I'm just going to keep putting the hammer down - Long at 3.88I've done two other ideas for ASM in the last 3-1/2 months, so I'm not gonna rehash all those details here. If you are new to me or to my ideas for this ticker, just look at those. In them, I make a fairly compelling argument for short term trading this name. I'll sum it up quickly here - it's been extremely profitable. I'm expecting no different this time.
Since my last idea on June 20th, there has been only one buy signal on this name until this week, but that one paid 9.5% in two trading days. Today's signal is actually the 3rd in a row (not uncommon for this ticker) and full disclosure, I traded the other two so I'm in this already. That said, today's signal is extra spicy, thanks to that pretty little hammer of a candlestick that printed today. For those unfamiliar, it is often a sign of a bullish reversal. It requires confirmation, but given the perfect record my signals have provided to this point on ASM, I can justify not waiting for that confirmation as it can cause missed trades if the stock jumps 4 or 5% the next day, as it is fond of doing. But if someone were to jump in on this trade but wanted to wait for confirmation, I believe that the move here would last more than one day, should it happen.
I also have been increasing my exposure to inflation-related trades lately and why not get that from something that bumps like this does?
The solid uptrend that goes back well farther than this chart shows sweetens the deal even more. Given that my first recent signal clicked at the 4.17 level two days ago, I'm expecting a move to and beyond that level in the relatively near term, though that's obviously not a guarantee. I will likely get out of this leg of the trade before it gets there, unless it does it in one move, which isn't out of the question at all. That's only about 7.5% above the current price and this stock moves that much in a day semi-frequently. Twice in the last 7 trading days, in fact.
So that's my case. If the market stays semi-strong, this will likely stay weak until the market cools off some. This is my second add to my real life position, so I'm certainly not shy about adding more if my signals warrant it.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Beyond Technical Analysis
TIME TO BUY GBPUSD NOW From the daily time frame we can see that GBPUSD is respecting a rising trend line.
We notice in the past that anytime price touches this rising trend line price will react and reject and move to the upside.
Looking at the chart critically, I indicated a rectangle in which price acted as resistance and broke to the upside and price came to retest it again and it turns to support now, with recent price action we can see that price has retested that resistance turned support again . So I'm expecting price action to reverse from bearish to bullish from that rectangle zone indicated ,with smart money longing at that zone which has already taken place as of yesterday.
Target Profit:1.37250,1.38000,1.40000
Dow Jones: Shaking amid rumors of Powell’s dismissalIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The main Wall Street indices closed Thursday’s session with mixed results. Comments from Trump stating he had no plans to fire Powell but “doesn’t rule anything out” except in cases of fraud, along with Powell’s declaration that he will serve his full term until mid-2026, pressured the market. The U.S. market has been dealing with these dismissal tensions for seven months, which made the Dow Jones appear weaker, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq managed to stay in positive territory, supported by strong earnings from key companies. At the session’s start, the Dow Jones fell 0.09% to 44,202 points, while the S&P 500 rose 0.04% to 6,266 points and the Nasdaq gained 0.17% to 20,777 points. However, the Dow Jones closed at 44,484.49 points (+0.52%), the S&P 500 at 6,297.36 points (+0.54%), and the Nasdaq at 20,885.65 points (+0.75%). The day was marked by rumors from the White House, where an official stated that Trump would “probably soon” fire Jerome Powell. The news triggered an intraday drop of over 260 points in the Dow Jones, although markets later moderated losses after clarifications from the former president himself.
An early dismissal of Powell would likely impact the market very negatively and generate significant chaos. Trump’s interest in pressuring the Fed for rate cuts, although he cannot legally dismiss the central bank’s president, has been on the table since the start of his term. This has caused pronounced volatility movements. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to 4.449%, as the market reduced the probability of a rate cut in September from 66% to 55% (CME FedWatch).
On the macroeconomic front, June retail sales rose 0.6%, far exceeding the expected 0.1%. Weekly jobless claims stood at 221,000, also below expectations. With these results, Trump has little leverage to challenge the Fed.
Notable corporate results:
PepsiCo surprised positively with EPS of $2.12 (vs. $2.03 expected) and rose 5.7% at the open.
United Airlines advanced 3.6%, beating earnings expectations with EPS of $3.87, although revenues slightly disappointed.
GE Aerospace raised its 2025 EPS forecast to a range of $5.60–5.80, driven by strong aftermarket demand.
Netflix reported after the close, with expectations of $7.09 EPS and $11.06 billion in revenue.
TSMC led chip sector gains, rising more than 3% after announcing record profits thanks to AI. AMD, NVIDIA, and Super Micro also traded higher.
Technical Analysis
Observing the Dow Jones daily chart (Ticker AT: USAIND), since late April the index has moved upward toward its long-term control zone around 42,230 points, where the Point of Control (POC) acts as support for the current rally. In recent days, candles have used the 50-day moving average as support. The price expansion that began on June 6 with a golden cross appears solid. The bullish delta pressure zones from February and last year’s Christmas rally coincide with the current trading zone, suggesting a potential fourth attempt to break the current all-time highs at 45,110.09 points in pursuit of 46,000. If this price area is not breached, a pullback toward the POC zone could occur, and if that level fails to hold, a drop toward 39,600 points may follow.
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La información facilitada no constituye un análisis de inversiones. El material no se ha elaborado de conformidad con los requisitos legales destinados a promover la independencia de los informes de inversiones y, como tal, debe considerarse una comunicación comercial.
Toda la información ha sido preparada por ActivTrades ("AT"). La información no contiene un registro de los precios de AT, o una oferta o solicitud de una transacción en cualquier instrumento financiero. Ninguna representación o garantía se da en cuanto a la exactitud o integridad de esta información.
Cualquier material proporcionado no tiene en cuenta el objetivo específico de inversión y la situación financiera de cualquier persona que pueda recibirlo. La rentabilidad pasada y las estimaciones no sinónimo ni un indicador fiable de la rentabilidad futura. AT presta un servicio exclusivamente de ejecución. En consecuencia, toda persona que actúe sobre la base de la información facilitada lo hace por su cuenta y riesgo. Los tipos de interés pueden cambiar. El riesgo político es impredecible. Las acciones de los bancos centrales pueden variar. Las herramientas de las plataformas no garantizan el éxito.
XRP clears Point of Control to test highs.XRP is breaking out of a consolidation zone and above a volume point of control that has been massive since its November rally onward.
Looks like next node is to $3.14
Super strong coin.
Ripple testimony in banking committee yesterday was bullish. Ripple partnering with BNY Melon yesterday was bullish. Ripple leading regulation standards with their XRP case is bullish. Ripple winning the status of XRP as one of a kind is bullish. Ripple getting a bank charter and fed master account is bullish.
Not much is close to XRP fundamentally.
The Trader’s Journey: From Hope to MasteryLadies and gentlemen, fellow traders,
Whether you've just opened your first trading account or you’re already seeing consistent returns, I want to speak directly to your journey — The Trader’s Journey. It’s a path filled with hope, confusion, pain, breakthroughs, and ultimately, mastery.
Trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme — it’s a mirror. It shows you your discipline, your patience, your weaknesses, and your potential. Let me walk you through six powerful stages that every successful trader must face.
Stage 1: The Beginner
This is where the fire is lit.
You’ve just discovered trading — maybe you saw a video of someone making thousands in minutes, or a friend introduced you. You’re excited. You dream of quitting your job, making money in your sleep, living free. You don’t know much, but your heart is in it.
And that’s okay. Every trader starts here — driven by curiosity and ambition.
But beware: this is where most get trapped in illusion.
Stage 2: The Gambler
Without knowledge, the beginner becomes the gambler.
You enter trades without analysis. You chase signals from Telegram channels. You over-leverage, revenge trade, and your emotions run the show. You win once, lose three times, and still believe the next trade is “the one.”
At this stage, you’re not trading — you’re hoping. There’s no edge. Only chaos.
The gambler loses money, but gains the most valuable asset: humility.
Stage 3: The Sponge
Now that you’ve felt the pain of gambling, you decide to get serious. You become the sponge.
You buy courses. Watch endless YouTube videos. Download PDFs. Join mentorships. You’re learning — and learning — and learning.
But here’s the danger: information overload. You start to believe more knowledge equals better results. But unless that knowledge is applied, tested, and internalized, it’s just noise.
The sponge must eventually learn to filter, to focus, and to practice.
Stage 4: The Fighter
You’ve gained skills. Your chart looks cleaner. You can explain concepts now. You win some trades. You lose some. Sometimes you even feel like you’ve cracked it.
But you’re still fighting.
You jump from one strategy to another. You change your system after one bad week. You second-guess yourself. You're in the emotional trenches — and it’s exhausting.
But this stage is crucial. Because it’s here that most quit.
To move forward, the fighter must develop emotional control, patience, and a trading plan they can trust.
Stage 5: The Climber
Now, you're becoming a climber. You’ve found your edge. You follow your rules. You journal your trades. You’re no longer driven by thrill, but by execution. You’ve stopped chasing profits — now you chase process.
You start seeing consistent returns.
Risk management is no longer optional — it’s your oxygen. And trading is no longer about proving yourself — it’s about preserving and growing.
The climber is building the foundation of long-term wealth.
Stage 6: The Oracle
And finally, the oracle.
This trader has mastered not just the charts — but themselves. They understand that trading is 80% psychology and 20% execution. They know when not to trade. They know when to rest. Their results speak, but their ego is silent.
They don’t need to be right — they need to be disciplined.
They live by probabilities. They’ve seen every market condition. And they’ve turned trading into a business — not a hobby.
This is mastery. This is where the journey leads.
In Conclusion
My fellow traders — wherever you are in this journey, honor it. Don’t rush the process. Each stage has its purpose, and each stage will shape you.
You’ll lose trades. You’ll doubt yourself. You’ll feel like giving up.
But if you stay committed — not just to profits, but to growth — you will climb.
Remember: The market doesn’t reward perfection. It rewards consistency. It rewards discipline. It rewards self-awareness.
So I ask you:
🔥 Are you willing to fight through frustration?
🔥 Are you willing to outlast the noise?
🔥 Are you willing to master yourself before mastering the market?
Because if you are… then one day, you won’t just be another trader.
You’ll be a professional. An oracle.
Thank you — and trade well.
Crude Oil: Bulls vs. Bears — A Market at the Edge
Here’s what we’re seeing from the latest CME block trade data & CME report:
🐻 Confirmed & Detailed Bearish Sentiment
Big players are actively hedging and betting on a drop.
Block trades are targeting key downside levels:
$62.50 , $55.00 , and even as low as $45.00 .
This isn’t noise — it’s institutional conviction.
🐂 Strong Bullish Resistance
At the same time, there’s heavy buying in:
Long futures
Bullish call spreads (1,000+ contracts)
This tells us: there are serious buyers stepping in, targeting $67.50–$72.50 .
They don’t believe in the bear case — and they’re backing it with real money.
🧭 Market at a Bifurcation Point
The presence of massive, conflicting block trades is a clear sign:
The market is preparing for a big move — up or down.
“Smart money” isn’t betting on sideways action.
They’re positioning for breakout volatility .
📊 Final Forecast
Oil is under strong bearish pressure.
That makes a downward scenario more likely in the medium term .
BUT — there’s strong support from big buyers stepping in around $64–$65 .
So the most probable path?
A high-volatility phase , with attempts to test both:
Upper targets (bullish side)
Lower support zones (bearish side)
🔑 Key Battle Zone: $62 – $68
This range will be critical in the days ahead.
Break it — and we’ll know which side is in control.
$PRIME Is Breaking Out – The Top 100 Is Next, Altcoin Season Everyone’s talking about “alt season,” but very few get in before the real moves begin. SET:PRIME is not just breaking out technically; it’s ticking all the right boxes fundamentally and socially. Here’s why I’m ultra bullish, why all-time highs are in play, and the hard maths on why SET:PRIME in the top 100 is a realistic, not just hopium, call.
1. Market Cap Maths
Current market cap: ~$100 million USD
Top 100 cut-off (as of July 2025): ~$700 million USD
To break into the top 100, SET:PRIME needs to 7x from here.
2. Price Projection
Circulating supply: ~35.8M PRIME
To hit $700M market cap:
$700,000,000 / 35,800,000 = $19.55 per PRIME
To hit $1 billion (momentum likely carries it higher in a mania):
$1,000,000,000 / 35,800,000 = $27.90 per PRIME (that’s exactly the last all-time high in March 2024).
3. All-Time Highs and Blue Sky Potential
ATH: $28.08 – down 90% from the peak, but the tokenomics are tighter, awareness is far higher, and “AI gaming” is about to run.
A full-on FOMO extension, let’s say $5B market cap (not rare for top-tier narrative coins in a mania):
$5,000,000,000 / 35,800,000 = $139.66 per PRIME
With supply unlocks and broader distribution, a price of $100-$150+ USD per PRIME is on the table if the narrative and altcoin season go nuclear.
4. Why This Isn’t Just Hype
Altcoin season means the risk flows from Bitcoin/Ethereum into lower-cap, narrative-driven coins.
SET:PRIME is at the intersection of AI and Web3 gaming – two of the strongest narratives in the next cycle.
Volume, sentiment, and on-chain data all confirm smart money is rotating in early.
5. Strategic Play
No one gets rich waiting for confirmation from CNBC or the herd.
Early entries in these moments are what turn portfolios from average to legendary.
Reflection: If you believe in the cycle thesis, the time to act is before everyone else catches on.
#PRIME #AltcoinSeason #Tradeview #CryptoMaths #AI #Web3Gaming #Top100 #Breakout #CryptoBullrun #NotFinancialAdvice
GOLD LONG FROM RISING SUPPORT|
✅GOLD is trading in an uptrend
And the bullish bias is confirmed
By the rebound we are seeing
After the price retested the support
So I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPX: Long-Term Strength and Opportunity
SPX: Long-Term Strength and Opportunity
The S&P 500 (SPX) on this monthly timeframe clearly illustrates a powerful long-term uptrend, where each significant pullback has consistently presented a valuable buying opportunity. Most recently, the market effectively retested and bounced off the established long-term trendline, even amidst geopolitical concerns such as the April low experienced when tariffs were announced, underscoring the underlying bullish resilience. This sustained trajectory suggests continued upward momentum, reaffirming the 'buy the dip' strategy within this robust market environment.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
MELANIA Main Trend. Memes with high hype and risk. July 17, 2025Main trend. Time frame 3 days (less is not necessary). Showed conditional levels (zones near them), and percentages of decrease from the maximum (note, I showed from the zone where the main retail of “affected investors” began to connect, that is, the maximum is much lower than on the chart).
Note that now a conditionally large volume “enters”, it is displayed on the price chart (this is important), a sideways squeeze has begun. Local impulse and rollback are now in the moment.
Also showed a large % (intentionally) for orientation, from minimum to maximum zones. On such hype assets, as a rule, medium-term - long-term holding (bought in the right zone) shows significant income.
All level zones are conditional, due to liquidity, but the price will most likely “play” after the breakdown of the downward trend in this range, another alt season (which many do not notice due to the slow breakdown of their opinions, news chaff, and inadequate goals). As for me, above these huge % (resistance zone, or up to 0.869, so as not to waste time), you should get rid of this meme, or its % from the previous position should already be minimal (5-10%).
There are hype zones, there are zones of potential gain (fading hype, interest, and a large % from the maximums). On such assets of "manual trading", where cryptocurrency has no value, it is always sold little by little (many do not understand this), but in order to sell, you sometimes need to make interest, and "instill hope" in previously deceived "investors" who want to get out at least at a loss (it is unlikely to happen). At the right time, 1-2 tweets - statements from the "powers that be" - are pumped up due to low liquidity by a huge percentage.
On such cryptocurrencies, you do not need to guess the “bottom” or maximums. Pricing is formed differently here, as there is no real supply/demand, utility, but only psychology and "hitting the jackpot" of gambling addicts. Be smarter. Diversify such assets, distribute the risk in advance. Make purchases/sales according to plan, without emotions.
When the price goes up, you think it will go much higher, but even if it does, you must sell a certain volume in certain planned zones, without any emotions or sense of lost profit.
Similarly, when the price goes down, people are driven by fear and refuse to buy, and these were probably the minimums of fear.
The average price of the set and reset is important. No minimums and maximums are needed. Be patient and consistent in your actions and plans.
SOL ANALYSIS🔮 #SOL Analysis 💰💰
📊 #SOL is making perfect and huge rounding bottom pattern in daily time frame, indicating a potential bullish move. If #SOL retests little bit and breakout the pattern with high volume then we will get a bullish move📈
🔖 Current Price: $173.75
⏳ Target Price: $204.00
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#SOL #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
The AI Boom's Unsung HeroThe rise of artificial intelligence isn’t just shaking up tech companies it’s quietly transforming the global silver market in a big way. As major players like NVIDIA, Google and others ramp up their AI infrastructure silver is becoming more critical than ever. Why? Because silver, thanks to its unmatched electrical conductivity, plays a key role in powering the hardware behind AI.
Silver is the most conductive metal on Earth. That makes it perfect for high-performance computing something AI needs a lot of. It’s especially important in data centers and advanced semiconductors, where both electrical and thermal performance are mission-critical.
What’s really interesting is that AI servers tend to use two to three times more silver than traditional data center servers. That’s because AI workloads are more power-hungry, generate more heat and require more complex cooling and electrical systems. Simply put, more AI means more silver.
If there’s one company at the heart of this trend it’s NVIDIA. Analysts at Morgan Stanley expect NVIDIA to consume a staggering 77% of all silicon wafers used for AI accelerators in 2025 up from 51% in 2024. That adds up to around 535,000 300-mm wafers a year each of which contains silver in key components.
All of this AI growth is showing up in the numbers. Industrial silver demand hit an all-time high of 680.5 million ounces in 2024. The electronics industry alone uses around 250 million ounces per year and AI is now the fastest-growing part of that.
Despite all this demand, silver supply just isn’t keeping up. The market’s been in deficit for four straight years, with a total shortfall of 678 million ounces between 2021 and 2024. That’s roughly ten months of global mine output gone missing from the balance sheet.
It’s no surprise, then, that silver prices have been climbing fast. As of July 2025 silver’s up nearly 30% for the year. Looking further ahead I see room for silver to keep climbing:
In the short term (2025): $36–$42 per ounce seems realistic
By 2026: Potential for $50+ as more AI growth stays strong
AI isn’t just changing how we work, communicate, or compute—it’s literally reshaping the commodities that make this technology possible. Silver, once thought of mainly in the context of jewelry or coins, is now a backbone material for the AI revolution.
ETHUSD - Stretched price. Pullback to CL likelyPrice tagged the U-MLH, the stretch level.
Think of it like the 2nd STDV.
Now think Mean Reversion.
With such a stretch, price has a high chance to revert to the mean - down to the Centerline (CL).
What is this information good for?
a) take profit (...or 50% partial)
b) short on intrady signs
But if it is open and close above the U-MLH, then there's a good chance that price is advancing to the Warning Line, the extension of the Center to U-MLH.
Let's observe what happens.
ETH Buy Zone AlertETH Buy Zone Alert 🚨 | Eyes on 3340 & 3291
Ethereum is entering a strong demand zone between $3340 and $3291 — this could be a great long opportunity if price reacts well.
Short-term targets to watch: $3420 and then $3500.
Don’t sleep on this setup — keep it on your radar! 👀
📈 Follow for more actionable trade setups and real-time market updates.
NEARUSDT.P Long Setup from Peak Formation Low I'm going long on NEARUSDT.P after spotting a clear change of character (CHoCH) on the 1-hour timeframe, confirming a shift from bearish to bullish structure.
📍 Entry: 2.678
🎯 Target: 3.135
🛡️ Stop-loss: 2.637
This setup formed at a peak formation low, with price tapping into a well-defined bullish orderblock, which acted as a strong demand zone. The CHoCH was the final confirmation for the entry, signaling smart money involvement.
This trade idea is suitable for:
🔹 Beginners – to learn how CHoCH + orderblocks provide high-probability entries
🔹 Intermediate traders – to refine entry/exit precision using market structure
🔹 Pro traders – for smart money confluence and risk-reward optimization
📈 Watching for price to respect the order block and push toward the target. RR is favorable. Manage risk accordingly!