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Beyond Technical Analysis

USD/JPY short: Clash of the TitansHello traders I entered into a short GBP/JPY position last week after the contraction in GBP Industrial, manufacturing production and GDP. The United Kingdom is also struggling with their own version of the Big Beautiful Bill. The difference is of course that there is no Republican Congress there who is willing to throw their constituents under the bus by cutting Medicaid. The technical side of USD/JPY is vanilla but the fundamental side is a whole other enchilada. The sweeping tariffs from Liberation Day MAY become a moot market mover if the Federal Court of Appeals side with the International Trade Court after July 31st. It does not mean that all tariffs will become null and void. My previous IDEA elaborates a little on this. The Israel/Gaza conflict is still simmering and has just been turned up a notch after an American/Palestinian was beaten to death by West bank settlers. Tragic. There is no certainty how Iran may still retaliate against the USA after the nuclear site strikes. The BIG one: President Donald J Trump is finally standing up to Vladimir Putin by announcing the shipment of Patriot missiles to Ukraine. This is a major milestone and turning point for President Trump who was previously under the impression that he can manage Foreign Policy by cozying up to the Russian and North Korean strongmen. Welcome to the real world. Putin, Xi Jinping and Kim Jong Un have been scheming behind your back to support the war against Ukraine. This is the point where the fictional Dutch boy who used his finger to prevent a leaking dike to prevent a flood might be you, President Trump. The safety and security of the entire Western World rests on your shoulders at this precise point in time. If Russia conquers Ukraine, it will only be a matter of time before the next European Sovereign country becomes a target. Should this happen, it will also serve as a proxy for the Chinese invasion of Taiwan. And North Korea invading South Korea. Bit of a stretch but not impossible. Against this background, moving funds into the traditional safe havens of JPY, CHF and Gold make senses and I contend that BTC has joined the list. Super long dated JPY 40Y bonds have also ticked up in anticipation of upcoming elections and conflicting policies. The American people definitely do not have the desire or political will to enter into another war BUT it is maybe time for us to become the International Order Sheriff again. Towards this end, I am finally willing to call you my President and Commander in Chief, DJT. Please be the Titan who does not pick on his own citizens and stand up to the real danger on our planet. Godspeed.
Short
by jvrfxalerts
XAUUSD Trade Plan | 15 July 2025After observing the recent low breakdown and a clear liquidity grab, we saw a strong direction confirmation breakout. This suggests that the market is likely to continue its upward momentum. 🔄 Breakdown/Seller Trap triggered the reversal 🔹 Last Important Low respected 📈 Breakout confirms bullish direction ✅ Plan: I’ll be watching for a pullback into the grey demand zone (highlighted area) for a potential long entry. 🕵️‍♂️ No FOMO — I’ll only enter after price shows clear bullish behavior in this zone. 🎯 Target: 3,365.89 resistance 📍 Entry Zone: Grey box (based on previous structure) Let me know your thoughts — are you also watching this zone? #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #LiquidityGrab #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TradingPlan #TradingView
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Jamtara_Trader
Bitcoin Cycle PredictionThis "Bitcoin Cycle Prediction" chart utilizes a long-term logarithmic view of BTC/USD price action on a weekly timeframe (1W) via Kraken exchange data, highlighting the cyclical nature of Bitcoin's market behavior across past, present, and projected future cycles. Key features include: Parabolic Growth Curves: Three completed macro cycles and a fourth projected cycle are visualized with rounded cup-like formations, indicating historical accumulation phases followed by exponential bull runs. Fibonacci Retracement & Extension Levels: Each major bull run is annotated with Fibonacci retracement and extension zones, helping identify historical resistance and support levels, as well as potential future price targets. Extensions like 1.618, 2.618, and 3.0 are used to forecast upper bounds. RSI (Relative Strength Index) : Positioned at the bottom, the RSI gives insight into historical overbought and oversold conditions, aligning well with the cycle peaks and troughs. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD crossovers and histogram movements reinforce the timing of bullish and bearish phases within each cycle. Cycle Timing Marker: The vertical green line marks a projected inflection point around January 2026, suggesting the anticipated peak of the next bull cycle based on previous timing patterns. Price Targets: Based on previous Fibonacci multiples, projected price targets for the upcoming cycle could reach extensions between $195,000 and $665,000+, if historical behavior repeats. This chart is a speculative but historically informed visualization designed for educational and analytical purposes, offering long-term investors and cycle theorists a structured look at Bitcoin's repeating macro trends.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by jordan146
CITYSTAR | AUDUSD ; SELL ANALYSE AUDUSD New Forecast👨‍💻👨‍💻 This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup. Note: Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP. Please support this idea with a Like and COMMENT if you find it useful click "follow" on our profile if you will like these type of trading ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!! lemme know your thoughts in the comment sec..
Short
by King_CityStar_Fx
WFC Earnings Setup – 07/14/2025 $86C | Exp. July 18 | Betting on 📈 WFC Earnings Setup – 07/14/2025 $86C | Exp. July 18 | Betting on a Bank Bounce ⸻ 🔥 EARNINGS HEAT CHECK 💼 WFC reports BMO (07/15) 📊 Historical move avg: ~3–5% 📍 Current price: $82.53 📈 Above 20D/50D MAs → trend intact ⚠️ RSI = 78.07 = overbought 🚨 💥 Expected move: $2.89 ⸻ 🧠 SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT 🔄 Call OI stacked at $86 🔻 Put OI focused at $81 ⚖️ Balanced flow → slight bullish tilt 🧾 IV is elevated, so IV crush is coming ⸻ 🏦 SECTOR SUPPORT • Financials showing strength 📈 • No major institutional bias • VIX @ 16.40 → macro calm = earnings-friendly ⸻ 🎯 Trade Plan – IV Exploitation Setup { "ticker": "WFC", "type": "CALL", "strike": 86, "exp": "2025-07-18", "entry": 0.81, "target": 1.62, "stop": 0.40, "size": 1, "confidence": "70%", "entry_timing": "pre-earnings close" } 🔹 Call Entry: $0.81 🎯 Profit Target: $1.62 (+100%) 🛑 Stop: $0.40 (-50%) 📅 Expiry: 07/18/25 📆 Earnings Date: 07/14 (BMO) 📈 Expected Move: ~$2.89 🧠 Confidence: 70% ⸻ ⚠️ Key Risks • IV crush = quick decay if WFC doesn’t move • Guidance could swing the stock either direction fast • Overbought = short-term pullback risk even on good earnings ✅ Why $86C? • Just outside expected move • High OI = liquidity • Reasonable premium = good risk/reward ⸻ 📣 Model Consensus: “Moderately Bullish” — strong setup but keep it tight around earnings! Tag your favorite bank stock trader 🏦👇 Who’s playing WFC earnings this quarter? #WFC #EarningsPlay #OptionsTrading #CallOption #BankingStocks #IVCrush #RiskReward #AITrading #
NYSE:WFCLong
by quantsignals
TSLA – Macro Roadmap + VolanX Forecast Confluence📈 TSLA – Macro Roadmap + VolanX Forecast Confluence Tesla continues to obey our Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Elliott Wave roadmap, with price rebounding from the (C) correction zone. VolanX DSS and QuanT v3.0 both signal a medium-confidence bullish bias short-term, aligning with our wave count for a new 5-wave structure targeting the $420 zone. 🔍 Technical Outlook (WaverVanir DSS) 📊 Price held above 295.20 demand zone (discount reentry) ⚡️ ABC correction complete, BOS confirmed 🟧 Impulse wave 1 forming above 312–317 key liquidity 🎯 Mid-term targets: 336 > 368 > 422.6 🧠 VolanX QuanT Neural Forecast 1D Forecast: ▲ +1.9% (Medium Confidence) 1W Forecast: ▼ –1.5% (Medium Confidence) 7D Model: Volatility expected, but higher lows forming Risk: -2.9% short-term drop possible (flagged, high risk zone) 🧩 Confluence WaverVanir DSS confirms institutional accumulation VolanX AI models forecast near-term upside but warn of shakeouts Primary path favors breakout above 336.52 before higher timeframe wave 3 expansion 🚨 Risk Layer Tight invalidation below 295.20 Optimal scaling opportunity if retrace to 312–316 zone holds — 🔁 Strategic Play: Buy retracements into the 312–316 range Risk below 295.20 Target zone: $368 – $422+ — 📡 Powered by VolanX DSS and WaverVanir Institutional Macro AI 📌 Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. #TSLA #WaverVanir #VolanX #NeuralForecast #SmartMoneyConcepts #OptionsFlow #AITrading #WaveTheory #QuantFinance #InstitutionalStrategy #ElonMoves #NASDAQ #TradingView
PYTH:TSLALong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
2
DOW (DJI) -- Preparing For The Next Big Move?Hello Traders! The chart of the DOW is really quite incredible... Recently price formed a textbook Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which led to a nice nearly to the all time high. Furthermore price looks to be consolidating in a Bullish Pennant just below the all time high resistance level. The reason the Pennant below resistance is so significant is because this signals that investors are likely preparing to drive price higher to new highs. Think about it like a fighter resting before the next big fight. Triple Top: In addition to the pennant price has now hit this resistance level for the 3rd time. The more times price hits a level typically the weaker it gets. After the 3rd hit the chance of a breakout increases dramatically. In Summary: The "Triple Top" in conjunction with the "Bullish Pennant" means that there is undoubtedly a very high probability that price will breakout and make new all time highs. This post is primarily meant to be educational vs a trade idea. Its charts like this that invigorate my technical analysis side and I hope it does for you as well. Best of luck on your trading journey!
TVC:DJILong
by natef1
1
WaverVanir Update: Navigating Markets with Clarity and Convictio📊 WaverVanir Update: Navigating Markets with Clarity and Conviction At WaverVanir, we don’t just analyze charts — we decode institutional behavior. Every chart we share is powered by our proprietary DSS system, integrating: 🔍 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) 🧠 LSTM-AI forecasting 📈 VWAP & Volume Profile zones 🔗 Macro catalysts & options flow heat Our mission is clear: Turn chaos into clarity. We track where liquidity is engineered — not just where price has been. Expect: Institutional-level setups Risk-defined trade ideas Cross-market insights (equities, macro, commodities) 🔔 Follow us for edge-driven strategies and transparent thesis breakdowns. 💬 Comment if you're tracking similar zones or want to collaborate. ⚠️ All posts are educational. Not financial advice. #wavervanir #smartmoney #volumeprofile #tradingview #quantanalysis #aiinvesting #macromoves
COINBASE:DOTUSDLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Altcoins Bull Market Confirmed —Fun TokenEvery time there is a strong rise immediately what follows is a correction, always, unless of course you are in a bull market. Here you have the most revealing signal of all: Price stability after a major rise, sideways rather than bearish. Fun Token (FUNUSDT) produced a more than 340% bullish wave. What happens right after the peak? If you guessed a drop I don't blame you, that is what normally happens but here things are different. Since the market is growing and set to grow strong for long, after this major rise instead of a crash we have consolidation, sideways. This reveals that participants are not selling, they are not selling because they know the rise is not over, there will be additional growth. Go back in time and look at 30-50 altcoins and see what happens after each strong bullish wave, a correction. Now, do the same but focus on a bull market; what happens after a strong bullish wave? Some consolidation followed by additional growth. The altcoins bull market is already confirmed. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
5
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 300.17 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (MCD 1D chart) Before following the basic trading strategy, the first thing to check is whether the current price is above or below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. If the price is below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, there is a possibility that it will turn into a medium- to long-term downtrend. Therefore, if possible, it is recommended to trade stocks whose prices are above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. If the price is below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, you should respond quickly and briefly using the short-term trading (day trading) method. - The support and resistance zones can be seen as the 287.46-290.14 zone and the 307.41-314.89 zone. The 287.46-290.14 zone is the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low zone, and the 307.41-314.89 zone is the HA-High ~ DOM(60) zone. These two zones are likely to form a trend depending on how they break through, so they can be seen as support and resistance zones. - The 300.17-316.56 zone is the HA-High ~ DOM(60) zone on the 1W chart. Therefore, we need to check whether it can receive support and rise in the 300.17-316.56 zone. Therefore, if it falls near the 307.41-314.89 range, you should check for support near 300.17. - If it rises above the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, it is likely to show a step-up trend, and if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, it is likely to show a step-down trend. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. --------------------------------------------------
NYSE:MCD
by readCrypto