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Alibaba - A remarkable reversal!🛒Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) reversed exactly here: 🔎Analysis summary: Recently Alibaba has perfectly been respecting market structure. With the current bullish break and retest playing out, there is a very high chance that Alibaba will rally at least another +20%. But all of this chart behaviour just looks like we will witness a major bottom formation soon. 📝Levels to watch: $110, $135 🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION Philip - Swing Trader
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
15
Alibaba | BABA | Long at $108.84Like Amazon, I suspect AI and robotics will enhance Alibaba's NYSE:BABA e-commerce, logistics, and cloud computing operations. There is some risk here, like other Chinese stocks, that they could be delisted from the US market if trade/war tensions rise. But I just don't think that is likely (no matter the threats) due to the importance of worldwide trade and investment. I could be way wrong, though... NYSE:BABA has a current P/E of 14.2x and a forward P/E of 2x, which indicates strong earnings growth ahead. The company is very healthy, with a debt-to-equity of 0.2x, Altmans Z Score of 3.3, and a Quick Ratio of 1.5. If this were a US stock, investors would have piled in long ago at the current price. From a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average (SMA) band has started to reverse trend (now upward), indicating a high potential for continued (overall) price movement up. It is possible, however, that the price may reenter the SMA band in the near-term - the $80s aren't out of the question - as tariff threats arise. But that area is another personal entry zone if fundamentals hold. Thus, while it could be a bumpy ride and the risk is there for delisting, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone at $108.84 (with known risk of drop to the $80s in the near-term). Targets into 2028: $125.00 (+14.8%) $160.00 (+47.0%)
NYSE:BABALong
by WorthlessViews
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Fall to Lowest Level in 2.5 MonthsAlibaba (BABA) Shares Fall to Lowest Level in 2.5 Months Yesterday, Alibaba (BABA) shares dropped to their lowest level since late April. The decline followed the company’s announcement of a planned bond issuance totalling approximately $1.53 billion, with a maturity date set for 2032. The funds will be used to support the development of Alibaba's cloud infrastructure and expansion of its international e-commerce business. The market’s negative reaction may stem from concerns over rising debt levels and the potential return on these investments. Technical Analysis of Alibaba (BABA) Share Price When analysing the price movements of BABA shares in 2025, two key trading ranges stand out: → $126–145: This range originates from the long bullish candle on 20 February, following the release of a strong quarterly report; → $96–103: This zone was established in late April, as supply and demand stabilised around the psychologically significant $100 level. The upper range has since acted as a resistance zone, with the price reversing from it in mid-May. The lower range has served as a support area, particularly in early April when the stock came under pressure after tariff-related headlines. The current price action is notable in that Alibaba shares have: → Broken through the June support level at approximately $111.92; → Formed a bearish A-B-C structure, marked by lower highs and lower lows. Using Fibonacci extension analysis, we can reasonably assume: → The $111.92 level is now likely to act as resistance; → The next potential target for the ongoing downtrend (leg C→D) lies at the 1 Fibonacci level ($100.55) — aligning closely with the previously identified support zone. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:BABA
by FXOpen
2
Alibaba: Intermediate Correction in ProgressAs Alibaba has remained below resistance at $121.28, we’ve ultimately chosen to consider the high of orange wave x as established. Thus, we currently place the stock in bearish wave y, which should conclude the corrective structure of the larger blue wave (ii). From that point, BABA should reverse, climb back above the $121.28 resistance, and move to significantly higher levels—initially completing blue wave (iii), and eventually the larger turquoise wave 3. However, there’s still a 34% chance that our bearish alternate scenario will play out. In that case, the stock would fall between the two support levels at $80.05 and $58.01, where the low of turquoise wave alt.2 would form. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NYSE:BABA
by MarketIntel
$BABA Potential Bullish Reversal, (Daily TF)12/25/2024 Alright, I know there's a lot here so let me know if you have any questions and I'll do my best to answer. This is for educational purpose only. 1. Price dropped 18% ($101 -> $82.64) in 15 days. 2. Triple resistance on Tue, Nov 19 & Fri, Nov 29 & Tue, Dec 17 @ ~$87. Resistance zone between $86.70 - $87.75. 3. Bearish Fibonacci (Dec 9 - Dec 20). Anticipate sideways movement around 0.382 ($86.44), 0.5 ($87.91) and 0.618 ($89.38). 4. The light-brown boxes and light-brown line highlight the potential movement of price. -------------------------------- $85.52: Current price $85.00: Next bearish price target Bullish Resistance Points: $86.44 - 0.382 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement) $87.00 - Resistance zone $87.60 - Previous Weekly High $87.91 - 0.5 Bearish Fibonacci (potential daily sideways movement) $89.38 - 0.618 Bearish Fibonacci (potential sideways movement or reversal) $91.44 - 0.786 Bearish Fibonacci (potential reversal) $90.56 - $91.83: Bullish Gap to be filled ------------------------------- Currently in a play: NYSE:BABA 21 MAR 25 110c @ $1.24 Currently up 5% (@ $1.31). Profit Target: $2.24 (contract price) Stop Loss: n/a (manually monitoring for now)
NYSE:BABALong
by Brandonthrives
BABA Showing Some Bullishness Out of the Buy ZoneChinese stocks have been hurting from China's deflationary economic environment, as well as the Biden administration's restrictive measures for AI chips to China. I believe these factors have caused Chinese stocks to become extremely undervalued. BABA is currently within my buy zone and is starting to show some bullishness. The price is near the lows of the monthly Bollinger Bands, which is favorable for a long trade setup. The price is also significantly below the EMA ribbon, which is also favorable for opening a long. Price targets: The white trendlines are my key resistance levels on the way up, and the EMA ribbon has also been acting as resistance that has pushed BABA's price lower. I think the EMA ribbon will act as a resistance zone for BABA on the way up as well.
NYSE:BABALong
by realchartchamp
BABA NEW WEEKLY LOWHere is a depiction of where BABA currently is relative to Market Structure. The WEEKLY has just confirmed a new weekly gap due the 4H's Gap above previous lower highs creating a HIGH. The current 4h chart closed in one of my most profitable patterns called the Inside Bar showing a consolidation after a powerful move to the upside representing a breather in the market before the next move. Will be looking to ride price up until a weekly high is punched in signaling a reverse in trend to continue with the overall bearish weekly trend.
NYSE:BABALong
by CJITM
Alibaba Analysis 04.01.2023Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. I will personally reply to every single comment! If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis:
NYSE:BABA
by basictradingtv
27
Alibaba Analysis 19.12.2022Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. I will personally reply to every single comment! If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis:
NYSE:BABA
by basictradingtv
19
Alibaba Analysis 30.11.2022Hello Traders, welcome to this free and educational analysis. I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities. If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below. I will personally reply to every single comment! If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
NYSE:BABA
by basictradingtv
2
Did $BABA stock BOTTOM?My experience I owned shares of Alibaba for the last 10 months. I started buying when it dropped to $140 in November 2021, and then I started averaging costing during the downtrend, my average price was around $110 and I completely closed my position at the beginning of July 2022 when it traded at $120. In conclusion, made a small 10% during this period, assuming a lot of risks, having money stuck in there creating an opportunity cost for other investments. My first lesson here was "Never try to catch a falling knife" . I've read this quote many times, but I got pushed by the FOMO back in 2021, when I should have waited for some consolidation or lateral movements of the price, to show me some kind of demand at this level before jumping in. I'm sharing my experience in this situation with the idea to help someone with making better investment decisions. The truth is, you must always learn from your own mistakes. But learning from others' mistakes will save you time, stress and money. However, this is where experience lays, funny isn't it? Long-Term Forecast Alibaba is a very interesting business model, with incredible growth in the past. I think that the chart reflects an evolution from a Growth Company to a Stable Company , that's why the P/E valuation went from 30x in the past to 15x nowadays. The market included the growth slowdown to its market cap. Of course, there are many other risks related to Alibaba that also impacted its price during the last year. Some of them are: - Uncertainty Risk is related to the political pressure between the USA and China. - Delisting Risk from NYSE. - Monopoly fines from China. Changes in Chinese state policy regarding publicly traded enterprises , the warming of relations between the US and China, as well as current geopolitical developments where China is implied have created uncertainty for investors. This results in a negative impact on the price of the stock. There are factors that could influence the Chinese government to be tolerant and lower the pressure on publicly traded enterprises, particularly if they choose to give a higher priority to stronger GDP development . Taking everything into account, this could be a fantastic buying opportunity if China is becoming the next world's superpower. However, from my personal point of view, I would rather have companies like Alphabet, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft in my portfolio. I see better potential returns in them. Short-Term Forecast The price is showing consolidation in the zone between $80-$120, the lower part of the channel reflects a strong demand, which is easily spotted by the strong bounces that it has from there. You can also try to trade it by buying near the bottom of the lateral channel and selling it at the top. $BABA released good quarterly earnings, beating expectations in sales and EPS. We should also take into account that when your revenue stays flat in an inflationary environment, probably your income from operations is going to decrease, and that's what happened here. Bullish Scenario If the momentum stays and the market breaks and maintains the $4300 level we can see a significant upside in this stock. Taking it to 120-160 dollars per share. Which in my humble opinion is less likely due to the market conditions and economic challenges that we are facing. The RECESSION is here, and the INFLATION has to go straight down from these levels to prevent a crash in the financial markets. Bearish Scenario If the INFLATION is unstoppable at these interest rates, the market is going to be severely punished. Less consumer demand due to the recession will impact companies' margins. Profit warnings from companies will accelerate the crash. If we find ourselves in this situation, get your cash ready, many investment opportunities will be out there waiting for us. In this case, I would adapt my strategy, and I could consider buying some $BABA at $60 for sure. Alibaba is having strong buybacks from the management. The company has plenty of cash which is going to be used to reduce the outstanding amount of shares and to undertake investment projects. The Debt-Equity Ratio is around 15%, and the company has a healthy balance sheet. The Cloud Segment is getting bigger and it can also be a very important stream of income in the future for the firm. The company is actually trading at 10X Price / Cash Flow, which historically has meant that it is a good buy at this level. From a financial perspective, I think that $BABA is undervalued. The above mentioned characteristics made me start buying the stock at $140, my mistake was that I didn't properly analyse the risks this investment had. Not everything is in the accounting books! Keep your eyes open! I stand SHORT for the next 6-12 months and LONG for the next 3-5 years. Don't forget, I'm a random guy on the internet that is just sharing his point of view. Do not take my reflections as financial advice.
NYSE:BABAShort
by GenadiYankov
2
BABA Lowest Growth on Record !!If you haven`t sold BABA here, when i warned you about the additional American depositary share registration in the U.S. that was translated by Citigroup`s analysts as SoftBank Group intention to sell part of its stake. Softbank was a pre-initial public offering investor in BABA, owning 5.39 billion ordinary Alibaba shares, or a 24.8% stake. Then you should know that Alibaba had the Lowest Growth on Record. Sales rose 9.7% in Q4, below the 40%-plus growth that was common. consumer spending slows and competition intensifies. Net income tumbled 74% to $3.2 billion. And probably Softbank sells an important stake in it. I`m curious what is Charlie Munger`s conviction buy opinion on BABA now. My price target is the Dec 2016 level of $86.
NYSE:BABAShort
by TopgOptions
14