BUYPrevious Day Low
Trend Line Rejection
Divergence Volume
London Session
Previous Week High Breach
Market Structure Shift Bullish
Beyond Technical Analysis
XAGUSD Analysis : Squeeze + Curved Support Break + Bearish SetupThe XAGUSD 4-hour timeframe presents a structurally rich bullish setup, displaying signs of smart money accumulation and directional bias toward a potential breakout. Price action is currently compressing beneath a major horizontal resistance, supported dynamically by a Black Mind Curve, indicating progressive demand absorption by larger players.
This structure — characterized by rounded, ascending support and multiple rejections off a flat resistance — resembles a re-accumulation cup-like formation beneath a key supply level. These conditions often precede high-probability breakouts, driven by liquidity engineering and retail trap setups.
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
🟢 1. Black Mind Curve Support (Dynamic Demand Zone)
The curved trendline support represents an institutionally significant accumulation level, respected over multiple sessions. Note the price’s consistent reaction at this curved support, producing long lower wicks and bullish engulfing candles — both signs of liquidity grabs followed by strong buyer commitment.
This curve essentially acts as a visual footprint of algorithmic buying interest — creating a controlled, higher-low structure leading into the resistance wall.
🔵 2. Major Horizontal Resistance Zone (~37.20–37.40)
This level has served as a historical sell-side liquidity pool, having rejected multiple attempts to break higher over the past weeks. Each approach has been met with selling pressure, but the gradual compression of price against this zone hints at an impending breakout. Repeated testing of resistance with higher lows builds pressure — a classic ascending re-test model.
🟡 3. Break of Structure (BOS) Levels: Confirmation Zones
Minor BOS (~36.20): Confirmed. Indicates bullish intent and short-term trend shift.
Major BOS (~35.80): The ultimate invalidation level. If broken, the bullish thesis is compromised, and price may re-enter the lower consolidation zone.
A bullish BOS above 37.40 would mark a true breakout and open the door to 38.00+ levels.
🔴 4. Liquidity & Smart Money Behavior
The long wicks and deep retests into the Black Mind Curve suggest stop-loss hunts and liquidity inducement. Institutions often use such zones to trap breakout traders early, accumulate orders below swing lows, and then reverse the move. The price action around July 3–10 reflects this behavior clearly.
⚫ 5. Volume & Momentum Consideration
While not shown in the chart, volume confirmation is critical here. A breakout above resistance should ideally be supported by increased volume and momentum divergence on RSI/MACD. A failure to confirm could indicate a fakeout trap, which is not uncommon in commodity markets like Silver.
📌 Strategic Trade Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Continuation Setup:
Trigger: Break and 4H candle close above 37.40 resistance
Retest Entry: Wait for price to retest broken resistance (now support) with bullish confirmation (engulfing, pin bar, etc.)
Targets:
TP1: 38.00 (psychological round number)
TP2: 38.60–38.90 (measured move target from structure base)
TP3: 39.50 (extension target)
Invalidation: Break below 36.00 with strong bearish volume
🔻 Bearish Rejection Scenario:
Trigger: Sharp rejection from resistance zone followed by breakdown below the Black Mind Curve and BOS levels
Confirmation: Close below 36.20 with high volume
Targets:
TP1: 35.80
TP2: 35.20 (curve base)
TP3: 34.80 (range bottom liquidity zone)
Invalidation: Return above 36.80 after rejection
📘 Market Context & Professional Insight:
This is a high-probability continuation pattern in a bullish macro context. With interest rates stabilizing and commodity demand remaining firm, silver often trails gold in performance but catches up with volatility. Traders must watch the behavior around the resistance level, as that’s where smart money will show their hand.
Institutional traders typically accumulate below resistance and engineer a breakout with controlled price action — and this chart is a textbook display of that setup. The Mind Curve structure mimics Wyckoffian schematics in the re-accumulation phase.
Timing is crucial — breakout traders should be patient and disciplined, avoiding premature entries before a valid confirmation of strength.
✅ Conclusion:
Silver (XAGUSD) is approaching a critical juncture. The chart structure suggests an imminent breakout above major resistance, supported by institutional behavior along the Black Mind Curve Support. However, traders must remain agile — watch for breakout confirmation or signs of a false move followed by distribution.
This chart embodies a calculated bullish bias, and offers a great risk-to-reward opportunity for both trend followers and breakout traders.
NZDJPY Long Setup: Institutional Flow Signals Upside to 89.690🗓 Seasonal Outlook
- JPY Seasonal Weakness: Historical trends show July and August tend to be bearish months for the Japanese Yen, reinforcing weakness across JPY pairs.
- NZD Seasonal Strength: July typically supports bullish momentum for NZD, while August may present challenges. However, strength in NZD versus relative JPY softness suggests continued upside potential into early August.
💼 Institutional Positioning (COT Analysis)
- JPY: Commercial traders remain net short, suggesting expectations of further depreciation.
- NZD: Also shows commercial net shorts, yet the price structure aligns more with bullish continuation, hinting at speculative flow favoring NZD upside.
🧠 Technical Analysis
- Liquidity Dynamics:
- Price has cleared multiple buy-side liquidity levels near prior swing highs.
- Sell-side zones continue to hold, indicating strong bullish intent and failed bearish follow-through.
- Market Structure:
- Higher lows and sustained bullish reactions post-liquidity sweeps reinforce an upward trajectory.
- Current structure suggests accumulation and breakout patterns toward the proposed target.
🎯 Target Projection: 89.690
#AN017: Dirty Levels in Forex: How Banks Think
In the world of Forex, many retail traders are accustomed to seeking surgical precision in technical levels. Clear lines, pinpoint support, geometric resistance. But the truth is that the market doesn't move in such an orderly fashion.
I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo, and I thank my Official Broker Partner in advance for supporting us in writing this article.
Institutions—banks, macro funds, hedge funds—don't operate to confirm textbook patterns. Instead, they work to manipulate, accumulate, and distribute positions as efficiently as possible. And often, they do so precisely at the so-called "dirty levels."
But what are these dirty levels?
They are price zones, not individual lines. They are areas where many traders place stop losses, pending orders, or breakout entries, making them an ideal target for institutional players. The concept of a dirty level arises from the fact that the price fails to respect the "perfect" level, but breaks it slightly and then retraces its steps: a false breakout, a trap, a hunt for stops.
Banks are very familiar with the behavior of retail traders. They have access to much more extensive information: aggregated positioning data, open interest in options, key levels monitored by algorithms. When they see concentrations of orders around a zone, they design actual liquidity triggers. They push the price just beyond the key level to "clean" the market, generate panic or euphoria, and then initiate their actual trade.
How are these levels identified?
A trader who wants to operate like an institution must stop drawing sharp lines and start thinking in trading bands. A dirty level is, on average, a zone 10 to 15 pips wide, around a psychological level, a previous high/low, or a breakout area. But technical structure alone is not enough. It's important to observe:
Volume density (volume profile or book visibility)
Aggregate retail sentiment (to understand where stops are placed)
Key option levels (especially gamma and maximum pain)
Rising open interest (as confirmation of institutional interest)
When a price approaches a dirty level, you shouldn't enter. You should wait for manipulation. The price often briefly breaks above that range, with a spike, and only then does it retrace its steps in the opposite direction. That's when banks enter: when retail has unloaded its positions or been forced into trading too late. The truly expert trader enters after the level has been "cleaned," not before.
This type of reading leads you to trade in the opposite way to the crowd. It forces you to think ahead: where they want you to enter... and where they actually enter. And only when you begin to recognize these invisible patterns, when you understand that the market is not linear but designed to deceive you, do you truly begin to become a professional trader.
Conclusion?
Trading isn't about predicting the price, but predicting the intentions of those who actually move the market. Dirty levels are key. Those who know how to read manipulation can enter profitably, before the real acceleration. And from that moment, they'll never look back.
Pancake Swap (CAKE): Buyers Took Control Over EMAs | +22% ComingCAKE coin had recently dumped below the local triangle pattern, which would have been a good entry for a short position, but buyers took back control, it seems.
What we see is a slight pressure and dominance from buyers, which glides the price near the broken trend area, looking for explosive movement from here.
As soon as we see that break of structure near the current, we are going to look for a long, as long as buyers maintain the dominance over 200 and 100 EMA.
Swallow Academy
Gbpusd long scalp I like current consolidations near equal high depicted with green line.
I want to see a draw towards the equal highs.
This would be simulation trade #7 out of 100
BTCUSD Analysis – Riding the Mind Curve & Bullish Setup Target🔎 Technical Narrative & Market Structure Analysis
Bitcoin is currently respecting a textbook parabolic support structure represented by the Black Mind Curve—a dynamic visual model reflecting the psychology of crowd behavior transitioning from uncertainty to confidence. This curved structure often precedes strong bullish continuation patterns, especially when paired with evidence of smart money involvement.
The current price action shows sequential higher lows, each of which is supported directly by the Mind Curve. These bounces confirm demand stepping in consistently at higher levels, a strong sign of controlled accumulation and momentum building.
🧠 Key Chart Components Explained
✅ 1. Mind Curve (Dynamic Support)
A custom-drawn parabolic curve reflects the ongoing upward force from buyers.
Bitcoin has tested and bounced from this curve multiple times, showing it is respected by market participants.
As price hugs the curve more tightly, the compression could lead to a volatility breakout.
✅ 2. Major BOS (Break of Structure)
A significant market structure break occurred as price took out a previous swing high.
This BOS confirms a shift in market sentiment from ranging/sideways to uptrend formation.
The BOS now acts as a reference point for bullish momentum and could serve as support on a potential retest.
✅ 3. QFL Zone (Quantity following line )
Located just below the BOS, this zone marks the last area where aggressive buyers stepped in before the breakout.
These levels are often defended on a retest and are used by institutional traders to re-enter positions.
✅ 4. Evidence Candle
This sharp bullish impulse candle is what we call an "evidence candle"—it pierces minor resistances with strength and volume.
It represents institutional-level interest and confirms smart money accumulation.
Such candles typically precede either continuation or minor pullback for re-accumulation.
✅ 5. Reversal Zone (Target Zone)
This zone lies ahead at approximately 112,500 to 113,000, a confluence of previous supply, key psychological level, and potential liquidity pool.
It's the next logical area where price may pause, react, or break through if momentum sustains.
⚔️ Scenarios to Watch
🟩 Bullish Scenario:
Price continues riding the curve support upward.
Breaks and closes above the Reversal Zone, ideally with volume and continuation candle.
Potential upside extension toward 114,000–115,000.
🟨 Neutral/Consolidation Scenario:
Price consolidates just below the Reversal Zone.
May form a flag/pennant or triangle structure.
Bullish continuation likely if the curve holds beneath.
🟥 Bearish/Invalidation Scenario:
Price breaks below the Mind Curve and BOS, closing below with momentum.
This would signal a potential breakdown of the bullish structure.
Invalidation zone likely sits below 110,000, and a breakdown could open room to revisit the 108,500–109,000 area.
📌 Confluence Factors Supporting the Bullish Bias:
Respect of Mind Curve over time = hidden institutional support
Presence of BOS and QFL = structure and order block confluence
Evidence candle = high-volume trigger point
Reversal Zone = logical magnet for price, supported by liquidity and previous reactions
📈 Summary & Trading Thesis
Bitcoin is currently in a bullish microstructure within a larger range. The parabola-style Mind Curve suggests that this structure is maturing toward an inflection point. The break above BOS, evidence of strength, and alignment with demand zones all support a move toward the 112,500–113,000 Reversal Zone. If momentum sustains, this could become the start of a broader bullish leg.
📢 Final Thought:
While the setup is bullish, discipline and patience are key. Watching how price behaves around the Reversal Zone will be critical. A clean breakout or solid rejection will provide the next high-probability signal.
You all Panic and Sell While Whales Buy Ever sold at the exact bottom, just before the bounce?
Mass fear always becomes the perfect entry for whales, while regular traders are running away.
In this post, I’ll break down how their mindset beats ours, and how to flip the script on your own fear.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on PEPEcoin:
BINANCE:PEPEUSDT has broken above the descending channel resistance as well as a significant daily resistance level, supported by a solid increase in trading volume 📈. This confirms genuine buying interest and momentum in the market. Based on this breakout, I expect at least a 22% upside, with a target near 0.0000135 🚀.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
🧠 Emotions Lie. The Chart Doesn’t.
In crypto markets, our first reaction is rarely logical. When prices dump, fear kicks in, not analysis.
That’s exactly when the big players step in. They know retail won’t buy the bottom; they chase green candles, not red opportunities.
🐋 What Whales Think That Retail Doesn’t
Whales wait for emotional exhaustion, full-on fear or full-on greed.
They don't enter with the crowd. They enter when the crowd wants out. That’s not coincidence. It’s a setup.
🧨 Self-Sabotage: The Retail Playbook
Retail traders usually:
Sell in panic on the dump
Buy in FOMO on the pump
Quit after liquidation
Whales don’t react to price, they react to opportunity.
📉 Why Real Bottoms Never Feel Safe
When a real bottom forms, it feels terrible. News is negative. Social media screams "SELL."
No one trusts the recovery. That’s why most miss it. Comfort does not equal opportunity.
⏳ Silence and Patience: Whale Superpowers
In sideways markets, retail gets bored and walks away.
Whales? They accumulate silently. They don’t seek confirmation. They seek positioning.
📊 TradingView Tools That Reveal Whale Moves
TradingView isn't just a charting site, it’s a weapon if you know what to look for:
Volume Profile shows zones where the most trading occurred. If price drops but volume remains dense, that’s hidden buying.
OBV (On-Balance Volume) tracks if smart money is loading while price moves slowly.
Combine RSI + MA to spot where sentiment diverges from logic.
Set up your own TradingView layout with these indicators. Use the data, not your gut.
🧲 Is This Crash A Hidden Invitation?
Every major dip asks one quiet question: “Do you still know the game?”
The smart money listens while the rest scream. The market has rhythm, if you hear it, you win.
🛡 Recap
Next time the market’s bleeding red and everyone’s afraid, zoom out.
Don’t listen to your fear, listen to the chart. Let TradingView’s tools be your edge, not just your screen.
✅ Final Thought:
Whales feed on our fear. So next time you're scared, don’t run, observe.
That fear might be your best entry, not your worst exit.
✨ Need a little love!
We pour love into every post your support keeps us inspired! 💛 Don’t be shy, we’d love to hear from you on comments. Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋
📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis : Bullish Structure Setup + Target🧠 Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis
Gold has recently been trading within a clearly defined descending channel, which has governed price action over the past several sessions. This structure is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming well-established channel resistance and channel support levels. However, recent bullish pressure has led price to aggressively test the upper boundary of this channel, signaling the potential for a structural breakout.
We are now at a technical inflection point, where a successful breakout and retest could mark the beginning of a significant trend reversal and short-to-medium term bullish move.
🔍 Key Technical Levels & Zones
🔷 Channel Resistance (~3,325)
The price is currently testing the descending trendline acting as channel resistance.
This area has previously rejected price several times, increasing its significance.
A confirmed break and close above this level may shift the market bias from bearish to bullish.
🔷 Central Zone – Dual Demand (~3,325–3,330)
This horizontal zone intersects with the channel resistance and aligns with two previous demand zones, now acting as a key decision area.
The market must validate this zone as new support before any sustained upward movement can occur.
🔷 Next Reversal Zone – Target (~3,370)
The next major area of interest lies around 3,370, a zone identified by previous swing highs and visible liquidity pools.
This level is likely to act as a magnet for price if bullish structure is confirmed.
📈 Price Structure Outlook
The potential breakout is supported by a strong bullish impulse off the channel support, followed by a series of higher lows suggesting growing bullish momentum. The projected movement scenario is as follows:
Break above the channel resistance
Retest and confirm the central zone as support
Continuation toward the 3,370 reversal zone
This would complete a classic break–retest–continuation pattern.
✅ Trade Considerations (Not Financial Advice)
Entry Type Entry Condition Target Stop Loss
Aggressive Break & 2H close above 3,330 3,370 Below 3,320
Conservative Retest & bullish confirmation above 3,325 3,370 Below 3,310
Risk Management:
Use position sizing aligned with your risk tolerance (max 1–2% per trade).
Monitor volume closely during breakout and retest for confirmation.
⚠️ Invalidation Scenario
If price fails to break above the channel and is rejected strongly, especially with a bearish engulfing or long upper wick, the downside could resume. In such a case, price may revisit the channel midline or even the lower boundary around 3,290.
📝 Summary
Gold is at a critical juncture, testing long-standing channel resistance.
A break above and successful retest of the 3,325–3,330 zone could lead to a rally toward 3,370.
This setup reflects a potential shift in structure from bearish to bullish on the 2H timeframe.
4H CHoCH Formed – Short from Supply with CautionHello Traders,
Today we’ve seen a Change of Character (CHoCH) form on the 4-hour chart after price broke above the higher time frame’s weak high (HH) from yesterday. This suggests we’re now in a bearish counter-trend pullback phase. Trading short from the 4H supply zone with lower time frame (LTF) confirmation presents a high-probability setup.
However, keep in mind that on the daily chart, price is reacting from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) or imbalance zone, meaning there’s still a chance price could push higher. So using LTF confirmation before entering shorts is essential.
Price Grabbed Liquidity and Demand FormedHello Traders,
Today on EUR/USD, we observed a sweep of the sell-side liquidity (SSL), where price failed to close below and instead left a strong wick—indicating a potential institutional move. A fresh demand zone has now formed, suggesting that price is likely to target the nearest high before initiating a deeper move to the downside. With lower time frame (LTF) confirmation, this setup presents a high-probability trading opportunity.
IBEX 35: Summer Rally or Final Top?By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Consolidation and Vertigo at Peak Levels
In 2025, the IBEX 35 has staged a moderate yet consistent rally, reaching levels not seen since 2015, recently hitting 14,373 points. After a strong start to the year, fueled by the stabilization of interest rates in the eurozone and a recovery in the banking sector, the index has been consolidating within a sideways-upward channel. This consolidation phase has acted as a pause after the significant gains accumulated since October 2023, when the index hovered near the 9,000-point mark. However, the current high zone represents a technically demanding barrier. If broken, it could pave the way for one final upward move before a potential correction.
Last Push Before the Turn
Fundamental Analysis
The performance of the IBEX 35 in 2025 has been mainly supported by solid corporate earnings, particularly within the financial sector, which continues to benefit from the elevated interest rate environment. Banks have reported robust interest margins, playing a key role in driving the index higher. Additionally, defensive stocks like Iberdrola, Endesa, and Naturgy have provided stability amid persistent macroeconomic uncertainty.
However, growth forecasts for the Spanish economy are beginning to be revised downward, and persistent core inflation casts doubt on the ECB's ability to cut rates swiftly. Thus, although the base scenario still favors a continued recovery, risk factors are starting to build, which could impact the index’s trajectory in the second half of the year.
Furthermore, regulatory changes in regions such as Catalonia concerning the housing sector are affecting rental companies and platforms like Airbnb in cities like Barcelona. Tensions between the Ministry of Transport and construction companies are also mounting over the planned reversal of concession contracts for 11 first-generation motorways, spanning nearly 1,000 kilometers—a dispute that could end up in court. Publicly traded firms involved include Abertis, Acciona, ACS, Ferrovial, and FCC.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, the IBEX 35 is trading within a sideways-upward channel that has served as a consolidation phase since May, following a strong rally that began in late 2023. The upper resistance of this channel is around 14,373 points, while the lower boundary extends to 13,615 points, acting as the main support level. As long as the index remains above this threshold, a breakout to the upside remains plausible.
Currently, the point of control is showing bearish delta pressure just above, suggesting that the July 7th upward move is holding above the 13,930-point area. This level coincides with the 50-day moving average, which indicates that the price may still have bullish momentum and could attempt one last summer rally.
However, if this level is breached, the upward move may be limited, especially since trading volumes have remained relatively stable. The RSI is slightly overbought at 60.79%, and the MACD is trending above its signal line—pointing to a potential buy signal and continued upward movement.
In this context, investors should closely monitor the upcoming sessions: a clear breakout above resistance could trigger fresh buying, but failure to overcome the congestion zone could increase the likelihood of a deeper corrective phase.
Portfolio Rotation? Alternative Markets to Watch
With the IBEX 35 hovering near relative highs and showing potential long-term exhaustion signals, some investors may consider rotating toward markets with greater upside potential:
EuroStoxx 50: Still has room to set new annual highs. As long as it holds above 5,200 points, it remains in an upward channel. A breakout above 5,430 could trigger a new rally.
Chinese markets (CSI 300 / China A50): The index recently reached new yearly highs, breaking above levels not seen since December 2024. Despite structural economic weaknesses, government stimulus could support short-term momentum. It’s worth noting that while the China A50 index has a slight bullish bias, it has remained range-bound since October last year. Being composed of the country’s top companies, this might reflect a more subdued economic reality compared to the more volatile CSI 300.
Tech indices (Nasdaq 100): Easing bond yields in the U.S. and strong tech earnings could continue to support the Nasdaq, particularly in a growth-seeking environment.
Commodities and emerging markets: With a potential correction in Europe, investors may also consider real assets and more cyclically sensitive markets such as Latin America or emerging Asia.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success. Regulated status does not guarantee security.
BITCOIN ATH? More to come!With BTC seeing a new ATH, speculations are there for whether it continues in upward projection or falls back.
My prediction is simple, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will do a temporary pullback around the 109,000$ region and goes back up to around 113,000$ within the shortest time.
This temporarily pullback will be a result of buyers who already took their profits. Of course, Institutional investors are even more poised to buying more.
News may impact this projection but investors are willing to see it fly.
Ultimately, you can never go wrong with Bitcoin buy.
#DYOR #NFA
XAUUSD Idea: 4H Trendline First Breakout - Liquidity PlayFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
🔍 Analysis Overview:
Price has just broken above a 4H descending trendline for the first time. However, I remain cautious due to the following key observations:
📌 NOTES:
The broader market sentiment is still bearish due to recent tariff-related news, which often fuels risk-off behavior.
Historically, the first breakout of a strong trendline often fails, trapping early buyers.
This breakout is likely attracting buy-side liquidity, giving institutions an opportunity to hunt stops.
My observation shows buying interest started around the 3308–3313 range, suggesting smart money accumulation and a possible trap.
📉 I'm watching for a fake breakout and potential reversal targeting the liquidity zones marked below around 3307 and possibly lower.
The liquidity sweep below equal lows could offer a better risk-reward setup.
💡 Conclusion:
If price fails to hold above this breakout and shows signs of rejection, I will be anticipating a return towards the previous demand zone for a liquidity grab.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityGrab #ForexTrading #TrendlineBreak #MarketPsychology #TradingSetup #SMC #PriceAction
RameThe break of all-time highs triggered an acceleration of the bullish movement.
The movement could continue if the orbital resistance at 5.895 is broken, with a target of 6.82 to be achieved by August 26, 2025.
The bullish scenario would be negated if the support at 5.25 is broken.
Almost There: Nifty Closing in on My Target Zone 25340In this update, I’m revisiting the setup I shared earlier that points towards NIFTY’s next potential target at 25,340. The analysis covers the key levels, price action structure, and the factors supporting this move. This setup is based on clear technical confirmations and disciplined risk management — not just speculation.
Please remember to follow your own plan and manage your trades responsibly. This is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Let’s see how the price action unfolds!
