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Beyond Technical Analysis

The 3-Method Framework: Simplifying Technical AnalysisMost traders get caught up in complex indicator setups, thinking that more tools equal better results. We rely on moving averages to tell us if prices are trending up or down, and we depend on support and resistance levels to predict market movement. But what if I told you there's a simpler, more powerful way to read the market using pure price action? Today, I want to share my experience and understanding of bias and expectations for the next candle formation. This approach is refreshingly simple because we don't need to understand every single price movement - we just need to focus on what matters most. Method 1: Opening Price Comparison The first method is beautifully straightforward. For a bullish bias, the current opening price should be above the previous opening price. That's it. Sounds almost too simple, right? But simplicity often holds the greatest power in trading. For Gold yesterday, we simply needed to compare the latest opening price on the Daily timeframe with the previous opening price. It's that simple. Method 2: Mid-Level Analysis The second approach involves comparing mid-levels between candles. We compare the mid-level of the previous candle with the mid-level of the candle before that. I know it might sound a bit complicated when explained this way, but once you visualize it on your chart, the concept becomes crystal clear. Still on Gold, we just compare the 50% or mid-level of the previous candle with the candle two periods back from the latest candle on the daily chart. Method 3: Expansion Expectations The third method helps us anticipate expansion in price. Traditional complex methods require analyzing numerous factors, but this simplified approach only needs two candles before the current one. Here's how it works: we use the high and low of the candle two periods back, and the open and close (body) of the previous candle. If the previous candle's body sits within the high-low range of the two-candle-back formation, we can expect price expansion. The beauty of this method is that we don't care whether the price is bullish or bearish - we simply expect expansion to occur. Think of it like a compressed spring: when price gets squeezed within a previous range, it often seeks to break out in either direction. We're not predicting the direction, just the likelihood of significant movement. Still on Gold, I randomly selected all inside candles on the Daily timeframe. Remember, the purpose is only to expect expansion, not direction. If you want to use this for directional bias, make sure you apply the additional analysis required. Remember, there are no guarantees in trading, but this method provides valuable insight into potential market expansion. Advanced Combinations for Enhanced Analysis Combining Methods 1 and 2 creates our most accessible approach since you only need two candles. When both the opening price and mid-point from two candles ago indicate bullish conditions, we can expect the current candle to follow an OLHC bullish pattern. You can see the 3 examples I've provided in the image, and all of these are applicable across all timeframes, both daily and 4-hour. Combining all three methods offers a more sophisticated analysis, particularly useful for anticipating market reversals. This involves marking the current and previous opening prices, comparing mid-levels from the last two candles, and identifying the high/low range from two to three candles back. Now I'm adding Inside Candles from 2-3 periods back (My personal rule is maximum 3 candles before the current candle, or this analysis will lead to analysis paralysis). The Bullish and Bearish Rules Bullish Rule 1: Opening price above the previous opening price Mid-level of the previous candle above the mid-level of the previous candle before that. Inside candle formation (optional) Bearish Rule 1: Opening price below the previous opening price Mid-level of the previous candle below the mid-level of the previous candle before that. Inside candle formation (optional) The Secret Sauce: Timeframe Harmony Here's where the "devil is in the details" comes into play. You might find perfect bullish conditions on your chart, but the market still reverses. The secret lies in using this method on Daily and 4-hour timeframes simultaneously. Simply understand it from the chart. Simply understand it from the chart. If Rule 1 conditions are met on the daily chart, they must also align on the 4-hour chart. When the 4-hour contradicts the daily, follow the 4-hour signal as it might indicate a "sell on strength" or "buy on weakness" scenario. The formula is simple: must align with I've never tested this on 1-hour charts because the Daily and 4-hour combination provides sufficient accuracy for my trading approach. Enhanced Rules for Precision Rule 2 makes the inside candle formation mandatory rather than optional. Sometimes you'll encounter mixed signals where the mid-level suggests one direction while the opening price suggests another. The solution? Drop down to a lower timeframe for additional confirmation. I don't recommend using this method below the 4-hour timeframe, but you can certainly apply it to Monthly or Weekly charts for long-term bias determination. The key is analyzing both Daily AND 4-hour timeframes together, not just one or the other. When timeframes conflict, often just one key level provides the confirmation you need - typically a previous Monthly or Weekly high or low. Final Thoughts Pure price action mastery isn't about having the most sophisticated setup or the most indicators on your chart. It's about understanding the fundamental relationship between opening prices, mid-levels, and candle formations across meaningful timeframes. This approach has served me well because it cuts through market noise and focuses on what price is actually telling us. Start with these three methods, practice identifying the patterns, and gradually build your confidence in reading pure price action. Remember, consistent profitability comes from mastering simple, reliable methods rather than chasing complex strategies. Keep practicing, stay disciplined, and let price action guide your trading decisions. Good Luck! :)
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by agatarigan
webull buy x robinhood buy webull: 24 million registered users and 4.7 million funded accounts managing $12.6 billion in assets as of Q1 2025 x Robinhood: recently launched tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs in Europe, enabling round‑the‑clock 24/5 crypto‑style trading and exposure to private companies like SpaceX and OpenAI : Mizuho raised its price target to $99, Cantor Fitzgerald to $100, and KeyBanc to $110 Q4 2024 EPS estimates up 322% year-over-year, and full-year 2024/25 earnings forecasted to grow by 231%/22% bigger picture Retail now constitutes roughly 20–21% of daily trading volume Brokerages like Webull and Robinhood, offering strong margins, advanced tools, and retail accessibility, are driving the new wave of democratized finance empowering traders amid record market participation and innovation. lots of volume here should expect these two to have a good quarter and next price target by end of july NASDAQ:BULL 16.00 range NASDAQ:HOOD 101.00+
NASDAQ:BULLLong
by wilhelmthethird
8
Ethereum’s Next Fair Value Gap is $3.8K — And the Road to $26K 🚀 Ethereum’s Next Fair Value Gap is $3.8K — And the Road to $26K Remains On Track Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) just reclaimed key structure — and despite a temporary pullback, all signals remain aligned for a parabolic breakout toward $26,000 this cycle. Here’s why the next Fair Value Gap (FVG) sits near $3.8K, and why the Schiff Pitchfork structure still implies Ethereum is coiling for exponential upside in the coming months. 🔹 The $3.8K FVG: ETH’s Next Magnet Looking at the daily chart: The $3.8K zone is a clear untapped FVG (Fair Value Gap) from late 2021, created by a sharp breakdown candle that never got properly filled. ETH is currently consolidating just below the $3.1K resistance band, and once that breaks, liquidity will naturally gravitate toward the next inefficiency — at $3,800–3,900. This gap aligns with a previous supply zone and intersects with the upper resistance trendline from late 2021, creating a powerful magnet for price once momentum returns. 🔹 All-Time Schiff Pitchfork Still Intact The Schiff Pitchfork structure drawn from Ethereum’s 2018 low through its COVID crash low and 2021 all-time high paints a highly disciplined range: ETH is respecting the midline of the lower channel and recently bounced off the support of the median zone, with price now grinding higher within the ascending structure. The upper band of the pitchfork intersects with price in late 2025 near the $26,000–28,000 zone, forming a natural cycle top target. Historically, Ethereum has respected this long-term structure remarkably well — and this current move is no different. 🔹 Moving Averages & Bullish Market Structure ETH recently flashed a Golden Cross — the 50-day SMA crossing above the 200-day SMA — which historically front-runs explosive upside in post-halving years. All major SMAs (20/50/100/200) are now curling upward, creating a supportive launchpad. Price is breaking out of the consolidation wedge that defined Q2 2025 — and has room to run toward $3.8K before meeting major overhead resistance. 🔹 Post-Halving Explosiveness Let’s not forget: we’re in a post-halving year — and ETH has a consistent pattern of multiplying 5x–10x in the 9–12 months following Bitcoin halving events: In 2017 (after 2016 halving): ETH went from ~$8 to $1,400 — nearly 175x. In 2021 (after 2020 halving): ETH went from ~$120 to $4,800 — roughly 40x. A move from the current ~$3K level to $26,000 is just an 8.5x — well within historical precedent. 🔹 Macro Tailwinds: ETH ETFs & Institutional Flows BlackRock, Fidelity, and other asset managers are positioning Ethereum ETFs for approval, which would unlock billions in institutional inflows. A staking ETF would dramatically compress supply — Ethereum already has over 27% of its supply locked — amplifying upside through supply-demand squeeze. Meanwhile, stablecoin settlement volume is growing faster than Visa — all powered by Ethereum infrastructure. 🔹 Timing the Move: August to December Explosion? The verticals on your chart highlight key windows: A breakout window between early August and mid-September coincides with both macro liquidity injections and historical altseason patterns. If ETH hits $3.8K by August, the runway to $8K–$14K opens by October, with $26K still well within reach by December 2025, in line with your pitchfork’s top boundary. 🟣 Summary: Ethereum’s Next Stop Is $3.8K — Then Moon ✅ Untapped FVG magnet at $3.8K ✅ Schiff Pitchfork upper boundary intersects near $26K ✅ Post-halving year + Golden Cross = Explosive setup ✅ ETH ETF narrative just beginning ✅ Structural breakout from consolidation wedge Ethereum is no longer just the base layer of DeFi — it’s becoming the base layer of global financial infrastructure. And price hasn’t yet priced that in. "If the internet had a price, it would be Ethereum." Don’t fade this breakout. We’re still early.
Long
by DanOxAm
$ETHBTC: Correction is over?Ethereum vs Bitcoin shows that the strong surge that kicked off during May might not be a one off... If you take a look at monthly BITSTAMP:ETHUSD and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , both charts show a bullish trend that is active until EOY at least (maybe even during the first half of the whole of 2026 depending on how you look at it). But lately, it became clear that the pivot in the EF foundation, capitulation of Bankless who used to be cheerleaders for ETH at all times and started cozying up to Solana people at the bottom, and the insane level of hatred it accumulated from everyone in Crypto circles were the sign of a bottom signal. This made sense to me as the monthly down trend active in BINANCE:ETHBTC was coming to an end while price retested the level where it had turned bullish during 2016-2017, which led to the most massive 'Alt season' ever which made CT coin the term in hindsight after, something imbued in the crypto trader genome at this point. It was bound to be a signifcant level and indeed price bottomed very close to it in a climactic manner. Recently, crypto endured a correction manifested in a daily timeframe down trend in most coins, but that trend is turning around once more it seems. The market has favored coins that have profitable protocolos/dapps since the bottom in BINANCE:ETHBTC and BITSTAMP:ETHUSD , specially those returning $ to token holders like GETTEX:HYPE , CRYPTOCAP:ETHFI , and others that will or might do so ( CRYPTOCAP:AAVE , BME:UNI , to name a few). If you were sidelined you had and still have a decent chance to reposition into crypto for the next long term bullish swing. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
1
$PENGUUSDT: Bullish trend with solid catalystsCSECY:PENGU is about to stage a sharp advance from here. The chart is coiling up and looks ready to send it. If you still haven't acquired your 88,888+ CSECY:PENGU bag to get the multiplier for the Abstract Chain airdrop, you might as well do it now before it costs a lot more. The airdrop isn't a direct handout; holding the tokens gives you an XP boost, so you've still got to get on-chain and play the game, but it's a critical edge. Most users minted 6 badges, if you can mint more, you're ahead of the pack, still quite under-farmed in my opinion. Just recently, we got news about progress on a CSECY:PENGU ETF listing. This is a massive development and could seriously add fuel to the fire as well. Abstract Chain stats are looking solid. The chain is already pulling in over $30M in TVL and doing nearly $6M in daily volume. People are actively using it, and dapps are generating real revenue. For example, the highly successful scratch card game, Gacha, pulled in over 1.6mm in fees so far. It just makes sense. Look at Robinhood launching their own L2 with Arbitrum tech. If you have an app with a real user base, you own the chain. The Pudgy Penguins team is a force of nature when it comes to real-world adoption and building a brand people love. They've already managed to attract a bunch of interesting apps that are bringing in solid numbers. It's a smart play by a team that knows how to win. The whole setup looks incredibly bullish and with Ethereum's trend turning bullish vs CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:USDT , these are the plays that have my attention. Don't sleep on this one. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
End of Bitcoin cycle this Year nearly 180-200k$ The Great Depression 2.0 ahead and all politicians already know it and prepare to blame all their troubles on the crisis.. I think Bitcoin will reach 180-200k$ till the beginning or the end of september. Need to track the price of gold - Bitcoin ATH near the 55 oz of gold! After reaching the peak - there will be dump -50%. September and October as the best months for bitcoin in 2025 would be the worst months. November and December maybe green - to close some nice year candle (giving to altcoins last chance for performing) and after that going into the bear market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by DBerendey
BTC 4 HR TIME FRAME ANALYSIS 4H Technical Analysis – BTCUSDT.P (Bitcoin Perpetual on Bitget) ✅ 1. Trend Overview: Current Market Phase: Strong uptrend. Price has broken multiple H4 BOS (Break of Structure) levels with strong bullish momentum. The last impulse candle shows a vertical breakout, often a sign of aggressive buyers or FOMO. 🔄 2. Key Structure Zones: 🔵 Demand Zones (Highlighted in Green): Around 113,700–114,000 → fresh demand zone after last breakout. Around 108,000–110,000 → mid-level zone from earlier accumulation. Deeper zone at ~96,000–98,000 → higher timeframe demand (may hold if larger correction happens). 🔴 Supply Zones (No immediate supply shown, but...) Watch for reaction zones around 118,000–120,000 as psychological resistance. 📍 3. Price Action & Structure: The current move is parabolic, indicating momentum exhaustion may soon follow. However, the last CHoCH and BOS signals are clearly bullish, and pullbacks are being aggressively bought. Short-Term Expectation: A correction or sideways consolidation may happen near 118,000–119,000. Best scenario: price pulls back into the 113,700 zone, forming a bullish continuation setup. 🔍 4. Candlestick Patterns: At the top, the last 2 candles are showing wicks, indicating possible early rejection or take-profit activity. No confirmed reversal pattern yet (e.g., no bearish engulfing, pin bar, or evening star). Wait for confirmation if considering a reversal trade. 📉 5. Risk Zones: If price breaks below 113,700, then correction may deepen toward 110,000 or even 108,000. Below 108,000 would invalidate the current short-term bullish structure and signal trend weakening. 📌 6. Key Levels to Watch: Type Price Zone Notes Resistance 118,500–120,000 Current high zone, psychological barrier Demand Zone 1 113,700–114,000 Nearest fresh demand Demand Zone 2 108,000–110,000 Mid support HTF Demand ~96,000–98,000 Deep liquidity + structural demand ✅ Conclusion: Market is in a strong bullish trend on the 4H chart. Wait for a healthy pullback to demand zones before considering new longs. Watch for bearish candlestick confirmation (like engulfing or M-structure) near highs for possible short-term reversals. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a trading signal. It's purely educational analysis. Always trade based on your personal strategy and risk management. BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
by AliSMA25