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Safe Entry Zone AMDPrice Rejected From Resistance. Safe Entry Green Zone. Target after that 162$ price level. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock (safe way): On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the Take Care & Watch OUT !
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by Faisalzor
GOLD Last move down Next Target after this Breakout?Gold edged higher on Tuesday ahead of key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to provide clearer insight into the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate decisions. Market participants are watching closely for any signals that could influence the dollar and yields, thereby impacting gold prices. Technical Outlook: Gold has entered a potential buy zone, showing signs of bullish support Price recently retested the 3353 level, forming a long squeeze setup and now aiming to challenge the resistance at 3373. A successful breakout above 3373 could open the path toward the 3400 and 3432 long-term targets. On the downside, a retest of the key 3345 level is also possible. This zone between 3345 – 3353 is seen as strong support, and as long as bulls defend it, upward momentum remains likely. PS: Support with like and comments for more batter insights to share with you.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
17
USDJPY Analysis : Bullish Channel Strategy & FMFR Zone Reaction🧩 Market Structure Overview USDJPY has been in a strong bullish market structure, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows since the beginning of July. The pair recently created a rising ascending channel, where price action has respected both the upper and lower bounds with clean impulsive and corrective moves. From the 11th to 15th July, USDJPY moved steadily within this bullish channel, forming minor consolidation zones and reacting to short-term supply-demand levels. However, on the 15th, we witnessed a pullback from the upper channel resistance, indicating short-term profit-taking or internal bearish liquidity sweep. 🧠 Current Price Action Now, price is pulling back and approaching a high-confluence demand zone, marked as: FMFR (Fair Market Fill Range): A zone where unfilled buy-side orders are likely resting. SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange): A previous resistance zone, now turned into a potential support base. This area (between 146.80 – 147.00) has multiple confirmations: Past supply zone → broken and retested Strong impulsive bullish move originated here Mid-point of the current bullish channel Psychological level (147.00 round number) The market is now offering a potential buying opportunity from this zone, provided a bullish confirmation pattern is printed on lower timeframes (1H or 30M). 🔍 Key Technical Confluences Bullish Ascending Channel: Clearly respected — suggesting institutional accumulation. Price is now retesting mid-level or base structure of this channel. FMFR Zone: Typically used to spot unbalanced price areas where limit buy orders may rest. Smart money often returns to fill these zones before moving further. SR Flip: The prior supply zone from July 8–10 was broken decisively, and price is now using this same level as support. Liquidity Sweep & Trap: The current rejection from the channel top may have liquidated early longs. That opens room for a smart-money reversal from the deeper FMFR zone. 📌 Trading Plan (Execution-Based Strategy) 🔽 Entry Criteria: Wait for a clear bullish reversal candle within the FMFR zone (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, morning star). Entry can be refined on the 1H or 30M timeframe using a BOS (Break of Structure) signal. 🟢 Buy Zone: Between 146.80 – 147.00 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 146.40, well below the FMFR zone and recent wick lows 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 148.20 – Retest of the central channel zone TP2: 149.60 – Next Major Reversal Zone TP3 (Optional): 150.00 psychological round level (if bullish continuation breaks structure) ⚠️ Risk Management Tips: Wait for confirmation — don’t rush into the zone without candle proof. Risk only 1-2% per trade idea. Adjust lot size according to stop-loss distance. Avoid chasing if price closes below 146.40 — structure will be invalid. 🔮 What Could Invalidate This Setup? Clean break below 146.40 support with bearish structure forming (LL, LH) Bearish fundamentals from USD side (e.g., CPI, FOMC impact) A tight channel breakdown without bullish volume 📅 Fundamental Backdrop: USD is currently reacting to macro data and rate expectations. JPY remains weak structurally, unless BOJ introduces surprise tightening. US CPI & Fed commentary may influence short-term volatility and liquidity grabs. 🧠 Conclusion: USDJPY is presenting a high-probability buy setup as it revisits a strong confluence zone formed by FMFR + SR flip. Smart money often re-engages at these levels after liquidity hunts, especially within a bullish structure. Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes, and manage risk responsibly. This trade idea is based on price action, structure, and institutional concepts, aiming for a trend continuation with clear invalidation levels.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD Analysis : Bitcoin Trend Shifted/Bullish Pattern + Target🧭 Overview: Bitcoin’s recent price action has delivered a textbook sequence of institutional liquidity play, volume-driven breakout, and supply zone rejection. After rallying on increasing volume, BTC tapped into a significant 3x Supply Zone—which also served as a previous reversal point—and was swiftly rejected. The market is now trading around a key decision zone where traders must stay alert for a confirmed bullish reversal, or risk getting caught in further downside. 🔍 Step-by-Step Technical Breakdown: 🔸 Liquidity Grab + Volume Expansion The move began with a liquidity sweep, as BTC pushed above recent highs, hunting stop-losses and inducing breakout traders. This kind of price manipulation is typical of smart money accumulation/distribution zones. Immediately following that, we observed a volume expansion—a strong signal that institutional players had stepped in, propelling BTC upward with conviction. This expansion pushed price sharply into the 3x Supply Zone, a critical zone of interest from a previous bearish reversal. 🔸 3x Supply Zone – The Turning Point Once price entered the 3x Supply Zone, bearish pressure resumed. No bullish continuation pattern appeared on the second attempt into this zone—confirming that sellers were defending it aggressively. This area has now been validated as a strong supply barrier, capable of initiating trend reversals. 🔸 Major BOS – Structural Shift Confirmed Price broke below key support around $120,500, which marked a Major Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS is crucial—it represents a shift from a bullish to bearish market structure and is often the signal that retail longs are trapped. This BOS was followed by a mini reversal zone, but again, no bullish confirmation appeared there—highlighting market weakness. 🔸 Minor BOS & Trendline Breakdown Further downside action led to a Minor BOS near $117,800, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Additionally, the ascending trendline—which had supported BTC’s rally—was decisively broken and retested from below. This confirms a shift in momentum, now favoring sellers. 📍 Current Price Action – Critical Decision Zone BTC is currently hovering around $117,000, right at a potential demand zone. While there was a brief bullish reaction, the market hasn’t formed a valid bullish reversal pattern yet. There’s a clear message from the chart: “We want a bullish pattern here—otherwise, support will break and supply will double.” In simple terms, unless bulls step in with structure (higher low, engulfing candle, etc.), sellers will likely take over, and price may test deeper support levels. 🎯 What to Watch Next: ✅ Bullish Case: If BTC forms a strong reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom, bullish engulfing, or inverse head & shoulders), we can expect a short-term recovery back to: Target 1: $118,500 Target 2: $120,000–$120,500 ❌ Bearish Case: Failure to hold this zone and no clear bullish pattern = likely continuation to the downside, potentially targeting: $116,000 Even $114,500 in extended moves 🧠 Trading Insights (Educational): Volume + Structure = Edge Don’t rely solely on candlestick signals—combine them with structural breaks and volume to get confluence. Supply Zones Aren’t Just Rectangles The 3x Supply Zone was powerful because it had historical context, volume convergence, and psychological resistance. These layered factors make zones more reliable. BOS Isn’t a Trendline Break BOS means real structural shift. In this case, lower highs and lower lows confirmed the change. 💡 Final Thoughts: BTC is at a make-or-break level. The recent rejection at the 3x supply zone has shifted the momentum, and buyers must prove their strength now—or risk watching the price unravel further. Stay patient, wait for structure, and never fight momentum.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin – A Staggered Anti-Currency Rotation?There seems to be a complex yet recurring relationship between Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin during anti-currency phases (when fiat weakens). First Leg – Gold Leads Gold typically leads the first leg, breaking out to new highs. Silver follows but lags—trending up without breaking major resistance. During this phase, the Gold/Silver ratio expands. Second Leg – Silver Takes Over Eventually, Silver breaks resistance and becomes the second leg leader. As it outperforms Gold, the Gold/Silver ratio contracts back to mean. Bitcoin, during this time, is usually bottoming or entering Stage 2 (early uptrend). This time, it has already broken resistance but is rising slower than in past cycles. Third Leg – Bitcoin Dominates As Gold and Silver peak and begin to correct, Bitcoin accelerates, often making new all-time highs (ATH). This staggered rotation played out during the 2018–2022 cycle. Let's see if history rhymes in this cycle.
by LensOfChartist
Nas100 Long We Currently Have an Ascending triangle (bullish continuation pattern) Forming After Asian Session & Price is consolidating just below the resistance level, forming higher lows. We Have a Clearly defined demand zone below current price (gray box), Which also marks out our Bullish Order Block Formed Yesterday Which Price Should Come Retest Before Continuing Upwards. Pro Tip for CPI Events Expect increased volatility and fakeouts within the first few minutes. Wait for a 5–15 min candle close for confirmation before entry. Use lower timeframes (1m–5m) for entries, but keep higher timeframe structure in mind. Remember To Like & Subscribe For More A+ Setups✅
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by JamaicanLNS
USDCHF: H4 Bullish Order Flow Targeting Weekly FVGGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCHF, we observe that the H4 timeframe is currently delivering bullish institutional order flow. As a result, our directional bias is aligned with seeking buying opportunities that reflect this bullish momentum. Market Context: Higher Timeframe Objective: The current draw on liquidity is aimed at a Weekly Fair Value Gap, which now serves as our primary upside target. Since the higher timeframe narrative is bullish, it’s essential that our intermediate timeframe—the H4—confirms this bias, which it does through consistent bullish structure. Institutional Support Zone (H4): As price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, it has now retraced into an H4 Fair Value Gap, functioning as an institutional support zone. Notably, this area has been retested multiple times, further reinforcing its strength and significance. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor the lower timeframes for confirmation signals within the H4 Fair Value Gap. Look for bullish price action cues before executing buy orders. Target: The primary objective remains the Weekly Fair Value Gap, which represents a key area of institutional interest and a likely zone for price to be drawn into. July 13, Forex Outlook : This Week’s Blueprint to Profit! Stay patient, follow your confirmations, and align with the flow of smart money. Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📊
Long
by The_Archi-tect
deepseek→→U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Recent Analysis and Outlookchina deepseek↓↓ ### **U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Recent Analysis and Outlook** #### **1. Current Market Trends and Driving Factors** - **Trade Policies Boost the Dollar**: U.S. President Trump recently announced new tariffs on Canada (35%), the EU, and Mexico (30%), triggering risk-off sentiment and pushing the Dollar Index (DXY) from 97.20 to around 98.00. - **CPI Data as a Key Variable**: The U.S. June CPI data, released today (July 15), will influence market expectations for Fed rate cuts. Stronger-than-expected inflation could reinforce the dollar's rally, while weak data may weaken it. - **Shift in Market Sentiment**: Unlike the "dollar sell-off" trend in early 2025, recent market reactions have leaned toward treating the dollar as a "safe-haven asset" rather than selling it solely due to trade war concerns. #### **2. Technical Analysis** - **Key Resistance and Support Levels**: - **Resistance**: 97.80-98.00 (short-term critical range). A breakout could test 98.50 or even 99.00. - **Support**: 97.50 (50-day moving average). A drop below may target 96.38 (June low). - **Technical Indicators**: - **MACD**: A golden cross has formed on the daily chart, but it remains below the zero line, suggesting the current rebound may still be corrective. - **RSI**: Near the 50 neutral zone, not yet overbought, indicating room for further upside. #### **3. Short-Term and Long-Term Outlook** - **Short-Term (1-2 Weeks)**: - **Bullish Scenario**: If CPI data is strong and DXY breaks above 98.20, it could challenge 98.50-99.00. - **Bearish Scenario**: Weak CPI data or progress in trade talks may push DXY back to 97.30-96.50. - **Long-Term (Second Half of 2025)**: - **Structural Pressures Remain**: Despite the short-term rebound, the dollar still faces long-term challenges, including widening U.S. fiscal deficits, de-dollarization trends, and concerns over Fed independence. - **Historical Trend**: After falling over 10% in the first half of 2025, DXY may continue its downtrend in the second half, though the pace of decline could slow. #### **4. Key Risk Factors** - **Fed Policy**: If CPI data reinforces a "higher-for-longer" rate outlook, the dollar may strengthen further. Conversely, rising rate-cut expectations could weigh on the dollar. - **Geopolitics and Trade Talks**: Compromises from the EU or Mexico could reduce safe-haven demand, while failed negotiations may fuel further dollar gains due to risk aversion. ### **Conclusion** The DXY is at a critical juncture, with short-term direction hinging on CPI data and trade policy developments. Technicals lean bullish, but long-term fundamentals remain challenging. Traders should closely monitor the 98.00 breakout and today’s CPI data impact.
TICKMILL:DXYShort
by trade1638
GBPUSD Pullback Another Bullish PatternThe GBPUSD recently closed around 1.33750, testing a key support zone. Although there are signs of potential further decline, the broader outlook depends significantly on the strength of the US Dollar. A corrective move against the backdrop of a strong overall trend is within normal expectations, and bullish sentiment remains intact. If buyers are able to defend the 1.33750 – 1.33600 support zone, a pullback or reversal could be expected then next resistance would be 1.36004 / 1.37001. You can find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
by MrMartin_11
11
Nvidia at a CrossroadsNvidia at a Crossroads: Unstoppable Growth, Geopolitical Tensions, and Fears of Talent Drain to China Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Nvidia’s rise as a central player in the artificial intelligence revolution has not been a solitary journey. The company, now valued at over $4 trillion, has built a complex network of suppliers, strategic clients, and industrial partners that fuel its growth. However, this success has also placed the firm under the scrutiny of U.S. authorities, especially amid growing fears of knowledge transfer to China. Washington on Alert: National Security Risks? The U.S. government has begun to closely monitor the hiring of foreign talent in strategic sectors. One of its main concerns is the potential unintentional transfer of advanced military knowledge to China through engineers working at companies like Nvidia. The company’s chips power everything from data centers to autonomous systems, and part of its strength lies in the know-how contributed by its employees—many of whom are of Asian descent—to the development of these key technologies. Although the company benefits enormously from hiring highly skilled engineers—many of them trained in U.S. universities—there is concern in Capitol Hill and the Pentagon that some of these specialists, directly or indirectly, could end up collaborating with China’s People’s Liberation Army. The U.S. Department of Commerce and the Pentagon have increased scrutiny of technical staff with links to China, particularly after identifying several cases of dual-nationality engineers involved in sensitive projects. According to intelligence sources cited by outlets such as Bloomberg and The Washington Post, internal investigations have been launched to review hiring policies at key semiconductor companies. There is concern that without stricter measures, U.S. technological know-how—especially related to dual-use civilian-military GPUs—could leak and accelerate the development of Chinese military capabilities, including AI for warfare. The Ecosystem Powering Nvidia Nvidia does not manufacture its own chips: it relies primarily on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), which produces its most advanced units—such as the H100 and the new B200 Blackwell chips—using 3 and 4 nanometer processes. Pressure from the U.S. government to relocate production led TSMC to build a factory in Arizona as a geostrategic response to ensure supply on American soil. Additionally, companies like SK Hynix, Micron, Wistron, and Flex form a key supply chain, providing everything from HBM memory to full system assembly. In parallel, Nvidia has accelerated development of the HBM4 chip amid growing competition from new players such as AMD and AI divisions of Chinese firms. An AI-Powered Empire: Voracious Clients and Strategic Alliances Meanwhile, Nvidia’s rise has been meteoric. From a napkin sketch in 1993 to a market cap surpassing $4 trillion, the company has gone from revolutionizing video games to becoming the heart of artificial intelligence. The key lies in its GPUs (such as the H100 and the new B200), which power language models like ChatGPT and Llama-4. Its supplier network includes TSMC, SK Hynix, Micron, and Wistron, while on the demand side, Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet, and Super Micro are among the giants boosting its revenue. In fact, Microsoft alone accounts for nearly 19% of Nvidia’s revenue. Microsoft leads with over $29 billion invested, while Meta allocates more than 9% of Nvidia’s total revenue to training its Llama-4 model. Even Amazon, which develops its own Trainium and Graviton chips, continues to purchase Nvidia GPUs due to high customer demand for cutting-edge products. Now, all hopes are pinned on the new generation of Blackwell chips. The B200 promises performance up to 30 times higher than the H100 in generative AI tasks, positioning it as the new industry standard. But as the market matures, competition, regulation, and geopolitical risks are all intensifying. Technical Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) Nvidia (NVDA) shares closed yesterday at $164.07, slightly below its all-time high of $167.89. On the daily chart, we observe a consolidation movement after hitting a new record high on Friday. The price remains within an upward channel that began in January 2024. Key Support: $141.75 (above the 50-session moving average), a level defended by buyers during recent pullbacks. Immediate Resistance: $167.89 (all-time high). A breakout with volume could open the door to $180 as the next psychological target. Technical Indicators: The daily RSI stands at 72.95%, reflecting strong overbought conditions and suggesting continued buying interest. The moving averages remain in a wide bullish crossover, with no clear sign of directional reversal. The volume point of control (POC) sits at $118, at the lower end of the consolidation zone. The MACD continues in a bullish crossover pattern, although it’s starting to show a loss of momentum. This could signal that the price push is weakening, indicating a bearish divergence between price and volume. The technical outlook remains bullish, but a short-term pause or sideways movement is not out of the question—especially if regulatory pressure or the next quarterly results fail to meet high market expectations. The key level to watch is around $141 as the structural support to maintain the uptrend. The Future? A Mix of Innovation and Oversight Nvidia embodies the spirit of Silicon Valley, but its privileged position also makes it a central piece on the global geopolitical chessboard. While its technology drives scientific, medical, and consumer advancements, its ties to Asia and openness to foreign talent will continue to spark friction with Washington. The big question is whether it can continue to lead the AI race without destabilizing the delicate balance between national security and technological innovation. Time—and the regulators—will tell. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by ActivTrades
Gold Aiming Higher: Bullish Momentum Toward Key S&D ZoneHello guys! The main bullish trend remains intact on Gold. After forming a solid base near the QML level, price has been respecting the ascending channel structure and is now pushing toward the upper boundary of that channel. The current price action shows strength and momentum, and with the recent breakout above the midline of the channel, it signals that buyers are likely to push price toward the next key area of interest. The target is clearly defined: the supply zone around 3409–3423, which has previously acted as a major resistance area. Core idea: Main trend: Bullish Structure: Ascending channel Support confirmed: QML zone bounce Current behavior: Price moving along the top of the channel Target: 3409–3423 supply zone
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
23