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Australiandollar

Market Analysis: AUD/USD Could Continue HigherMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Could Continue Higher AUD/USD is correcting gains from the 0.6365 zone. Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a downside correction from 0.6365 against the US Dollar. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6300 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6185 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.62550 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar. There was a close above the 0.6275 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6365 zone. A high was formed near 0.6363 and the pair is now correcting gains. There was a move below the 0.6320 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6186 swing low to the 0.6363 high. On the downside, initial support is near a key bullish trend line at 0.6300. The next major support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6186 swing low to the 0.6363 high at 0.6274. If there is a downside break below the 0.6270 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6255 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6185. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6320. The first major resistance might be 0.6365. An upside break above the 0.6365 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6420 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
AUDUSD Bullish break-out signalThe AUDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for the whole month of February and since yesterday it is making a bounce on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Today it broke above the previous High and this is a bullish break-out signal. The previous Bullish Leg that rebounded on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and broke above its previous High, targeted the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. With the presence of an Inner Higher Highs trend-line, we expect the pair to hit the 1.382 Fib at 0.64250. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUDJPY Sell signal below the 4H MA50.The AUDJPY pair has been trading within a Bearish Megaphone and is currently going sideways within the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Every time the latter broke to the downside, the pattern started its new Bearish Leg. Assuming it hits at least the 1.236 Fibonacci extension like the first Bearish Leg, we are looking at a short-term Target of 93.750, if the 4H MA50 breaks. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
AUDCAD: Bearish Cross kickstarting a decline.AUDCAD is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.879, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 33.394) and got rejected on both the 1D MA100 and MA200 that formed a Bearish Cross. The Channel Down mimics the June 30th 2023 Cross that then pushed the price to the bottom of the Rectangle on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Go short, TP = 0.86600. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
AUD/USD: Australian Dollar Strengthens Ahead of RBA DesicionThe Australian dollar has been rising, gaining around 1.5% over the past three sessions against the U.S. dollar. The current bullish movement continues as the market awaits the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) decision in the coming hours. The RBA is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points , bringing the new rate to 4.1%. However, the market has already priced in this decision, as expectations for a rate cut have been consistent for several days. This has allowed upward momentum to persist, as any bearish reaction to the RBA's move may have already been absorbed into the price. Additionally, as the trade war between the U.S. and China escalates, Australia's economic ties with China have strengthened, boosting confidence in the region and supporting a bullish outlook for the Australian dollar. Breakout from Sideways Range Until recently, AUD/USD had been trading within a key range, with resistance at 0.62923 and support at 0.61929. But the recent bullish move has broken through this resistance, leading to stronger buying pressure in the short term. As long as price remains above the upper boundary of this range, the Australian dollar could maintain its upward momentum in the near term. RSI Indicator: Overbought Signals? Not everything is bullish, as the RSI indicator is now approaching 70, the overbought zone. If the RSI remains above this level for the next few sessions, it could signal an imbalance between buyers and sellers, as well as the potential for short-term selling corrections. Key Levels to Watch: 0.61929 – Distant Support: Lower boundary of the previous range. Frequent price oscillations at this level could revive the previous downtrend seen since September 2024. 0.62923 – Key Support: Aligns with the Ichimoku Cloud barrier and the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). A tentative level where short-term bearish corrections could occur. 0.64323 – Major Resistance: Corresponds to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If the bullish bias pushes price toward this level, it could signal the beginning of a stronger uptrend in the short term. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
AUDUSD Has it found Support?The AUDUSD pair gave us an excellent sell signal on our September 18 2024 bearish call (see chart below), which went straight to the 0.63750 Target within the time-frame we expected: This time we are looking at a potential Support rebound as the price appears to have made a bottom on the 2-year Channel Down Lower Lows trend-line. Based on the upcoming 1W MACD Bullish Cross and the 1D RSI symmetrical positioning, we might be starting a rally similar to October 31 2023 during the last Lower Low. This rose by +3.82% before pulling back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again, so our short-term Target is 0.63500. Beyond that, we need to observe whether the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line holds or not, in order to engage in buying break-outs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUDJPY: 2 month range calls for a reboundAUDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.920, MACD = -0.220, ADX = 20.692) as it is trading inside a Rectangle pattern. The price hit the pattern's bottom yesterday and today is rebounding towards the 4H MA50, already hitting the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Such rebounds have always reached the 0.786 Fib at least, so with the 4H RSI also rebounding perfectly from the oversold area, we expect to test the 0.786 Fib again (TP = 98.385). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
AUDUSD - 4H Why we need to Buy?!The FX:AUDUSD has shown strong bullish momentum after hunting liquidity below the 2022 low on the daily and weekly timeframes. ✅ Breakout & Retest: The pair successfully broke the descending channel's resistance and is now pulling back to the breakout zone, confirming its strength. ✅ Higher High Formation: A higher high structure supports the bullish bias, indicating potential continuation towards previous highs and beyond. 📌 I expect another bullish push from this key support zone. 🔔 Follow for real-time updates!
Long
by Sober_Trading
AUDCHF Having a strong rebound on the 1.5 year Support.Last time we looked at AUDCHF (October 01 2024, see chart below), we took a long-term short trade based on the multi-year Channel Down: The 0.56000 Target got hit and yet again the 1.5 year Support Zone (since August 2023) held. Sooner or later, this demand zone should break the pattern upwards and reverse the bearish trend. Until then, we can continue buying on the Support Zone and target the Lower Highs. This time that trend-line happens to be where the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) is headed at, so our Target is now 0.58000. Apart from the Support Zone, we will only buy if the price breaks above Resistance 1, which will be past a Channel Down bullish break-out also, and target the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and Resistance 2 at 0.61000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURAUD The 1D MA50 is the sell signalThe EURAUD pair had been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the August 17 2023 High. At the moment it has made a direct Lower High (December 27 2024) at the top of the pattern but the rejection is contained above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is the sell confirmation level as whenever this broke after a Lower High, we had a bearish signal. As a result, wait for a bearish break-out and then sell, targeting the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) at 1.61000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
AUD/USD: Neutrality Emerges in the Bearish ChannelThe dominance of the US dollar, driven by expectations of a high interest rate (4.5%) from the Federal Reserve as the annual CPI (2.9%) remains far from the 2% target , has weakened the Australian dollar in the short term. The AUD/USD has lost 11% of its value since late September 2024, and for now, neutrality has taken over the market as the next Federal Reserve decision (January 29) approaches. Bearish Channel The bearish channel stands out as the most significant technical formation on the chart currently. The price has consistently adhered to oscillations between the channel’s upper and lower boundaries. However, recent minor bullish corrections have led to price stagnation near the support zone, which aligns with the channel's current upper boundary. Over time, this could challenge the integrity of the bearish formation, particularly if short-term buying pressure continues to build. Neutral Movements The ADX indicator line remains above the neutral zone of 20 but has started to decline steadily from its recent highs in the 40 range. The TRIX line continues to oscillate below the neutral 0 zone, indicating that the average movements of the exponential moving averages have been predominantly bearish. However, the line’s slope has turned positive and is gradually approaching the neutral zone in the short term. Both indicator trends suggest that the long bearish momentum might be experiencing a period of exhaustion, coinciding with the neutrality generated by the current support zone. If this effect persists, the existing bearish channel may struggle to generate new lows in the coming sessions. Key Levels 0.62906: Current resistance level. Persistent oscillations near this level could ultimately invalidate the current bearish channel formation dominating the chart. 0.61929: A key support level, responsible for halting the long bearish trend. It aligns with recent weekly lows and the upper boundary of the bearish channel. Sustained oscillations below this level could signal a new phase of selling pressure and revive the current bearish trend. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
GBPAUD Channel Up pull-back expected.Our last GBPAUD signal (September 27 2024, see chart below) couldn't have gone any better as, not only did it hit our 1.92600 Sell Target but the price then also bounced to hit the top of its Channel Up: The price is currently on a rejection path following the new Higher High of the Channel Up and based on the previous Bearish Leg, it should hit at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). As a result, our Target is now 1.09600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
AUD/USD at a Key Support Level on the Weekly ChartThe AUD/USD pair has experienced a significant decline of nearly 11% without any substantial pullbacks since September 2024. It has now reached a crucial support level on the weekly chart at 0.6200. This recent downward movement has been influenced, in part, by Donald Trump's return to the US presidency. His administration has traditionally prioritised a “putting America first” stance, pledging to reinvigorate the economy and support American industry. Now, the pressing question is: Will the AUD/USD break through this support and continue its fall, or will it experience a bullish pullback in the coming days? The AUD/USD is currently situated in a decisive region. A break below the support could pave the way for further declines, while a successful breach of the downtrend line could initiate a more significant upward movement. Possible Bullish Scenario The AUD/USD could enter a bullish trend if the price breaks above the high of the December 31 candle, approximately 0.6240. Possible Target : The target could be set in the vicinity of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, around 0.6470 (approximately 220 pips above the entry point). Stop Loss : A suitable stop loss may be placed just below the support level on the weekly chart, at about 0.6150 (approximately 90 pips from the entry). Alternative Scenario: Breakdown of Support Conversely, if the price breaks below the support level on the weekly chart, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend, potentially driving the AUD/USD down to the 0.6000 mark within a few days. Key Considerations Investors should remain vigilant regarding upcoming macroeconomic data releases from both the US and Australia, as well as any initial decisions made by President Donald Trump following his return to office. These factors could significantly influence the direction of the AUD/USD pair in the near term. Disclaimer 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
AUDNZD Channel Up charging for the new Bullish Leg.The AUDNZD pair has been trading within a Channel Up for the past 10 months. Right now it is on an uptrend as the most recent low was made on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on December 09 2024. Having also recently turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support, we expect the Bullish Leg to set course towards the top (Higher Highs) of the pattern. Our Target is marginally below that at 1.12500. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
AUD/JPY Analysis (1-Hour Timeframe)We are currently observing the formation of a Cup and Handle pattern, which is still in progress. The key levels to monitor: Handle Resistance: First, we need a breakout of the handle pattern to confirm the bullish setup. Pink Resistance Zone: If the price breaks out of this key level, it will confirm the full Cup and Handle pattern, signaling a strong bullish move. Target Projection: Based on the Cup and Handle formation, the Green Zone represents the projected target for this setup. This is a pattern to watch closely for confirmation and breakout strength. Patience is key to avoid premature entries.
Long
by WaveRiders2
Will the Australian Dollar Survive the Perfect Economic Storm?In the intricate dance of global financial markets, the Australian dollar stands at a critical crossroads, facing a confluence of economic challenges that threaten its stability. The convergence of complex factors—including the Federal Reserve's cautious monetary policy, China's economic headwinds, and Australia's domestic economic pressures—creates a perfect storm of uncertainty that challenges traditional economic assumptions and investor strategies. The current landscape reveals a nuanced battleground where geopolitical tensions, central bank decisions, and macroeconomic indicators intersect with unprecedented complexity. Projections suggest the Australian dollar could potentially decline to 62 cents against the U.S. dollar in early 2025, a forecast that speaks to deeper structural challenges facing the Australian economy. The Reserve Bank of Australia's delicate balancing act—managing persistent inflation, maintaining economic growth, and responding to global economic shifts—epitomizes the sophisticated challenges confronting modern monetary policy. Beyond just numbers, this economic narrative reflects a significant test of resilience and adaptability. Investors and economic strategists face a unique moment of transformation, where conventional economic models are being challenged by unprecedented global dynamics. The interaction between U.S. monetary policy, China's economic challenges, and Australia's domestic economic strategy creates an intriguing intellectual puzzle that requires sophisticated analysis and a forward-thinking approach. As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the Australian dollar's journey becomes a microcosm of broader economic transformations. This is not simply a story of currency fluctuation, but a testament to the complex, interconnected nature of global financial systems—where every decision, from central bank policies to geopolitical strategies, can send rippling consequences through international markets. The true measure of economic strength lies not in avoiding challenges but in the ability to navigate them with insight, agility, and strategic foresight.
Short
by MorMedia