains bid on risk-off flows, especially after weak global data and ongoing Middle East tensions. Fed remains reluctant to cut fast despite disinflation signs – supports the USD. US data is mixed, but rate cut odds are declining (only one expected in 2025 now per dot plot). ⚠️ Risks to This Bearish View If China announces new stimulus, AUD could rebound sharply. A dovish surprise from the Fed (e.g. Powell softening in speeches). Sharp rebound in risk appetite (e.g. tech-led equity rally). 🗓️ Important Events to Watch 🇨🇳 China industrial profits & PMIs 🇦🇺 RBA Meeting Minutes (July preview hints) 🇺🇸 US Core PCE (June 28) Global risk tone: watch metals, equities, and geopolitical headlines. 🚀 Which Asset Leads? AUDUSD is lagging other USD pairs, but will likely lead commodity FX downside if China or metals weaken further. Watch AUDJPY and EURAUD for further confirmation of risk-off flows and Aussie weakness.
Short
by ultreosforex
18
AUDUSD Hello traders. Today I spotted a buy opportunity on the AUDUSD pair and wanted to share it with you as well. We’re seeing an ideal pullback setup on this one. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 0.64987 ✔️ Take Profit: 0.65088 ✔️ Stop Loss: 0.64920 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
2
AUDUSD Short Gives Up Initial GainsThe 50-Day EMA is offering a little bit of resistance, and the area above there finds the market between that indicator and the 200-Day EMA, typically an area that causes a lot of volatility. Recently, we had been stuck between 0.68 and 0.66 in a relatively well-defined area of consolidation. However, in the last couple of weeks, we have seen volatility pick up quite drastically as we plunged below the bottom of that consolidation, only to turn around and rip above the top of it before pulling back yet again. In other words, the market has completely lost its mind. You will need to protect yourself if you are absolutely insistent on trading the Australian dollar, which at this point might be a bit difficult to do. Keep in mind that there are some external factors you need to pay close attention to if you are going to try this market, as the Australian economy is almost purely export based. The Reserve Bank of Australia has recently raised interest rates by 25 basis points out of the blue, the reality is that Austria is still held hostage by global demand for its hard commodities This is especially true when it comes to the Chinese economy, which of course is the number one export market for Australians. Pay close attention to commodity prices overall because they can give you a bit of a “heads up” as to what’s going to happen with the Australian dollar as well. A good reference is also to checkout the following charts to understand AUDUSD better click on the charts below to read the fundamentals and techncial trading,so you will find a symmetrical positive correlation between the 3 assets China50 Hong Kong 50 On the other side of the equation, you have to pay close attention to the fact that the Federal Reserve is choosing to stay tight with its monetary policy, so that does drive a certain amount of US dollar strength, especially as interest rates in America remain so elevated. Because of this, I think ultimately this pair does fall from here, but it needs to show its hand first. As things stand right now, I am extraordinarily neutral on this pair, foregoing the idea of treating such a risky environment. Strategy Bearish Trend BULLTRAPS shall be used to enter sudden moves should be monitored with rsi and volume RSI confirmation:Trend bearish!
Short
by DaveBrascoFX
AUDUSD SELLAUDUSD is a very Simple Trade so based on my Analysis, on The Daily TF, we had a very Good Confirmation on the Daily Resistance Level and it also Gives us A good Candle Candle Stick pattern Of A price rejection, so that means the Buyers a Having A very Weak power to push price higher. On the H4 / H1 TF We have a Trend line and it is very Easy to Notice and also very Clear that the price broke the trend line went to zone 0.70825, and Retested the Trend line 0.61 Fib Level. So Basically we are on a good send Entry point 25 pips stop loss is actually very Good risk on this trade total pips on TP1 126 pips and TP2 gives us 150 pips So Sell AUDUSD SL: 0.71313 TP1: 0.69790 TP2: 0.68287 Good luck guys Please do not Forget to Like And drop a Comment on what you think about this analysis, Comments are very important please guys thank you.
Short
by GoCrazyfx0